2/ ISW has yet to observe reporting that suggests that North Korean military personnel intend to participate in combat operations in Ukraine...

— Institute for the Study of War (@TheStudyofWar) June 27, 2024

Interesting. In addition to whatever overhead imagery intel the US and our allies are providing to Ukraine, it also has independent access to a civilian ISR constellation, to include ".....control over one SAR satellite and access to dozens."

SATELLITES

Waffledynamics said:

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2/ ISW has yet to observe reporting that suggests that North Korean military personnel intend to participate in combat operations in Ukraine...

— Institute for the Study of War (@TheStudyofWar) June 27, 2024

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South Korea, your move.

So are these NK troops doing the construction work in occupied Ukrainian territory legitimate military targets?

DCPD158 said:

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So are these NK troops doing the construction work in occupied Ukrainian territory legitimate military targets?

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Of course.

Much like Iranians training drone operators.

DCPD158 said:

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So are these NK troops doing the construction work in occupied Ukrainian territory legitimate military targets?

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Something involving Nork troops will go kablooie, Russia and NK will blame Ukraine, Short fat man uses as pretext to declare war on Ukraine and send troops.

Rossticus said:

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DCPD158 said:

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So are these NK troops doing the construction work in occupied Ukrainian territory legitimate military targets?

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Something involving Nork troops will go kablooie, Russia and NK will blame Ukraine, Short fat man uses as pretext to declare war on Ukraine and send troops.

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Orcs & Norks...what a horrible combo.

Russia is lobbing hundreds of glide bombs every week into Ukraine. There's no single silver bullet defense, but allowing Kiev to reach further into Russia is part of the solution. Can you imagine your family living under similar circumstances?

BOMBS

Rossticus said:

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DCPD158 said:

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So are these NK troops doing the construction work in occupied Ukrainian territory legitimate military targets?

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Something involving Nork troops will go kablooie, Russia and NK will blame Ukraine, Short fat man uses as pretext to declare war on Ukraine and send troops.

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I dont see it. Why send many real troops? They may semd enough to learn the new style of fighting, but NK doesn't care about Ukraine. They can get what they want from Russia without weakening themselves.

The glide bomb threat may take a hit soon. They have a substantial but limited range. New western rules of engagement with middle and drone strikes into Russia have pushed back the aircraft basing and this would give more time for detection and response in the future. Once western aircraft with western missiles and more long range SAM show up, the mission profile for these glide bomb attacks will become much more dangerous for the attack aircraft as they could come within interception range. Russia at the very minimum would have to start escorting every bomb flight with a fighter escort.

⚡️Ukrainian partisans claim they located air defense system protecting Putin's dacha in Sochi.

Ukrainian partisans claimed that they had located an air defense system covering the skies above Russian President Vladimir Putin's luxury dacha in Sochi.https://t.co/RFSKazbSyT

— The Kyiv Independent (@KyivIndependent) June 28, 2024

This is potentially a big deal. Instead of putting their Patriot batteries into storage to sit unused, Israel may be convinced to return them to the US for use in Ukraine. Eight batteries would double Ukraine's Patriot count. You'd think this would be a no-brainer between allies, but Israel does nothing for free and has an odd relationship with Russia.

Israel is going to retire its Patriot air defense PAC-2 systems in exchange for its own Iron Dome air defense systems. It has been unclear what is going to happen with the Patriots.

Financial Times, however, reports that the US and Ukraine are in talks to receive at least some… pic.twitter.com/f5xXco4JJK

— (((Tendar))) (@Tendar) June 27, 2024

MouthBQ98 said:

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The glide bomb threat may take a hit soon. They have a substantial but limited range. New western rules of engagement with middle and drone strikes into Russia have pushed back the aircraft basing and this would give more time for detection and response in the future. Once western aircraft with western missiles and more long range SAM show up, the mission profile for these glide bomb attacks will become much more dangerous for the attack aircraft as they could come within interception range. Russia at the very minimum would have to start escorting every bomb flight with a fighter escort.

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Hopefully, but under those riskier circumstances, resorting to pop-up release tactics will serve to mitigate the likelihood of being intercepted. On the upside, pop-up release does shorten the weapon's glide range vs release at altitude.

TOSSING

Besieged Russians cut off in destroyed factory, plus other frontline updates.

Today's. SITREP.

Ukrainian forces are counter attacking and have booted the Russians from Vovchansk.

This is revenge for Azovstal plant. Grinding the remains of the elite 83rd orc Airborne Brigade at the Vovchansk factory with beautiful Wagner music in the background.

Це вам за Азовсталь. Перемелювання під чудову музику Вагнера залишків елітної 83-ї повітряно-десантної бригади… pic.twitter.com/bMuLZBiFLP

— ✙ Albina Fella ✙ 🇺🇦🇬🇧🇫🇷🇩🇪🇵🇱🇺🇸🇨🇦🇦🇺 (@albafella1) June 28, 2024

Was this already announced a few months ago?

What are you referring to?

Nearly autonomous drones already being tested in Ukraine.

"You designate the target, [that] is a human decision, but everything from there is fully automated. … The whole terminal guidance is all fully automated and can't be jammed, doesn't rely on GPS, and also works on moving targets."

MOVE-COUNTERMOVE

notable ORBAT changes in the past few days:
- Losses from the 13th Tank Reg. of the 1st GTA were spotted in the Terny AO
- 57th MotoRifle Brigade redeployed to Novomykhailivka
- Losses by the 166th Marines were observed in the Kurdyumivka area where they replaced 57th MRB https://t.co/lylOzaTlfL

— imi (m) (@moklasen) April 11, 2024

Do the Ukes have the material to push this harder?

Russia directing a campaign of sabotage, cyberattacks and disinformation against Europe.

"The aim is to break the will of the citizens and to break the support for Ukraine. If you were living peacefully in your country and suddenly you have a series of terrorist attacks, and this is all attributed to your country supporting Ukraine, that puts pressure on your support for Ukraine," said Olga Lautman, a security researcher who specializes in the intersection of organized crime and intelligence operations in Russia. Many of the attacks are accompanied by a disinformation campaign designed to deflect the blame from Russia, researchers say."

HYBRID WAR

We haven't had one of these in a while…

Yes, another episode of the Belarusian special forces.

Ninja Turtle edition with special effects. Grab the popcorn 🍿 pic.twitter.com/xt7eyrsgIW

— NOELREPORTS 🇪🇺 🇺🇦 (@NOELreports) June 30, 2024

Interesting tidbit on Ukraine destroying rare Russian nuclear command and control vehicles

https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2024/06/30/another-one-of-russias-nuclear-proof-transports-just-got-blown-up-in-ukraine/

Quote:

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In the late 1970s, Soviet authorities asked the Kirovsky Design Bureau in Saint Petersburg to develop a nuclear reconnaissance and command vehicle. And not just any nuclear reconnaissance and command vehicle, but the best protected, most comfortable nuke vehicle imaginable. A sealed, self-contained and thickly armored turretless tank with remote cameras and its own oxygen supply.

The result was the Ladoga. Kirovsky produced just a handful of the tracked vehiclesperhaps four or five. One spent some time in the fallout zone around the nuclear power plant in Chernobyl following the plant's deadly 1986 meltdown. Aside from another that landed in a museum, the Ladogas then ... disappeared.

Until recently. In March, a Ukrainian drone spotted and struck a Ladoga rolling toward Ukrainian lines near the Kreminna Forest in eastern Ukraine. And earlier this week, the Ukrainians hit a second Ladoga, setting it ablaze.

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ABATTBQ11 said:

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Interesting tidbit on Ukraine destroying rare Russian nuclear command and control vehicles

https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2024/06/30/another-one-of-russias-nuclear-proof-transports-just-got-blown-up-in-ukraine/

Quote:

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In the late 1970s, Soviet authorities asked the Kirovsky Design Bureau in Saint Petersburg to develop a nuclear reconnaissance and command vehicle. And not just any nuclear reconnaissance and command vehicle, but the best protected, most comfortable nuke vehicle imaginable. A sealed, self-contained and thickly armored turretless tank with remote cameras and its own oxygen supply.

The result was the Ladoga. Kirovsky produced just a handful of the tracked vehiclesperhaps four or five. One spent some time in the fallout zone around the nuclear power plant in Chernobyl following the plant's deadly 1986 meltdown. Aside from another that landed in a museum, the Ladogas then ... disappeared.

Until recently. In March, a Ukrainian drone spotted and struck a Ladoga rolling toward Ukrainian lines near the Kreminna Forest in eastern Ukraine. And earlier this week, the Ukrainians hit a second Ladoga, setting it ablaze.

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LADOGA

74OA said:

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Russia directing a campaign of sabotage, cyberattacks and disinformation against Europe.

"The aim is to break the will of the citizens and to break the support for Ukraine. If you were living peacefully in your country and suddenly you have a series of terrorist attacks, and this is all attributed to your country supporting Ukraine, that puts pressure on your support for Ukraine," said Olga Lautman, a security researcher who specializes in the intersection of organized crime and intelligence operations in Russia. Many of the attacks are accompanied by a disinformation campaign designed to deflect the blame from Russia, researchers say."

HYBRID WAR

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I wonder if this is related.

alert

RogerEnright said:

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74OA said:

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Russia directing a campaign of sabotage, cyberattacks and disinformation against Europe.

"The aim is to break the will of the citizens and to break the support for Ukraine. If you were living peacefully in your country and suddenly you have a series of terrorist attacks, and this is all attributed to your country supporting Ukraine, that puts pressure on your support for Ukraine," said Olga Lautman, a security researcher who specializes in the intersection of organized crime and intelligence operations in Russia. Many of the attacks are accompanied by a disinformation campaign designed to deflect the blame from Russia, researchers say."

HYBRID WAR

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I wonder if this is related.

alert

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you can bet some of these folks trained in Syria

RogerEnright said:

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74OA said:

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Russia directing a campaign of sabotage, cyberattacks and disinformation against Europe.

"The aim is to break the will of the citizens and to break the support for Ukraine. If you were living peacefully in your country and suddenly you have a series of terrorist attacks, and this is all attributed to your country supporting Ukraine, that puts pressure on your support for Ukraine," said Olga Lautman, a security researcher who specializes in the intersection of organized crime and intelligence operations in Russia. Many of the attacks are accompanied by a disinformation campaign designed to deflect the blame from Russia, researchers say."

HYBRID WAR

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I wonder if this is related.

alert

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Not sure if related but there is an increase in ransomware on maintenance logistics:
Bob-Howard

Bike lives matter. I don't even know what to think of these pics but Deja vu again.

https://www.reddit.com/r/UkraineWarVideoReport/comments/1dsqzer/russian_motorcycle_division_near_vuhledar_photo/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web3x&utm_name=web3xcss&utm_term=1&utm_content=share_button

Today's SITREP.

Drones specifically designed to intercept other drones.

"Low-cost FPVs as anti-drone weapons may be a game changer. And they may not stop at drones. FPV operators have attempted to chase Russian helicopters, without success, with videos of at least two failed attempts."

DRONE WARS

Think AI drones are going to be the next step and are likely a lot closer than we realize.

P.U.T.U said:

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Think AI drones are going to be the next step and are likely a lot closer than we realize.

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It's only a question of WHEN.