Muh Polls

786,588 Views | 5737 Replies | Last: 5 hrs ago by aggiehawg
LMCane
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Philip J Fry • 2:40p, 10/26/24
Philip J Fry said:
Trump now with the popular vote lead. Haven't seen a republican do that in a long time.


only Bush in 2004 won the popular vote

other than that it would be 27 years ago since his father in 1988.

so one time in nearly 30 years
Reply Quote
3
nortex97
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
3:14p, 10/26/24
AG


Election Day polling/voting is the one thing I am still concerned about as I hadn't seen anything on this yet.

The 'hope' (for the communists) has been that Harris is going to do better in the rust belt because it's less diverse (code for fewer blacks proportionally vs. GA/NC) while doing better with whites vs. Biden, which is not really supported by the polling data.





Good stuff.
Reply Quote
3
SwigAg11
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
8:39p, 10/26/24
AG


And the longer video.



Edit: I did not realize this was from 10 days ago when I posted it. Sorry.
Reply Quote
2
2 edits
TAMUallen
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
3:18a, 10/27/24
AG
Reply Quote
4
nortex97
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
5:50a, 10/27/24
AG
GOP has moved ahead for the first time in months in the generic ballot:



Reply Quote
TheBonifaceOption
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
7:39a, 10/27/24
Holy money

Reply Quote
1
nortex97
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to TheBonifaceOption • 7:47a, 10/27/24
AG
ABC polls have been utter garbage, imho. Maybe they have David Muir handling them.



Reply Quote
SwigAg11
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
9:17a, 10/27/24
AG
Quinnipiac was literally the worst pollster of 2020, so don't know what to make of this WI senate poll.

Reply Quote
1
1 edit
Captn_Ag05
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
9:34a, 10/27/24
AG
Reply Quote
1
1836er
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
10:32a, 10/27/24
AG
Having maintained their Harris +2-5 polls for as long as they could it looks like we're at the stage of the race when the media/university polls herd to Rasmussen at the last minute in order to maintain the illusion of credibility.

About the only recognizable poll still show anything worse for Trump than a statistical tie in the national popular vote (which is very, very, very likely to be a Trump victory in the Electoral College) is IPSOS, and even some of the ones that use IPSOS panels are herding.
Vance in '28
Reply Quote
1
1 edit
TheBonifaceOption
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
10:32a, 10/27/24
Trump has doubled support in Cali's under 30s

Reply Quote
1
Captn_Ag05
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to TheBonifaceOption • 10:41a, 10/27/24
AG
The really under 30, this is their k-12 mock election.
Reply Quote
5
B-1 83
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
10:50a, 10/27/24
AG
What we need is the Weekly Reader poll……
Being in TexAgs jail changes a man……..no, not really
Reply Quote
6
nortex97
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to TheBonifaceOption • 1:48p, 10/27/24
AG
Not an attack at you at all, but to explain (my view that) the ABC polls being trash just wanted to provide this context/explanation:

Reply Quote
2
Prosperdick
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to nortex97 • 2:59p, 10/27/24
AG
nortex97 said:
Not an attack at you at all, but to explain (my view that) the ABC polls being trash just wanted to provide this context/explanation:

I was just about to post this...there's good ol' Ipsos but I won't share my personal experience with them because apparently that's not relevant and my posts get deleted.

I will share this though:
Reply Quote
2
1 edit
TheWoodlandsTxAg
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to nortex97 • 3:03p, 10/27/24
Baris has explained on his show on the Peoples Pundit Youtube channel that the ABC poll has become crap recently because of this.
Reply Quote
1
AtticusMatlock
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
4:30p, 10/27/24
Reply Quote
1
SwigAg11
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to AtticusMatlock • 4:31p, 10/27/24
AG
Reply Quote
1
aggiehawg
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to SwigAg11 • 4:34p, 10/27/24
AG
Appears to me that Trump is helping Kari Lake's numbers?
Reply Quote
4
SwigAg11
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to aggiehawg • 4:36p, 10/27/24
AG
aggiehawg said:
Appears to me that Trump is helping Kari Lake's numbers?

I have no idea since that poll has her 4 points down.
Reply Quote
AtticusMatlock
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to aggiehawg • 4:53p, 10/27/24
Helping make it closer, but the people of Arizona just plain don't like her. It is what it is.
Reply Quote
6
TheWoodlandsTxAg
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
7:28p, 10/27/24
Reply Quote
9
SwigAg11
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to TheWoodlandsTxAg • 7:34p, 10/27/24
AG
He called that Trump would do a rally in NM like a week ago or so.

Reply Quote
2
aezmvp
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to aggiehawg • 7:35p, 10/27/24
Turnout will be everything. If Trump wins AZ by 5 she gets in by a hair. Less... not likely imo. Under 3% for Trump she loses. I think it's 50/50 for her now but that could change based on how much ED vote is canibalized AND how good the low pro voter turnout is on ED.
Reply Quote
TAMUallen
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to TheWoodlandsTxAg • 7:36p, 10/27/24
AG
TheWoodlandsTxAg said:


I can not believe that. I'd like to but I need to not get too excited.
Reply Quote
8
Captn_Ag05
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
8:11p, 10/27/24
AG


Reply Quote
5
SwigAg11
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Captn_Ag05 • 9:04p, 10/27/24
AG
For a little more context, Insider Advantage was one of the top 4 most accurate pollsters in 2020.
Reply Quote
3
1 edit
AtticusMatlock
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
9:43p, 10/27/24
To answer the question asked about split voters in Lake v Trump, I will try to find the raw data to see difference in splits, but I strongly suspect the male vote is not going as strong with Lake.
Reply Quote
TAMUallen
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
1:46a, 10/28/24
AG




Reply Quote
1
nortex97
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
5:46a, 10/28/24
AG







This feels pretty good right now. Good morning everyone.
Reply Quote
4
Quo Vadis?
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
5:50a, 10/28/24


Sorry Dems you had your shot, the tide is coming back in
Reply Quote
9
nortex97
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
6:57a, 10/28/24
AG
Finally one showing Nebraskans waking up:
Reply Quote
4
aggiehawg
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
9:31a, 10/28/24
AG


Like I said. She has no political instincts.
Reply Quote
9
4stringAg
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
9:36a, 10/28/24
AG
At what point do the pollsters put in their final polls? A week out now from election day with a lot of early voting already in the hopper.
Reply Quote
Post removed:
by user
In reply to 4stringAg • 9:37a, 10/28/24
First Page Last Page
Page 134 of 164 ▼
 
×
subscribe Verify your student status
See Subscription Benefits
Trial only available to users who have never subscribed or participated in a previous trial.