texagbeliever said:
aggie93 said:
texagbeliever said:
Yeah I'm going to disagree there. The most important thing after Pearl Harbor wasn't laying out the reconstruction plan for Germany and Japan it was to counter punch and worry about the future when conditions allowed for it. You just want Trump to be a future grand plan guy because DeSantis will look better. So you shouldn't expect Trump to do that even if just for selfish reasons.
I personally will be shocked if Trump drops out because he runs out of money.
First off both Trump and DeSantis have plans for reforming the government and DeSantis is far more comprehensive and realistic.
That said if you don't win it doesn't matter and while you and I may recognize the importance of a government overhaul that's not a top priority for Swing voters. They care about their own future and don't think much of either party. If you don't win those votes you can have all the plans or rhetoric you want but it's all just gone anyway. You have to win. Doesn't mean you don't still hold those views but you have to have the full package and a broader message. I think you are also very unrealistic thinking Trump will suddenly pivot off of Jan 6/2020/etc as well, if nothing else all it takes is a question from the media and he will go on a rage and eat up news cycles because he has zero message discipline.
The money thing isn't necessarily about Trump just dropping out but it does mean he is going to start to fade and make hard choices. If the veneer of being this super rich and invincible titan is shattered he's cooked. Trump is a Brand guy who knows how to sell an image, if that image is seen as fake he's screwed. I'm not even saying that will happen either but it's a big red flag.
I struggle following your point to the original issue.
You said the donation was a big deal. I said it wasn't. You said no here is why. I made a point why it wasn't because these are the top issues. You countered with those aren't the issues Trump is currently running on.
Basically you have dodged addressing the point I wanted to get across, the donation thing is a non issue.
Trump runs out of money and has to pass on the torch that's great. It means he won't run third party. DeSantis will be all setup. Not relevant to the original point though. This does seem more like how wishing then likely though.
Well you shifted as well so let me restate to be clear.
The appearance of corruption or abuse of spending is always bad. It's especially bad if you are trying to rebuild trust and are running on being more honest than the other guy. I agree that the things Swing voters mainly care about are the economy, jobs, etc and actually made that point. Trump isn't running on that though, he's running on Biden being corrupt and him being mistreated. He mentions those issues in passing but they aren't the main thrust of his campaign at all. You are arguing he will pivot and I agree he will try but I don't think it will be that easy, the press certainly isn't going to cooperate and let him lay out his positive vision.
So that means he needs to get his message out. That takes money either to do a lot of big rallies (which are expensive) or running ads (which are even more expensive). I think his base may hear it but the Swing voters won't, they will just hear the other mess because that is all he focused on up to that point and he won't be able to let it go now.
In short Trump is checkmated or painted in a corner or however you want to phrase it. He's got limited options. At the same time he has some good polls and a nice lead on DeSantis at the moment. Maybe he can find some way to keep it all going. I just don't see it. Of course DeSantis could screw up or something unforseen can and will happen as it always does. It's just right now I can't see a path to victory and success for Trump that's realistic. I can see him winning the GOP nomination but that's not going to be the cakewalk he is acting like it will be.
We will see, I will admit I have been wrong before but that's the bigger picture in my opinion based on being an amateur political junkie since I was a kid in the '80s staying up watching Reagan get elected and following how campaigns and primaries operate. I understand you disagree and that's fine, you may be right as well. Fair enough?
"The most terrifying words in the English language are: I'm from the government and I'm here to help."
Ronald Reagan