Tropical Storm Bertha [Staff Warning in OP]

28,831 Views | 196 Replies | Last: 8 days ago by TexAgs91
Psycho Bunny
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zephyr88 said:

and why is the weather report for a tropical depression posted in the Politics Forum?

Because there is no weather board and storms make great for political discussions
My demon woke me up this morning and said bruh, I'm tired... So I handed him a Red Bull and said come on little buddy, we got bridges to burn and chaos to spread.
f burg ag
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TyHolden said:

Is I10 still safe tomorrow?

Why are you still asking everyone, and based on your previous posts, why TF would you take I-10 through NOLA when you are passing through Louisiana? Not taking I-12 from BR to Slidell probably adds at least 30 minutes to your trip.
zephyr88
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techno-ag said:

zephyr88 said:

and why is the weather report for a tropical depression posted in the Politics Forum?

Storms have been political ever since W destroyed New Orleans with one.

This one needs to stay a tropical storm or run on the Gulf of America never having a hurricane will be over.
techno-ag
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zephyr88 said:

techno-ag said:

zephyr88 said:

and why is the weather report for a tropical depression posted in the Politics Forum?

Storms have been political ever since W destroyed New Orleans with one.

This one needs to stay a tropical storm or run on the Gulf of America never having a hurricane will be over.

Alas, that day's coming sooner or later unless the next Dim president changes it back to Mexico.
The left cannot kill the Spirit of Charlie Kirk.
zephyr88
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techno-ag said:

zephyr88 said:

techno-ag said:

zephyr88 said:

and why is the weather report for a tropical depression posted in the Politics Forum?

Storms have been political ever since W destroyed New Orleans with one.

This one needs to stay a tropical storm or run on the Gulf of America never having a hurricane will be over.

Alas, that day's coming sooner or later unless the next Dim president changes it back to Mexico.

We live in a ****ed up country. The next dim will undo all the great things that were done ahead of them just because 'orange man bad'. The best we can do is make sure that the dims don't get back in control for a few more years.
BlueMiles
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Louisiana road condition info:

https://www.511la.org/

Texas road condition info:

drivetexas.org
txags92
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zephyr88 said:

and why is the weather report for a tropical depression posted in the Politics Forum?

Politics functions as a "current events" board for those of us who don't go to the general board very often.
TyHolden
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f burg ag said:

TyHolden said:

Is I10 still safe tomorrow?

Why are you still asking everyone, and based on your previous posts, why TF would you take I-10 through NOLA when you are passing through Louisiana? Not taking I-12 from BR to Slidell probably adds at least 30 minutes to your trip.

Because I haven't really had a chance to check the weather today. I am taking I-12. And you still gotta go over that big bridge before BR. I'm a little scared of heights...
I hope I did not offend anybody with this post. If I did, please come see me at my address in my profile so we can talk.
TyHolden
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BlueMiles said:

Louisiana road condition info:

https://www.511la.org/

Texas road condition info:

drivetexas.org


Thank you
I hope I did not offend anybody with this post. If I did, please come see me at my address in my profile so we can talk.
HalifaxAg
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How much is HEB stock going for?
Ag with kids
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Im Gipper said:

Since this storm fizzed out and this is now a roadtrip food/stay recommendation topic, can we bring back my fantastic commentary on Ag with kids feminine vehicle choice?

Well, when you come down and drive on my beach, don't call ME to pull your beamer out of the soft sand...


You can turn off signatures, btw
lurker76
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TyHolden said:

f burg ag said:

TyHolden said:

Is I10 still safe tomorrow?

Why are you still asking everyone, and based on your previous posts, why TF would you take I-10 through NOLA when you are passing through Louisiana? Not taking I-12 from BR to Slidell probably adds at least 30 minutes to your trip.

Because I haven't really had a chance to check the weather today. I am taking I-12. And you still gotta go over that big bridge before BR. I'm a little scared of heights...

I'm with you on that one. That bridge is horrible. Traffic is always backed up and it shakes like crazy. We usually head nort and take the 190 bridge to I110 just to avoid it.
HollywoodBQ
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HaroldShipmanAg said:

another media hyped nothing burger storm. Cant wait to see reporters reporting from rain puddles.
Have they started setting up at the Clear Lake Hilton yet?
HollywoodBQ
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Kenneth_2003 said:

txags92 said:

rca21978 said:



Says the guy who was catastrophically wrong about the risk of Beryl to the Houston Area.

To be fair, I think a lot of people underestimated what became a decent Cat2 that sliced through the combination of highest population and mature tree density in thy metro area.

Further west there would be more, largely newer construction with few mature trees. Further east, a lot more trees but more bay and generally fewer people.

The path optimized both.
I don't recall Beryl being a Category 2.

It was just over 75 mph when it my house in Galveston (the first week I moved in).
txags92
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HollywoodBQ said:

Kenneth_2003 said:

txags92 said:

rca21978 said:



Says the guy who was catastrophically wrong about the risk of Beryl to the Houston Area.

To be fair, I think a lot of people underestimated what became a decent Cat2 that sliced through the combination of highest population and mature tree density in thy metro area.

Further west there would be more, largely newer construction with few mature trees. Further east, a lot more trees but more bay and generally fewer people.

The path optimized both.

I don't recall Beryl being a Category 2.

It was just over 75 mph when it my house in Galveston (the first week I moved in).

It was a high Cat 1 by wind (90 mph) and low Cat 2 by central pressure (978 mb) when it made landfall near Matagorda Island. https://www.weather.gov/lch/2024Beryl
TyHolden
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lurker76 said:

TyHolden said:

f burg ag said:

TyHolden said:

Is I10 still safe tomorrow?

Why are you still asking everyone, and based on your previous posts, why TF would you take I-10 through NOLA when you are passing through Louisiana? Not taking I-12 from BR to Slidell probably adds at least 30 minutes to your trip.

Because I haven't really had a chance to check the weather today. I am taking I-12. And you still gotta go over that big bridge before BR. I'm a little scared of heights...

I'm with you on that one. That bridge is horrible. Traffic is always backed up and it shakes like crazy. We usually head nort and take the 190 bridge to I110 just to avoid it.

Thanks - we might do that. Going through BR sucks. And it smells like dirty old corn dogs.

Also where do you get off 10 to catch 190?
I hope I did not offend anybody with this post. If I did, please come see me at my address in my profile so we can talk.
halfastros81
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We're going via Natchez just because the traffic almost always sucks in Baton Rouge . Bertha looks to me like a little wind and rain. Not worth rerouting for I just don't wanna drive thru BR.
YouBet
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Now Beaumont is dead center. This things moving all over the place.
HollywoodBQ
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txags92 said:

HollywoodBQ said:

Kenneth_2003 said:

txags92 said:

rca21978 said:



Says the guy who was catastrophically wrong about the risk of Beryl to the Houston Area.

To be fair, I think a lot of people underestimated what became a decent Cat2 that sliced through the combination of highest population and mature tree density in thy metro area.

Further west there would be more, largely newer construction with few mature trees. Further east, a lot more trees but more bay and generally fewer people.

The path optimized both.

I don't recall Beryl being a Category 2.

It was just over 75 mph when it my house in Galveston (the first week I moved in).

It was a high Cat 1 by wind (90 mph) and low Cat 2 by central pressure (978 mb) when it made landfall near Matagorda Island. https://www.weather.gov/lch/2024Beryl

I've never heard of pressure being a determinant for rating a hurricane, only wind speed.
But... the National Park Service lists the threshold between Cat 1 and Cat 2 as 979 mb
https://www.nps.gov/articles/saffir-simpson-hurricane-scale.htm

Beryl was Cat 1, it's OK. No need to retroactively upgrade it.

Just like today, I'm getting heat warnings because the high temp is supposed to be between 99F - 104F this afternoon in Galveston even though it's only 93 right now.

We don't have to upgrade every marginal weather event because we haven't had a big one lately.

They do the same thing in California with earthquakes. OMG - did you feel that. M5.0? Oh yeah man. Very few people remember the last M7+ that would be 100 times bigger so they gotta talk up the 5.0.
YouBet
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I'm in east Texas this week. The heat is horrendous. I'm ready to go home already, but you are right the weather fear porn these days is out of control.

I love how all of the weather headlines I see now follow this format:

"160 million people are under severe heat watch today." Translation: it's summer like it is every year.

"32 million under tornado watch." Translation: storms are traveling west to east across country like they've always done.
HollywoodBQ
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Looks like they've upgraded it from a Depression to a Storm for when it hits my house late Thursday afternoon.

Last weekend, my next door neighbor (BOI) trimmed his trees that overhang my backyard, just in case. Looks like that was a good idea.

lurker76
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It depends on the traffic. One time headed east there was a back-up that took an hour just to get to the bridge. We were so gun-shy I asked one of my Louisiana buddies how to avoid it the next time we went. He lived in Denham Springs and worked in Houston, so he was very familiar with the traffic and the route.

He said he usually jumps off of 10 immediately after the Atchafalaya Basin in Ramah on 76. You can take that through Rosedale all the way to Highway 1 on the west side of the river, drive north to 190 and cross the river there. That is pretty industrial through there, so if you want to avoid it during shift changes, you can take 415 up to 190. We've done both. The scenery through 76 was interesting, with some farmland and rural areas. It is very different from I10.

Once over the river, you can take 190 to I12 or cut down I110 to I10 and take the I12 split. Again, it depends on traffic. There's a metric s-ton of traffic lights on 190 east of the river, but the traffic on I110 getting to I10 can be very backed up

One note, the last time we headed east was 2024, and we took the I10 bridge. The last time we went on 190 was 2022, so the area may have developed more.

Here's a link to Google Maps of the area I'm talking about. If you have any questions, DM me.

map around BR I10 bridge

Good luck on your trip and hopefully you don't have any issues. Also, if you are looking for a place to eat in Gulfport/Biloxi, there is a family friendly place called the White Cap. We haven't stopped there in quite a while because we usually push to Saraland outside of Mobile for our first stop. Another place, in Biloxi, is the Half Shell Oyster House. I was there on a work trip in 2016 and the food was excellent. Depending on the age of the kids you're travelling with may discourage that stop, but it would be worth looking into. The grilled oysters are amazing.
austinAG90
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samurai_science said:

austinAG90 said:

samurai_science said:

Blitz88 said:

The hill country / Highland Lakes (especially Lake Travis) don't need anymore right now … hope it goes elsewhere.


Travis can take a lot more

Not really, not without allowing several areas to flood.

Its got another 33 feet to go before it even gets to the top

Do you know what he extra 33 ft will flood ?
aggiehawg
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Again, I go back to the Weather Channel. Cantore and Steph are still in the studio and not on location. If there was a chance of this storm becoming a hurricane, they would be out there.
BrazosDog02
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It would be nice if it could hold together or beef up a bit before washing out over the hill country.
GeorgiAg
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You guys need Waffle Houses ASAP.

Waffle House Index is real.

whoop1995
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I have been traveling through several of these storms while the weather channel was going crazy telling every one they were going to die. Travelled I-10 to I-12 to 1-10 for Softball tournaments and vacations in Florida - in Mobile I thought it would be wise to go around and not take the tunnel though.

It was kinda funny one time while I stopped in Baton Rouge for breakfast - Jim Cantore was on television interviewing a sheriff that was in charge of the county were everyone's home is on stilts way south in Louisiana a day before the storm was to hit ( basically their backyard was the Gulf of Mexico) and Jim asked " Sheriff aren't you going to help these people evacuate it's dangerous?" The sheriff loooked at him and said "Jim, I know all of these people and I told them a week ago and then I told them again yesterday to leave out of caution, every family said they had been through worse and this is no big deal." "I am not leaving either"

The storm turned into a large rainstorm and the weather channel was gone in less than 24 hours.

Kinda funny for people to not believe the hype and say it on live television.
I collect ticket stubs! looking for Aggie vs tu stubs - 1926 and below, 1935-1937, 1939-1944, 1946-1948, 1950, 1953, 1956-1957, 1959, 1960, 1963-1966, 1969-1970, 1973, 1974, 1980, 1984, 1990, 2004, 2008 also looking for vs Villanova 1949- all home and away 2012-2013- media or suite passes for bowl games in 2021, 2023 and 2024
Im Gipper
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Quote:

I stopped in Baton Rouge for breakfast - Jim Cantore was interviewing a sheriff that was in charge of the county were everyone's home is on stilts way south in Louisiana


drei Glser!

I'm Gipper
Cromagnum
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HollywoodBQ said:

Kenneth_2003 said:

txags92 said:

rca21978 said:



Says the guy who was catastrophically wrong about the risk of Beryl to the Houston Area.

To be fair, I think a lot of people underestimated what became a decent Cat2 that sliced through the combination of highest population and mature tree density in thy metro area.

Further west there would be more, largely newer construction with few mature trees. Further east, a lot more trees but more bay and generally fewer people.

The path optimized both.
I don't recall Beryl being a Category 2.

It was just over 75 mph when it my house in Galveston (the first week I moved in).


I was in the NE eyewall of Beryl for several hours and lost a good chunk of my roof. It was absolutely Cat 2 wind damage down in Brazoria County where I was.

That aside, Bertha is shaping up to be a nothing burger unless it somehow reconsolidates a new center off to the southwest. The current center is naked and completely decoupled from any convection.

Mas89
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NE side of Houston had plenty of roof damage and trees down also. Didn't fool with insurance but had a roofer install a couple dozen shingles on relatives houses after Beryl.
No electricity in Kingwood for 6 days or so iirc. Due to trees down on electricity lines which run thru timber tracts.
txags92
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I think that is what the AI assisted models were seeing starting yesterday. I saw another meteorologist saying the thought is that the southern mass of convection may develop its own center of rotation and that is what the models were seeing headed for the Central Texas coast.
Cromagnum
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The only thing I don't know for certain is whether the new LLC can form while the other one still exists? I would tend to think probably not.
whoop1995
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Im Gipper said:

Quote:

I stopped in Baton Rouge for breakfast - Jim Cantore was interviewing a sheriff that was in charge of the county were everyone's home is on stilts way south in Louisiana


drei Glser!


Ok parish !
I collect ticket stubs! looking for Aggie vs tu stubs - 1926 and below, 1935-1937, 1939-1944, 1946-1948, 1950, 1953, 1956-1957, 1959, 1960, 1963-1966, 1969-1970, 1973, 1974, 1980, 1984, 1990, 2004, 2008 also looking for vs Villanova 1949- all home and away 2012-2013- media or suite passes for bowl games in 2021, 2023 and 2024
one safe place
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YouBet said:

I'm in east Texas this week. The heat is horrendous. I'm ready to go home already, but you are right the weather fear porn these days is out of control.

I love how all of the weather headlines I see now follow this format:

"160 million people are under severe heat watch today." Translation: it's summer like it is every year.

"32 million under tornado watch." Translation: storms are traveling west to east across country like they've always done.

lol, right on point. Even their regular forecasts are pretty much tripe. They go something like this:

"Those of you north of I-10 may not get any rain, while some will get 1" to 2" of rain, with a few getting around 3". That's not to say that a few of you could wind up in the bullseye and get 8" to 10" or more. That sort of rain could lead to localized street flooding and therefore I am issuing a stage 1 flood alert."

To recap that, you will either get no rain, or 1" to 2" of rain, or possibly 3" of rain, though it could be 8" to 10" of rain. Or more.
one safe place
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YouBet said:

Now Beaumont is dead center. This things moving all over the place.

Dead center of rains like we always get and some elevated winds like we get from time to time.
 
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