***Russian - Ukraine War Tactical and Strategic Updates*** [Warning on OP]

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Rossticus
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Hey, y'all!!! We're Nazis!

Rossticus
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Jetpilot86
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aggiehawg said:


RUSSIA: We will bomb them into submission.

Meanwhile, Uke farmers start plowing runways in their fields and think of expanding their military.
JFABNRGR
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Waffledynamics said:

Kazakhstan has already told them to pound sand, right?
Would this declaration change US/NATO posturing at all?
Yeah I would think Belarus is a good indicator of what support russia might actually get from any of their alliances.

Declaration of war might help themselves in russia but I think the rest of the west has already accepted that as fact over a month ago.
Rossticus
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Good grief. They are nuttier than squirrel turds. It's like they're trying to talk themselves and their people into going full Hitler (never go full Hitler).



MeatDr
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AGS-R-TUFF
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Russia: "We have decided to declare war on the sovereign country that we invaded over a month ago with 200,000 troops from multiple axis…and dropped thousands of missiles and ordinates, destroying several of their major cities, killing tens of thousands of innocent civilians and destroying the lives of and displacing over 10 million people."

txags92
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Rossticus said:

Good grief. They are nuttier than squirrel turds. It's like they're trying to talk themselves and their people into going full Hitler (never go full Hitler).




And this is why we do whatever it takes to make sure their ambitions end here in Ukraine. If that means we send planes, tanks, whatever, and even if it means risking that Putin pushes the big red button, you do it. Otherwise your kids will get to see this same game play out across every other former soviet bloc country in the coming decades as Russia works to get the band back together. We keep saying we will learn from history and not repeat the mistakes. This is our Chamberlain moment...we can either back down and let the Russians take Ukraine and slaughter their population in return for "peace in our time" and no risk of Putin launching nukes, only to watch him do the same to the rest of eastern europe over the following years. Or we can stop them now and set about grinding their military up and making them a hermit state like North Korea that nobody but the Chinese will do business with.
aggiehawg
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Quote:

Good grief. They are nuttier than squirrel turds.
Agree. We are not dealing with people who are based in reality. The paranoia and inferiority complex drives these boastful tells of their deep seated fears. Quite the massive neuroses.
Ulrich
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It is amazing how you can read stuff that was written about Russia and Russians in the 19th century and it plays out exactly the same today. It's a periphery nation that may never accept that fact.
Rossticus
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aggiehawg said:

Quote:

Good grief. They are nuttier than squirrel turds.
Agree. We are not dealing with people who are based in reality. The paranoia and inferiority complex drives these boastful tells of their deep seated fears. Quite the massive neuroses.


The fact that they're mentioning gifting Austria, Czechia, and Slovakia to Orban by name should raise eyebrows. Signals that Russia really does view him as an ally.
aggiehawg
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I don't see Orban as being that land hungry though. Does he speak of himself as some sort of emperor?
Rossticus
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aggiehawg said:

I don't see Orban as being that land hungry though. Does he speak of himself as some sort of emperor?


I think it's a signal that Russia thinks he can be bought if he were to gum up the works for NATO and effectively "stay neutral", or in different terms "do what's in the singular best interest of Hungary" by not getting involved and being a **** block on article 5.

Orban isn't going to go out and try to conquer those countries himself, no. I just think it's a less than subtle way for Russia to signal that he's on their side and sow a little discord by emphasizing the already prevalent view among most NATO nations that there's a Fox in the henhouse.

If Russia says "your choice: play ball and we'll expand your power, or we can invade you", you know.

Not that I'm arguing that I think he'd do that. I'm just arguing from what Russia's apparent view seems to be based on the projection of that statement.
smstork1007
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Rossticus said:

They have imaging satellites too and can certainly confirm shipments entering the country. The senate passed lend/lease and the house will too so there won't be any secrets. It all depends on how confrontational Russia chooses to be over it but a full declaration of war on Ukraine changes some of the dynamics and significantly raises stakes.
Are we sure they actually do, this is an honest question. After what we have seen over the last month, i'm just really not sure what kinds of tech they have versus what they say they have. Now if you told me they had some Nikon Cameras attached to helium balloons floating above Ukraine, i'd believe that. BTW, thanks for all you and others have contributed since this thread started, outside of RebelRussiaLover, haven't missed a single post and it has been very much appreciated by myself and others I'm sure.
Rossticus
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Bucha exhumations. Graphic.

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1515077606554669057.html
aggiehawg
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Quote:

Orban isn't going to go out and try to conquer those countries himself, no. I just think it's a less than subtle way for Russia to signal that he's on their side and sow a little discord by emphasizing the already prevalent view among most NATO nations that there's a Fox in the henhouse.
EU hates Orban anyway. They keep threatening to sanction him. But his remaining neutral is walking a tightrope.

ETA: You edited to add this

If Russia says "your choice: play ball and we'll expand your power, or we can invade you", you know.

If I am Orban I look at the other countries Putin would have to go through first before he got to Hungary. He can't even get through Ukraine yet. It's landlocked, so no coast available for invasion that way. Keep your head down and let the path of least resistance lead him on.
Rapier108
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MeatDr said:


Makes me think that the anti-ship missiles slammed right into those exposed missile canisters and detonated most or all of them on one side, wiping out much of the crew in an instant, with most of the others being trapped below deck by the fire and later dying from it.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
Rossticus
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Full Thread:

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1515080884923379713.html

CondensedFogAggie
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People in Kyiv lining up to by those stamps.

Anyone know where I can get one?
aggiehawg
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Quote:

Makes me think that the anti-ship missiles slammed right into those exposed missile canisters and detonated most or all of them on one side, wiping out much of the crew in an instant, with most of the others being trapped below deck by the fire and later dying from it.
You may be onto something there. It was during a heavy storm so nearly everyone would be below deck, if not stationed on the bridge itself.

Tough way to go.
deddog
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B-1 83 said:

aggiehawg said:


What is the most effective way to knock these out of the sky?
S-300s

The Backfires' will be flying high and relatively fast (and not be very maneuverable), well outside the range of MANPADS. Need an area-defense SAM. This is exactly the kinds of stuff the S-300 is built for.

Or Mig-29s.
Rossticus
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I've seen them online but they sell out quickly. The Ukrainian post office sells limited supplies online periodically. I posted a link on the other thread yesterday.
Rossticus
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B-1 83
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I wonder if they're escorted or the Ukes have intercept capabilities.
Being in TexAgs jail changes a man……..no, not really
Rossticus
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B-1 83 said:

I wonder if they're escorted or the Ukes have intercept capabilities.


This is where those MiGs could come into the equation.
agent-maroon
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aggiehawg said:

Quote:

Makes me think that the anti-ship missiles slammed right into those exposed missile canisters and detonated most or all of them on one side, wiping out much of the crew in an instant, with most of the others being trapped below deck by the fire and later dying from it.
You may be onto something there. It was during a heavy storm so nearly everyone would be below deck, if not stationed on the bridge itself.

Tough way to go.
If it were a blast big enough to blow a hole in the side large enough to cause an immediate list, then it would seem likely that everyone below deck would have been killed instantly. At least that's how I prefer to view it anyways...
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aggiehawg
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Quote:

If it were a blast big enough to blow a hole in the side large enough to cause an immediate list, then it would seem likely that everyone below deck would have been killed instantly. At least that's how I prefer to view it anyways...
Nice thought but depends on whether the below deck bulkheads were in the closed position. It didn't sink immediately, took some time from all accounts I have seen.
GAC06
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You guys are reading too much into the actual sinking. Almost nothing (other than a catastrophic explosion that blows the ship apart) is likely to sink a warship fast enough to lose almost all the crew to drowning. Since we know it stayed afloat long enough for them to try towing it, if it's true most of the crew were lost, they were likely killed in the fire and secondary explosions with the ridiculous and volatile armament the ship carried.

Check out the Forrestal fire and the utter carnage and destruction that resulted from aircraft and 500lb bombs cooking off.



Now imagine a much smaller ship that had 16 10,000lb missiles in tubes on the deck, each with a 2,200lb warhead. Plus 60 SAM's below deck, each 2-3000lbs of rocket fuel and warheads. Plus aviation fuel, torpedoes, and lots of other ordnance.
Rapier108
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Daily Mail is saying (according to Ukraine) that no one got off the ship alive, and it was carrying nuclear weapons.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10722619/To-sailors-Relatives-doomed-Moskva-crew-defy-Russian-censors-unofficial-memorial.html

Whether either is true remains to be seen.

If it had nukes aboard, they likely would have been in those anti-ship missiles in the side mounted canisters, and striking them would have set off the warheads' high explosives, along with the missiles' propellant.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
Rossticus
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Rossticus
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Russia… we have a problem…

Rossticus
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Apparently unedited?



Rossticus
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Rossticus
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Rossticus
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With sound on.

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