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2017 Hurricane Season

676,198 Views | 3704 Replies | Last: 7 yr ago by Swarely
KlinkerAg11
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In reply to txagfisher • 8:36p, 8/31/17
AG
Appreciate it brother! We have a great staff. Love our people out there. That includes people on the payroll and folks who give us their business. We love what we do.
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The Fife
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10:23a, 9/3/17
Irma is starting to look a lot more likely to come visit someone on the east coast. Still lots of time for models to change, but I'm paying a lot of attention to this one now.
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The Shank Ag
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10:25a, 9/3/17
Looked like Florida keys into the gulf to me
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JustPanda
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In reply to The Shank Ag • 10:47a, 9/3/17
AG
What model are you look at right now? Everything I've seen has it moving more and more north....
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The Fife
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10:55a, 9/3/17
Latest GFS and Euro runs had it pull in right around the NC/SC border.
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JustPanda
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In reply to The Shank Ag • 11:04a, 9/3/17
AG
If you opinion isn't informed, right now isn't the time for conjecture.....
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RangerRick9211
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11:19a, 9/3/17
AG
Latest GFS just finished:

Edit: Still running. I'll update the GIF when the model is complete. But, uh 883 mbar on hour 186. I just looked up the record and it's Wilma at 882.

Edit: Through landfall.
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RangerRick9211
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11:41a, 9/3/17
AG
Irma bringing a friend along?
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The Fife
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1:18p, 9/3/17
This wouldn't be a ride out track, that's a dead-on bug out track. We do have a SHTF scenario plan including what to take and where to go, but I really don't want to use it.

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Ag83
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3:30p, 9/3/17
AG

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G. hirsutum Ag
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In reply to The Fife • 3:34p, 9/3/17
AG
I would prioritize things in your house that are too valuable to replace and get a game plan to move those if need be. Not a fun thought to have but it was something I hadn't done before and wish I had. And if you leave make sure you completely empty your fridge and freezer. It sucks also but you will be glad you did. Of course let's hope it spins out into open water and everyone will be ok but not a bad idea to plan
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The Fife
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In reply to G. hirsutum Ag • 3:46p, 9/3/17
Seven said:
I would prioritize things in your house that are too valuable to replace and get a game plan to move those if need be. Not a fun thought to have but it was something I hadn't done before and wish I had. And if you leave make sure you completely empty your fridge and freezer. It sucks also but you will be glad you did. Of course let's hope it spins out into open water and everyone will be ok but not a bad idea to plan
Courtesy of Matthew last year which we ended up staying for, we have a list of actual valuables, sentimental things from deceased family members, supplies for the baby, cat and dog, and things we would need for ourselves. Take two cars with a highway range of about 450 miles each and hope for the best.

I already have pictures of serial numbers for expensive tools and other things that are too large to come along with.

We have a long time left to go to see what Atlantic and Midwest ridges are actually going to do, and we're only just now starting to have recon flights into Irma. I couldn't see us really doing much besides filling up cars until Wednesday at the earliest. It's been a hell of a weekend to start running a 100 degree fever though.
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G. hirsutum Ag
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In reply to The Fife • 3:49p, 9/3/17
AG
Y'all are smart. Hopefully it will follow the trend of the big storms out east and be a fish spinner.
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JustPanda
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In reply to The Fife • 3:50p, 9/3/17
AG
Where are you located?
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In reply to JustPanda • 4:01p, 9/3/17
KRamp90
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10:43p, 9/3/17
AG
My daughter is in Winston-Salem and she hadn't heard boo. I told her to start getting a plan together-
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dubi
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In reply to KRamp90 • 4:08a, 9/4/17
AG
KRamp90 said:
My daughter is in Winston-Salem and she hadn't heard boo. I told her to start getting a plan together-

My oldest son is 26 and a police officer in Houston. He posted a pic of his preparations for Harvey and it was all inclusive: fine whiskey and cigars!
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TXAG14
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8:12a, 9/4/17
The way these models keep shifting west reminds me of Ike.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2008/graphics/al09/loop_5W.shtml
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JustPanda
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In reply to TXAG14 • 8:47a, 9/4/17
AG
Please remove. All you will do is cause panic with people thinking Ike is Irma.

It's not that hard people.....
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Badace52
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In reply to TXAG14 • 8:53a, 9/4/17
AG
I'm getting inklings of Ike as well.
No material on this site is intended to be a substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. See full Medical Disclaimer.
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The Fife
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10:41a, 9/4/17
I keep waiting for the inevitable nudges to the east/northeast that it seems like everything that's supposed to hit somewhere along the east coast gets. Seems like forecasts always end up pulling back to a degree, I'm surprised to see the NHC's track running into Cuba.
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The Fife
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11:33a, 9/4/17
12Z GFS of course brought the inevitable. Major hurricane avoiding Cuba, striking South Florida, passing through Miami and moving back just off the coast and then swinging back through the Savannah area. Terrible for Florida + worst case landfall location for us in terms of surge.

Of course it's still a week out.
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oragator
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In reply to The Fife • 1:42p, 9/4/17
The Fife said:
I keep waiting for the inevitable nudges to the east/northeast that it seems like everything that's supposed to hit somewhere along the east coast gets. Seems like forecasts always end up pulling back to a degree, I'm surprised to see the NHC's track running into Cuba.
This is likely why:

https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/904669911594786818/photo/1

https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/904667546397364224/photo/2
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ttha_aggie_09
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In reply to oragator • 1:45p, 9/4/17
AG
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AgLA06
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In reply to ttha_aggie_09 • 2:08p, 9/4/17
AG
ttha_aggie_09 said:


Creeping closer.
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ttha_aggie_09
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In reply to AgLA06 • 2:08p, 9/4/17
AG
That would be apocalyptic if it hit Texas
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Swarely
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2:14p, 9/4/17
America gonna get it right in the tip

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The Fife
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In reply to oragator • 3:39p, 9/4/17
Looks like I sort of got what I was talking about with the latest runs.

From what I've read the 00Z models should to start incorporating the recon and weather balloon data. I'm really curious to see what those turn out looking like.
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RangerRick9211
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In reply to RangerRick9211 • 4:15p, 9/4/17
AG
RangerRick9211 said:
Irma bringing a friend along?
But, really.



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Swarely
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4:55p, 9/4/17


Just announced that it is a Cat 4. Any Floridian on this thread?
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Ayto Siks
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In reply to Swarely • 5:05p, 9/4/17
Swarely said:


Just announced that it is a Cat 4. Any Floridian on this thread?


Checking in from Fort Myers...
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Centerpole90
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In reply to Ayto Siks • 5:16p, 9/4/17
AG
Time for a Tx vacation amigo.
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Swarely
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In reply to Centerpole90 • 5:20p, 9/4/17
Centerpole90 said:
Time for a Tx vacation amigo.


This
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RickSawyer
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In reply to Ayto Siks • 5:21p, 9/4/17
AG
Ayto Siks said:
Swarely said:


Just announced that it is a Cat 4. Any Floridian on this thread?


Checking in from Fort Myers...


I get my Waterman back from Simmons' shop this week. You ready to catch a redfish on the fly?
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Ayto Siks
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In reply to RickSawyer • 6:24p, 9/4/17
Oh I'm ready; you'll be at the top of the call list if I get back to TX.
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