General Election Ipsos

Trump 43% (+2)
Biden 41%

Post Assassination poll

Last poll was Tied.

Looks like there is an assassination attempt Bump.

— David D. Chapman (@davidchapman141) July 17, 2024

Post attempted assassination poll.

Barnyard96 said:

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Post attempted assassination poll.

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Will be interesting to see if it's just temporary or not.

If the national polls stay around +3% average for Trump come election day, it will be a blowout. He always over performs by 5% or so.

Which means he may win the popular vote. Something very hard to do with California's millions of illegal votes added each election

IDK why R senate candidates are polling so damn badly. If we come out of this election 51-49, some changes need to be had. That would be ridiculously pathetic

The polls have been all over the place with the candidates but most polls show +5 pts for the Dems in Penn, Ohio, Wisconsin, Michigan, Nevada, Arizona

Hell the New Mexico girl is doing better than most of those schmucks.

I mean how can it be that bad when you have Trump coattails? Especially in Ohio, wtf, Trump will win that state by 10 and Moreno is down 5?

Arizona and Nevada fall into the WTF why are these guys down when Trump is up 5+

Wisconsin has a good candidate, idk what is going on there

Michigan is tight but that fat Lib is pulling ahead by a good margin. R candidate is old fat white guy? That is the best we could do?

2024 Texas GE:

Trump 49% (+9)
Biden 40%
Kennedy 5%
Stein 2%
Oliver 0%

.@YouGovAmerica/@hobbyschooluh, 1,484 LV, 6/20-7/1https://t.co/yUhNW0AS5m

— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) July 17, 2024

2024 Texas Senate GE:

Ted Cruz (R-Inc) 47% (+3)
Colin Allred (D) 44%
Ted Brown (L) 3%

.@YouGovAmerica/@hobbyschooluh, 1,484 LV, 6/20-7/1 https://t.co/JeVedULuyr

— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) July 17, 2024

Cruz only being +3 is laughable

Captn_Ag05 said:

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2024 Texas GE:

Trump 49% (+9)
Biden 40%
Kennedy 5%
Stein 2%
Oliver 0%

.@YouGovAmerica/@hobbyschooluh, 1,484 LV, 6/20-7/1https://t.co/yUhNW0AS5m

— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) July 17, 2024

2024 Texas Senate GE:

Ted Cruz (R-Inc) 47% (+3)
Colin Allred (D) 44%
Ted Brown (L) 3%

.@YouGovAmerica/@hobbyschooluh, 1,484 LV, 6/20-7/1 https://t.co/JeVedULuyr

— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) July 17, 2024

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Bull
EFFING
****

NEW FAU POLL

Trump 44 Biden 44 among Likely Voters

in what state, you ask?

VIRGINIAhttps://t.co/OIMVe5lDmX

— Chris (@chriswithans) July 17, 2024

34 Senate seats in November. 23 currently held by socialist party in a 51-49 chamber. …and there are seemingly no tailwinds or coattails riding on Trump's polls, as GOP is only expected to flip Manchin's vacated WV seat and maybe flip Tester's seat in Montana.

Why is Lake losing to an open border commie so badly in polls if we are to believe the polls that Trump will win AZ?

Why is Cao so far behind in polls if Trump is supposedly even in VA?

Why is now red OH a sure thing for Trump again, but a toss up for Moreno in the Senate?

Why is McCormick so far behind Casey in PA if Trump has a chance to flip PA according to polls?

Even in the far gone and lost Commiefornia, why is Garvey still losing to Schiff for brains so badly in the polls? Should at least be closer.

There is no way Trump is up +9 and Cruz is only up +3. There aren't any Trump / Allred voters out there lol. If you're gonna vote for Trump, you're gonna for Cruz.

DonHenley said:

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There is no way Trump is up +9 and Cruz is only up +3. There aren't any Trump / Allred voters out there lol. If you're gonna vote for Trump, you're gonna for Cruz.

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I haven't even seen a peep out of Allred since the primaries…and I live in Houston…

I've seen some Allred commercial spots. I haven't seen anything from Cruz. He's really gonna not campaign until September again and make it way closer than it needs to be I guess.

oh no said:

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34 Senate seats in November. 23 currently held by socialist party in a 51-49 chamber. …and there are seemingly no tailwinds or coattails riding on Trump's polls, as GOP is only expected to flip Manchin's vacated WV seat and maybe flip Tester's seat in Montana.

Why is Lake losing to an open border commie so badly in polls if we are to believe the polls that Trump will win AZ?

Why is Cao so far behind in polls if Trump is supposedly even in VA?

Why is now red OH a sure thing for Trump again, but a toss up for Moreno in the Senate?

Why is McCormick so far behind Casey in PA if Trump has a chance to flip PA according to polls?

Even in the far gone and lost Commiefornia, why is Garvey still losing to Schiff for brains so badly in the polls? Should at least be closer.

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Believe it or not, a large percentage of this country cast their votes differently for federal and state elections. Many prefer to have Washington be more liberal while their state be more conservative. I'm simplifying, but a lot of people are just not straight ticket voters.

JDUB08AG said:

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oh no said:

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34 Senate seats in November. 23 currently held by socialist party in a 51-49 chamber. …and there are seemingly no tailwinds or coattails riding on Trump's polls, as GOP is only expected to flip Manchin's vacated WV seat and maybe flip Tester's seat in Montana.

Why is Lake losing to an open border commie so badly in polls if we are to believe the polls that Trump will win AZ?

Why is Cao so far behind in polls if Trump is supposedly even in VA?

Why is now red OH a sure thing for Trump again, but a toss up for Moreno in the Senate?

Why is McCormick so far behind Casey in PA if Trump has a chance to flip PA according to polls?

Even in the far gone and lost Commiefornia, why is Garvey still losing to Schiff for brains so badly in the polls? Should at least be closer.

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Believe it or not, a large percentage of this country cast their votes differently for federal and state elections. Many prefer to have Washington be more liberal while their state be more conservative. I'm simplifying, but a lot of people are just not straight ticket voters.

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someone who would vote Trump for potus but Gallego for senate makes zero sense to me.

Trump for potus but Sherrod Brown for senate?
Trump for potus but Collin Allred for senate?

oh no said:

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JDUB08AG said:

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oh no said:

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34 Senate seats in November. 23 currently held by socialist party in a 51-49 chamber. …and there are seemingly no tailwinds or coattails riding on Trump's polls, as GOP is only expected to flip Manchin's vacated WV seat and maybe flip Tester's seat in Montana.

Why is Lake losing to an open border commie so badly in polls if we are to believe the polls that Trump will win AZ?

Why is Cao so far behind in polls if Trump is supposedly even in VA?

Why is now red OH a sure thing for Trump again, but a toss up for Moreno in the Senate?

Why is McCormick so far behind Casey in PA if Trump has a chance to flip PA according to polls?

Even in the far gone and lost Commiefornia, why is Garvey still losing to Schiff for brains so badly in the polls? Should at least be closer.

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Believe it or not, a large percentage of this country cast their votes differently for federal and state elections. Many prefer to have Washington be more liberal while their state be more conservative. I'm simplifying, but a lot of people are just not straight ticket voters.

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someone who would vote Trump for potus but Gallego for senate makes zero sense to me.

Trump for potus but Sherrod Brown for senate?
Trump for potus but Collin Allred for senate?

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Not saying I agree with the logic, but its absolutely what many voters consider.

DonHenley said:

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There is no way Trump is up +9 and Cruz is only up +3. There aren't any Trump / Allred voters out there lol. If you're gonna vote for Trump, you're gonna for Cruz.

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Devil is in the details:
https://uh.edu/hobby/txtrends/2024/

Quote:

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The 2024 Texas Trends survey was fielded between June 20 and July 1, 2024 and focused on opinions about the general election and public policies. The survey was conducted in English and Spanish, with 2,257 YouGov respondents 18 years of age and older (including an oversample of Black Texans), resulting in a confidence interval of +/-2.1 for the overall survey population and +/- 2.5 for the sub-population of 1,484 likely voters. The statewide survey results will be presented in five separate reports: the November 2024 election, school choice/vouchers, housing, immigration and climate challenges.

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This is a U of H poll. Trump has gained well with the black community. Cruz has not and Allred is black.

That's the outlying factor I'd imagine.

Donald Trump vs Kamala Harris Polling by Insider Advantage

GEORGIA
🟥 Trump: 47% (+10)
🟦 Harris: 37%
🟪 Other: 7%
—
FLORIDA
🟥 Trump: 49% (+10)
🟦 Harris: 39%
🟪 Other: 7%
—
PENNSYLVANIA
🟥 Trump: 47% (+7)
🟦 Harris: 40%
🟪 Other: 8%
—
NEVADA
🟥 Trump: 50% (+10)
🟦 Harris:… pic.twitter.com/mMOzdmSuOM

— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) July 18, 2024

people thinking we are just going to steamroll Kamala are delusional.

Shapiro gives her Pennsylvania

we then have to win Georgia, Arizona which we lost last time. then take either Michigan or Wisconsin or Nevada.

you think Republicans are going to win Pennsylvania with a democrat governor from PA as their Vice President?

LMCane said:

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people thinking we are just going to steamroll Kamala are delusional.

Shapiro gives her Pennsylvania

we then have to win Georgia, Arizona which we lost last time. then take either Michigan or Wisconsin or Nevada.

you think Republicans are going to win Pennsylvania with a democrat governor from PA as their Vice President?

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You think Cackles is going to have a landslide?

Today is the day we see these polls that were taken today of yesterday, but tomorrow is also today and we need to seize today the way we have always looked at today.

techno-ag said:

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LMCane said:

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people thinking we are just going to steamroll Kamala are delusional.

Shapiro gives her Pennsylvania

we then have to win Georgia, Arizona which we lost last time. then take either Michigan or Wisconsin or Nevada.

you think Republicans are going to win Pennsylvania with a democrat governor from PA as their Vice President?

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You think Cackles is going to have a landslide?

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Cackles won't win a landslide at all

but it could come down to one state and a 272 electoral college win

Michigan has a democrat governor
Minnesota has a democrat governor
Wisconsin has a democrat governor
Pennsylvania has a democrat governor

MAGA "we will win all the rust belt!"

#New General Election Poll - Swing State's

Arizona
🔴 Trump 47% (+7)
🔵 Biden 40%

Georgia
🔴 Trump 47% (+6)
🔵 Biden 41%

Michigan
🔴 Trump 45% (+3)
🔵 Biden 42%

Nevada
🔴 Trump 46% (+5)
🔵 Biden 41%

North Carolina
🔴 Trump 48% (+7)
🔵 Biden 41%

Pennsylvania
🔴 Trump…

— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) July 18, 2024

This thing is over. Even if Harris takes over. She gets smoked in the polls too

And her VP choice won't change crap. No Governor from Pennsylvania is going to help anywhere but maybe his state and that is a maybe. All people will see is Kamala and RFK if you're a lib. Not a VP.

Honestly their best action would be letting Biden crash and restart for 2028.

LMCane said:

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techno-ag said:

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LMCane said:

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people thinking we are just going to steamroll Kamala are delusional.

Shapiro gives her Pennsylvania

we then have to win Georgia, Arizona which we lost last time. then take either Michigan or Wisconsin or Nevada.

you think Republicans are going to win Pennsylvania with a democrat governor from PA as their Vice President?

---

You think Cackles is going to have a landslide?

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Cackles won't win a landslide at all

but it could come down to one state and a 272 electoral college win

Michigan has a democrat governor
Minnesota has a democrat governor
Wisconsin has a democrat governor
Pennsylvania has a democrat governor

MAGA "we will win all the rust belt!"

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By this logic Trump wins Virginia?

LMCane said:

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techno-ag said:

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LMCane said:

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people thinking we are just going to steamroll Kamala are delusional.

Shapiro gives her Pennsylvania

we then have to win Georgia, Arizona which we lost last time. then take either Michigan or Wisconsin or Nevada.

you think Republicans are going to win Pennsylvania with a democrat governor from PA as their Vice President?

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You think Cackles is going to have a landslide?

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Cackles won't win a landslide at all

but it could come down to one state and a 272 electoral college win

Michigan has a democrat governor
Minnesota has a democrat governor
Wisconsin has a democrat governor
Pennsylvania has a democrat governor

MAGA "we will win all the rust belt!"

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lol no it wouldn't. No one cares about their VP pick and Harris is getting just as smoked in the polls.

You're funny. It's over dude. And Obama isn't coming to save the day

2023NCAggies said:

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This thing is over. Even if Harris takes over. She gets smoked in the polls too

And her VP choice won't change crap. No Governor from Pennsylvania is going to help anywhere but maybe his state and that is a maybe. All people will see is Kamala and RFK if you're a lib. Not a VP.

Honestly their best action would be letting Biden crash and restart for 2028.

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I want it to be a landslide but a large percentage of our country doesn't pay ANY attention to politics. Many people don't know that Biden has dementia. Some people only vote based on years of indoctrination at the university level. Look at the college students who just repeat stupid crap and then when they asked about it to tell you to F off answering the question.

From a popular vote perspective, Trump may still lose. This will come down to MI and WI. I think the Dems keep Virginia because of all the federal workers. Trump wins North Carolina and Georgia. He also wins AZ but I bet it's really close - thousands of people from CA have moved to AZ. He loses NV - too many weirdos.

2023NCAggies said:

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LMCane said:

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techno-ag said:

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LMCane said:

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people thinking we are just going to steamroll Kamala are delusional.

Shapiro gives her Pennsylvania

we then have to win Georgia, Arizona which we lost last time. then take either Michigan or Wisconsin or Nevada.

you think Republicans are going to win Pennsylvania with a democrat governor from PA as their Vice President?

---

You think Cackles is going to have a landslide?

---

Cackles won't win a landslide at all

but it could come down to one state and a 272 electoral college win

Michigan has a democrat governor
Minnesota has a democrat governor
Wisconsin has a democrat governor
Pennsylvania has a democrat governor

MAGA "we will win all the rust belt!"

---

lol no it wouldn't. No one cares about their VP pick and Harris is getting just as smoked in the polls.

You're funny. It's over dude. And Obama isn't coming to save the day

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Chickens. Count. Hatch. Something like that…

GenericAggie said:

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2023NCAggies said:

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This thing is over. Even if Harris takes over. She gets smoked in the polls too

And her VP choice won't change crap. No Governor from Pennsylvania is going to help anywhere but maybe his state and that is a maybe. All people will see is Kamala and RFK if you're a lib. Not a VP.

Honestly their best action would be letting Biden crash and restart for 2028.

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I want it to be a landslide but a large percentage of our country doesn't pay ANY attention to politics. Many people don't know that Biden has dementia. Some people only vote based on years of indoctrination at the university level. Look at the college students who just repeat stupid crap and then when they asked about it to tell you to F off answering the question.

From a popular vote perspective, Trump may still lose. This will come down to MI and WI. I think the Dems keep Virginia because of all the federal workers. Trump wins North Carolina and Georgia. He also wins AZ but I bet it's really close - thousands of people from CA have moved to AZ. He loses NV - too many weirdos.

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Man yall are blind.

Arizona really? Most polls are 5+ for Trump and they are getting better.

Even MSM knows this is over.

Also consider Trump out performs polls every time. So this is a landslide. Pennsylvania +3 Trump is really +7. There's proof

And you don't think people have been paying attention? You been to the grocery store and gas pump? People are paying attention. Over 100 million people have seen the debate or seen highlights. Everyone saw trump almost assassinated

Blind blind blind. This election is different. People are not happy. And you can bet your ass people are paying attention. How can you not with the wars and economy

2023NCAggies said:

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GenericAggie said:

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2023NCAggies said:

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This thing is over. Even if Harris takes over. She gets smoked in the polls too

And her VP choice won't change crap. No Governor from Pennsylvania is going to help anywhere but maybe his state and that is a maybe. All people will see is Kamala and RFK if you're a lib. Not a VP.

Honestly their best action would be letting Biden crash and restart for 2028.

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I want it to be a landslide but a large percentage of our country doesn't pay ANY attention to politics. Many people don't know that Biden has dementia. Some people only vote based on years of indoctrination at the university level. Look at the college students who just repeat stupid crap and then when they asked about it to tell you to F off answering the question.

From a popular vote perspective, Trump may still lose. This will come down to MI and WI. I think the Dems keep Virginia because of all the federal workers. Trump wins North Carolina and Georgia. He also wins AZ but I bet it's really close - thousands of people from CA have moved to AZ. He loses NV - too many weirdos.

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Man yall are blind.

Arizona really? Most polls are 5+ for Trump and they are getting better.

Even MSM knows this is over.

Also consider Trump out performs polls every time. So this is a landslide

And you don't think people have been paying attention? You been to the grocery store and gas pump? People are paying attention. Over 100 million people have seen the debate are seen highlights. Everyone saw trump almost assassinated

Blind blind blind. This election is different. People are not happy. And you can bet your ass people are paying attention. How can you not with the wars and economy

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I think effort it's all said and done. Trump wins, but it's closer than you think. Polls are never right. There's still four months to go. That's a long time

How are the polls showing for suburban housewives?

What evidence do you have that "polls are never right"?

FireAg said:

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What evidence do you have that "polls are never right"?

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Yea that is just such a blind statement he made. I don't get that at all.

LMCane said:

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techno-ag said:

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LMCane said:

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people thinking we are just going to steamroll Kamala are delusional.

Shapiro gives her Pennsylvania

we then have to win Georgia, Arizona which we lost last time. then take either Michigan or Wisconsin or Nevada.

you think Republicans are going to win Pennsylvania with a democrat governor from PA as their Vice President?

---

You think Cackles is going to have a landslide?

---

Cackles won't win a landslide at all

but it could come down to one state and a 272 electoral college win

Michigan has a democrat governor
Minnesota has a democrat governor
Wisconsin has a democrat governor
Pennsylvania has a democrat governor

MAGA "we will win all the rust belt!"

---

3 of those 4 states had Democrat governors in 2016 as well and Trump won (checks notes) 3 of those 4 states.

NEW Crystal Ball - A Glimpse into a Grim Electoral Future for Democrats if Biden Stays in and Can't Improve -- https://t.co/Q5Txt7tcz1 pic.twitter.com/dSKlLFXPZE

— Kyle Kondik (@kkondik) July 18, 2024

This remains our current Electoral College ratings map - Trump ahead but not overwhelmingly pic.twitter.com/Vv4LeKIVej

— Kyle Kondik (@kkondik) July 18, 2024

GenericAggie said:

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2023NCAggies said:

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GenericAggie said:

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2023NCAggies said:

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This thing is over. Even if Harris takes over. She gets smoked in the polls too

And her VP choice won't change crap. No Governor from Pennsylvania is going to help anywhere but maybe his state and that is a maybe. All people will see is Kamala and RFK if you're a lib. Not a VP.

Honestly their best action would be letting Biden crash and restart for 2028.

---

I want it to be a landslide but a large percentage of our country doesn't pay ANY attention to politics. Many people don't know that Biden has dementia. Some people only vote based on years of indoctrination at the university level. Look at the college students who just repeat stupid crap and then when they asked about it to tell you to F off answering the question.

From a popular vote perspective, Trump may still lose. This will come down to MI and WI. I think the Dems keep Virginia because of all the federal workers. Trump wins North Carolina and Georgia. He also wins AZ but I bet it's really close - thousands of people from CA have moved to AZ. He loses NV - too many weirdos.

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Man yall are blind.

Arizona really? Most polls are 5+ for Trump and they are getting better.

Even MSM knows this is over.

Also consider Trump out performs polls every time. So this is a landslide

And you don't think people have been paying attention? You been to the grocery store and gas pump? People are paying attention. Over 100 million people have seen the debate are seen highlights. Everyone saw trump almost assassinated

Blind blind blind. This election is different. People are not happy. And you can bet your ass people are paying attention. How can you not with the wars and economy

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I think effort it's all said and done. Trump wins, but it's closer than you think. Polls are never right. There's still four months to go. That's a long time

How are the polls showing for suburban housewives?

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You're right there is 4 months. I don't see anything changing polling wise or momentum wise for any Dem to win, minus Obama.

Cheating is still worrisome. That is really all they have left. Biden and the Dems have outspent the Rs and tried everything and the polls are still headed the wrong way. Plus they have 3 other candidates taking votes.

Rs have a huge opportunity to change the direction of this country

FireAg said:

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What evidence do you have that "polls are never right"?

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2016 presidential election. Youre kidding right?