Colonel General Muradov has Commanded the Eastern Military District since October of 2022 and was reportedly in charge of the Failed Offensive during the Battle of Vuhledar, while Colonel General Nikiforov was just Promoted to Western Military District Commander in January.
— OSINTdefender (@sentdefender) March 28, 2023
***Russian - Ukraine War Tactical and Strategic Updates*** [Warning on OP]
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The invasion must be going exactly to plan if they keep removing these guys from their posts to promote them. They are removing them to promote them, right? Right?Not a Bot said:Colonel General Muradov has Commanded the Eastern Military District since October of 2022 and was reportedly in charge of the Failed Offensive during the Battle of Vuhledar, while Colonel General Nikiforov was just Promoted to Western Military District Commander in January.
— OSINTdefender (@sentdefender) March 28, 2023
Drones Drones Drones RECON FIRE CONTROL DIRECT ATTACK.
Ukes catch orc INF staged to assault in a trench and destroy. Parts of this were posted a week ago.
https://www.reddit.com/r/UkraineWarVideoReport/comments/124mogk/ukrainian_artillery_work_on_a_russian_trench/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3
Had what appeared to be orcs catching a Mech INF column of ukes reinforcing Bakhmut but the comments mostly question the authenticity because of the poster is so I am not adding.
Ukes catch orc INF staged to assault in a trench and destroy. Parts of this were posted a week ago.
https://www.reddit.com/r/UkraineWarVideoReport/comments/124mogk/ukrainian_artillery_work_on_a_russian_trench/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3
Had what appeared to be orcs catching a Mech INF column of ukes reinforcing Bakhmut but the comments mostly question the authenticity because of the poster is so I am not adding.
Unlike our NATO allies who, by and large, let both their munitions production lines and stockpiles atrophy since the fall of the USSR, the US Army fortunately started the war with what were then considered very healthy stockpiles of basic munitions. It is now working to rejuvenate US production capacity to backfill munitions donated to Ukraine and expand stockage levels.
"The Army is spending $1.45 billion on capacity "to expand 155mm artillery production from 14,000 a month to over 24,000 later this year," and 85,000 in five years, Camarillo said at the Association of the U.S. Army's Global Force Symposium in Huntsville, Alabama." BOOST
"The Army is spending $1.45 billion on capacity "to expand 155mm artillery production from 14,000 a month to over 24,000 later this year," and 85,000 in five years, Camarillo said at the Association of the U.S. Army's Global Force Symposium in Huntsville, Alabama." BOOST
Russia's economy was hit hard initially but it has chugged along relatively well thanks to the very high prices of natural gas and oil. That seems to be changing now and it will be interesting to see what effect that has on Putin's ability to continue.
Crude Oil
Natural Gas
Crude Oil
Natural Gas
Capping the price of Russian oil is a delicate balancing act. Has to be set where it materially constricts Russia's profit from energy sales while not materially constraining global energy supply. So far, so good.
Russia says it's still selling a huge amount of oil, but it's at such a low price it can only cover its war costs by running up a budget deficit. To cover the delta, it has already slashed domestic spending for this coming year and is steadily drawing down its currency reserves to fund a vast increase in military and security spending.
An economic tipping point is coming. DEFICIT
Russia says it's still selling a huge amount of oil, but it's at such a low price it can only cover its war costs by running up a budget deficit. To cover the delta, it has already slashed domestic spending for this coming year and is steadily drawing down its currency reserves to fund a vast increase in military and security spending.
An economic tipping point is coming. DEFICIT
Not really; it's the comparison to last year. WaPo;
They're mainly shipping it to India where it is refined and re-exported over to places like Europe, and NY. Last month India shipped 89,000 barrels a day to New York of gas and diesel.Quote:
Experts disagree over whether the price caps will significantly undermine Russia's ability to finance its brutal war in Ukraine.
For the majority of 2022, no export sanctions were in place, allowing Moscow to earn $383.7 billion in hydrocarbon exports last year, an absolute record for the 27 years of historical data, according to the statistics released by Russia's Federal Customs Service this week.
Over the first year of war and sanctions, Russia was also able to stockpile about $80 billion in foreign assets, which according to a Bloomberg Economics estimate, is now dispersed across cash deposits, real estate and investments, and helped the Kremlin maintain its financial footing.
"If we talk about the full financial sanctions, it was a freezing of around $300 billion, but at the same time, export revenue were twice that much, and imports have collapsed," said Oleg Itskhoki, a professor of economics at the University of California. "As a result, there was this dramatic inflow of currency into the Russian economy of more than a billion dollars a day."
That could now change as the new measures start to bite.
"This is the first time that we will see the Russian economy under a scarcity of financing, and it's very hard to predict how sharp this will be," Itskhoki said. "It doesn't look like these effects are so dramatic, to be honest, and the reason is, Russia managed to reroute most of the oil, crude oil sales to Asia."
Another record-breaking revenue year seems out of reach for Russia but a huge drop is hardly guaranteed.
"If we're talking about a 20 to 30 percent decline relative to 2022, and 20 to 30 percent of those revenue is a lot of money," Itskhoki said. "But the revenue were so high in 2022 because of high oil prices, so this decline is not going to be enough to trigger a crisis."
Assuming oil prices stay on the weaker side (and that's probably a big assumption) I am guessing a 35-40% or so drop in the price of crude oil compared to 2022 will absolutely hurt Russia's war effort.Quote:
The 2022 annual average OPEC oil price stood at $100.08 U.S. dollars per barrel. This is up from $69.89 U.S. dollars the previous year
Thread: https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1640727321509351424.html
#Russian sources claimed on Mar. 27 that the 136th Motorized Rifle Brigade is operating in the #Zaporizhia direction... [B]ut a Russian milblogger claimed on Mar. 21 that unspecified elements of the 136th are instead operating in the #Avdiivka direction. 2/
— ISW (@TheStudyofWar) March 28, 2023
We will never forget you.
— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) March 28, 2023
Major Denys Kyrylyuk, deputy commander of the tactical aviation brigade's aviation squadron 831, died on March 28.
80 combat sorties, 70 of which took place during a full-scale invasion.
He received the Order of Courage III degree in August 2022. pic.twitter.com/jp1BdFfvpg
Recent footage of a Ukrainian sniper taking down 5 vatniks. Carry on.
A savage Ukrainian sniper, footage from Bakhmut recently. He’s like a Ukrainian “White Death” (Finnish sniper, the deadliest sniper in history) pic.twitter.com/ZURaN0SRoz
— Ukraine War (@Ukraine_WarNews) March 28, 2023
Its been widely reported that Europeans have trained many thousands of Ukrainians over the last year in basic infantry skills and the US is currently pushing a fourth mech/artillery battalion thru combined arms training in Germany, but some may not be aware that the US has also been helping Ukraine modernize its war fighting doctrine since 2016.
DOCTRINE[url=https://www.defensenews.com/land/2023/03/28/how-us-trainers-helped-ukraine-reinvent-its-doctrine/][/url]
INSURGENCY
DOCTRINE[url=https://www.defensenews.com/land/2023/03/28/how-us-trainers-helped-ukraine-reinvent-its-doctrine/][/url]
INSURGENCY
Any experienced shooters able to provide a range estimate? As an engineer my back of the envelope calculations put it at close to 300m. If I could count the number of frames between shot and impact on my phone I could do a bit better.CondensedFogAggie said:
Recent footage of a Ukrainian sniper taking down 5 vatniks. Carry on.A savage Ukrainian sniper, footage from Bakhmut recently. He’s like a Ukrainian “White Death” (Finnish sniper, the deadliest sniper in history) pic.twitter.com/ZURaN0SRoz
— Ukraine War (@Ukraine_WarNews) March 28, 2023
lb3 said:Any experienced shooters able to provide a range estimate? As an engineer my back of the envelope calculations put it at close to 300m. If I could count the number of frames between shot and impact on my phone I could do a bit better.CondensedFogAggie said:
Recent footage of a Ukrainian sniper taking down 5 vatniks. Carry on.A savage Ukrainian sniper, footage from Bakhmut recently. He’s like a Ukrainian “White Death” (Finnish sniper, the deadliest sniper in history) pic.twitter.com/ZURaN0SRoz
— Ukraine War (@Ukraine_WarNews) March 28, 2023
That's a pretty weak scope for 300 meters?
You're probably right. On my phone I can't see much but I was estimating that he was leading his last target by about 18 inches. If the target was moving 3 mph that equals a time of flight of just over 1/3 of a second. But looking at some of the other shots the time of flight is longer.
Now I'm really curious. Will start counting video frames after wife goes to bed.
Now I'm really curious. Will start counting video frames after wife goes to bed.
Bird Poo said:
That's a pretty weak scope for 300 meters?
Thermal scopes don't have near the range capabilities compared to a normal scope.
Unless you're getting into vehicle or aircraft mounted types Nice to have a big power supply hooked up. I've seen some OH-58D and Apache videos from Iraq that were pretty impressive.CS78 said:Bird Poo said:
That's a pretty weak scope for 300 meters?
Thermal scopes don't have near the range capabilities compared to a normal scope.
Something small and light enough to be usefully mounted on a rifle is a lot more limited. But even being able to shoot targets 2-300m away in the dark is dang nasty.
Ukraine amasses forces ahead of the coming offensive.#Ukraine #UkraineWar pic.twitter.com/Y8fm3GPUKQ
— WhereisRussiaToday (@WhereisRussia) March 29, 2023
Not that the Russians can hit the broad side of a barn with any of their missiles these days, but it seems unwise to have that much armor and equipment piled up that close together in the open, assuming the photo is what it says it is.GAC06 said:Ukraine amasses forces ahead of the coming offensive.#Ukraine #UkraineWar pic.twitter.com/Y8fm3GPUKQ
— WhereisRussiaToday (@WhereisRussia) March 29, 2023
Can you explain further? I'm not familiar with it.JFABNRGR said:
If this is legit, what an outstanding move.
https://instagr.am/p/CqXsMLQMmZi
Roll em out on display, disperse them and replace with tank mock-ups. Bomb away Russia
Company I-1, Ord-Ords '85 -12thFan and Websider-
Touchless said:Can you explain further? I'm not familiar with it.JFABNRGR said:
If this is legit, what an outstanding move.
https://instagr.am/p/CqXsMLQMmZi
Go to the instagram post and it explains it. They figured out the name of one of the people responsible for the bombing of mariupol. The reached out to his wife, posing as a superior officer trying to boost unit morale, and had her arrange a photo shoot with the wives of the rest of the unit. And were able to use that to identify the rest of the members of the unit responsible for bombing mariupol.Touchless said:Can you explain further? I'm not familiar with it.JFABNRGR said:
If this is legit, what an outstanding move.
https://instagr.am/p/CqXsMLQMmZi
I counted 6.CondensedFogAggie said:
Recent footage of a Ukrainian sniper taking down 5 vatniks. Carry on.A savage Ukrainian sniper, footage from Bakhmut recently. He’s like a Ukrainian “White Death” (Finnish sniper, the deadliest sniper in history) pic.twitter.com/ZURaN0SRoz
— Ukraine War (@Ukraine_WarNews) March 28, 2023
Looks like the crosshair is generally right around the lower back/butt area when firing but they all drop hard. Would this be due to focusing on a mil dot above the target area or is the target area lower to try and come in under any armor? I assume whatever gun the sniper is using would be strong enough to pierce the armor anyway.
When shooting at a steep angle you would aim shorter/lower than normal. Sometimes shooters don't want to mess with the dope and aim slightly off. That looks to be an older thermal scope where they were probably within 300y.
I wouldn't doubt if the video was fake with how hard they went down without moving.
I wouldn't doubt if the video was fake with how hard they went down without moving.
GAC06 said:Ukraine amasses forces ahead of the coming offensive.#Ukraine #UkraineWar pic.twitter.com/Y8fm3GPUKQ
— WhereisRussiaToday (@WhereisRussia) March 29, 2023
Redditt comments this is from 2014. I reviewed twice quickly and cant ID a western supplied asset nor do I think the Ukes would mass like this anywhere in Ukraine or let a pic out like this unless it was 3 weeks old and held no opsec value.
Thanks. Don't have instagram. Sometimes it will allow me to see a pic when I click on it, others it just says to log in.txags92 said:Go to the instagram post and it explains it. They figured out the name of one of the people responsible for the bombing of mariupol. The reached out to his wife, posing as a superior officer trying to boost unit morale, and had her arrange a photo shoot with the wives of the rest of the unit. And were able to use that to identify the rest of the members of the unit responsible for bombing mariupol.Touchless said:Can you explain further? I'm not familiar with it.JFABNRGR said:
If this is legit, what an outstanding move.
https://instagr.am/p/CqXsMLQMmZi
I'm no expert, but I do shoot quite a bit. I thought fake all along. The crosshairs are bouncing around too much to produce that many back-to-back kills IMO.P.U.T.U said:
When shooting at a steep angle you would aim shorter/lower than normal. Sometimes shooters don't want to mess with the dope and aim slightly off. That looks to be an older thermal scope where they were probably within 300y.
I wouldn't doubt if the video was fake with how hard they went down without moving.
Thx, I don't do meta/facebook/insta whatever either. Found a reddit story/thread on it, can't tell if there's any actual truth to it or not. Russian opsec is not exactly cutting edge/top shelf, who knows. Did the Russians paint the "Z" on their invading aircraft/tanks?
NM.
Another 14 (PT-91 Twardy) tanks from #Poland ontheir way to #Ukraine.
— Ukraine News 🇺🇦 (@Ukrainene) March 28, 2023
“In the coming days, we will hand over very good PT-91 tanks to Ukraine. So, another 60 tanks will arrive in Ukraine,” Morawiecki said. pic.twitter.com/i8MSe2v3N5
This is Entirely False and it is sad to see General Milley who is the Chairman of the Joint-Chiefs spew this when he also knows it isn’t true; Wagner Forces have Captured multiple Settlement to the North of Bakhmut over the last 20 Days and they have also Captured the AZOM… https://t.co/IoNbWeuMZz
— OSINTdefender (@sentdefender) March 29, 2023
Wagner Forces are reported to currently be Storming the Center of Bakhmut near the Administration and City Council Building. pic.twitter.com/wcItWcTZBf
— OSINTdefender (@sentdefender) March 29, 2023
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