***Russian - Ukraine War Tactical and Strategic Updates*** [Warning on OP]

7,550,025 Views | 47731 Replies | Last: 46 min ago by Waffledynamics
74OA
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Gilligan said:

74OA said:

Putin blusters that any Western air base hosting U.S.-made F-16 fighter jets that are slated for deployment in Ukraine would be a "legitimate target" for the Kremlin's forces.

CAMPAIGN
That would be a major FAFO moment!
Putin wants the West to self-deter. It's worked before when the useful idiots and handwringers buy into it.
74OA
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Why are some European countries *****ing about too much Ukrainian grain imports when the EU is still importing grain from Russia and Belorussia? If Europe is being flooded with grain, you'd think it would cut imports from its enemies before hitting Ukraine.

GRAIN
74OA
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Even a million shells is only temporary relief without renewed US funding.

74OA
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Russia's tactical aviation fleet is rapidly deteriorating.

HOLLOW

Its naval fleet is in even worse shape. "The Russian Black Sea Fleet is now known for losing all its amphibious ships without ever conducting an amphibious operation."

INEFFECTIVE

Now is not the time to let off the pressure by leaving Ukraine without fresh assistance.
Waffledynamics
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Quote:

Poland has suspended participation in the treaty on conventional armed forces in Europe
https://liveuamap.com/en/2024/29-march-poland-has-suspended-participation-in-the-treaty
Waffledynamics
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Quote:

President Zelensky: last night Russia targeted Kanivska and Dnister hydropower stations
https://liveuamap.com/en/2024/29-march-president-zelensky-last-night-russia-targeted-kanivska
Waffledynamics
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74OA
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Russia now faces a solid block of Nordic militaries working under NATO command.

MINI-NATO?

Includes a combined fighter force of over 300, most of which will soon be F-35s.

PACT

Good job, Vlad.
docb
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I wonder if Ukraine has the capacity to hit Russian naval bases/ships outside of the Black Sea. Might cause further chaos for Russia and the need to move resources away from Ukraine?
AgLA06
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Waffledynamics said:

Quote:

Poland has suspended participation in the treaty on conventional armed forces in Europe
https://liveuamap.com/en/2024/29-march-poland-has-suspended-participation-in-the-treaty
For those that don't know. Russia withdrew so they could try and win the special military operation fiasco.

Poland isn't going to hope for Ukraine to win. They are going to ensure they can defeat Russia if need be.
nortex97
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Interesting developments.

Quote:

  • Ukraine's air force said on Saturday that Russia fired four missiles into eastern Ukraine overnight, as well as 12 Shahed drones across the country. Nine of the drones were shot down in four regions, it said.
  • Huge Russian missile and drone attacks hit thermal and hydro power plants in central and western Ukraine the previous night, officials said on Friday, in a barrage targeting the country's damaged power infrastructure. The Kaniv hydropower plant was among the targets along with the Dnister plant, located on the Dnister River, flowing through neighbouring Moldova, Zelenskiy said. Moscow "wants to repeat the environmental disaster in the Kherson region. But now not only Ukraine but also Moldova is under threat", he said on Telegram.
  • Ukraine said it had imposed emergency blackouts on several regions after the Russian attacks. National grid operator Ukrenergo said its dispatch centre was "forced to apply emergency blackout schedules in the regions of Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhzhia and Kirovograd until the evening." Restrictions were already in place in the cities of Kharkiv and Kryvyi Rih after a Russian strike last week.
  • The Polish prime minister has said Europe is entering a "prewar" era,cautioning that the continent is not ready and urging European countries to step up defence investment. In an interview with European newspapers reported by the BBC, Donald Tusk said: "I don't want to scare anyone, but war is no longer a concept from the past. It's real and it started over two years ago." His comments came days after a Russian missile briefly breached Polish airspace during an attack on Ukraine, prompting Warsaw to put its forces on heightened readiness.
  • One person was killed and two injured in the Russian city of Belgorodfrom a Ukrainian drone attack, said the Belgorod region's governor, Vyacheslav Gladkov.
  • Russia's security services said they had arrested three people from "a central Asian country" who were plotting an attack in the south of the country, Russian news agencies reported. The trio "were planning to commit a terrorist act by blowing up a device in a public place in the Stavropol region", the federal security service (FSB) said on Friday. Russian television showed images of several men pinned to the ground by FSB agents.
  • Russia is outgunning Ukrainian forces sixfold on the frontlines, causing losses of troops and positions, Ukraine's recently appointed commander-in-chief, Oleksandr Syrsky, said in a rare interview published on Friday. He also said Ukraine's military would need to mobilise fewer people than initially expected to fend off Russia's invasion. Zelenskiy said in December that his military had proposed mobilising up to 500,000 more Ukrainians into the armed forces as Russia stepped up attacks along the 1,000-km (621-mile) frontline, but Syrsky said in an interview with Ukrainian media published on Friday that the figure had been "significantly reduced" after a review of resources.

74OA
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Updates from the front.

Today's SITREP.
sclaff
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Ag with kids
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sclaff said:



What is a "dual warhead"?
Eliminatus
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Not sure either. Translation issue maybe?

There are tandem warheads, dual purpose, and dual mode types as well to my knowledge in this context.

Tandem I think makes the most sense here and would increase the charge weight as well, which the other two really won't. At least not to that degree. It's what the British Storm Shadow uses for example, their fancy pants named BROACH warhead.
sclaff
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I interpret it as almost doubling the bang
Ag with kids
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I also need to point out that THIS is one of their front line bombers/cruise missile launchers...



The B-52 is old af and it makes this Tu-95 looks like a Wright Flyer...
AlaskanAg99
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Does that relic still have tail guns?!?!
aTm '99
agent-maroon
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It looks like a father-son DIY build project they did in the garage. Maybe it'll look better after they sand down the bondo.
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MookieBlaylock
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2023NCAggies
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Russia must have a crap load of old military gear

Putin is going through the old Soviet gear pretty quick. He better have a bunch of factories up and running producing new gear.

I'm sure they'll get a bunch of gear through China from Iran
JB!98
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Ag with kids said:

I also need to point out that THIS is one of their front line bombers/cruise missile launchers...



The B-52 is old af and it makes this Tu-95 looks like a Wright Flyer...
The Bear has been around for a very long time.

cslifer
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You do realize that the B52 and Tu95 airframes are just about identical in age right? While the B52 has obviously been modernized and is superior both of them blow stuff up just fine.
MouthBQ98
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Russia has figured out Ukraine doesn't defend urban areas because the fixed positions and cover available to both sides in Urban combat equalizes the loss ratios. The Ukrainians now generally withdraw from a town once it is reached and then wait for a Russia to attempt to attack over open ground. There are a few exceptions of course, but that seems to be the general pattern.

AtticusMatlock
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The one pictured is actually the most modern version, the Tu-95MS. The upgraded external hard points for long range cruise missiles and modern avionics/electronics started rolling out less than 10 years ago.
74OA
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Previously, Ukraine countered with firepower, but that has been hamstrung recently by the lack of US aid.

nortex97
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Yes. And both the B-52 and Bears will likely hit 100 years in service. Pretty incredible. Being able to fly unrefueled up to 8,000 miles to launch stand off weapons in great quantity/tonnage is a useful tactical capability.

Guardian updates;
Quote:

  • Russia launched 16 missiles and 11 drones at Ukraine in an overnight air attack, Ukraine's air force said on Sunday morning. In a statement on Telegram, the air force said it had managed to down nine of the drones and nine of the missiles. It did not identify their targets.
  • The Russian air force conducted a massive strike on Ukraine's energy infrastructure and gas industry overnight, the Russian defence ministry said on Sunday. Thousands in Ukraine's Odesa region were temporarily left without power after debris from a downed Russian drone caused a blaze at an energy facility.
  • Ukraine launched ten Czech-made Vampire rockets at the Russian border region of Belgorod, according to Russia's Ministry of Defence. One woman was injured when a fire broke out following the attack, regional governor Vyacheslav Gladkov said.
  • "There is no night or day when Russian terror does not try to break our lives," Ukraine president Volodymyr Zelenskiy wrote in an Easter Sunday message to Ukrainians on social media, following Russian missile strikes on the country overnight. Pope Francis called for a prisoner swap between Russia and Ukraine in his Easter message: "In calling for respect for the principles of international law, I express my hope for a general exchange of all prisoners between Russia and Ukraine: all for the sake of all," he said.
  • France will deliver hundreds of old armoured vehicles and new surface-to-air missiles to Ukraine in its war against Russia. French defence minister Sebastien Lecornu told a French newspaper that president Emmanuel Macron had asked him to prepare a new aid package, which will include old but still functional equipment, as well as new missiles.
  • Russia launched a "counter-terrorism operation" regime in the southern region of Dagestan, detaining three people by Sunday morning. "Security agencies detained three bandits who were planning a number of terrorist offences. During the inspection of the places where the criminals were detained, automatic weapons, ammunition and an improvised explosive device ready for use were found," Russia's National Anti-Terrorism Committee said, according to Russian news agencies.

Nice message, kudo's;

MaroonStain
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Page 2 bump TTT and get back to bookmark
74OA
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Russia sends rare Soviet-era VIP escape vehicle to Ukraine. Scraping the bottom of the barrel for armor, it seems.

VIP
docb
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https://www.twz.com/news-features/ukraine-situation-report-russian-armor-massacre-at-avdiivka
74OA
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"A video has emerged showing a disastrous Russian assault on the Avdiivka front, which took place over the weekend, reportedly leaving 20 of the Kremlin's armored vehicles destroyed. While we have seen other large-scale Russian armored assaults, various accounts suggest this might be the biggest of its kind of the conflict so far, spearheaded by a column of 48 Russian armored vehicles."

Today's SITREP.
docb
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https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/ukraine-russia-war-news-latest-putin-drones-b2521956.html
Deepest strike yet?
docb
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https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2024/04/01/ukraine-might-be-getting-34-billion-in-american-weapons-and-soon/
nortex97
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BBC Journalist, reporting on Shoigu statement:


agent-maroon
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Cool. Where do they anticipate finding the fresh meat to "train"?
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