*** OFFICIAL House Race Thread ***

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annie88
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In reply to jja79 • 9:48p, 11/8/24
AG
jja79 said:
Unless I've missed something the senate race in Arizona isn't done and it looks like the margin is narrowing. Maricopa will probably decide that. Living in Maricopa it's amazing how corrupt and inept the democrats in high positions are.


Well, I was talking about the presidential race, and I think the Senate has already been declared. Isn't it just the house that still going?
Currently a happy listless vessel and deplorable. #FDEMS TRUMP 2024.
Fight Fight Fight.
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chap
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In reply to annie88 • 9:50p, 11/8/24
AG
No
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UntoldSpirit
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In reply to annie88 • 9:52p, 11/8/24
AG
annie88 said:
jja79 said:
Unless I've missed something the senate race in Arizona isn't done and it looks like the margin is narrowing. Maricopa will probably decide that. Living in Maricopa it's amazing how corrupt and inept the democrats in high positions are.


Well, I was talking about the presidential race, and I think the Senate has already been declared. Isn't it just the house that still going?
Kari Lake still has a decent chance to win. Probably 50-50.
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jja79
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In reply to annie88 • 9:55p, 11/8/24
AG
When I checked an hour or so ago it looks like it's still undecided.
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annie88
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In reply to UntoldSpirit • 10:01p, 11/8/24
AG
OK. I hadn't checked it since this afternoon. But the Senate is showing 53 right now on this tracker, unless that's projected.

I thought it was what was declared.



Currently a happy listless vessel and deplorable. #FDEMS TRUMP 2024.
Fight Fight Fight.
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UntoldSpirit
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In reply to annie88 • 10:15p, 11/8/24
AG
As it shows, its 53-45 right now. Two Senate races are not called- Arizona and Nevada. Nevada is going to go blue, sadly. But Arizona is still up for grabs. It will take them until next week to decide it.
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Iraq2xVeteran
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10:22p, 11/8/24
AG
The House count is still 212 to 200 GOP with 23 seats remaining.

The Senate count is 53 to 45 with Arizona and Nevada to be called. Unfortunately, Democratic Nevada Senator Jack Rosen is projected to defeat Republican challenger Sam Brown, but Republican challenger Kari Lake has cut Democratic Arizona Senator Ruben Gallego's lead to 1.1% with 81.6% of the votes counted.
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TX AG 88
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10:27p, 11/8/24
AG
53+ would be very nice, but 53 is a good number. It's Murkowski/Snowe plus one-other-temporary-idiot-proof.

Gotta hold on to the House!
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AtticusMatlock
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12:18a, 11/9/24
We will not know the results of the close California races for at least a week.

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Not Coach Jimbo
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12:27a, 11/9/24
Getting a little ahead of things here,

But of the current & projected seats, are there any known hardcore RINOs?
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AtticusMatlock
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In reply to Not Coach Jimbo • 1:58a, 11/9/24
Not sure what anybody means by that term anymore.

The Republican Party used to consider people RINOs if they were liberal on social issues or were wishy-washy moderates. Now the term seems to apply to traditional Republicans or people who disagree with Trump on an issue.
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FireAg
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6:50a, 11/9/24
AG
House still looking like the GOP will save it?
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nortex97
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In reply to FireAg • 6:53a, 11/9/24
AG
We're at 216, need two more to come in (and are ahead in more than 2). 82 percent chance.
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FireAg
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In reply to nortex97 • 6:54a, 11/9/24
AG
This needs to be a GOP sweep or Trump winning is just window dressing…
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ts5641
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In reply to nortex97 • 7:14a, 11/9/24
Decision Desk went from 92.9% chance of GOP control yesterday to 81% today.
Are they going to steal the House? Right now they're projecting 220 for the GOP which is down from 224 projection a few days ago.
The fact these are taking this long tells you the cheat is in progress.
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ts5641
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In reply to AtticusMatlock • 7:15a, 11/9/24
AtticusMatlock said:
We will not know the results of the close California races for at least a week.

It's unacceptable that we allow this in the US. This should've taken 2-3 hours and been done. They've waited to see what they need to win.
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Mark Stoops
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7:20a, 11/9/24
Why are votes still being counted anywhere? Any Dems want to explain this practically?

This type of stuff should be unacceptable in any respectable first world democracy.
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fullback44
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In reply to ts5641 • 7:22a, 11/9/24
AG
ts5641 said:
Decision Desk went from 92.9% chance of GOP control yesterday to 81% today.
Are they going to steal the House? Right now they're projecting 220 for the GOP which is down from 224 projection a few days ago.
The fact these are taking this long tells you the cheat is in progress.
It's a way to start controlling Trump, it's that simple. GOP will not get the house, this is all being drawn out to ease the "they are cheating" crowd… even though we all know what's going on.
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UntoldSpirit
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In reply to Mark Stoops • 9:07a, 11/9/24
AG
Mark Stoops said:
Why are votes still being counted anywhere? Any Dems want to explain this practically?

This type of stuff should be unacceptable in any respectable first world democracy.
Because all of the blue states are voting mostly by mail. That's the fundamental problem. The ballots have to be opened and verified (signature verification), at least for the states that are willing to actually verify the ballots. It needs to be stopped somehow. We actually need a constitutional amendment.
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samurai_science
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In reply to TX AG 88 • 9:08a, 11/9/24
TX AG 88 said:
53+ would be very nice, but 53 is a good number. It's Murkowski/Snowe plus one-other-temporary-idiot-proof.

Gotta hold on to the House!
VP tie vote also
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sanangelo
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9:34a, 11/9/24
AG
These races are competitive (per USA Today):

San Angelo LIVE!
https://sanangelolive.com/
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AtticusMatlock
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11:00a, 11/9/24
Updates on competitive races:

  • AZ 2 is 87% reported. Come on AP, its over.
  • CA 22, AZ 1, CA 13, CO 8, AZ 6 with very favorable ballot drops for GOP
  • IA 1 going to recount but GOP should win
  • GOP lost some ground in some other races

    • If current trends hold, still looking at 222-213. A couple CA districts still have GOP leads but latest ballot drops had them losing ground. Likely why DDHQ model downgraded those races.
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    UntoldSpirit
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    In reply to AtticusMatlock • 11:52a, 11/9/24
    AG
    AZ 1, AZ2, CA22, and IA1 have been called by others and have it at GOP 216. AP dragging on those.
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    OregonAggie
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    In reply to AtticusMatlock • 11:57a, 11/9/24
    AG
    Just wanted to say thanks for doing this! Sure beats clicking on multiple articles!
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    AtticusMatlock
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    12:04p, 11/9/24
    CA 13, 22, and 27 are actually Dem gerrymandered districts per Cook Political Report. 13 is D+4, 22 is D+5, 27 is D+4.

    13 is currently R+3
    27 is 50/50 (just like 2022)
    Margin in 22 is R+9. Big swing.
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    MAROON
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    12:06p, 11/9/24
    AG
    Why does it take so long to count votes in these individual districts? We are not talking about lot of votes. Could easily be done in a day
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    LRB38
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    In reply to UntoldSpirit • 12:06p, 11/9/24
    S
    Who was it called by? Looked on a couple various places and I'm not seeing that.
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    Teslag
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    In reply to LRB38 • 12:08p, 11/9/24
    AG
    DDHQ
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    LRB38
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    In reply to Teslag • 12:10p, 11/9/24
    S
    Thanks!
    Didn't want to sound like I was doubting it, just wanted to be able to see it somewhere. Just like with the Ags on the field, I won't feel comfortable with a lead until it's all said and done.
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    AtticusMatlock
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    In reply to MAROON • 12:20p, 11/9/24
    MAROON said:
    Why does it take so long to count votes in these individual districts? We are not talking about lot of votes. Could easily be done in a day


    Vote by mail. They don't open them until after election day. Then they do signature verification. Then they look at the ballot and run it through the machine. All of this is inefficient. California election workers in particular are just going to take a week or two to get it done and they aren't in a hurry.
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    TheEternalOptimist
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    In reply to ts5641 • 2:04p, 11/9/24
    ts5641 said:
    Decision Desk went from 92.9% chance of GOP control yesterday to 81% today.
    Are they going to steal the House? Right now they're projecting 220 for the GOP which is down from 224 projection a few days ago.
    The fact these are taking this long tells you the cheat is in progress.
    This might be the first order of business for Trump.

    Days and Days of counting is ridiculous. It's a feature of the system designed to seep through more and more fraudulent votes.
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    aggiehawg
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    2:06p, 11/9/24
    AG
    Orange County and Riverside voting centers had to be closed early due to bomb threats yesterday afternoon.
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    RED AG 98
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    2:37p, 11/9/24
    AG
    We need National Voter ID and reform immediately. Strong rules on voting and tabulation. They are a national embarrassment right now.
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    Ag_SGT
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    In reply to Mark Stoops • 2:48p, 11/9/24
    AG
    Mark Stoops said:
    Why are votes still being counted anywhere? Any Dems want to explain this practically?

    This type of stuff should be unacceptable in any respectable first world democracy.
    It really is beyond ridiculous at this point. I was in Afghanistan in 2004 when they held their first election and even they got the votes tabulated more quickly
    "Those who would give up essential Liberty, to purchase a little temporary Safety, deserve neither Liberty nor Safety." Ben Franklin
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    jamieboy2014
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    In reply to TX AG 88 • 3:43p, 11/9/24
    AG
    TX AG 88 said:
    53+ would be very nice, but 53 is a good number. It's Murkowski/Snowe plus one-other-temporary-idiot-proof.

    Gotta hold on to the House!
    Collins, not Snowe. But, yes, you're correct. RINO proof.
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