Agthatbuilds said:
How accurate do you think he is in his assessment?
I don't trust him any farther than I can throw him. If he's putting out something publicly it's for his own benefit in one way or another.
He's also publicly floated that he plans to wind down Wagner involvement in Ukraine and focus on Africa. Either he's trying to squeeze the Kremlin or now that he's out of convicts he's worried he'll lose too many of his more highly trained assets if he remains involved at the front.
Killing a bunch of rebels and villagers in Africa is far less costly than fighting agains an actual army as the tip of the spear. Better business decision if he's not getting sufficient support and concessions from Putin.