Bullet Train is Back!

17,520 Views | 273 Replies | Last: 1 yr ago by Sgt. Schultz
Frederick Palowaski
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Sumlins Pool Guy said:

I feel like half the guys here make this argument and the other half make the "but we've got south west airlines" argument. And the SWA crowd seems to have figured out how to take Ubers from hobby to their meetings in downtown why can't rail passengers do the same. If the states population is going to double in the next 50 years it seems like having more ways to move people around is a good thing.


Only idiots think this will be successful.
Manhattan
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Cinco Ranch Aggie said:

Manhattan said:

Cinco Ranch Aggie said:

AlaskanAg99 said:

Manhattan said:

Nobody would be losing any land.


So then why is eminent domain needed?
If this train puts down so much as one drop of concrete on any ranch or farm land between Houston and Dallas, then the land owners have lost land. That poster is flat out lying.


Oh no, a viaduct running through farm and ranch land… unlike the neighborhoods we are bulldozing for I45 and other highway in the US.

But seeing your username, you must really love highways.
So if we're playing games with user names, then I guess you love a bunch of people stacked on top of each other in tiny apartments with rampant crime on the rail systems, with no easy access to private transportation?


Love my "tiny" apartment, Crime here is low compared to your metro area, and, I live within 10m of two of the busiest interstates in the country if i so choose to drive my car. But having a subway and regional rail is amazing.
Cinco Ranch Aggie
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Manhattan said:

Cinco Ranch Aggie said:

Manhattan said:

Cinco Ranch Aggie said:

AlaskanAg99 said:

Manhattan said:

Nobody would be losing any land.


So then why is eminent domain needed?
If this train puts down so much as one drop of concrete on any ranch or farm land between Houston and Dallas, then the land owners have lost land. That poster is flat out lying.


Oh no, a viaduct running through farm and ranch land… unlike the neighborhoods we are bulldozing for I45 and other highway in the US.

But seeing your username, you must really love highways.
So if we're playing games with user names, then I guess you love a bunch of people stacked on top of each other in tiny apartments with rampant crime on the rail systems, with no easy access to private transportation?


Love my "tiny" apartment, Crime here is low compared to your metro area, and, I live within 10m of two of the busiest interstates in the country if i so choose to drive my car. But having a subway and regional rail is amazing.
Great. But the reality is that a subway/regional rail will never work where I live. The Houston metro area is simply too big. I have access to the bus system when I need to go to downtown Houston, a rarity, but there is no option that would take me to my office at City Centre (I-10 @ Beltway 8). Thanks, but I will keep my truck.
Manhattan
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Well it would have worked but they literally took down train tracks to build the widest freeway in the world so people could still sit in traffic.
Manhattan
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50% according to the website.
Dan Scott
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Manhattan said:

Well it would have worked but they literally took down train tracks to build the widest freeway in the world so people could still sit in traffic.


But the freeway helped create all the economic development along it into Brookshire. Rail wouldn't have done that I don't think.

I'd love rail. Singapore and Hong Kong rail is awesome, but Houston is not Singapore and Hong Kong. The city was built around the car. City ordinances mandate minimum parking spots and businesses to be certain distance from road. Walking down Wertheimer in the summer would suck.

Singapore is hot and rains a lot too. It works there because there are covered sidewalks but also everything is connected underground so you don't have to be outside walking if you don't want to in most places. Most importantly, it's safe and you don't have to worry about people harassing you.
Dan Scott
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Now that I think about, after I-10 expansion, the North side of I-10 really started to blow up in Spring Valley. Rail would work if at the same time that side of I-10 became like Wilshire BLVD where you have a row of hi-rise condominiums.

Guy walks out of hirise, and has a short walk to train to go Downtown which is walkable or get off at 290 transit center and BRT over to Uptown.

But it's chicken and egg argument. Developer isn't building hi-rises without the rail and without the development, nobody would use the rail.
Dan Scott
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There's need to be some type of private/public transportation. ExxonMobil campus probably best example. GP was always planned but doubt it gets built without ExxonMobil when it did. GP used to go through country and now it's packed. So GP helped create all that development in NW Harris county.

Somebody big like Exxon is going to have to come along to push a rail project or it isn't happening.
aggiedent
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I have a patient who has multigenerational property split in half by the proposed route. Was suppose to be 50 yard ROW on each side of the track.

She was in my office last week and said she and her husband just received a letter saying the company was likely no longer going forward with the rail project.
Aggie_Boomin 21
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Manhattan said:

Well it would have worked but they literally took down train tracks to build the widest freeway in the world so people could still sit in traffic.

Houston metro is more than double the size of NYC metro. You're wrong
Burpelson
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All the complainers will be the most habitual users of said grievance
AlaskanAg99
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Manhattan said:

50% according to the website.


You implied 100%. Now 50%.

How have the construction cost estimates been revised now that inflation makes everything 200% more expensive?
aTm '99
CDUB98
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LOL at morons thinking 19th century travel methods will work in 21st century Texas.
TexasAggiesWin
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S
Trust the Government, it (whatever they are pushing) will work this time because they will do it the right way
Kenneth_2003
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Manhattan said:

Nobody would be losing any land.
If you're arguing that through eminent domain the landowner will be compensated then you would be somewhat correct here.

Though the developer and a court determine what is a fair value for the land.

Also, this does not take into consideration the path the project takes through someone's land. This will not be traveling neatly down property lines, taking a little here and some there. In the overwhelming majority it will be cutting through peoples property. Unless they were a large enough owner that cut off tract will be landlocked by adjacent property owners. What is the original owner to do? Hope the neighbor is benevolent enough to buy that land-locked property at pre-train market rates? Think about a rancher if the cut off tract includes the only source of water for their livestock. You think someone's home that once looked out over acres of pasture and woodland that now has a high speed train less than a football field away will be worth what it was?

These are not hypotheticals. These are examples on nearly every piece of property along that proposed route! I'd say those people would be losing plenty.
RafterAg223
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There's really no point in engaging Lot Y, Shanked, Manhattan on anything anymore. It's a losing proposition. He's proven here that he's an O&G reservoir engineer, oil and gas production engineer, agricultural machinery expert, renewable energy expert, European culture expert, healthcare expert, and now mass transit expert.
Buck Turgidson
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This train is never coming. Its just a pipe dream that resurfaces every 1-2 years with new headlines and no action. Seems like I've been hearing about it for more than a decade.
fka ftc
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Buck Turgidson said:

This train is never coming. Its just a pipe dream that resurfaces every 1-2 years with new headlines and no action. Seems like I've been hearing about it for more than a decade.


Blue star, I read your post to a tune from Johnny Cash. Lined up pretty well.
"The absence of the word accountability is not the same as wanting no accountability" -unknown

"You can never go wrong by staying silent if there is nothing apt to say" -Walter Isaacson
chap
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Manhattan is Shanked punt? That makes sense.
RafterAg223
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Very similar posting styles and shanked hasn't been around here in a long time. Makes sense that it could be another sock.
JohnLA762
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RafterAg223 said:

There's really no point in engaging Lot Y, Shanked, Manhattan on anything anymore. It's a losing proposition. He's proven here that he's an O&G reservoir engineer, oil and gas production engineer, agricultural machinery expert, renewable energy expert, European culture expert, healthcare expert, and now mass transit expert.


Typical liberal. They know it all and have it all figured out…
nortex97
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RafterAg223 said:

There's really no point in engaging Lot Y, Shanked, Manhattan on anything anymore. It's a losing proposition. He's proven here that he's an O&G reservoir engineer, oil and gas production engineer, agricultural machinery expert, renewable energy expert, European culture expert, healthcare expert, and now mass transit expert.
Correct. Also, we figured out pages ago on this thread that this is a non-story from last summer, and this organization is dead, unable to pay their taxes due this week even.

Let it go, guys, let it go.
Bubblez
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Moving all of the O&D traffic between DFW and Houston to high speed rail would be a great thing for air travel as well. It would free the airlines up to move those planes to new routes that they can't currently serve or increase frequency on existing routes simply because they don't have the gates, aircraft, and pilots to do so.

Ag83
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Old Army Ghost said:

AggieCo2023 said:

Texas Central is a PRIVATE company… why you hate capitalism?
lol

private companies dont get eminent domain
Ever heard of Kelo vs City of New London??
policywonk98
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I'm bored so I decided to run some numbers.

Japan is the world's oldest and most advanced bullet train system.

According to news reports from the last 4-5 years, the train companies in the system have massive debts and unfunded pension liability.

The geography and population density of Japan make it one the best if not the absolute best candidate in the world for a bullet train use case.

So I wanted to gain a comparative perspective between Japan and Texas.

Japan is 55% the size of Texas with 124 million population. Their pop density is 854 per square mile. But this doesn't actually tell the true story of Japanese pop density. 70% of Japan is mountainous terrain. Over 90% of Japan's population exists within its urban areas that exist in the 30% of the country that is most habitible.

So Tokyo for instance, has a population density of 16,000 per square mile. Houston by comparison is 3,000 per square mile.

To put this level of density in perspective with Texas. Our state population would have to be 224 million people with 90% of that population living in just 30% of the state.

I don't even like Texas with 29 million people. There is no scenario where me and my family would live here with over 200 million, but I digress.

Just another reminder. Japan's rail system is not profitable. I did not do extensive research, but it appears that in a nearly 60 year history it's only been a cash positive enterprise for less than 10 years and the debts are now accumulating even faster. Lots of government bailouts just like with our own Frankentrain monster called Amtrak.

So why would anyone ever think this is a good idea?

Seems alot like communism/socialism. Utopian dreamers that beleive "this time it will work better".
fredfredunderscorefred
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policywonk98 said:

I'm bored so I decided to run some numbers.

Japan is the world's oldest and most advanced bullet train system.

According to news reports from the last 4-5 years, the train companies in the system have massive debts and unfunded pension liability.

The geography and population density of Japan make it one the best if not the absolute best candidate in the world for a bullet train use case.

So I wanted to gain a comparative perspective between Japan and Texas.

Japan is 55% the size of Texas with 124 million population. Their pop density is 854 per square mile. But this doesn't actually tell the true story of Japanese pop density. 70% of Japan is mountainous terrain. Over 90% of Japan's population exists within its urban areas that exist in the 30% of the country that is most habitible.

So Tokyo for instance, has a population density of 16,000 per square mile. Houston by comparison is 3,000 per square mile.

To put this level of density in perspective with Texas. Our state population would have to be 224 million people with 90% of that population living in just 30% of the state.

I don't even like Texas with 29 million people. There is no scenario where me and my family would live here with over 200 million, but I digress.

Just another reminder. Japan's rail system is not profitable. I did not do extensive research, but it appears that in a nearly 60 year history it's only been a cash positive enterprise for less than 10 years and the debts are now accumulating even faster. Lots of government bailouts just like with our own Frankentrain monster called Amtrak.

So why would anyone ever think this is a good idea?

Seems alot like communism/socialism. Utopian dreamers that beleive "this time it will work better".


And New Yorks utopia isn't profitable either. More taxpayer money. Yay. Just like every dumb rich white liberals dream.
Manhattan
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Aggie_Boomin 21 said:

Manhattan said:

Well it would have worked but they literally took down train tracks to build the widest freeway in the world so people could still sit in traffic.

Houston metro is more than double the size of NYC metro. You're wrong

About?
Manhattan
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Is the I45 expansion that we are tearing down 100s of homes and businesses for profitable? Is is socialism/communism?
Tom Doniphon
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A vast majority of Texans are freedom loving, vehicle driving, independent folks... won't work here and ain't gonna happen. This isn't NYC.
forJO
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Admiral Adama said:

Southwest round-trip Lovefield to Hobby $240.
Bullet train $30B / $240 = 125,000,000 round trips.
DFW and Houston metro combined populations: 15 million
Round trips per person: 8.3

For the same cost as building the bullet train we could give every single person living in the Houston and Dallas metros eight round trip flights on Southwest. What a bargain for the Texas tax payer.


While I probably shouldn't wade into this thread because I no longer live in Texas nor will this train impact me in anyway. But I feel this argument is flawed because you have not included the costs to the public to build Love Field or Hobby. While those are already sunk costs it doesn't change the fact that those airports cost tremendous amounts of money, and take up a lot of land, that should be factored into this argument, in the same way the cost of the future train ticket per person should be factored into the argument. I know in Europe when I visited 20 years ago the high speed trains were more expensive than low cost airlines. But the train ride was faster (especially when adding in times to drive to the airport, security, waiting, etc. ) but the train had more frequent travel options and was a much better way to see the country.

I feel the same when hearing people argue train service is not profitable. But yet they don't include the incredible amount of money spent to build and maintain roads and the interstate highway system. If you include these costs for highways then you could also argue driving an automobile is not "profitable".

As I said this train in Texas does not affect me and I don't have an opinion about if this train should be built or not. But I felt compelled to point out a different side of the argument.
Malibu
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Yes. It is profitable. Unlike a bullet train, I-45 handles commercial cargo to get goods and services to market. It's necessary infrastructure. A bullet train is a very expensive substitute for passenger travel.
Bubblez
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We expand highways through eminent domain taking houses and businesses and handing everything over to a private corporation placing a toll road down the middle and greatly increasing the amount of land necessary to do so.
techno-ag
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forJO said:

Admiral Adama said:

Southwest round-trip Lovefield to Hobby $240.
Bullet train $30B / $240 = 125,000,000 round trips.
DFW and Houston metro combined populations: 15 million
Round trips per person: 8.3

For the same cost as building the bullet train we could give every single person living in the Houston and Dallas metros eight round trip flights on Southwest. What a bargain for the Texas tax payer.


While I probably shouldn't wade into this thread because I no longer live in Texas nor will this train impact me in anyway. But I feel this argument is flawed because you have not included the costs to the public to build Love Field or Hobby. While those are already sunk costs it doesn't change the fact that those airports cost tremendous amounts of money, and take up a lot of land, that should be factored into this argument, in the same way the cost of the future train ticket per person should be factored into the argument. I know in Europe when I visited 20 years ago the high speed trains were more expensive than low cost airlines. But the train ride was faster (especially when adding in times to drive to the airport, security, waiting, etc. ) but the train had more frequent travel options and was a much better way to see the country.

I feel the same when hearing people argue train service is not profitable. But yet they don't include the incredible amount of money spent to build and maintain roads and the interstate highway system. If you include these costs for highways then you could also argue driving an automobile is not "profitable".

As I said this train in Texas does not affect me and I don't have an opinion about if this train should be built or not. But I felt compelled to point out a different side of the argument.
1. We're not Europe.

2. Sunk costs cannot be compared with future costs. It's apples to oranges. But if you want to go there you have to take ridership into account, starting from the days the past infrastructure began operating and compare that to (projected) future ridership of the new infrastructure.

(Hint: the roads and airports will be cheaper.)
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Tony Franklins Other Shoe
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So OP got presented with 10-20 great points and all we get back is some wish casting and information that is obviously stale as 15 day old bread while he stays in his hidey hole? Then the sycophants come in and try to gobble up some moldy crumbs.


Person Not Capable of Pregnancy
cevans_40
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YokelRidesAgain said:

AggieCo2023 said:

You don't think the city can run a shuttle from the train station to campus/downtown? Hell they run a shuttle from the mall to Santa's wonderland lol
OK, let's review. Say I live in, for example, Friendswood (thoughts and prayers for me) and want to go to College Station for the weekend.

I'm going to spend an hour driving to NW Houston, parking, and making sure I'm on time for the train, then pay what, $25, to park my car plus $100 for my round trip train ticket?

Then I ride the choo-choo for 25 minutes and hop off for my 30 minute shuttle ride to College Station (assuming the shuttle is there when I get there, of course). In the time already spent, I could have already driven to College Station.

But since I didn't, here one of two things happens: either the shuttle takes me to a "central stop" on campus, where I guess I can walk to Sbisa for dinner because I don't have a car, or perhaps in light of the ones of passengers on this route maybe it will take me where I actually want to go. And then I can get an Uber to a restaurant and back, because, yeah, no car.

Profit??

But think of all the emissions you are eliminating and all the virtue signaling you can do by posting pictures of yourself on the high speed boondoggle.
 
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