***Russian - Ukraine War Tactical and Strategic Updates*** [Warning on OP]

8,009,382 Views | 48566 Replies | Last: 9 hrs ago by docb
Waffledynamics
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Not even sure anyone's there to stop them from "storming" it.
lb3
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https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidhambling/2023/03/24/russia-braces-for-attack-by-50000-ukrainian-kamikaze-drones-seeks-shotguns/


ETA: This is how those small drones are used. Those are racing drones with high power and minimal electronics.

FamousAgg
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There are at least 7
txags92
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I count 11 stacks, stacked 10 deep each, but I am not familiar with the drone design to know if they are quad copter drones or dual copter, such that each stack would be 20. So at least 110, maybe 220.
sclaff
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Speaking of drones….

CondensedFogAggie
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Part 1 and 2 of some pretty insane footage

30+ Russians approaching and attacking a small Ukrainian trench.

But the Ukes have close artillery support, and later on their tanks come in to mop up/chase away the rest.

Can't believe the bravery of the Ukes in the trench repelling the attack.



CondensedFogAggie
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Is this... real?

CondensedFogAggie
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Meanwhile

74OA
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What is the purpose of the large oval-shaped earth berm in the background of the clip?
MouthBQ98
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Looks like larger unit training, at least company sized if not battalion. That means it it likely units will be deployed like that, at that scale, to me.
74OA
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Today's SITREP.

"The "Ukrainians are doing a very effective area defense that has proven to be very costly to the Russians," Milley said. "For about the last 20, 21 days, the Russians have not made any progress whatsoever. So it's a slaughter-fest for the Russians. They're getting hammered in the vicinity of Bakhmut. The Ukrainians have fought very, very well. That's also true across the entire frontline trace from Kreminna all the way down to Kherson. The Ukrainians have fought a remarkable defensive fight and the Russians have not achieved their strategic objectives."
Faustus
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From Ukraine's POV, so take it with a grain of salt.

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/30/world/europe/ukraine-bakhmut-russia.html

Quote:

Ukrainians Directing Soldiers From a Hidden Hub See Bakhmut Going Their Way

Ukrainian commanders say they have exhausted Russia's relentless assaults on the eastern city, though soldiers say the cost in lives has been steep.
. . .
Hidden in the bowels of an unmarked building, set well back from the fighting, a command center directing operations in the city of Bakhmut was high-tech and humming. Soldiers monitored video screens with live feeds of destroyed buildings and a cratered battlefield.

Six weeks after coming to help defend Bakhmut, the men of the Adam Tactical Group, one of Ukraine's most effective battle units, were quietly confident they had turned the tide against Russian troops trying to encircle and capture it.

"The enemy exhausted all its reserves," the commander, Col. Yevhen Mezhevikin, 40, said on Tuesday, straddling a chair as artillery, air defense and intelligence-gathering teams worked around him.
. . .
Russia has lost extraordinary numbers of troops in the battle, and Ukraine large numbers too, and as casualties have mounted, so has the political symbolism of the city. Kremlin officials have described it as a necessary prize in the campaign to seize Ukraine's Donbas region. To Ukraine, it has become an important line to hold, both to whittle down Russia's forces and to deprive them of a victory.

But now, Colonel Mezhevikin said, the Russian assaults have slowed and the imminent threat of encirclement has been thwarted. "The density of assaults dropped by several times," he said. "Before, they could assault in all directions simultaneously and in groups of not less than 20, 30 or 40 people, but gradually it is dying down."
. . .
The commander's description aligned with those of Ukraine's most senior military commander, Gen. Valery Zaluzhnyi, and his commander of ground forces in the east, Gen. Oleksandr Syrsky. Both have said in recent days that the situation of Bakhmut was stabilizing, even with heavy fighting for some Ukrainian units.
. . .
On the city's northern and southern flanks, where Russian troops had tried to encircle Bakhmut in a pincers movement, the Russians were coming up against Ukraine's most motivated units and no longer had momentum, he said.

"When they try to reinforce their units, to rotate, they are being destroyed at the very start," he added.

The center of Bakhmut, however, remained a hot spot where Russian troops were still attacking with significant force, the commander said: "All that's left for them is to try to advance through the city, because the buildings protect them from fire."

Accounts from Ukrainian soldiers fighting inside the city indicated that Russian troops had concentrated their efforts on advancing through the city center by using heavy artillery and aerial bombardment, demolishing resistance block by block. Some Ukrainian units have taken heavy losses and have had to be rotated out or reinforced by other units.
. . .
The Russians had meanwhile stalled, he said, concurring with the commander of the Adam Tactical Group.

"Now they stopped," Mr. Filimonov said. "We have a strong line. But we need a strong counterattack."

As some other commanders have noted, there are weaknesses and gaps in the Russian defenses. "The same way they can encircle us, they can also be encircled by us if we pierce their defense at any place," Mr. Filimonov said.

The Russians realize the danger themselves, he said, and Yevgeny Prigozhin, the head of the Wagner private military company, which is doing much of the fighting at Bakhmut, publicly warned of the danger in a video post as he called for more military support for his own forces.
. . .

The military operations of a major Ukrainian battle group defending the city of Bakhmut from an unnamed location in eastern Ukraine.Credit...Carlotta Gall/The New York Times


An aerial view of Bakhmut on Sunday. "This battle is a kind of shooting range with a parallel raining of artillery on us," one Ukrainian soldier wrote on the Telegram app.Credit...Libkos/Associated Press
txags92
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CondensedFogAggie said:


Is this... real?


Russia is doing great and the sanctions aren't impacting Russia's manufacturing at all!

/Putin Bros
AgLA06
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CondensedFogAggie said:


Is this... real?


I'm amazed they still work. Maybe they're doing better at maintenance and upkeep than we thought.
Faustus
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As been detailed before, but Turkey is expected to approve today or tomorrow Finland's accession to NATO.

Hungary and Turkey are still holding up Sweden's application.

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2023/03/30/world/russia-ukraine-news?name=styln-russia-ukraine®ion=TOP_BANNER&block=storyline_menu_recirc&action=click&pgtype=Article&variant=undefined

Quote:

BRUSSELS Turkey's Parliament was expected to ratify Finland's bid to join NATO on Thursday, removing the Nordic nation's last obstacle toward membership and sharply enlarging the alliance's border with Russia.

Once the Turkish Parliament votes, only paperwork remains an exchange of letters and the filing of Finland's accession documents, already complete, with the State Department in Washington. The United States serves as the depository of NATO under the alliance's founding treaty.
. . .
For Finland to join the North Atlantic Treaty Organization after decades of military nonalignment would be a major shift in the balance of power in the region between the West and Russia, adding another alliance member on Russia's border as it fights its war in Ukraine.

It would also hand a significant diplomatic and strategic defeat to Russia's president, Vladimir V. Putin, who made it clear before invading Ukraine last year that he intended to block NATO's eastward expansion.
. . .
AgLA06
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txags92 said:

CondensedFogAggie said:


Is this... real?


Russia is doing great and the sanctions aren't impacting Russia's manufacturing at all!

/Putin Bros
The more I see of this "special operations" the more confused I am with Russian equipment.

Are they so F'ed that this is all they can scrape together?

Are they scared to send new equipment that they expect to get chewed up and lose future arms deals?

Did they get smart and start sending **** they should have disposed of decades ago to soak up ammo and men?

Does this take up a lot of their capability to repair and modernize more current models in storage?

I'm drawn to strategy in business. I'd love to be a fly on the wall listening to intelligence briefings.

lb3
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More drones?

These are DJI drones. I hope the Ukes have figured out custom firmware to b/c these consumer drones can broadcast unencrypted locations and other data.
txags92
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lb3 said:

More drones?

These are DJI drones. I hope the Ukes have figured out custom firmware to b/c these consumer drones can broadcast unencrypted locations and other data.

DJI has reportedly been working very closely with the Ukes on developing and using their products, so I would not be at all suprised if these are using some proprietary or encrypted means of communication.
AgLA06
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txags92 said:

lb3 said:

More drones?

These are DJI drones. I hope the Ukes have figured out custom firmware to b/c these consumer drones can broadcast unencrypted locations and other data.

DJI has reportedly been working very closely with the Ukes on developing and using their products, so I would not be at all suprised if these are using some proprietary or encrypted means of communication.
That's good. Earlier in the war it was rumored that DJI (China) was providing help to friend Russia and it was hurting the Ukes.
benchmark
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Quote:

It would also hand a significant diplomatic and strategic defeat to Russia's president, Vladimir V. Putin, who made it clear before invading Ukraine last year that he intended to block NATO's eastward expansion.
Interesting paradigms. If previously nonaligned Finland aspires to join NATO - it's freewill. However, if a former soviet state aspires to join NATO - it's evidence of American eastward expansionist meddling.
txags92
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AgLA06 said:

txags92 said:

lb3 said:

More drones?

These are DJI drones. I hope the Ukes have figured out custom firmware to b/c these consumer drones can broadcast unencrypted locations and other data.

DJI has reportedly been working very closely with the Ukes on developing and using their products, so I would not be at all suprised if these are using some proprietary or encrypted means of communication.
That's good. Earlier in the war it was rumored that DJI (China) was providing help to friend Russia and it was hurting the Ukes.
I suspect it may be the local distributors more so than the parent company that has been helping Ukraine adapt the drones for wartime purposes. DJI at one point early in the war had supposedly halted sales to both Russia and Ukraine, saying they didn't want their drones being used for war, but that may have just been posturing for the public eye. I suspect they recognize there is a lot more money to be made selling drones to the west than there is selling them to Russia, so have probably leaned towards not ticking off the west. They just reportedly stopped selling their drone detection system a few weeks ago, which may have been a deal with the west to prevent the Orcs from using it to attack Ukrainian operators.

China based company DJI stops producing drone detection system after being accused of helping Russia to target Ukraine (bnn.network)
Waffledynamics
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Quote:

Russian Ministry of Defense claims Russian air defense shot down new Ukrainian Operational-Tactical Missile Hrim-2


https://liveuamap.com/en/2023/30-march-russian-ministry-of-defense-claims-russian-air-defense
AgLA06
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Waffledynamics said:

Quote:

Russian Ministry of Defense claims Russian air defense shot down new Ukrainian Operational-Tactical Missile Hrim-2


https://liveuamap.com/en/2023/30-march-russian-ministry-of-defense-claims-russian-air-defense
50/50 they shot down another of their own assets?
Waffledynamics
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74OA
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400K more working age men taken out of an economy that was already handicapped by a labor shortage even before the war started. Anyway, the word is out what happens to "volunteers", so good luck with that, Vlad.

Rossticus
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More meat for the grinder. I never thought we'd see such wanton large scale disregard for one's countrymen in the course of an offensive land grab again.
PJYoung
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https://newrepublic.com/article/171481/putin-russia-economy-going-broke-fast-why


The price of Russian oil fell from $92.20 a barrel a year ago to $49.50 this month. That's a 46 percent decline. Those figures come from the Kremlin Finance Ministry.
74OA
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Finland to NATO a done deal.

Thanks, Vlad
AgLA06
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74OA said:

Finland to NATO a done deal.

Thanks, Vlad


With this, Ukraine is a win for the UN.
74OA
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Today's SITREP. Initial Patriot training complete.
CondensedFogAggie
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Faustus said:



The military operations of a major Ukrainian battle group defending the city of Bakhmut from an unnamed location in eastern Ukraine.Credit...Carlotta Gall/The New York Times

Is that a zoom and discord webpage they have open?

Well whatever it takes to destroy the vatnik rapists murderers
CondensedFogAggie
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Speaking of Bradleys, found this amusing post

Not a Bot
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Not a Bot
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CondensedFogAggie
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The brave Ukrainian troops are helpless against this immortal enemy

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