Muh Polls

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12thMan86
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9:15a, 5/18/24
AG
The voting machines have not been fixed/corrected. I won't be surprised at all if poopy pants wins again. And then I'm moving to Belize. This place is corrupt as F!
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aggiehawg
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12:33p, 5/18/24
AG
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Waffledynamics
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12:43p, 5/18/24
AG
nm wrong thread.
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Prosperdick
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In reply to aggiehawg • 2:51p, 5/18/24
AG
aggiehawg said:
I've made this exact point numerous times on other threads and this just reinforces it...the Black community sees a man (Trump) getting railroaded by the same system that they feel has railroaded them for decades.

I think a conviction in the sham hush money will only bolster Trump's support with them.

Also, if Trump does receive 1/3 of that voting block I don't think there will be enough cheating to overcome it.
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aggiehawg
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In reply to Prosperdick • 2:53p, 5/18/24
AG
Quote:
Also, if Trump does receive 1/3 of that voting block I don't think there will be enough cheating to overcome it.
Tend to agree but one caveat on that is the specific locations in those states where blue cities outnumber the rest of the state, those urban centers like Detroit, Milwaukee, Philly and the like.
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Enviroag02
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2:57p, 5/18/24
AG
What if the cheating is enough to counter this? Could anyone realistically claim it was a fair election like even some here have for what was pretty clear cheating in 2020? How many votes would Biden have to get for 90% of voters to believe fraud had occurred?
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Prosperdick
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In reply to aggiehawg • 3:01p, 5/18/24
AG
aggiehawg said:
Quote:
Also, if Trump does receive 1/3 of that voting block I don't think there will be enough cheating to overcome it.
Tend to agree but one caveat on that is the specific locations in those states where blue cities outnumber the rest of the state, those urban centers like Detroit, Milwaukee, Philly and the like.
Yes but even with the mass mailing cheating Biden barely won in many of those swing states and I've got to think the anti-system sentiment in those urban centers are VERY high. Sure, they impeached Trump twice but I don't think that ever resonated with them but I bet these ridiculous indictments certainly do.
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aggiehawg
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In reply to Enviroag02 • 3:03p, 5/18/24
AG
Enviroag02 said:
What if the cheating is enough to counter this? Could anyone realistically claim it was a fair election like even some here have for what was pretty clear cheating in 2020? How many votes would Biden have to get for 90% of voters to believe fraud had occurred?
For me, that number would be anything much above 62-65 million nationwide.He is so unpopular, there is zero enthusiasm even coming from his campaign. Carville is going ape s*** crazy because Biden is in such a horrible electoral position. Part of that is Kamala. No one wants to see her as POTUS either but making a move to get both Biden and Kamala off of the ticket would be catastrophic for the Dems.
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Barnyard96
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3:28p, 5/18/24
AG
People like Trump.
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aggiehawg
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3:31p, 5/18/24
AG
Quote:
And perhaps nowhere are those problems more striking than in Philadelphia, the largest city in Mr. Biden's birth state and a place he visits seemingly constantly pulled back by his roots, its proximity to his current homes and an awareness that Pennsylvania delivered him the presidency four years ago and could decide his re-election bid this fall.
In interviews with nearly two dozen voters in predominantly Black neighborhoods in Philadelphia this week, as well as with elected officials and strategists, signs of softness in Mr. Biden's standing were palpable.


Just eight voters said they were committed to voting for Mr. Biden, while many others were debating staying home, or, in a few cases, supporting former President Donald J. Trump. They cited concerns about immigration, the cost of living and their sense that Mr. Biden was more focused on crises abroad than on fixing problems in their neighborhoods. And despite Mr. Biden's robust policy accomplishments, some were unfamiliar with his record.

"I don't care about what goes on overseas," said Latasha Humphrey, 36, an infrequent voter who is considering supporting Mr. Trump, if she votes at all. "I care about where I live."

Democrats have long banked on strong showings in Philadelphia and more recently, its suburbs to offset weakness in more conservative parts of this closely divided state. Their concern is not that the city's Black voters will gravitate en masse toward Mr. Trump, but that too many of them, apathetic about their choices, might simply stay home.
LINK
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aggiehawg
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4:51p, 5/18/24
AG


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AggieVictor10
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4:54p, 5/18/24
AG
Why even pay attention to polls when rally crowd sizes are a more valid indicator?
hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. good times create weak men. and weak men create hard times.

less virtue signaling, more vice signaling.

Birds aren’t real
Lol,lmao
Fjb
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aggiehawg
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In reply to AggieVictor10 • 5:16p, 5/18/24
AG
AggieVictor10 said:
Why even pay attention to polls when rally crowd sizes are a more valid indicator?
What? Trump isn't in the Bronx right now. He's in Dallas speaking to the NRA.

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AggieVictor10
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In reply to aggiehawg • 6:03p, 5/18/24
AG
aggiehawg said:
AggieVictor10 said:
Why even pay attention to polls when rally crowd sizes are a more valid indicator?
What? Trump isn't in the Bronx right now. He's in Dallas speaking to the NRA.



Thank you for the update. I was speaking in general.
hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. good times create weak men. and weak men create hard times.

less virtue signaling, more vice signaling.

Birds aren’t real
Lol,lmao
Fjb
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aggiehawg
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In reply to AggieVictor10 • 6:19p, 5/18/24
AG
When people hold rallies for him in THE BRONX and he's not even there. Black voters holding that rally, to boot.

He has announced he will hold a rally in the Bronx soon but this one wasn't it.

Do I think Trump will win NY state in 2024? Not really. Will the Dems need to expend funds to shore up their down ballot races in NY? Yes.

If Biden tries to make a campaign appearance anywhere within the states of NY or NJ, that's a sign they sense massive trouble. Even if he dispatches Bill and Hillary out as surrogates in those states, that's an even bigger sign. IMO of course.
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oh no
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In reply to AggieVictor10 • 9:54p, 5/18/24
AG
AggieVictor10 said:
Why even pay attention to polls when rally crowd sizes are a more valid indicator?
probably because record shattering, far more popular than Obama ever was, so hugely believable that you're not supposed to question it, looks like this at rallies now:



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nortex97
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7:32a, 5/19/24
AG


Echelon: Trump +3, cost of living and immigration top issues.
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SoyTanLento
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11:05a, 5/19/24
They're playing you. Lake down 13, but Trump up 5 isn't believable.

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bobbranco
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In reply to SoyTanLento • 11:17a, 5/19/24
AG
ImSoDumb said:
They're playing you. Lake down 13, but Trump up 5 isn't believable.

Not sure if serious.
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aggiehawg
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In reply to bobbranco • 4:08p, 5/19/24
AG
bobbranco said:
ImSoDumb said:
They're playing you. Lake down 13, but Trump up 5 isn't believable.

Not sure if serious.
It is believable to me. The entire McCain Machine is against Lake and donating and fundraising for her Dem opponent.

LINK
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bobbranco
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In reply to aggiehawg • 4:12p, 5/19/24
AG
aggiehawg said:
bobbranco said:
ImSoDumb said:
They're playing you. Lake down 13, but Trump up 5 isn't believable.

Not sure if serious.
It is believable to me. The entire McCain Machine is against Lake and donating and fundraising for her Dem opponent.

LINK
I agree with your assessment.
The poster making the comment, based on his posting history, probably believes Trump and Lake are trailing.
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nortex97
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In reply to bobbranco • 5:24p, 5/19/24
AG
The McCain widow is a swamp enthusiast just as much as her dead treasonous husband was.

13 percent of Arizonans, LOL…



Those 13 percent are abject morons, imho.
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nortex97
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10:41a, 5/21/24
AG


New Hampshire once was a key battleground state, maybe it will be again, thanks to Bidenflation.

Ed Kilgore, a Democrat party hack, notes Xiden might need a rust belt sweep:
Quote:
Two of the three Sun Belt states that are shaky for Biden may have been 2020 unicorns. Arizona went Republican in 16 of the last 18 presidential elections. Trump has led in 18 straight head-to-head polls in this cycle and in every single five-way poll that includes Kennedy, West, and Stein. Trump currently leads by 5.2 percent in the RCP averages in a two-way race, and by 5.6 percent in a five-way race. This is the epitome of a steady polling lead.
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2023NCAggies
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In reply to nortex97 • 3:50p, 5/21/24
nortex97 said:


New Hampshire once was a key battleground state, maybe it will be again, thanks to Bidenflation.

Ed Kilgore, a Democrat party hack, notes Xiden might need a rust belt sweep:
Quote:
Two of the three Sun Belt states that are shaky for Biden may have been 2020 unicorns. Arizona went Republican in 16 of the last 18 presidential elections. Trump has led in 18 straight head-to-head polls in this cycle and in every single five-way poll that includes Kennedy, West, and Stein. Trump currently leads by 5.2 percent in the RCP averages in a two-way race, and by 5.6 percent in a five-way race. This is the epitome of a steady polling lead.
Was coming here to post this poll.

Trump has never done well in New Hampshire for whatever reason. This poll has RFK at 15%, so he is really hurting Biden here big time

RFK is basically handing Trump Nevada and Arizona, would like to see more polling from Virginia, New Hampshire, Minnesota, Maine, New Mexico with RFK and the other third parties added.

I have a big feeling Biden is not doing very well in those states just Trump and Biden scenario, add RFK and third parties? interesting

Would also like to see minority only polling, idk why they never have tried this.

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Ciboag96
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3:54p, 5/21/24
We're going to need a bigger truck of mail-in-ballots

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techno-ag
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In reply to nortex97 • 3:59p, 5/21/24
AG
Many moons ago there was a movement to make NH solidly conservative by having as many like-minded people as possible move there.

Yeah that didn't work out.
I think that, to be very honest with you, I do believe that we should have rightly believed, but we certainly believe that certain issues are just settled.

- Kamala Harris

Vote for Trump.
He took a bullet for America.

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nortex97
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In reply to 2023NCAggies • 4:16p, 5/21/24
AG
Trump does exceptionally poorly among the most snobby "Rockefeller Republicans" of the northeast, imho, in the 'somewhat/kinda republican vote' demographic.

New Hampshire is a little unusual but no surprise he is regularly put on blast by folks like Sununu etc. that are otherwise decent for Republicans up there (essentially white EV-driving NPR listeners who still can't decide if they hate all Republicans or not). If he really winds up being competitive in New Hampshire, the election is a blow out win, imho.
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2023NCAggies
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4:19p, 5/21/24
Nikki Haley endorsing Trump will help in Wisconsin and New Hampshire, not by much but any little of bit of help counts. Get her to endorse at the RNC convention. Rs need to come together to get this ass out of the White House.

Trump needs to pick a good VP, that does not include Burgum either
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agsalaska
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In reply to 2023NCAggies • 4:26p, 5/21/24
AG
I'm pretty sure that she eventually will.
The trouble with quotes on the internet is that you never know if they are genuine. -- Abraham Lincoln.

Elko is a loser and we will be buying him out for some obscene amount of money in two years. - Agsalaska

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nortex97
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6:21a, 5/22/24
AG
Trump essentially cruising on the gambling market:



Nevada the only battleground really that looks at this point like it is going to be a 'tough pull:'



I would think the unions around Vegas would strongly want Xiden gone.
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bobbranco
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In reply to nortex97 • 7:38a, 5/22/24
AG
nortex97 said:
I would think the unions around Vegas would strongly want Xiden gone.

One of the more prominent unions in Vegas is SEIU. Those marxists and their brethren will never support Trump.

I know the Teamsters hold monthly meetings anti-Trump rallies.
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Drahknor03
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In reply to nortex97 • 7:44a, 5/22/24
AG
Main shift in NV is the conservative Californians moving to the north.
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BadMoonRisin
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9:36a, 5/22/24
AG


81M my ass.
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bobbranco
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In reply to BadMoonRisin • 9:40a, 5/22/24
AG
BadMoonRisin said:


81M my ass.
They've perfected staying at home. Then vote from home for themselves, for neighbors and dead neighbors.
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texagbeliever
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In reply to BadMoonRisin • 9:43a, 5/22/24
To be fair it probably cost $10k to sit at a chair so close.

Democrats don't speak to the people, they collect their bribes.. err i mean campaign contributions. See the recent dinner with Biden, Obama and Clinton.
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