LOYAL AG said:sanangelo said:LOYAL AG said:sanangelo said:LOYAL AG said:
Talarico isn't winning the Senate seat against either of them. It's been a while since I posted it, I think when I was certain Beto would lose in 2018 despite Cruz not trying, but there are five things Texans generally agree on:
God
Guns
BBQ
Beer
Football
Talarico is going to fail spectacularly because he's against the second one and his political beliefs will be blasphemy to people expecting him to walk the talk with regard to his expressed religious beliefs.
His positions aside the unvarnished truth is that a huge portion of Texans are terrified of what they're seeing in California and Minnesota and want nothing to do with that in Texas. That's true for a huge portion of Americans too, by the way. I posted in October 2024 that Trump would win the popular vote and the board's liberals scoffed at the notion because it had been so long since the Republicans had won the popular vote. Then it happened. It's gonna happen again in 2028 with whoever the Reps run because rational minded people are terrified of the Democrats and the direction they're headed.
Texas isn't voting for Talarico or anyone else in a statewide election. Notice the predictions of Texas turning blue have basically stopped. Why? Because Texas has gotten more red. Nobody here wants what the Democrats are selling. Talarico is running to get rich of off California liberals willing to fund his loss. It's a scam. Just like Beto.
Collin County is turning blue. No one owns a gun anymore in Plano. The Energy Corridor and Katy are an immigration dump for HB1 visa holders where a vegan Indian cuisine restaurant thrives, not Nonmacher's BBQ. He's long dead.
Talarico is the Antichrist but his pseudo religion sounds soothing to whatever middle-aged white females remain in the suburbs and exurbs. These women see the ICE roundups and feel guilty. Jesus Talarico is there to offer them forgiveness if they'd just vote for him.
Cruz defeated Beto with a last-minute tour through the Magnificent 7 voting areas that are not yet purple Wichita Falls, Abilene, San Angelo, Odessa, Midland, Lubbock, and Amarillo. He had to win these areas by big numbers to overcome the middle-aged white female vote along with the cheating in Harris, Bexar, Dallas, Travis, and Hays counties. Places like Richmond or Georgetown were no longer red.
I don't believe Paxton polls as well as Cruz in the Mag 7 cities. They know he's a crook. But the fragment that remains in Collin County wants Paxton so here we go.... Talarico will defeat Paxton. Texas will be on the way to turning blue.
That reads like wishcasting more than a prediction. The last decade of results in Texas show a state turning more red, not blue. Your advice to Beto regarding the weird obsession with transgender ideology was good, unfortunately for him and now Talarico you can't distance yourself from that stuff when you need California money to fund your Texas campaign.
Your prediction that Talarico defeats Paxton is largely based on the idea that Paxton is a more polarizing figure than Cornyn which I'm more than willing to believe. What you don't seem to understand is that Talarico will be easily attached to the hard core socialists that are rapidly taking over the Democrat Party, ie AOC and Mamdani. That's what I mean when I say Texans are looking at blue states and want nothing to do with what they're seeing. The Democrat platform is an unmitigated disaster economically and that doesn't even get into the racial Marxism or gender Marxism.
Texas and Talarico aside I think the Democrats are headed in a very bad direction as a party. They must find a way to reign in their radicals or they're headed towards a lengthy run of lost elections. They lost badly in 2024 and instead of looking in the mirror they doubled down on "muh racism" and "muh misogyny". Until they figure out we aren't a hard core socialist nation they're going to lose. People are fleeing blue states in increasing numbers and that's going to show in a big way in the 2030 census. There's a reason they are so pro-illegal immigration and it's not compassion but rather numbers. California is hemorrhaging citizens and backfilling them with illegals which is why they only lost one House seat in 2020. That party is lost right now.
Not wishcasting. I have watched Talarico for 2 years now and recognize he is dangerous, particularly with the 'family values' female voters. He is almost Antichrist dangerous and I don't want him to win ... at all!
I agree with most of your analysis of the Democrat party's problem with the AOC radicals. But in Texas, we have a problem with MAGA radicals, too, who have taken over the Texas GOP and bankrupted it. What offers hope is the MAGA radicals aren't obsessed with transing your children.
Paxton offers Talarico an wide opening to exploit with Talarico's Biblical heresy commentary. Add in a little "ICE is gonna get your nice neighbors" BS and the white women are exiting the Texas GOP for Talarico. Paxton has so much baggage and, in comparison, especially makes Talarico appear to be a nice young man to vote for. Let's hope the San Francisco donors corrupt Talarico as bad as they did Beto and the women see that. Yet if Talarico can maintain his clean-cut image and the R nominee is Paxton, Talarico is going to be the next US senator from Texas.
That brought a significant amount of clarity to this conversation so thank you for that. I think the left is obsessed with turning Texas blue I just don't think there's enough AWFL's in Texas to do it. Too many of us make a living off the land and energy for the left's energy plans to ever make sense here. I'm sure he's a flaming lib but Billy Bob Thornton's rant on Landman about how toxic wind energy is was spot on. We use windmills to power oil rigs in Texas. Yes we use it to power parts of the grid but you have to know that frustrates the hard core renewable types.
I don't think they can help but corrupt Talarico with their gender ideology stuff. Right know the left seems very firm on their need for ideological purity and they'll require that for Talarico to got their cash. They've become extremely intolerant of competing ideas which is proven by how little disagreement there is in that party. Other than the hard core socialists vs the old guard they're lockstep in agreement in everything and in reality the old guard has changed significantly in the past decade just to keep the grift going.
I may be wrong but I think once we get to a general and Texans start hearing about how much California and New York money Talarico has it's going to be Beto 2.0 in terms of the issues but with Paxton working to win vs Cruz assuming he couldn't lose. Going to be an interesting election for sure.
We can agree that we both hold out hope that the California and New York progressive donors turn Talarico into a pro-trans windmill-loving abortion advocate. Odds are at 50-50 because if they recall what they did to Beto those donors may bow to the strategy of hiding their true intentions. Doing so will convince many of on-the-fence Republicans to vote for Talarico.
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