***Russian - Ukraine War Tactical and Strategic Updates*** [Warning on OP]

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AgLA06
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In reply to JB!98 • 9:41p, 4/28/22
AG
Quote:
it could be what triggers Putin to doing something stupid.


If I never heard this again it would be too soon.
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JFABNRGR
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In reply to Rossticus • 9:42p, 4/28/22
AG
Rossticus said:
Ultimately if russia has the the east and the south they don't care about the north. Russian can effectively slow bleed to death, Ukraine by controlling the line from Luhansk to Donetsk to Dnipro down along the Dneiper river all the way to the Black Sea and around to the west through Odesa. They will be cut off from the Black sea, Crimea will have fresh water, and russia will have stolen all the agriculture and O&G in this area where its already most concentrated. They will also have several mines and any steel factories they haven't ****ing destroyed.

The destruction of the bridges down at Kherson is not a good sign IMO. A must do if you can't control that AO or be able to soon retake. I thought they were having better gains down there but russia has deeper pockets currently. Can they take it back by incoming improvements while russia depletes its resources only time will tell. I just pray its not a too little too late thing. For sure it would have been cheaper had we done what was necessary to prevent the genocide and then should have gone all in with aiding once we failed the prevention part. What I mean by this is more lives could have been spared and kicking russia out sooner would have left Ukraine cheaper to rebuild and with assets to help rebuild itself. Like steel plants, tractors, hectares of fields to plant and many more.

Since most of the Globe is affected by this. Somebody ought to come up with a plan in which migrants who put in one year of honorable service in rebuilding (assumes UKR with land to rebuild) get priority points towards legal immigration somewhere. Maybe even lottery type final destination.
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JFABNRGR
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9:56p, 4/28/22
AG
That music....

https://www.reddit.com/r/RussiaUkraineWar2022/comments/ue27t4/ukrainian_pov_combat_footage_from_mariupol/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3
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JB!98
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In reply to AgLA06 • 9:57p, 4/28/22
AG
AgLA06 said:
Quote:
it could be what triggers Putin to doing something stupid.


If I never heard this again it would be too soon.
Sorry, I agree with you, and maybe that came off as being histrionic and I didn't intend it to be. I am firmly in the corner of giving the Ukes what they need to stop the Russians
Today, unfortunately, many Americans have good reason to fear that they will be victimized if they are unable to protect themselves. And today, no less than in 1791, the Second Amendment guarantees their right to do so. - Justice Samuel Alito 2022
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Jetpilot86
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In reply to TH36 • 9:57p, 4/28/22
AG
TH36 said:
Thanks for posting that. Been looking for a way to make a donation, just sent y'all $100.
Thanks! I rarely endorse anything, but after them pulling off deliveries in Mariupol, I felt it was time to see if it appealed to this thread.
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Rossticus
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In reply to JFABNRGR • 10:02p, 4/28/22
I agree that the US and much of Europe drug their heels with wishful thinking and happy ideals of negotiations and cooler heads. What I sense is now the resolve by many countries to stand behind Ukraine and ensure that all reasonable means are provided in order to ensure victory. This means telling Putin to color outside the lines at his own risk.

Russia doesn't need the north but they can't encircle and eliminate the Sevorodonetsk salient if the supply lines for their north to south line of advance are severed. This would allow bisection of the eastern area of control and the possibility to then push south and attack Sevostopol from distance, where much of their southern air defenses and naval assets are housed.

If Ukraine can then bottleneck their heavy logistical feed to the Crimean bridge and then cut off Crimea via either blowing the bridge or isolating the peninsula then Russia is toast. A lot has to fall right but it all starts with eliminating N/NE supply routes from Russia.
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AgLA06
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In reply to Rossticus • 10:09p, 4/28/22
AG
Ukraine threatening Crimea puts Russia in a bad position. Pull troops from the east to reinforce and watch out.
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Rossticus
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10:17p, 4/28/22
I'm really looking forward to seeing what Ukraine can begin to do with just those 100-ish M777s. Those and all the other goodies they'll have at their disposal soon will allow their capabilities to evolve rapidly over the next 10 days.
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Who?mikejones!
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10:17p, 4/28/22
American killed fighting for Ukraine

https://www.cnn.com/2022/04/28/politics/american-killed-ukraine/index.html
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Rossticus
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In reply to Who?mikejones! • 10:23p, 4/28/22
Agthatbuilds said:
American killed fighting for Ukraine

https://www.cnn.com/2022/04/28/politics/american-killed-ukraine/index.html


First confirmation I've seen of western contractors sending guys but not surprising. Guy will be remembered as a hero in Ukraine along with the rest of their honored. Prayers for he and his family and respect for his sacrifice fighting for the freedom of others.

"He wanted to go over because he believed in what Ukraine was fighting for, and he wanted to be a part of it to contain it there so it didn't come here, and that maybe our American soldiers wouldn't have to be involved in it,"
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Rossticus
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10:41p, 4/28/22
"Today, at about 8 am, there was a self-destruction of the railway bridge in Akimovka, Melitopol region. Through this bridge, the infidels supplied weapons and fuel from the Crimea. After self-liquidation, the Muscovites began to panic, as they understood that we would get them all around."

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rab79
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In reply to WolfCall • 11:32p, 4/28/22
AG
WolfCall said:
Interesting article in the British press on hypersonic missile capability....

https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1602681/putin-russia-ukraine-nasa-hypersonic-missile
Quote:
Putin's panic as NASA makes killer AI for hypersonic missiles capable of wiping out armies
NASA has given the West a major boost in the hypersonic missile arms race using artificial intelligence.
By CHARLES HARRISON 16:35, Thu, Apr 28, 2022 | UPDATED: 18:41, Thu, Apr 28, 2022

The latest hypersonic missiles are reportedly so complex they require a computer to build them, and NASA has created an AI to do just that. Hypersonic missiles travel at over Mach 5 (3,836mph), meaning they can strike anywhere on the planet within an hour of being launched. These devastating weapons can carry nukes and avoid almost all missile defence systems as they cannot react fast enough, all while operating with a high level of precision.

But due to the large amount of power and fuel required to reach these high speeds, their application has so far been limited by relying on using rockets.

However, writes tech writer Will Lockett, an alternative option is a "scramjet".

Scramjet stands for supersonic combustion ramjet, and works exactly the same as a jet on a plane, but with no moving parts.

Mr Lockett explains: "In a typical jet a turbine compresses the incoming air, fuel is then injected and ignited, which then forces the air out of the jet, creating thrust. But a scramjet does away with the turbine.

"Instead, it uses the craft's speed to ram air into the combustion chamber with sufficient pressure to get optimal combustion.

"This makes them far more efficient and powerful than an average jet."....

....
Wasn't putin or some other delusional rooski blathering about "capabilities no other country has" just the other day? He better not look back...

Quote:

NO AMNESTY!

in order for democrats, liberals, progressives et al to continue their illogical belief systems they have to pretend not to know a lot of things; by pretending "not to know" there is no guilt, no actual connection to conscience. Denial of truth allows easier trespass.
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Rossticus
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11:41p, 4/28/22
Full thread:

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1519893784590491650.html

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MeatDr
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1:03a, 4/29/22
AG
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Rossticus
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1:53a, 4/29/22
And a collective, hopeful, BRRRRRRRRRRT arose from the mainland United States which was audible round the globe…

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Rossticus
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2:17a, 4/29/22
Happy bedtime story from tomorrow morning. And by "happy", I mean better the Russians than the Ukes. The Russians look like they're just kids. It's a shame. Lots of folks dying just to attempt to add claim over another peoples' country to a wing nut autocrat's legacy. G'night TexAgs.


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Rossticus
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2:41a, 4/29/22
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Rossticus
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2:43a, 4/29/22
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Rossticus
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2:57a, 4/29/22
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MeatDr
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8:08a, 4/29/22
AG
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FamousAgg
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8:30a, 4/29/22
Interesting If true.
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aggrad02
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In reply to Rossticus • 8:31a, 4/29/22
AG
Rossticus said:


It seems like being independent comes with some responsibility. I have a hard time sympathizing with a country that effectively has no self defense. Instead if of whining that they have no army, they need to kick it in gear, draft every male that can fight and start training because Russia is on your doorstep. Then maybe they deserve some help.
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MeatDr
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9:08a, 4/29/22
AG
Not really getting my hopes up as so many other evacuation attempts have failed. Despite Putin "agreeing in principle", the Russians aren't really on board and have stipulated they can only leave if the soldiers surrender.
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txags92
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In reply to FamousAgg • 9:11a, 4/29/22
AG
BattleGrackle said:
Interesting If true.
That just makes it an easier case to tie him directly to the war crimes during the trials.
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2000AgPhD
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9:22a, 4/29/22
Hitler also maintained control over the day to day running of the government. If Putin is letting Mishustin/Medvedev "run" the government, I think that is the more significant thing if true. It means Putin realizes that the Russian military has stepped in it and he feels he is the only one to save the situation - typical of megalomaniacs. Whether that is true or not, we will see.
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MeatDr
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9:35a, 4/29/22
AG
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Bird Poo
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In reply to MeatDr • 9:40a, 4/29/22
AG
MeatDr said:
We know exactly where they are and recording their activity 24-7.
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MeatDr
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10:01a, 4/29/22
AG
Russian forces in a shootout with each other.
https://gur.gov.ua/content/perestrilka-buriativ-z-chechentsiamy-okupanty-ne-mozhut-podilyty-zdobych-ta-ne-bazhaiut-ity-v-nastup.html
Translated article:
Quote:
In the occupied Kiselivka (Chornobayiv village community of Kherson region) there was a shootout between the Russian military of Chechen and Buryat nationality. More than 50 participants from each side took part in the night incident. The exact number of wounded and dead is currently unknown.

The causes of interethnic conflict are the reluctance of the Buryats to conduct offensive hostilities and "inequality" of conditions with the Chechens. The latter are not at the forefront at all, remaining in the rear only as "barricading detachments". Their task is to encourage the occupying forces to take active action. That is, open fire on those who are trying to retreat.

Another reason is the uneven distribution of loot. The main "profit" from looting is received by the same Chechens.

Due to the unwillingness to take part in the offensive, a conflict arose between the commanders and personnel of the Russian Armed Forces in the occupied Fedorovka, Zaporizhia region. Russians are complaining to locals about cheating when signing contracts and obtaining consent to take part in hostilities.

It turned out that the Russian contractors were promised an operation under the "Crimean scenario". That is, the lack of resistance from Ukraine, the allocation of housing in the occupied territories and a quiet service.

Seeing the real picture, many Russians refused to continue their service. This led to a conflict, which was resolved by the FSB. Some of the servicemen were taken away in an unknown direction after interrogations. They did not return to the place of service.
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Robk
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10:57a, 4/29/22




Very good analysis that breaks down the Donbass area. Basically russia russianing and Ukraine taking advantage and going to do the same in Donbass as they did in Kyiv.

Unrolled = https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1519944083233517571.html
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TRM
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11:03a, 4/29/22
AG
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Keegan99
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In reply to Robk • 11:08a, 4/29/22
AG
Really good thread. Thank you.



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GAC06
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In reply to Bird Poo • 11:16a, 4/29/22
AG
Bird Poo said:
MeatDr said:
We know exactly where they are and recording their activity 24-7.


The tweet says the video was provided by the Russian Defense Ministry
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3rd and 2
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In reply to FamousAgg • 11:19a, 4/29/22
AG
BattleGrackle said:
Interesting If true.


Didn't Hitter do the same thing to the detriment of Germany's war effort?
.
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aggiehawg
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11:20a, 4/29/22
AG


More on switchblades HERE
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MeatDr
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11:31a, 4/29/22
AG
Longish thread on Western assessment of Russian progress and what's still holding them back.
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1520050202442407937.html

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