FireAg said:
Now, if I take the average polling data nationally, and I couple it with the DeSantis campaign layoffs, and then factor in the very public "I'm a mega donor to DeSantis who doesn't like where things are headed" statement from Bigelow, and I'm sorry, but all of the arrows appear to be pointing down for DeSantis (both versus Trump and versus Biden), at this time...
That's what the current evidence says...no feelings, no assumptions, no you-name-the-color shaded glasses...
DeSantis is simply not doing well, at this time...
I'm shocked the polls haven't changed since the last time you posted them and continue to post them saying the same thing every day. DeSantis still has a MASSIVE money advantage on Trump and his fundraising is strong. The 538 polling also includes some really terrible polls and once again it is National which is the least relevant.
I don't deny DeSantis has ground to make up but none of what is happening is surprising. Trump's legal issues are sucking up all the oxygen and have created a huge boost for him. Look on this board and it is filled with pissed off people raging about how Trump is being mistreated and how bad Biden is. Anything related to actual discussion about the candidates and positions is glossed over. Until that changes as we get closer to the primaries that is unlikely to change either. Maybe it won't and Republicans decide they would rather lose huge in November when the Dems replace out Biden and take out Trump's entire reason for his campaign. Maybe not.
Either way we are months from any of the polling meaning much at all but you can still post the same polling data 5 times a day and talk about how hopeless it is for DeSantis. Of course you also think it is irrelevant that there are many examples of people leading in national primary polls at this point and losing, even big leads like Hillary had over Obama (she was running up about 30 with Obama steadily after his announcement to run in 2015 and had a huge money advantage over Obama).
The money thing is comical though because the only thing that matters there is if Trump starts to get major fundraising. DeSantis is fine there but Trump is in deep, deep trouble. I wonder how many of the folks raging here are writing a check to pay Trump's legal bills? If he doesn't get a lot of that money he's got a real problem.
The Biden/Trump polls are also a joke because virtually all of them are in the 40s for each candidate and every poll shows that Independents hate Trump and hate him more as he gets more charges against him. Common sense tells you the same. Trump gets convicted, no matter how unjust it might be, and he loses huge and drags the GOP down with him.
BTW, I'd love to be wrong about Trump losing huge to the Democrats but every fiber of my being tells me otherwise. The fact that the Dems successfully pumped up Trump backed candidates in the primaries of '22 so they could slaughter them in the General and are clearly going by the same playbook is also almost too obvious. Trump must keep up the appearance of inevitability and every Democrat and MSM outlet is going to try to help him with that because they know he will lose.
The polls about Biden/DeSantis are also pretty garbage right now because people simply don't know DeSantis and inevitably the same thing that will kill Trump favors DeSantis. That thing being where Swing voters go. If it is DeSantis vs Biden and Biden is polling in the low 40s he is going to lose huge because votes almost always go away from the incumbent among undecideds. Trump/Biden has a dual iincumbent scenario because they are both known commodities.
Keep posting the same polls and saying the end is nigh though, you could certainly be right but if you are it will be because things didn't shift months from now not because of where they stand currently.
"The most terrifying words in the English language are: I'm from the government and I'm here to help."
Ronald Reagan
