Maybe read the article you posted? It was cash that settled a decades old dispute over an old arms deal.
BusterAg said:2040huck said:
What new advantage have we gained?
Iran's military capabilities have been obliterated, they cannot hold the ME hostage with their ballistic missile arsenal so that they can build a nuke, and the straight is open.
So, yeah, its light-years better.
BusterAg said:2040huck said:
What new advantage have we gained?
Iran's military capabilities have been obliterated, they cannot hold the ME hostage with their ballistic missile arsenal so that they can build a nuke, and the straight is open.
So, yeah, its light-years better.
PCC_80 said:NeverSeenEmWin said:
I don't see how you can answer this question with anything but an emphatic "no."
We started this war without a clear path to regime change, and the IRGC and inner circle regime proved as resilient as most analysts predicted. Iran closed the strait as predicted and the economic fallout was actually much lower than predicted due to US production, alternate supply routes, and Chinese strategic reserve strength.
Meanwhile, US magazine depth is depleted, we showed a lot of new capabilities to our enemies, and gave some credibility to adversary air defense systems. The Iranian regime has successfully galvanized some degree of popular support after being attacked without provocation. It will be some time before dissident elements gain strength. And most of the Iranian missile launch sites and Shaheds remain intact.
We had to unfreeze Iranian assets to get them to the table, and had we offered that before the war, we likely could have gotten better than the current deal. And now Iran will use that capital to strengthen their position and fund terror.
This was an own-goal on so many levels.
You left out that the top two - three levels of Iranian Leadership were killed.
The Iranian Air Force and Navy have been wiped out. Iranian missile forces have suffered significant losses. The Republican Guard has taken a beating and lost lots of their leadership. The Iranian Nuclear Program has probably been halted and knocked backwards by maybe a decade.
Iran has suffered billions of dollars worth of damage that needs to be repaired. We tried to keep the damages to a minimum too. We purposefully avoided striking Oil, Electric and Water Systems. So we could have done lots more.
The Iranian Economy is in shambles after months of zero oil exports. So rebuilding is going to take a long time.
If anything I would say it was a draw. But, living in Iran is now a pretty miserable existance and the population is not happy which is not good for any regime.
Gigem314 said:PCC_80 said:NeverSeenEmWin said:
I don't see how you can answer this question with anything but an emphatic "no."
We started this war without a clear path to regime change, and the IRGC and inner circle regime proved as resilient as most analysts predicted. Iran closed the strait as predicted and the economic fallout was actually much lower than predicted due to US production, alternate supply routes, and Chinese strategic reserve strength.
Meanwhile, US magazine depth is depleted, we showed a lot of new capabilities to our enemies, and gave some credibility to adversary air defense systems. The Iranian regime has successfully galvanized some degree of popular support after being attacked without provocation. It will be some time before dissident elements gain strength. And most of the Iranian missile launch sites and Shaheds remain intact.
We had to unfreeze Iranian assets to get them to the table, and had we offered that before the war, we likely could have gotten better than the current deal. And now Iran will use that capital to strengthen their position and fund terror.
This was an own-goal on so many levels.
You left out that the top two - three levels of Iranian Leadership were killed.
The Iranian Air Force and Navy have been wiped out. Iranian missile forces have suffered significant losses. The Republican Guard has taken a beating and lost lots of their leadership. The Iranian Nuclear Program has probably been halted and knocked backwards by maybe a decade.
Iran has suffered billions of dollars worth of damage that needs to be repaired. We tried to keep the damages to a minimum too. We purposefully avoided striking Oil, Electric and Water Systems. So we could have done lots more.
The Iranian Economy is in shambles after months of zero oil exports. So rebuilding is going to take a long time.
If anything I would say it was a draw. But, living in Iran is now a pretty miserable existance and the population is not happy which is not good for any regime.
Exactly. It's amazing how some are glossing over the fact that Iran lost a majority of their key leadership along with their Air Force and Navy. It's like we're supposed to pretend like that didn't happen and they're just getting money out of this...so therefore they win. Nevermind the fact that their military capabilities have been significantly weakened from where they were before.
Just because it wasn't executed flawlessly doesn't mean it's a failure and the U.S. "lost" while Iran won. That is next level TDS there.
We basically sat by and let Iran do what they wanted for decades. We assumed the frozen assets and sanctions were enough. Interesting that the harshest critics of our current situation had no concerns over Iran's threat back then. Only now are they worried about Iran strengthening itself. Oh, and then of course you had Obama's brilliant idea of paying them off. Of course it was crickets for that too...only now are some concerned over Iran getting more funds. Come on.
pfo said:
Almost anything is better than Obama's Iran deal! What could be worse? Giving them $500 billion instead of $150 billion and giving them our nuclear stockpile too?
EFR said:
The straight was open beforehand.
Quote:
Their air force wasn't really a factor before and they've proven adept at shutting down the Strait of Hormuz with glorified bass boats. But it's still a victory until they start lobbing missiles and drones again and we have to waste more MOPs on mountainsides holding nuke materials. Looking forward to going back next year.
2040huck said:BusterAg said:2040huck said:
What new advantage have we gained?
Iran's military capabilities have been obliterated, they cannot hold the ME hostage with their ballistic missile arsenal so that they can build a nuke, and the straight is open.
So, yeah, its light-years better.
Obliterated? Unlikely. Nothing has changed on the ballistic missile front. Where did you get that idea? Was the straight closed? I am not saying that we might not get a better deal, but I am asking what the terms of the better deal might be
EFR said:
There is a significant difference between "no ballistic missiles" and "fewer ballistic missiles".
Gigem314 said:EFR said:
There is a significant difference between "no ballistic missiles" and "fewer ballistic missiles".
So you were fine with previous policies of keeping their weapons/military capabilities unchecked and having no idea how much/little they had, but taking out a significant amount of them in addition to infrastructure is just a complete a failure and not good enough. Got it.
Quote:
In March, Trump posted that there would be "no deal with Iran except UNCONDITIONAL SURRENDER!".
EFR said:
There is a significant difference between "no ballistic missiles" and "fewer ballistic missiles".
BusterAg said:2040huck said:
What new advantage have we gained?
Iran's military capabilities have been obliterated, they cannot hold the ME hostage with their ballistic missile arsenal so that they can build a nuke, and the straight is open.
So, yeah, its light-years better.
richardag said:Old McDonald said:
better for iran? yes
Please explain.
NeverSeenEmWin said:
I don't see how you can answer this question with anything but an emphatic "no."
We started this war without a clear path to regime change, and the IRGC and inner circle regime proved as resilient as most analysts predicted. Iran closed the strait as predicted and the economic fallout was actually much lower than predicted due to US production, alternate supply routes, and Chinese strategic reserve strength.
Meanwhile, US magazine depth is depleted, we showed a lot of new capabilities to our enemies, and gave some credibility to adversary air defense systems. The Iranian regime has successfully galvanized some degree of popular support after being attacked without provocation. It will be some time before dissident elements gain strength. And most of the Iranian missile launch sites and Shaheds remain intact.
We had to unfreeze Iranian assets to get them to the table, and had we offered that before the war, we likely could have gotten better than the current deal. And now Iran will use that capital to strengthen their position and fund terror.
This was an own-goal on so many levels.
Gigem314 said:pfo said:
Almost anything is better than Obama's Iran deal! What could be worse? Giving them $500 billion instead of $150 billion and giving them our nuclear stockpile too?
Funny how some of the "experts" on here declaring this a failure were silent back then. This has way more to do with Trump than it does the actual policy of how we should handle Iran. Because Trump did it, everything has to be spun as a complete failure as if the U.S. is evacuating Saigon all over again. It's why we can't have honest conversation about the positives and negatives.
2040huck said:
What new advantage have we gained?
2040huck said:
What new advantage have we gained?
2040huck said:BusterAg said:2040huck said:
What new advantage have we gained?
Iran's military capabilities have been obliterated, they cannot hold the ME hostage with their ballistic missile arsenal so that they can build a nuke, and the straight is open.
So, yeah, its light-years better.
Obliterated? Unlikely. Nothing has changed on the ballistic missile front. Where did you get that idea? Was the straight closed? I am not saying that we might not get a better deal, but I am asking what the terms of the better deal might be
EFR said:
There is a significant difference between "no ballistic missiles" and "fewer ballistic missiles".
No Spin Ag said:Gigem314 said:EFR said:
There is a significant difference between "no ballistic missiles" and "fewer ballistic missiles".
So you were fine with previous policies of keeping their weapons/military capabilities unchecked and having no idea how much/little they had, but taking out a significant amount of them in addition to infrastructure is just a complete a failure and not good enough. Got it.
That's definitely better than before.
Still a long way from Trump's own words of:Quote:
In March, Trump posted that there would be "no deal with Iran except UNCONDITIONAL SURRENDER!".
Unless "unconditional" has a different definition to Trump now than it did then.
halfastros81 said:
I think Iran and their proxies capabilities have been set back significantly . I think their ability to deliver a nuclear bomb has been set back. Nothing has been totally "solved" but it's significantly better than it was 5 mos ago imo.
halfastros81 said:
I think Iran and their proxies capabilities have been set back significantly . I think their ability to deliver a nuclear bomb has been set back..
BusterAg said:
Tough crowd.
Is that the only thing that would make you happy?
BMX Bandit said:halfastros81 said:
I think Iran and their proxies capabilities have been set back significantly . I think their ability to deliver a nuclear bomb has been set back..
Agree with all this.
But that is all due to the military action Trump wisely did, not any deal that was made.
I still don't see what we get out of this "deal".
Quote:
In signing a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz this week, President Trump made a massive bet that doing so would lead to the agreement he covets: one that restricts Tehran's ability to acquire a nuclear weapon.