Did you not check to see that your evidence doesn't support your prediction?

Let's don't forget that Talarico is an ordained PCUSA minister. And their beliefs are considered heresy by other Presbyterians.

Paxton up 1.5% on average polling data and you are predicting Talarico victory???

LOL.

Journalism at its finest.

He's Beto v2.0, without the reboot.

Talarico isn't winning the Senate seat against either of them. It's been a while since I posted it, I think when I was certain Beto would lose in 2018 despite Cruz not trying, but there are five things Texans generally agree on:

God
Guns
BBQ
Beer
Football

Talarico is going to fail spectacularly because he's against the second one and his political beliefs will be blasphemy to people expecting him to walk the talk with regard to his expressed religious beliefs.

His positions aside the unvarnished truth is that a huge portion of Texans are terrified of what they're seeing in California and Minnesota and want nothing to do with that in Texas. That's true for a huge portion of Americans too, by the way. I posted in October 2024 that Trump would win the popular vote and the board's liberals scoffed at the notion because it had been so long since the Republicans had won the popular vote. Then it happened. It's gonna happen again in 2028 with whoever the Reps run because rational minded people are terrified of the Democrats and the direction they're headed.

Texas isn't voting for Talarico or anyone else in a statewide election. Notice the predictions of Texas turning blue have basically stopped. Why? Because Texas has gotten more red. Nobody here wants what the Democrats are selling. Talarico is running to get rich of off California liberals willing to fund his loss. It's a scam. Just like Beto.

I suspect there is plenty of opposition research that will explode on Talarico months before the election.

Man I thought Jazzy would be doing better in her own dip**** party.

LOYAL AG said:

---

Talarico isn't winning the Senate seat against either of them. It's been a while since I posted it, I think when I was certain Beto would lose in 2018 despite Cruz not trying, but there are five things Texans generally agree on:

God
Guns
BBQ
Beer
Football

Talarico is going to fail spectacularly because he's against the second one and his political beliefs will be blasphemy to people expecting him to walk the talk with regard to his expressed religious beliefs.

His positions aside the unvarnished truth is that a huge portion of Texans are terrified of what they're seeing in California and Minnesota and want nothing to do with that in Texas. That's true for a huge portion of Americans too, by the way. I posted in October 2024 that Trump would win the popular vote and the board's liberals scoffed at the notion because it had been so long since the Republicans had won the popular vote. Then it happened. It's gonna happen again in 2028 with whoever the Reps run because rational minded people are terrified of the Democrats and the direction they're headed.

Texas isn't voting for Talarico or anyone else in a statewide election. Notice the predictions of Texas turning blue have basically stopped. Why? Because Texas has gotten more red. Nobody here wants what the Democrats are selling. Talarico is running to get rich of off California liberals willing to fund his loss. It's a scam. Just like Beto.

---

This is all true but the media will make him out to be the second coming.

ts5641 said:

---

This is all true but the media / left's propaganda wing will make him out to be the second coming.

---

ts5641 said:

---

LOYAL AG said:

---

Talarico isn't winning the Senate seat against either of them. It's been a while since I posted it, I think when I was certain Beto would lose in 2018 despite Cruz not trying, but there are five things Texans generally agree on:

God
Guns
BBQ
Beer
Football

Talarico is going to fail spectacularly because he's against the second one and his political beliefs will be blasphemy to people expecting him to walk the talk with regard to his expressed religious beliefs.

His positions aside the unvarnished truth is that a huge portion of Texans are terrified of what they're seeing in California and Minnesota and want nothing to do with that in Texas. That's true for a huge portion of Americans too, by the way. I posted in October 2024 that Trump would win the popular vote and the board's liberals scoffed at the notion because it had been so long since the Republicans had won the popular vote. Then it happened. It's gonna happen again in 2028 with whoever the Reps run because rational minded people are terrified of the Democrats and the direction they're headed.

Texas isn't voting for Talarico or anyone else in a statewide election. Notice the predictions of Texas turning blue have basically stopped. Why? Because Texas has gotten more red. Nobody here wants what the Democrats are selling. Talarico is running to get rich of off California liberals willing to fund his loss. It's a scam. Just like Beto.

---

This is all true but the media will make him out to be the second coming.

---

It won't matter in Texas. The right is skeptical of the media because they should be. The more the media promoted Harris in 2024 the better Trump did. They'll do their best to make it happen but it'll fail spectacularly.

Robert Francis O'Rourke was a much slicker package they tried to sell, and failed. I'm so old I remember the painful musical videos made about how in love with 'Beto' women were.

With the deportations and recent arrivals voting more red than natives, I just don't see how this clown will have a shot.

Personally, I still plan to vote for Hunt in the primary, but if it looks like Paxton has the best shot at knocking off Cornyn, will pull that lever. I'm convinced the former would be the biggest possible upgrade vs. the incumbent Muslim apologist.

Congressman Wesley Hunt, who is running for U.S. Senate in Texas, had this to say about Sharia law:

“I’ve lived in Saudi Arabia for two years.

I’ve deployed to Iraq. I have seen firsthand what it looks like to live in countries governed under systems like Sharia law.

Let me be… pic.twitter.com/aABXxxbWXt

— Mike Netter (@nettermike) December 31, 2025

LOYAL AG said:

---

Talarico isn't winning the Senate seat against either of them. It's been a while since I posted it, I think when I was certain Beto would lose in 2018 despite Cruz not trying, but there are five things Texans generally agree on:

God
Guns
BBQ
Beer
Football

Talarico is going to fail spectacularly because he's against the second one and his political beliefs will be blasphemy to people expecting him to walk the talk with regard to his expressed religious beliefs.

His positions aside the unvarnished truth is that a huge portion of Texans are terrified of what they're seeing in California and Minnesota and want nothing to do with that in Texas. That's true for a huge portion of Americans too, by the way. I posted in October 2024 that Trump would win the popular vote and the board's liberals scoffed at the notion because it had been so long since the Republicans had won the popular vote. Then it happened. It's gonna happen again in 2028 with whoever the Reps run because rational minded people are terrified of the Democrats and the direction they're headed.

Texas isn't voting for Talarico or anyone else in a statewide election. Notice the predictions of Texas turning blue have basically stopped. Why? Because Texas has gotten more red. Nobody here wants what the Democrats are selling. Talarico is running to get rich of off California liberals willing to fund his loss. It's a scam. Just like Beto.

---

Collin County is turning blue. No one owns a gun anymore in Plano. The Energy Corridor and Katy are an immigration dump for HB1 visa holders where a vegan Indian cuisine restaurant thrives, not Nonmacher's BBQ. He's long dead.

Talarico is the Antichrist but his pseudo religion sounds soothing to whatever middle-aged white females remain in the suburbs and exurbs. These women see the ICE roundups and feel guilty. Jesus Talarico is there to offer them forgiveness if they'd just vote for him.

Cruz defeated Beto with a last-minute tour through the Magnificent 7 voting areas that are not yet purple Wichita Falls, Abilene, San Angelo, Odessa, Midland, Lubbock, and Amarillo. He had to win these areas by big numbers to overcome the middle-aged white female vote along with the cheating in Harris, Bexar, Dallas, Travis, and Hays counties. Places like Richmond or Georgetown were no longer red.

I don't believe Paxton polls as well as Cruz in the Mag 7 cities. They know he's a crook. But the fragment that remains in Collin County wants Paxton so here we go.... Talarico will defeat Paxton. Texas will be on the way to turning blue.

bobbranco said:

---

Paxton up 1.5% on average polling data and you are predicting Talarico victory???

LOL.

Journalism at its finest.

---

Latest RCP poll has Paxton tied with Talarico. This is not good if you're a Republican wanting to defend your majority. Beto was several points down at this point in 2018 driving around in a Toyota Tundra to all 254 counties. Talarico has the machine behind him already with very successful and widely watched podcast appearances (like this one with 1.1M views with Rogan). He's tied. He doesn't need a Tundra or 254 county tour.

bobbranco said:

---

I suspect there is plenty of opposition research that will explode on Talarico months before the election.

---

Yes I'm hearing he's got a mistress, but she's a lot hotter than Paxton's mistress. I haven't heard anything about Talarico illegally retaliating against his direct reports. So Paxton should have this thing locked up.

nortex97 said:

---

That's not a prediction, it's just what you'd love to see happen. There's no supporting evidence that he is a strong candidate in the general at all, just that Jasmine is flaming out earlier than expected.

He's ultimately still just another progressive (aka a communist), trying to dupe Texans into believing he is something else, ahem, a 'moderate.' That won't float, and it would cost a fortune in major media markets to even try to convince enough voters otherwise.

Beto and Allred each raised something close to $80 million and still fell short by at least 3 points with similarly dishonest campaigns. They had a lot more enthusiasm/delusion on their side too. Unfortunately, I don't think Talerico is going to be as successful in parting the LA/NYC elites with piles of cash to burn in a futile general election Texas campaign.

---

First article linked in your response was from Spectrum News. The writer interviewed som Democrat consultant named Ed Espinoza in Austin and the obligatory interview with a leftist university professor, this particular one is from SMU. The money quote of that article is at the end, where my warning to Republicans in Texas is echoed well (emphasis mine):

Quote:

---

"He is a progressive Democrat who is moderate in tone. And that's something that I think can be very effective in the state," said [ATX leftist media consultant Ed] Espinoza.

One of Talarico's biggest challenges will be raising the money to compete against well-funded candidates in the primary and potentially in the general election.

"It's hard to make a jump from the state legislature directly into the U.S. Senate, right? That would be a pretty dramatic leap. So there are some factors that are cutting against him, but he's got seemingly, according to the polling, at least a reasonable chance of making a viable go," said Wilson.

Democrats have not won a statewide election in Texas since 1994. (source)

---

In the summer of 2018, I interviewed Beto. He was struggling with fundraising and only had that Tundra to drive around from town to town. At that time, Beto said that the only way he wins is to attract Republican voters to cross over. I told him to stay away from the creepy Democrat sexual messages like those about the transexuals, the gays, and abortion. Beto then propped himself up on a chair inside Fuentes Downtown Cafe in San Angelo and lambasted Trump 1.0 not once, but four times, for kicking the transexuals out of the military. After the speech he asked me how he did? I said great, but no one wants to hear about the creepy sexual stuff. Later in 2018, once Beto connected with his San Francisco donors, he doubled-down on the creepy sexual stuff but still was extremely close in knocking off Ted Cruz.

Talarico knows how to couch that creepy sexual stuff into Biblical passages and convince you that Jesus forgives transsexuals and you should as well but voting for Talarico. Then someone else on the D side (or the leftist media in Austin) will follow up with a bunch of Paxton oppo research about Paxton's creepy sex life...

txwxman said:

---

bobbranco said:

---

I suspect there is plenty of opposition research that will explode on Talarico months before the election.

---

Yes I'm hearing he's got a mistress, but she's a lot hotter than Paxton's mistress. I haven't heard anything about Talarico illegally retaliating against his direct reports. So Paxton should have this thing locked up.

---

Yes. This is about the best he could pull.

Logos Stick said:

---

The blacks have aborted themselves into irrelevancy as far as voting power.

---

I see what you did there

sanangelo said:

---

LOYAL AG said:

---

Talarico isn't winning the Senate seat against either of them. It's been a while since I posted it, I think when I was certain Beto would lose in 2018 despite Cruz not trying, but there are five things Texans generally agree on:

God
Guns
BBQ
Beer
Football

Talarico is going to fail spectacularly because he's against the second one and his political beliefs will be blasphemy to people expecting him to walk the talk with regard to his expressed religious beliefs.

His positions aside the unvarnished truth is that a huge portion of Texans are terrified of what they're seeing in California and Minnesota and want nothing to do with that in Texas. That's true for a huge portion of Americans too, by the way. I posted in October 2024 that Trump would win the popular vote and the board's liberals scoffed at the notion because it had been so long since the Republicans had won the popular vote. Then it happened. It's gonna happen again in 2028 with whoever the Reps run because rational minded people are terrified of the Democrats and the direction they're headed.

Texas isn't voting for Talarico or anyone else in a statewide election. Notice the predictions of Texas turning blue have basically stopped. Why? Because Texas has gotten more red. Nobody here wants what the Democrats are selling. Talarico is running to get rich of off California liberals willing to fund his loss. It's a scam. Just like Beto.

---

Collin County is turning blue. No one owns a gun anymore in Plano. The Energy Corridor and Katy are an immigration dump for HB1 visa holders where a vegan Indian cuisine restaurant thrives, not Nonmacher's BBQ. He's long dead.

Talarico is the Antichrist but his pseudo religion sounds soothing to whatever middle-aged white females remain in the suburbs and exurbs. These women see the ICE roundups and feel guilty. Jesus Talarico is there to offer them forgiveness if they'd just vote for him.

Cruz defeated Beto with a last-minute tour through the Magnificent 7 voting areas that are not yet purple Wichita Falls, Abilene, San Angelo, Odessa, Midland, Lubbock, and Amarillo. He had to win these areas by big numbers to overcome the middle-aged white female vote along with the cheating in Harris, Bexar, Dallas, Travis, and Hays counties. Places like Richmond or Georgetown were no longer red.

I don't believe Paxton polls as well as Cruz in the Mag 7 cities. They know he's a crook. But the fragment that remains in Collin County wants Paxton so here we go.... Talarico will defeat Paxton. Texas will be on the way to turning blue.

---

That reads like wishcasting more than a prediction. The last decade of results in Texas show a state turning more red, not blue. Your advice to Beto regarding the weird obsession with transgender ideology was good, unfortunately for him and now Talarico you can't distance yourself from that stuff when you need California money to fund your Texas campaign.

Your prediction that Talarico defeats Paxton is largely based on the idea that Paxton is a more polarizing figure than Cornyn which I'm more than willing to believe. What you don't seem to understand is that Talarico will be easily attached to the hard core socialists that are rapidly taking over the Democrat Party, ie AOC and Mamdani. That's what I mean when I say Texans are looking at blue states and want nothing to do with what they're seeing. The Democrat platform is an unmitigated disaster economically and that doesn't even get into the racial Marxism or gender Marxism.

Texas and Talarico aside I think the Democrats are headed in a very bad direction as a party. They must find a way to reign in their radicals or they're headed towards a lengthy run of lost elections. They lost badly in 2024 and instead of looking in the mirror they doubled down on "muh racism" and "muh misogyny". Until they figure out we aren't a hard core socialist nation they're going to lose. People are fleeing blue states in increasing numbers and that's going to show in a big way in the 2030 census. There's a reason they are so pro-illegal immigration and it's not compassion but rather numbers. California is hemorrhaging citizens and backfilling them with illegals which is why they only lost one House seat in 2020. That party is lost right now.

My guess is that the Andy Bashear, Josh Shapiro, and Elisa Slotkin wing of the Democratic party will be squaring off against Vance or DeSantis in 2028. If it's the AOC wing, you're absolutely right.

Malibu said:

---

My guess is that the Andy Bashear, Josh Shapiro, and Elisa Slotkin wing of the Democratic party will be squaring off against Vance or DeSantis in 2028. If it's the AOC wing, you're absolutely right.

---

Tend to agree on 2028 depending on which wing of the Democrats takes the lead. The AOC wing is so loud but right now we don't really know how much power they've accumulated. It's not a good sign that we're even worried about whether hard core socialists are poised to take control of one of the major parties.

In the long run, an AOC / Mamdani takeover of the DNC and 42-8 electoral college blowout might be the best thing to happen to America.

Psycho Bunny said:

---

Another beta white male.

---

Has Talarico come out of the closet yet?

Every election the same posters show up talking about how "reasonable" whatever dem candidate is and claim that Texas will turn blue unless republicans vote for some useless moderate in the primary.

TAMUallen said:

---

Logos Stick said:

---

The blacks have aborted themselves into irrelevancy as far as voting power.

---

Just as the white liberals intended. So they bring another group.

---

One good thing is more black folks are getting wise to the democrats. Use to be 85-90%+ of black folk voting dem. That's why it's always about race and hating Trump from the legacy media. Indeed, they have to recruit another voting base. This one filled with foreigners whom many are here illegally. The reward? "We will ignore your crimes, bestow with public assistance to sustain you and set up some fraud for you to spread around your community."

I bet the vast majority of our national debt was just fraud and waste to run the Uni-party Swamp Machine. Effers fighting back threatening war on top of the recent violence and assassinations.

Malibu said:

---

In the long run, an AOC / Mamdani takeover of the DNC and 42-8 electoral college blowout might be the best thing to happen to America.

---

You're probably right.

Mas89 said:

---

Psycho Bunny said:

---

Another beta white male.

---

Has Talarico come out of the closet yet?

---

No.

He's too busy redecorating it.

He is a furry.

LOYAL AG said:

---

sanangelo said:

---

LOYAL AG said:

---

Talarico isn't winning the Senate seat against either of them. It's been a while since I posted it, I think when I was certain Beto would lose in 2018 despite Cruz not trying, but there are five things Texans generally agree on:

God
Guns
BBQ
Beer
Football

Talarico is going to fail spectacularly because he's against the second one and his political beliefs will be blasphemy to people expecting him to walk the talk with regard to his expressed religious beliefs.

His positions aside the unvarnished truth is that a huge portion of Texans are terrified of what they're seeing in California and Minnesota and want nothing to do with that in Texas. That's true for a huge portion of Americans too, by the way. I posted in October 2024 that Trump would win the popular vote and the board's liberals scoffed at the notion because it had been so long since the Republicans had won the popular vote. Then it happened. It's gonna happen again in 2028 with whoever the Reps run because rational minded people are terrified of the Democrats and the direction they're headed.

Texas isn't voting for Talarico or anyone else in a statewide election. Notice the predictions of Texas turning blue have basically stopped. Why? Because Texas has gotten more red. Nobody here wants what the Democrats are selling. Talarico is running to get rich of off California liberals willing to fund his loss. It's a scam. Just like Beto.

---

Collin County is turning blue. No one owns a gun anymore in Plano. The Energy Corridor and Katy are an immigration dump for HB1 visa holders where a vegan Indian cuisine restaurant thrives, not Nonmacher's BBQ. He's long dead.

Talarico is the Antichrist but his pseudo religion sounds soothing to whatever middle-aged white females remain in the suburbs and exurbs. These women see the ICE roundups and feel guilty. Jesus Talarico is there to offer them forgiveness if they'd just vote for him.

Cruz defeated Beto with a last-minute tour through the Magnificent 7 voting areas that are not yet purple Wichita Falls, Abilene, San Angelo, Odessa, Midland, Lubbock, and Amarillo. He had to win these areas by big numbers to overcome the middle-aged white female vote along with the cheating in Harris, Bexar, Dallas, Travis, and Hays counties. Places like Richmond or Georgetown were no longer red.

I don't believe Paxton polls as well as Cruz in the Mag 7 cities. They know he's a crook. But the fragment that remains in Collin County wants Paxton so here we go.... Talarico will defeat Paxton. Texas will be on the way to turning blue.

---

That reads like wishcasting more than a prediction. The last decade of results in Texas show a state turning more red, not blue. Your advice to Beto regarding the weird obsession with transgender ideology was good, unfortunately for him and now Talarico you can't distance yourself from that stuff when you need California money to fund your Texas campaign.

Your prediction that Talarico defeats Paxton is largely based on the idea that Paxton is a more polarizing figure than Cornyn which I'm more than willing to believe. What you don't seem to understand is that Talarico will be easily attached to the hard core socialists that are rapidly taking over the Democrat Party, ie AOC and Mamdani. That's what I mean when I say Texans are looking at blue states and want nothing to do with what they're seeing. The Democrat platform is an unmitigated disaster economically and that doesn't even get into the racial Marxism or gender Marxism.

Texas and Talarico aside I think the Democrats are headed in a very bad direction as a party. They must find a way to reign in their radicals or they're headed towards a lengthy run of lost elections. They lost badly in 2024 and instead of looking in the mirror they doubled down on "muh racism" and "muh misogyny". Until they figure out we aren't a hard core socialist nation they're going to lose. People are fleeing blue states in increasing numbers and that's going to show in a big way in the 2030 census. There's a reason they are so pro-illegal immigration and it's not compassion but rather numbers. California is hemorrhaging citizens and backfilling them with illegals which is why they only lost one House seat in 2020. That party is lost right now.

---

Not wishcasting. I have watched Talarico for 2 years now and recognize he is dangerous, particularly with the 'family values' female voters. He is almost Antichrist dangerous and I don't want him to win ... at all!

I agree with most of your analysis of the Democrat party's problem with the AOC radicals. But in Texas, we have a problem with MAGA radicals, too, who have taken over the Texas GOP and bankrupted it. What offers hope is the MAGA radicals aren't obsessed with transing your children.

Paxton offers Talarico an wide opening to exploit with Talarico's Biblical heresy commentary. Add in a little "ICE is gonna get your nice neighbors" BS and the white women are exiting the Texas GOP for Talarico. Paxton has so much baggage and, in comparison, especially makes Talarico appear to be a nice young man to vote for. Let's hope the San Francisco donors corrupt Talarico as bad as they did Beto and the women see that. Yet if Talarico can maintain his clean-cut image and the R nominee is Paxton, Talarico is going to be the next US senator from Texas.

LOYAL AG said:

---

Talarico isn't winning the Senate seat against either of them. It's been a while since I posted it, I think when I was certain Beto would lose in 2018 despite Cruz not trying, but there are five things Texans generally agree on:


BBQ

---

Given Cornyn's Brisket Abomination
Not sure he can run on that

txwxman said:

---

bobbranco said:

---

I suspect there is plenty of opposition research that will explode on Talarico months before the election.

---

Yes I'm hearing he's got a mistress, but she's a lot hotter than Paxton's mistress. I haven't heard anything about Talarico illegally retaliating against his direct reports. So Paxton should have this thing locked up.

---

It's a deep red state. Democrats can't win here

Mas89 said:

---

Psycho Bunny said:

---

Another beta white male.

---

Has Talarico come out of the closet yet?

---

Thought he was already out.

I don't think he's 'out' but he certainly doesn't hide it much. When the leftist Texas Tribune and various militant gay media outlets have fawning pieces about his 'progressive' religious beliefs etc, it's pretty obvious.

Add, Trump won the RGV in 2024, and I don't think Hispanics will vote en mass to try to bring Minnesota style leftist politicians to Texas offices state-wide. That trend is definitely shifting in the GOP's favor, and while Paxton/Hunt won't win San Antonio proper, it's just another nail in the democrat's electoral coffin here.

Don't Minnesota my Texas!

sanangelo said:

---

LOYAL AG said:

---

sanangelo said:

---

LOYAL AG said:

---

Talarico isn't winning the Senate seat against either of them. It's been a while since I posted it, I think when I was certain Beto would lose in 2018 despite Cruz not trying, but there are five things Texans generally agree on:

God
Guns
BBQ
Beer
Football

Talarico is going to fail spectacularly because he's against the second one and his political beliefs will be blasphemy to people expecting him to walk the talk with regard to his expressed religious beliefs.

His positions aside the unvarnished truth is that a huge portion of Texans are terrified of what they're seeing in California and Minnesota and want nothing to do with that in Texas. That's true for a huge portion of Americans too, by the way. I posted in October 2024 that Trump would win the popular vote and the board's liberals scoffed at the notion because it had been so long since the Republicans had won the popular vote. Then it happened. It's gonna happen again in 2028 with whoever the Reps run because rational minded people are terrified of the Democrats and the direction they're headed.

Texas isn't voting for Talarico or anyone else in a statewide election. Notice the predictions of Texas turning blue have basically stopped. Why? Because Texas has gotten more red. Nobody here wants what the Democrats are selling. Talarico is running to get rich of off California liberals willing to fund his loss. It's a scam. Just like Beto.

---

Collin County is turning blue. No one owns a gun anymore in Plano. The Energy Corridor and Katy are an immigration dump for HB1 visa holders where a vegan Indian cuisine restaurant thrives, not Nonmacher's BBQ. He's long dead.

Talarico is the Antichrist but his pseudo religion sounds soothing to whatever middle-aged white females remain in the suburbs and exurbs. These women see the ICE roundups and feel guilty. Jesus Talarico is there to offer them forgiveness if they'd just vote for him.

Cruz defeated Beto with a last-minute tour through the Magnificent 7 voting areas that are not yet purple Wichita Falls, Abilene, San Angelo, Odessa, Midland, Lubbock, and Amarillo. He had to win these areas by big numbers to overcome the middle-aged white female vote along with the cheating in Harris, Bexar, Dallas, Travis, and Hays counties. Places like Richmond or Georgetown were no longer red.

I don't believe Paxton polls as well as Cruz in the Mag 7 cities. They know he's a crook. But the fragment that remains in Collin County wants Paxton so here we go.... Talarico will defeat Paxton. Texas will be on the way to turning blue.

---

That reads like wishcasting more than a prediction. The last decade of results in Texas show a state turning more red, not blue. Your advice to Beto regarding the weird obsession with transgender ideology was good, unfortunately for him and now Talarico you can't distance yourself from that stuff when you need California money to fund your Texas campaign.

Your prediction that Talarico defeats Paxton is largely based on the idea that Paxton is a more polarizing figure than Cornyn which I'm more than willing to believe. What you don't seem to understand is that Talarico will be easily attached to the hard core socialists that are rapidly taking over the Democrat Party, ie AOC and Mamdani. That's what I mean when I say Texans are looking at blue states and want nothing to do with what they're seeing. The Democrat platform is an unmitigated disaster economically and that doesn't even get into the racial Marxism or gender Marxism.

Texas and Talarico aside I think the Democrats are headed in a very bad direction as a party. They must find a way to reign in their radicals or they're headed towards a lengthy run of lost elections. They lost badly in 2024 and instead of looking in the mirror they doubled down on "muh racism" and "muh misogyny". Until they figure out we aren't a hard core socialist nation they're going to lose. People are fleeing blue states in increasing numbers and that's going to show in a big way in the 2030 census. There's a reason they are so pro-illegal immigration and it's not compassion but rather numbers. California is hemorrhaging citizens and backfilling them with illegals which is why they only lost one House seat in 2020. That party is lost right now.

---

Not wishcasting. I have watched Talarico for 2 years now and recognize he is dangerous, particularly with the 'family values' female voters. He is almost Antichrist dangerous and I don't want him to win ... at all!

I agree with most of your analysis of the Democrat party's problem with the AOC radicals. But in Texas, we have a problem with MAGA radicals, too, who have taken over the Texas GOP and bankrupted it. What offers hope is the MAGA radicals aren't obsessed with transing your children.

Paxton offers Talarico an wide opening to exploit with Talarico's Biblical heresy commentary. Add in a little "ICE is gonna get your nice neighbors" BS and the white women are exiting the Texas GOP for Talarico. Paxton has so much baggage and, in comparison, especially makes Talarico appear to be a nice young man to vote for. Let's hope the San Francisco donors corrupt Talarico as bad as they did Beto and the women see that. Yet if Talarico can maintain his clean-cut image and the R nominee is Paxton, Talarico is going to be the next US senator from Texas.

---

That brought a significant amount of clarity to this conversation so thank you for that. I think the left is obsessed with turning Texas blue I just don't think there's enough AWFL's in Texas to do it. Too many of us make a living off the land and energy for the left's energy plans to ever make sense here. I'm sure he's a flaming lib but Billy Bob Thornton's rant on Landman about how toxic wind energy is was spot on. We use windmills to power oil rigs in Texas. Yes we use it to power parts of the grid but you have to know that frustrates the hard core renewable types.

I don't think they can help but corrupt Talarico with their gender ideology stuff. Right know the left seems very firm on their need for ideological purity and they'll require that for Talarico to got their cash. They've become extremely intolerant of competing ideas which is proven by how little disagreement there is in that party. Other than the hard core socialists vs the old guard they're lockstep in agreement in everything and in reality the old guard has changed significantly in the past decade just to keep the grift going.

I may be wrong but I think once we get to a general and Texans start hearing about how much California and New York money Talarico has it's going to be Beto 2.0 in terms of the issues but with Paxton working to win vs Cruz assuming he couldn't lose. Going to be an interesting election for sure.