MouthBQ98 said:
They are losing a reinforced battalion A DAY in men and equipment. No military can sustain that today and continue to function effectively for very long.
Their capabilities will continue to degrade as they continue to lose and body of trained and experienced veterans to wasteful attrition, though I am sure they do concentrate some of those on special units that are effective.
No functional and effective military can sustain that but with a large chunk of the Adiivka assault forces, "functional" is a blurry line. One of the more fascinating side stories to this whole thing for me is to watch the degradation of the Russian ground force capabilities. For many of their established units It's been BTGs >>> modified BTGs >>> Assault doctrine groups >>> Storm "Z" >>> a literal mob of unwashed peasants. Granted, this is not every unit in the Russians TOE, with several of their more historically elite units maintaining a semblance of order and proficiency. But a significant portion of their ground units now follow that chain above.
Several Russian POWs claim that turnaround from signing the paper to actively fighting in Adiivka was less than 2 months. At best, that leaves less than a month of any sort of training and I would be surprised if it were even that much. Let's be blunt here. Russia has a plethora of ignorant lower class men. The sort that make up these attack groups and where most of their losses are coming from. Russia as a nation, i.e. Putin, can afford to lose huge swathes of them and feel nothing, at least for the near term. (Generational demographic damage notwithstanding). They also have honed in this type of attritional warfare for centuries. It was their main doctrine in WW2 for example once they broke out from Stalingrad. Build up a huge force and then attack, attack, attack until it ran out of soldiers/supplies and then take an operational pause to build up another force. Rinse and repeat all the way to Berlin. It's essentially a national trait at this point. Smash your guys into a wall until it breaks. Mix all of this with one of the more effective propaganda arms this world has seen and it culminates in an "Us vs the world" mentality and fueled by a strong nationalist spirit by much of their people. Especially the older generations, the ones making the decisions.
All this to say, their threshold for breaking is much higher than a first world western nations and expectations should have already been tempered to reflect that by now. Especially when they are the ones effectively controlling the pace of it. It sucks to see such a waste of life but Russia wants this. Simple as that. And it is beyond clear that in order to push them out of Ukraine, you are going to have to kill enough of them to make even the Russians blink. They are not going to give up otherwise. That is the harsh reality with 2+ years of proof.