Emphasis shift to targets in Syria, Iran's influence is taking the biggest hit. The IDF don't play games.

This thread got very quiet. Is there any active engagement happening anywhere or is this just the calm before the next shoe drops?

Good question.

American Hardwood said:

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This thread got very quiet. Is there any active engagement happening anywhere or is this just the calm before the next shoe drops?

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go to the Syria thread, lots of action there

American Hardwood said:

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This thread got very quiet. Is there any active engagement happening anywhere or is this just the calm before the next shoe drops?

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I think it is kind of like the mop up operations after a major wildfire. There is still combat going on between Israel and Hamas and Israel and Hezbollah, but the leadership of both terrorist groups has been neutralized and the majority of their major stockpiles have been destroyed. So I don't think there are "major" breaking newsworthy developments happening like there were previously. As was said above, the major news now is Israel's moves in Syria and what Iran's loss of the connection to Hezbollah via Syria will mean for the future of Lebanon and by extension, northern Israel.

agrams said:

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impressive. israel is probably one of the most well-honed militaries operating in the world right now.

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Really they have been recognized as such (by the rational world) since the '67 war. Excellent leadership, solid training and courageous soldiers.

YouBet said:

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My personal opinions aside...from a pure geopolitical standpoint Israel is in the best position they've been in decades. Probably since Six Day War. They've routed their immediate enemies inside Israel and in Lebanon. And now they've taken out Syria's ability to project kinetic attacks against them with the Jaloni saying he wants to be friends with Israel while cutting off Lebanon from Iran.

Obviously remains to be seen on what actually happens in Syria over the next several weeks but Israel leadership has to be thinking to themselves that hitting back from Oct. 7 has resulted in about the most optimal outcome they could imagine. If you can get Lebanon back to near what it used to be with Hez mostly out of the picture then you've just re-established another sane country in the ME to boot.

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You left out how Israel eliminated Iran's air defense system in it's entirety, ensuring they won't be stepping out of line for a few years.

lb3 said:

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YouBet said:

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My personal opinions aside...from a pure geopolitical standpoint Israel is in the best position they've been in decades. Probably since Six Day War. They've routed their immediate enemies inside Israel and in Lebanon. And now they've taken out Syria's ability to project kinetic attacks against them with the Jaloni saying he wants to be friends with Israel while cutting off Lebanon from Iran.

Obviously remains to be seen on what actually happens in Syria over the next several weeks but Israel leadership has to be thinking to themselves that hitting back from Oct. 7 has resulted in about the most optimal outcome they could imagine. If you can get Lebanon back to near what it used to be with Hez mostly out of the picture then you've just re-established another sane country in the ME to boot.

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You left out how Israel eliminated Iran's air defense system in it's entirety, ensuring they won't be stepping out of line for a few years.

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True.

Kinda shocking, 30 jewish citizens of Israel arrested for spying for Iran.

Analysis | Israel's arrest of almost 30 mostly Jewish citizens who spied for Iran points to Tehran's biggest effort in decades to infiltrate it.https://t.co/7MqCLsvXMP

— The Jerusalem Post (@Jerusalem_Post) December 11, 2024

Hamas managed to launch about 4 rockets apparently, toward Israel (did no damage). First time in a while I believe.

The IDF has announced new evacuation orders for parts of central Gaza (red polygon).

The areas include part of the Al-Maghazi refugee camp, and areas east of Al-Zawaida and north of Al-Masdar village. Civilians have been ordered to evacuate to Deir Al Balah city.… pic.twitter.com/VB3EnkkMvV

— AMK Mapping 🇺🇦🇳🇿 (@AMK_Mapping_) December 11, 2024

just another day in the office for the Israeli Air Force pilots..

ביממות האחרונות, מאות מטוסי קרב וכלי טיס של חיל-האוויר פגעו קשות ביכולות צבאיות מתקדמות ובנשקים האסטרטגיים ביותר בסוריה. זאת, בהתאם להיערכות מקדימה שנעשתה בצה"ל בשבועות האחרונים לאור קריסת משטר אסד, במסגרתה חיל-האוויר נערך עם תוכנית תקיפה רחבה להשמדת יכולות אלו, כדי להסיר איום… pic.twitter.com/mjkTLYO5Ft

— Israeli Air Force (@IAFsite) December 12, 2024

Strike by strike, how Hamas carried out October 7 atrocities in Israel - and how the Middle East is now on the brink of all-out war | Daily Mail Online

This interactive map and chronological facts beginning the morning of October 7th, 2023 is incredibly detailed. It's not propaganda, it's factual with supporting evidence. Imo, it will help give more detail of this conflict and region for others that are not familiar, like me. It's worth your time. You'll need more than a few minutes and use of a mouse to scroll down, but well worth your time.

American Hardwood said:

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This thread got very quiet. Is there any active engagement happening anywhere or is this just the calm before the next shoe drops?

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It only got quiet because I don't want to be the only one posting every single day.

but yes to answer your question there is a ton of things going on

with Hamas prisoner negotiations, (trump threatened hamas that they better release the hostages before he takes office)

ceasefire in Lebanon,

Israel bombing Syria with 1,800 munitions earlier this week,

and gearing up to strike Iran

How long will it take gear up for a serious move on Iran? There seems to be a window of opportunity at the moment.

Straight Talk said:

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How long will it take gear up for a serious move on Iran? There seems to be a window of opportunity at the moment.

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The Israelis could bomb them immediately, at any moment, if they wanted to. They have a multitude of strike plans drawn up, really only waiting on approval from Uncle Sam to ensure we have their back for any retaliation from Iran/Yemen/Hezbollah.

The skies are effectively completely open for them over Syria and Iran. Would most likely fly directly over Syria and skim the northern Iraqi border before entry into Iran.

But they have time because the Syrians and Iranians won't be able to rebuild their air defenses anytime soon. And the Israelis have already demonstrated a sophisticated ability to avoid some of the "most advanced" defenses in the world during their April and October strikes even if the Iranians bought some new Russian systems in the meantime.

I would be willing to bet a nice steak dinner that they strike Iran before the end of 2025, with that timeline moving left on the calendar if Iran begins a serious nuclear break out.

Noticed that Sarah Adams commented that 10/7 was chosen as the anniversary date for when W launched operation enduring freedom and authorized carpet bombing targets in Kandahar.

The entire episode of the Shawn Ryan Show blew my mind. I am going to watch it for a second time (it’s a lot to digest) but here is the significance of the 10/7 date. 🤯

Sarah Adams is a former CIA targeting officer and author of Benghazi: Know Thy Enemy. pic.twitter.com/doSzO1Z1jQ

— Insurrection Barbie (@DefiyantlyFree) December 13, 2024

Some consideration for those (not that there are many here) who see the Israeli effort vs. Iranian proxies as 'not America's problem.' More on the podcast with Shawn Ryan of course.

nortex97 said:

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Kinda shocking, 30 jewish citizens of Israel arrested for spying for Iran.

Analysis | Israel's arrest of almost 30 mostly Jewish citizens who spied for Iran points to Tehran's biggest effort in decades to infiltrate it.https://t.co/7MqCLsvXMP

— The Jerusalem Post (@Jerusalem_Post) December 11, 2024

Hamas managed to launch about 4 rockets apparently, toward Israel (did no damage). First time in a while I believe.

The IDF has announced new evacuation orders for parts of central Gaza (red polygon).

The areas include part of the Al-Maghazi refugee camp, and areas east of Al-Zawaida and north of Al-Masdar village. Civilians have been ordered to evacuate to Deir Al Balah city.… pic.twitter.com/VB3EnkkMvV

— AMK Mapping 🇺🇦🇳🇿 (@AMK_Mapping_) December 11, 2024

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Oh boy. I assume the Mossad is having some fun with those 30 spies.

IDF make something go BOOM in syria.

Big enough it tripped a 3.0 on the earthquake scale.

https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFootage/s/o22MakamLN

The link says it is at Tartus, the port city from which the Ruskies are evacuating their troops and equipment.

Hope it was a Russian ammo dump

DCPD158 said:

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Hope it was a Russian ammo dump

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I hope it was a russian ammo dump full of russians. Putin is simply going to redeploy them to the UKR front anyway.

JFABNRGR said:

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DCPD158 said:

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Hope it was a Russian ammo dump

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I hope it was a russian ammo dump full of russians. Putin is simply going to redeploy them to the UKR front anyway.

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If this stretches on, he's going to run out of bodies. Not sure how the Ukrainians keep it up but the Ruskie losses are mind boggling

What's the current Russian body count?

ValleyRatAg said:

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What's the current Russian body count?

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No one really knows, but it's definitely in the mid hundreds of thousands.

the daily "look what the Syrians had in their military arsenal that they no longer have" post

No, Israel did not use a tactical nuclear weapon when it bombed this weapons depot in Syria last night. Striking one weapons shelter using a small bomb can set off a chain reaction, causing many adjacent shelters to explode. 1/2 https://t.co/RXvPdLSBLj pic.twitter.com/2cWGBC6LU5

— Naftali Hazony (@nhazony) December 16, 2024

Syria has been FA

now they just FO

1/ Israeli strike on a large ammunition depot in #Tartus, Syria, tonight. IMIO, this is where Russia was shipping (by sea) and stockpiling munitions for transfer to Hezbollah, Iran, Syria and other proxies in the region.#Israel #Russia #Iran #Turkey #Syria #OSINT #HTS pic.twitter.com/kmRKlhxxdH

— OSINT (Uri Kikaski) 🇺🇸 🇨🇦 🇬🇧 🇺🇦 🇮🇱 🇬🇪 (@UKikaski) December 15, 2024

Thanks for all the updates. I appreciate it.

Considering the cooperation of the Iran/Russia/Syria axis, I think support for Israel is support for Ukraine and vice versa at this point.

Waiting for the shock wave videos from people standing in front of large glass windows…..patiently waiting.

wonder how long that cooked off

Russia was behind schedule in getting that ammo/weapons cache loaded onto ships, so the Israelis "helped" them with that problem.

Straight Talk said:

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How long will it take gear up for a serious move on Iran? There seems to be a window of opportunity at the moment.

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I have been praying for this for 20 years now.

if EVER there was a time to strike the Iranian nuclear facilities it is right now before Trump takes office.

it obviously seems to be that Netanyahu believes the IDF is not strong enough to do it

meaning they do not have the capability to actually eliminate the Iranian facilities at Fordow built into a mountain.

really Israel will be in a MUCH WORSE strategic situation if Iran gets a bomb- it's literally worth 10,000 casualties to save 1 million people in a nuke strike.