Rossticus said:

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as an aside, kind of wild that russia never took kharkiv, which is *right there* by the border

— Gerry Doyle (@mgerrydoyle) April 29, 2022

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Ultimately if russia has the the east and the south they don't care about the north. Russian can effectively slow bleed to death, Ukraine by controlling the line from Luhansk to Donetsk to Dnipro down along the Dneiper river all the way to the Black Sea and around to the west through Odesa. They will be cut off from the Black sea, Crimea will have fresh water, and russia will have stolen all the agriculture and O&G in this area where its already most concentrated. They will also have several mines and any steel factories they haven't ****ing destroyed.

The destruction of the bridges down at Kherson is not a good sign IMO. A must do if you can't control that AO or be able to soon retake. I thought they were having better gains down there but russia has deeper pockets currently. Can they take it back by incoming improvements while russia depletes its resources only time will tell. I just pray its not a too little too late thing. For sure it would have been cheaper had we done what was necessary to prevent the genocide and then should have gone all in with aiding once we failed the prevention part. What I mean by this is more lives could have been spared and kicking russia out sooner would have left Ukraine cheaper to rebuild and with assets to help rebuild itself. Like steel plants, tractors, hectares of fields to plant and many more.

Since most of the Globe is affected by this. Somebody ought to come up with a plan in which migrants who put in one year of honorable service in rebuilding (assumes UKR with land to rebuild) get priority points towards legal immigration somewhere. Maybe even lottery type final destination.

That music....

https://www.reddit.com/r/RussiaUkraineWar2022/comments/ue27t4/ukrainian_pov_combat_footage_from_mariupol/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3

AgLA06 said:

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Quote:

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it could be what triggers Putin to doing something stupid.

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If I never heard this again it would be too soon.

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Sorry, I agree with you, and maybe that came off as being histrionic and I didn't intend it to be. I am firmly in the corner of giving the Ukes what they need to stop the Russians

TH36 said:

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Thanks for posting that. Been looking for a way to make a donation, just sent y'all $100.

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Thanks! I rarely endorse anything, but after them pulling off deliveries in Mariupol, I felt it was time to see if it appealed to this thread.

I agree that the US and much of Europe drug their heels with wishful thinking and happy ideals of negotiations and cooler heads. What I sense is now the resolve by many countries to stand behind Ukraine and ensure that all reasonable means are provided in order to ensure victory. This means telling Putin to color outside the lines at his own risk.

Russia doesn't need the north but they can't encircle and eliminate the Sevorodonetsk salient if the supply lines for their north to south line of advance are severed. This would allow bisection of the eastern area of control and the possibility to then push south and attack Sevostopol from distance, where much of their southern air defenses and naval assets are housed.

If Ukraine can then bottleneck their heavy logistical feed to the Crimean bridge and then cut off Crimea via either blowing the bridge or isolating the peninsula then Russia is toast. A lot has to fall right but it all starts with eliminating N/NE supply routes from Russia.

Ukraine threatening Crimea puts Russia in a bad position. Pull troops from the east to reinforce and watch out.

I'm really looking forward to seeing what Ukraine can begin to do with just those 100-ish M777s. Those and all the other goodies they'll have at their disposal soon will allow their capabilities to evolve rapidly over the next 10 days.

American killed fighting for Ukraine

https://www.cnn.com/2022/04/28/politics/american-killed-ukraine/index.html

"Today, at about 8 am, there was a self-destruction of the railway bridge in Akimovka, Melitopol region. Through this bridge, the infidels supplied weapons and fuel from the Crimea. After self-liquidation, the Muscovites began to panic, as they understood that we would get them all around."

pic.twitter.com/5zn6FdFhrv

— AS74🇱🇹🇺🇦 (@AS7404542949) April 28, 2022

WolfCall said:

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Interesting article in the British press on hypersonic missile capability....

https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1602681/putin-russia-ukraine-nasa-hypersonic-missile

Quote:

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Putin's panic as NASA makes killer AI for hypersonic missiles capable of wiping out armies
NASA has given the West a major boost in the hypersonic missile arms race using artificial intelligence.
By CHARLES HARRISON 16:35, Thu, Apr 28, 2022 | UPDATED: 18:41, Thu, Apr 28, 2022

The latest hypersonic missiles are reportedly so complex they require a computer to build them, and NASA has created an AI to do just that. Hypersonic missiles travel at over Mach 5 (3,836mph), meaning they can strike anywhere on the planet within an hour of being launched. These devastating weapons can carry nukes and avoid almost all missile defence systems as they cannot react fast enough, all while operating with a high level of precision.

But due to the large amount of power and fuel required to reach these high speeds, their application has so far been limited by relying on using rockets.

However, writes tech writer Will Lockett, an alternative option is a "scramjet".

Scramjet stands for supersonic combustion ramjet, and works exactly the same as a jet on a plane, but with no moving parts.

Mr Lockett explains: "In a typical jet a turbine compresses the incoming air, fuel is then injected and ignited, which then forces the air out of the jet, creating thrust. But a scramjet does away with the turbine.

"Instead, it uses the craft's speed to ram air into the combustion chamber with sufficient pressure to get optimal combustion.

"This makes them far more efficient and powerful than an average jet."....

....

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Wasn't putin or some other delusional rooski blathering about "capabilities no other country has" just the other day? He better not look back...

Quote:

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Full thread:

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1519893784590491650.html

2/ Weather Impact. The 10-day forecast for eastern Ukraine favors Russian offensive operations. Partly cloudy skies will not degrade VKS sorties or UAV operations. Higher temps (16-21 C) will start to dry out areas with extensive mud, slightly improving offroad movement. pic.twitter.com/Mt8Y9vrwao

— Jomini of the West (@JominiW) April 29, 2022

An oil depot is on fire in the Kirov district of the Russian-occupied city of Donetsk, Ukraine. pic.twitter.com/nY9eOGpie2

— Michael MacKay (@mhmck) April 29, 2022

Happy bedtime story from tomorrow morning. And by "happy", I mean better the Russians than the Ukes. The Russians look like they're just kids. It's a shame. Lots of folks dying just to attempt to add claim over another peoples' country to a wing nut autocrat's legacy. G'night TexAgs.

GM. Story time.

It was April. #Russian artillerymen came to the #Ukrainian steppes on a special operation, with malice in their little hearts.

One early morning, however, their trip was abruptly cut short when they neglected to secure their rear.

Glory to #Ukraine✊🏻🇺🇦 pic.twitter.com/vEJqc1BP4p

— Canadian Ukrainian Volunteer 🇺🇦🇨🇦✊🏻 (@CanadianUkrain1) April 29, 2022

Summary of the night: about 15-20 #Russian KIAs, and an unknown number of armored vehicles and artillery that got spotted and accurately hit with #ZSU artillery. The frontline is certainly more active than two weeks ago.

— Canadian Ukrainian Volunteer 🇺🇦🇨🇦✊🏻 (@CanadianUkrain1) April 29, 2022

Indiana National Guard M113s are prepared for shipment to Ukraine pic.twitter.com/Rn5BeVdusp

— OSINTtechnical (@Osinttechnical) April 29, 2022

If Russia does attempt an Invasion of Moldova with a push from Transnistria as well, Moldovas only hope is Intervention by either Romania/NATO or Emergency Reunification with Romania. pic.twitter.com/PfoD54el1C

— OSINTdefender (@sentdefender) April 29, 2022

Source: Polskie Radio 24https://t.co/5r2jcihdeu

— Visegrád 24 (@visegrad24) April 29, 2022

Russian mercenaries posted this comparison of a Russian soldier's first-aid kit (above) and a Ukrainian one (below). "This is what Putin and Shoigu brought us to..", one of the commenters complain. pic.twitter.com/AXaRJoSHnV

— Christo Grozev (@christogrozev) April 29, 2022

Interesting If true.

👀

A senior EU source tells me: “Putin has now taken day-to day-control of the conflict and delegated the running of Russia to the Prime Minister”

— Mujtaba (Mij) Rahman (@Mij_Europe) April 29, 2022

Not really getting my hopes up as so many other evacuation attempts have failed. Despite Putin "agreeing in principle", the Russians aren't really on board and have stipulated they can only leave if the soldiers surrender.

Zelensky has provided few details of what this operation might entail, but here is what we know pic.twitter.com/TDMALjqHwL

— Samuel Ramani (@SamRamani2) April 29, 2022

Russia used a diesel submarine in the Black Sea to strike Ukrainian military targets with "Kalibr" cruise missiles.

This is the first time #Russia's military has reported using submarine strikes against #Ukrainian targets, Interfax reported.

Video: Russian Defense Ministry pic.twitter.com/l4pH2sftgB

— NEXTA (@nexta_tv) April 29, 2022

MeatDr said:

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Russia used a diesel submarine in the Black Sea to strike Ukrainian military targets with "Kalibr" cruise missiles.

This is the first time #Russia's military has reported using submarine strikes against #Ukrainian targets, Interfax reported.

Video: Russian Defense Ministry pic.twitter.com/l4pH2sftgB

— NEXTA (@nexta_tv) April 29, 2022

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We know exactly where they are and recording their activity 24-7.

Time for an update on the Battle for Donbas

A thread.

— Dr Mike Martin ⛵️ (@ThreshedThought) April 29, 2022

Very good analysis that breaks down the Donbass area. Basically russia russianing and Ukraine taking advantage and going to do the same in Donbass as they did in Kyiv.

Unrolled = https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1519944083233517571.html

Ukraine has reportedly taken over Ruska Lozova

If confirmed, its a big development, as it could disrupt Russia's ability to strike Kharkiv and supply movements from Belgorod

— Samuel Ramani (@SamRamani2) April 29, 2022

Really good thread. Thank you.

This is a clear statement of intent by the UK, and would only have been made if it was felt that other NATO allies could and would sign up to it.

It’s very welcome after some wishy washy thinking about strategic aims (although the activities were good).

— Dr Mike Martin ⛵️ (@ThreshedThought) April 29, 2022

Also means that NATO and the US have decided that Putin is bluffing about using Nukes if NATO up the ante.

— Dr Mike Martin ⛵️ (@ThreshedThought) April 29, 2022

Bird Poo said:

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MeatDr said:

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Russia used a diesel submarine in the Black Sea to strike Ukrainian military targets with "Kalibr" cruise missiles.

This is the first time #Russia's military has reported using submarine strikes against #Ukrainian targets, Interfax reported.

Video: Russian Defense Ministry pic.twitter.com/l4pH2sftgB

— NEXTA (@nexta_tv) April 29, 2022

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We know exactly where they are and recording their activity 24-7.

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The tweet says the video was provided by the Russian Defense Ministry

More on switchblades HERE

Longish thread on Western assessment of Russian progress and what's still holding them back.
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1520050202442407937.html

Wester officials on problems with Russian targeting: "They've got a lack of strategic intelligence [see next tweet] and the ability to employ their ... intelligence surveillance and reconnaissance [ISR] assets is very limited because of the threat posed by Ukrainian air defence"

— Shashank Joshi (@shashj) April 29, 2022

Western officials on Russian progress in Donbas: "we're still seeing some progress, but we're seeing relatively slow progress. In some instances...as little as a kilometre a day, in terms of terrain, which they're taking [with] really indiscriminate use of firepower."

— Shashank Joshi (@shashj) April 29, 2022