Russia/Ukraine from Another Perspective (Relaunch Part Deux)

525,838 Views | 9433 Replies | Last: 1 day ago by PlaneCrashGuy
Teslag
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Quote:

War comes down to numbers. If you have "400k" soldiers total and you lose 100k in an offensive how many more do you have to defend? Is that 300k as effective to defend Ukr than if they had the 400k?

This isn't 1943. Sheer numbers of bodies are meaningless.
TheBonifaceOption
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Teslag said:

And if Putin had not sent his armies over the Ukrainian border in February of 2022 then none of that is an issue. All would have remained at peace. Thousands upon thousands of lives spared. But Putin wanted land*.









*Per Nortex' source yesterday that said Russia will want to move further west and capture both Odessa and Kiev. His source, not mine.
again with your false assertion this war has been about land. Capturing strategic cities in a hot war is not a cassus belli.
TheBonifaceOption
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Teslag said:


Quote:

War comes down to numbers. If you have "400k" soldiers total and you lose 100k in an offensive how many more do you have to defend? Is that 300k as effective to defend Ukr than if they had the 400k?

This isn't 1943. Sheer numbers of bodies are meaningless.

How was your trip to America, President Zelensky?
Teslag
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TheBonifaceOption said:

Teslag said:

And if Putin had not sent his armies over the Ukrainian border in February of 2022 then none of that is an issue. All would have remained at peace. Thousands upon thousands of lives spared. But Putin wanted land*.









*Per Nortex' source yesterday that said Russia will want to move further west and capture both Odessa and Kiev. His source, not mine.
again with your false assertion this war has been about land. Capturing strategic cities in a hot war is not a cassus belli.

You're right. It was about "de-nazifying" or whatever the hell that means.
TheBonifaceOption
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Teslag said:

TheBonifaceOption said:

Teslag said:

And if Putin had not sent his armies over the Ukrainian border in February of 2022 then none of that is an issue. All would have remained at peace. Thousands upon thousands of lives spared. But Putin wanted land*.









*Per Nortex' source yesterday that said Russia will want to move further west and capture both Odessa and Kiev. His source, not mine.
again with your false assertion this war has been about land. Capturing strategic cities in a hot war is not a cassus belli.

You're right. It was about "de-nazifying" or whatever the hell that means.

Maybe Putin will denazify Canada next.
docb
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fka ftc said:

To confirm, your position is that you are okay with Americans suffering as long as we support Ukraine to fight Putin?

And that we should accept this suffering as it is a consequence of Putin being a bad guy half way around the world from us?

The fact that for the better part of 2 years neither you nor anyone else supporting our involvement can explain why this is good for American sittings without settling squarely on Putin bad, Russia bad, must kill Russians.
Who is suffering? Did you have to adjust your thermostat? That is the typical problem with America. Everyone wants to blame stuff on other people or the government and not take any responsibility themselves. A lot of people don't want to work anymore. They just want to sit at home, smoke weed and get handouts. I don't feel sorry for any of them one bit. There is plenty of opportunity for anyone to better themselves. They just choose not to put the work in.
TheBonifaceOption
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docb said:

fka ftc said:

To confirm, your position is that you are okay with Americans suffering as long as we support Ukraine to fight Putin?

And that we should accept this suffering as it is a consequence of Putin being a bad guy half way around the world from us?

The fact that for the better part of 2 years neither you nor anyone else supporting our involvement can explain why this is good for American sittings without settling squarely on Putin bad, Russia bad, must kill Russians.
Who is suffering? Did you have to adjust your thermostat? That is the typical problem with America. Everyone wants to blame stuff on other people or the government and not take any responsibility themselves. A lot of people don't want to work anymore. They just want to sit at home, smoke weed and get handouts. I don't feel sorry for any of them one bit. There is plenty of opportunity for anyone to better themselves. They just choose not to put the work in.

You don't think our energy policies regarding Ukraine aren't working to hurt the working poor in the US?

You don't think massive spending isn't causing inflation on the price of milk, beef, TVs?

You don't think the price of bread isn't affected by the 2nd largest wheat producer struggling ot produce its yield in wartime
docb
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TheBonifaceOption said:

docb said:

fka ftc said:

To confirm, your position is that you are okay with Americans suffering as long as we support Ukraine to fight Putin?

And that we should accept this suffering as it is a consequence of Putin being a bad guy half way around the world from us?

The fact that for the better part of 2 years neither you nor anyone else supporting our involvement can explain why this is good for American sittings without settling squarely on Putin bad, Russia bad, must kill Russians.
Who is suffering? Did you have to adjust your thermostat? That is the typical problem with America. Everyone wants to blame stuff on other people or the government and not take any responsibility themselves. A lot of people don't want to work anymore. They just want to sit at home, smoke weed and get handouts. I don't feel sorry for any of them one bit. There is plenty of opportunity for anyone to better themselves. They just choose not to put the work in.

You don't think our energy policies regarding Ukraine aren't working to hurt the working poor in the US?

You don't think massive spending isn't causing inflation on the price of milk, beef, TVs?

You don't think the price of bread isn't affected by the 2nd largest wheat producer unable to produce any meaningful yield in wartime.
Maybe to some extent but I don't think as much as you believe. I also believe that a lot of those people are still spending money on alcohol, cigarettes, pot, etc. I see it all the time. And yes I have a hard time feeling sorry for people are crying about things when a lot of their money is being spent on that kind of crap. It's all about choices.
TheBonifaceOption
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Quote:

Maybe to some extent but I don't think as much as you believe. I also believe that a lot of those people are still spending money on alcohol, cigarettes, pot, etc. I see it all the time. And yes I have a hard time feeling sorry for people are crying about things when a lot of their money is being spent on that kind of crap.

I think your caricature of struggling Americans is a pretty poor one. Not everyone who is affected by gas prices are buying lotto tickets and drinking daily
Pretty much the entire middle class is running out of money and only the upper middle class are staying afloat, but even they are feeling the pinch of this economy thanks to the state of the real estate market.

But it's dishonest to say "well Americans aren't on A-rations therefore it doesn't effect them." You can say that's a hyperbolic assessment of your position, but so was "did you adjust your thermostat because of Ukraine?"
fka ftc
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docb said:

TheBonifaceOption said:

docb said:

fka ftc said:

To confirm, your position is that you are okay with Americans suffering as long as we support Ukraine to fight Putin?

And that we should accept this suffering as it is a consequence of Putin being a bad guy half way around the world from us?

The fact that for the better part of 2 years neither you nor anyone else supporting our involvement can explain why this is good for American sittings without settling squarely on Putin bad, Russia bad, must kill Russians.
Who is suffering? Did you have to adjust your thermostat? That is the typical problem with America. Everyone wants to blame stuff on other people or the government and not take any responsibility themselves. A lot of people don't want to work anymore. They just want to sit at home, smoke weed and get handouts. I don't feel sorry for any of them one bit. There is plenty of opportunity for anyone to better themselves. They just choose not to put the work in.

You don't think our energy policies regarding Ukraine aren't working to hurt the working poor in the US?

You don't think massive spending isn't causing inflation on the price of milk, beef, TVs?

You don't think the price of bread isn't affected by the 2nd largest wheat producer unable to produce any meaningful yield in wartime.
Maybe to some extent but I don't think as much as you believe. I also believe that a lot of those people are still spending money on alcohol, cigarettes, pot, etc. I see it all the time. And yes I have a hard time feeling sorry for people are crying about things when a lot of their money is being spent on that kind of crap. It's all about choices.
This might be one of the worst takes in the history of TexAgs. So we should spend money on Ukraine and not on Americans because your belief is that Americans are wasting their money on ETOH, nicotine and THC and not on gas, groceries, housing and utilities.

This has to be a troll. No one can try to claim that is some sort of logical take.

Send money to Ukes because Americans in need are worthless pothead drunks who smoke.
PlaneCrashGuy
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Wine club members are still allowed to ***** about riding energy prices. That was an absurd assertion.
I'm not sure if people genuinely believe someone is going to say, "Wow, if some people say I'm a moron for not believing this, it clearly must be true."

It's not much a persuasive argument. It really just sounds like a bunch of miniature dachshunds barking because the first one one barked when it thought it heard something.
fka ftc
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Did docb go by another pseudonym?
docb
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TheBonifaceOption said:

Quote:

Maybe to some extent but I don't think as much as you believe. I also believe that a lot of those people are still spending money on alcohol, cigarettes, pot, etc. I see it all the time. And yes I have a hard time feeling sorry for people are crying about things when a lot of their money is being spent on that kind of crap.

I think your caricature of struggling Americans is a pretty poor one. Not everyone who is affected by gas prices are buying lotto tickets and drinking daily
Pretty much the entire middle class is running out of money and only the upper middle class are staying afloat, but even they are feeling the pinch of this economy thanks to the state of the real estate market.

But it's dishonest to say "well Americans aren't on A-rations therefore it doesn't effect them." You can say that's a hyperbolic assessment of your position, but so was "did you adjust your thermostat because of Ukraine?"
It's across the board dude. I live in an affluent neighborhood and as soon as the economy turns sour for sale signs pop up. People are living beyond their means all throughout our country at all levels. That is probably a whole other discussion.
Teslag
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Lol, Russia got stronger today when several typical Russian troops died doing typical Russian things

https://www.businessinsider.com/russian-soldiers-died-after-ukrainian-drone-they-observing-blew-up-2023-9?amp

Quote:

Russian soldiers were inspecting a captured Ukrainian drone they had seized when it blew up and killed some of them, The Kyiv Post reported on Monday.

The group was inspecting and taking pictures of their "trophy" when it self-exploded, killing some of them, the source said.

nortex97
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Not sure why this thread has drawn so much attention today.

Slovakian elections could impact Nato support for Kiev:



Kind of off-beat take from RT: Russia's victory in Ukraine will eventually lead to it aligning with the EU and US.

Quote:

Geopolitical hallucinations are no less important in the current redistribution of the world than they were in the days of Vasco da Gama. And it is not so important whether the strategists in Washington dreamed that they saw an embroidered shirt with the words "In hoc signo vinces (By this sign, conquer)". Or whether the planners in Berlin imagined that "as always," with their allegedly peculiar "German pedantry," they had resolutely sorted everything out and foreseen everything. Or all of them together considered Ukraine to be the kingdom of Prester John, a wonderful foreign country, ready for anything, that would help them.

No, not for a while. No, "not on our watch." The chance to create a Great Northern Alliance was lost in the early 2000s when our president suggested to the Americans that Russia should be considered for NATO membership. The proposal was rejected. Most likely because of the fear that within the new security contour Moscow would be able to challenge Washington's hegemony and snatch away the levers of influence of the 'junior' members of the Alliance.

Such offers are not made twice. The US continues to live with its chronic phobias and delusions. The EU is not yet independent and remains an enlarged version of the Bizone, the American and British occupation zones in post-war West Germany.

The path of Americans and Western Europeans from paranoia to metanoia is long and winding, and it will not be long before they mature into the right world. But not soon is not never.

The Great North is neither utopia nor dystopia; it will be neither an idyll nor a dystopia. It will be full of contradictions yet obsessed with the unifying idea of collective leadership.
A common future is prefigured by common roots.

The three major northern civilizations, Russian, Western European, and American, draw inspiration for their political development from the image of the Pax Romana. The word of the Elder Philotheus of Pskov still guides Russia. The European Union has proclaimed Charlemagne, the 'Emperor of the Romans', as its forefather. Washington's most famous hill is named after the legendary Capitol.

The source code of these three metacultures is embedded in the Iliad and the Gospel. Their kinship is obvious.

Our victory will change us as well as the so-called West. It will be a new step towards the integration of the Great North, where our country will act as a co-leader of the global triumvirate.

The evil of this day will be replaced by creation. And that will be the merit not so much of the politicians of the future, but of Homer and St. Mark.
That would be surprising, indeed.

Robert Gates essay I think deserves some consideration:

Quote:

The United States now confronts graver threats to its security than it has in decades, perhaps ever. Never before has it faced four allied antagonists at the same timeRussia, China, North Korea, and Iranwhose collective nuclear arsenal could within a few years be nearly double the size of its own. Not since the Korean War has the United States had to contend with powerful military rivals in both Europe and Asia. And no one alive can remember a time when an adversary had as much economic, scientific, technological, and military power as China does today.

The problem, however, is that at the very moment that events demand a strong and coherent response from the United States, the country cannot provide one. Its fractured political leadershipRepublican and Democratic, in the White House and in Congresshas failed to convince enough Americans that developments in China and Russia matter. Political leaders have failed to explain how the threats posed by these countries are interconnected. They have failed to articulate a long-term strategy to ensure that the United States, and democratic values more broadly, will prevail.

Chinese President Xi Jinping and Russian President Vladimir Putin have much in common, but two shared convictions stand out. First, each is convinced that his personal destiny is to restore the glory days of his country's imperial past. For Xi, this means reclaiming imperial China's once dominant role in Asia while harboring even greater ambitions for global influence. For Putin, it means pursuing an awkward mixture of reviving the Russian Empire and recapturing the deference that was accorded the Soviet Union. Second, both leaders are convinced that the developed democraciesabove all, the United Statesare past their prime and have entered an irreversible decline. This decline, they believe, is evident in these democracies' growing isolationism, political polarization, and domestic disarray.

Quote:

PUTIN'S GAMBLE

"Without Ukraine, Russia ceases to be an empire," Zbigniew Brzezinski, the political scientist and former U.S. national security adviser, once observed. Putin certainly shares that view. In pursuit of Russia's lost empire, he invaded Ukraine in 2014 and again in 2022with the latter adventure turning out to be a catastrophic miscalculation with devastating long-term consequences for his country. Rather than dividing and weakening NATO, Russia's actions have given the alliance new purpose (and, in Finland and, soon, Sweden, powerful new members). Strategically, Russia is far worse off now than it was before the invasion.

Economically, oil sales to China, India, and other states have offset much of the financial impact of sanctions, and consumer goods and technology from China, Turkey, and other countries in Central Asia and the Middle East have partly replaced those once imported from the West. Still, Russia has been subjected to extraordinary sanctions by virtually all developed democracies. Countless Western firms have pulled their investments and abandoned the country, including the oil and gas companies whose technology is essential to sustain Russia's primary source of income. Thousands of young tech experts and entrepreneurs have fled. In invading Ukraine, Putin has mortgaged his country's future.
It goes without saying I guess that I disagree with most/almost all of his analyses, though I respect his opinion. I think it is just…too long, and too stuck in views/data from a time gone by, mostly. Still, it's interesting to see the long-winded piece put out there at this moment.

I am curious what our 'swamp' creatures in the state department/NSA/CIA etc. envision a year from now and further. My guess is, they see things much as Robert Gates does, and that is unfortunate.
Teslag
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I would consider any take from RT to be "off beat" considering it is literally Russian state funded media. And though we have our differences I have to give you credit for calling it out as such.
FJB24
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Teslag said:


Quote:

Russia (and all of us) knows it will eventually win this war of attrition

Oh really.
So, more snark.
fka ftc
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Sotero-Judges said:

Teslag said:


Quote:

Russia (and all of us) knows it will eventually win this war of attrition

Oh really.
So, more snark.
Salute the snark!

Literally, I do not think they have the ability to post without trying to be snarky. They think its funny but it negates anything rational or of value they ever have to say.
TheBonifaceOption
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Teslag said:

I would consider any take from RT to be "off beat" considering it is literally Russian state funded media. And though we have our differences I have to give you credit for calling it out as such.

Not much different than western media. BBC, France 24, DW (German) all government owned/operated.

Oh that's right America is different because here they are privately owned....all of them operating at a loss except FNC. They are staying afloat because they are taxable expenses for megacorps, meaning the government is subsidizing their losses. Kinda crazy how the "safeguards against tyranny" are in debt (in perpetuity) to the entity that would be said tryant. Gee I'm sure that has no impact on how they editorialize issues.
Teslag
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Except that DW and the BBC are often hypercritical of their government leaders. That can quite literally be a fatal mistake for someone at RT.
TheBonifaceOption
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Teslag said:

Except that DW and the BBC are often hypercritical of their government leaders. That can quite literally be a fatal mistake for someone at RT.

Crawfishin
Teslag
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TheBonifaceOption said:

Teslag said:

Except that DW and the BBC are often hypercritical of their government leaders. That can quite literally be a fatal mistake for someone at RT.

Crawfishin


I suppose this "snark" is acceptable.
TheBonifaceOption
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Teslag said:

TheBonifaceOption said:

Teslag said:

Except that DW and the BBC are often hypercritical of their government leaders. That can quite literally be a fatal mistake for someone at RT.

Crawfishin


I suppose this "snark" is acceptable.

There is no snark in pointing out your attempt to crawfish on the issue. RT is spurious because it's state funded, according to you; when it is demonstrated that all media is state-funded or subsidized, "well Putin is executing his mouthpieces who step out of line, the West just puts them at the 3am time slot."
Teslag
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Except that, as pointed out, there is a distinct difference when one is literally a mouthpiece for a dictator. So much so that its predecessor was liquidated as part of Putin's effort to bring RIA Novosti directly under his control. But of course, "there are no good sides". This isn't the BBC operating a ton of channels over British public airwaves mocking their leaders at every turn. It's hand crafted, authorized content curated and controlled with an iron fist.

Just as a former KGB goon would want it.

nortex97
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Zelensky's willingness to serve as the mouthpiece for this regime is…not a defense of how grotesque it all really is.
nortex97
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Russian oil and gas revenues forecast to shoot up 30 percent next year.

Community notes are really a great way to clown on our ridiculous propagandists:







On the state of the 'counteroffensive:'









Teslag
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https://www.newsweek.com/russia-gas-production-collapse-ussr-levels-1831087?amp=1

Russian gas levels drop to USSR levels

https://in-cyprus.philenews.com/news/international/analysis-europe-heads-more-comfortably-into-winter-without-russias-nord-stream-gas/

And Europe now less reliant on Russian gas than ever


Russia…

[ ] Stronger
[x] Not stronger
Ag with kids
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fka ftc said:

No, we are NOT securing the border and protecting our people at home and we ARE protecting Ukraines "border" and helping there people.

But I don't see you clamoring multiple times a day regarding the cartel stacking bodies of Americans.

Some self reflection would do you well.
Could it be that this is a thread about Ukraine and Russia and not about the debacle at our borders?


And, EVEN IF the government stopped sending ANYTHING to Ukraine, the Biden administration would not change a thing to fix the border problems.

So, thanks for the false dilemma fallacy, I guess....
nortex97
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Good editorial on the recent history/state of affairs in Crimea.



Quote:

Red October.

The Russians have recently destroyed several large Ukrainian ammunition depots containing thousands of tons of munitions, dropped a large number of bridges in the combat zone and are now operating special forces teams in Ivano-Franivsk near the Hungarian border.

Consider this: the Russians have left nothing to chance in this phase of the war. Anticipating a decisive Ukrainian offensive in Zaporozhe, they made painful withdrawals to consolidate their position and spent months digging in. When the Ukrainians finally rolled forward in June, the vast majority of the "devil's garden" they had constructed between the Dniper and Donetsk never saw a single enemy soldier, and the attack was largely stopped in the security zone near the line of contact thanks to extensive minefields and an aggressive, confident defense.

The Russians know they need to attack - and do so successfully, taking huge swathes of terrain and strategic cities - to end the war on their terms. With the experience of the Battle of Zaporozhe in mind, I would expect them to similarly leave nothing to chance. We know they've been generating forces for the last year and have radically developed and updated their stable of military equipment for the conditions of modern war. The Ukrainians have suffered grievously over the summer and Western support is rapidly drying up.

Clausewitz teaches us that the time to attack is immediately following the culmination of the enemy's offensive, before their forces have had time to recover and consolidate. It would seem to me that time is nigh.
(Armchair warlord I believe is a former US Army artillery officer. I remain skeptical but he is fairly well informed and it's an interesting rumor.)

A study from Rob Campbell of Ukrainian materiel losses/terror attacks in Sept:

Quote:

b of the MoA has produced a good report of Ukraine's recent losses in armoured vehicles and artillery which explains, in part, the change of tactics being adopted by its army. (See MoA September 25th, Ukraine Sitrep). Another source, highlights Ukraine's reliance on costly HIMARS and M270 MLRS systems for targets (such as Russian antenna) that could have been attacked by cheaper artillery systems if they had enough of them. HIMARS are even being used to kill civilians which is not economical from a military point of view. It can be seen from this chart that armour losses have decreased considerably since June.

But the reduction in the use of armour has been (must be) accompanied by very limited offensive action.
Other sources report that 90 out of the 185 Bradleys supplied have been destroyed while another 50 have incurred serious damage. 40 out of the 72 Polish Krab Self Propelled Guns have been destroyed while another 11 have been severely damaged. The same source suggests that Z's boast of fighting through the winter will not be possible because the Ukrainians are clearly short of artillery. According to the Russian MoD, Ukraine has also lost (killed and wounded) 17,000 men in September alone.

Ukraine Terror Attacks (i.e. attacks that deliberately target civilians)

Tokmak
On the evening of 24th September, the Ukrainians attacked residential areas of Tokmak with cluster shells, killing one civilian and injuring 11 (including 3 children) - according to Slavyangrad.

Krasnodar(LPR)
The Ukrainians launched a missile attack on this village in Luhansk on the 25th September. Schools and kindergartens were attacked and had to be evacuated. Two people lost their lives while three more were injured.

Belgorod
The shelling of Belgorod's border region continues day after day and on the night of the 26th/27th Sept, 130 different types of munition (artillery, mortars and drones) were launched at the region. It would take too much space for me to list all the attacks here but even though much damage to residential buildings was caused, only one casualty (a shrapnel wound) has been reported. If you would like some detail Tass provides it here. On September 27th, the village of Bol'shetroitskoe was hit by artillery, private houses were damaged and a local resident was seriously wounded. On the morning of September 28th, a Ukrainian sabotage group tried to break through the border to Starosel. A small detachment of up to six people from the Russian Volunteer Corps (RDK) began a battle with border guards. As a result of a short firefight, Russian units repelled the attack, and the reconnaissance groups retreated.

Verbove
On September 24th, the Ukrainians attacked residential buildings in Verbove with HIMARS missiles. This is totally misguided from a military point of view as well as a moral point of view since the Ukrainians are short of HIMARS - according to the Duran.

Kursk
Kursk is being shelled on a daily basis now. On the 25th Sept, the villages of Snagost, Popovo-Lezhachi and Tetkino were all attacked. I have not seen reports of casualties or damage. An aircraft-type drone was shot down on the 25th Sept and caused no damage. Another enemy reconnaissance group carried out a sortie at night to the village of Guevo; attacking from Miropol in the Sumy region. Their goal was to track the movement routes of Russian military personnel - according to Rybar. On the 27th, five different villages were attacked by Ukrainian artillery causing damage to houses and injuring one civilian.

Bryansk
On September 26th, two recon groups of 20 people each were deployed to the Klimovo direction. Now the groups have taken up positions in the Elino area on the border itself.

Donetsk
Donetsk and Horlivka came under massive attacks on the 27th September. Residential buildings were damaged, one person was killed and three others wounded. I should remind everyone that the shelling of Donetsk happens every day.
October will be an interesting month to follow events, as the Ukrainians might choose to stockpile some of their most recent deliveries of offensive/longer range weapons or to go forward with striking as deep into Russian territory as they can. I am skeptical they have many serviceable SU-24's left though.
PlaneCrashGuy
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Elon Musk:

I'm not sure if people genuinely believe someone is going to say, "Wow, if some people say I'm a moron for not believing this, it clearly must be true."

It's not much a persuasive argument. It really just sounds like a bunch of miniature dachshunds barking because the first one one barked when it thought it heard something.
PlaneCrashGuy
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I like this tweet because honestly, I would change teams if someone could articulate how "stacking orcs" helps any Americans. I don't care if it's just equipment out of storage. I don't care if we budgeted/built for it. How does our involvement help any citizen of the united States? As soon as I understand that answer I'll call congress to demand more aid.
I'm not sure if people genuinely believe someone is going to say, "Wow, if some people say I'm a moron for not believing this, it clearly must be true."

It's not much a persuasive argument. It really just sounds like a bunch of miniature dachshunds barking because the first one one barked when it thought it heard something.
Ag with kids
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PlaneCrashGuy said:

Elon Musk:


That tweet TELLS YOU it's a parody...

And you fell for it...
GAC06
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At least it's from another perspective. And it started a conversation.

Embarrassing.
Teslag
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PlaneCrashGuy said:

Elon Musk:





Good lord you just bit on a parody account
nortex97
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So what if it's a parody, it's…pretty true/on point. Besides…the actual Elon account has been dropping some Ukraine truth bombs the past 24 hours.





Including calling out the Ukro-nazi supporters in canada;





This effing guy…



Not to be outdone by Liz effing Cheney, who is somehow even more contemptible.









Nationalist party wins in Slovakian election, backing Russia.

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