***Russian - Ukraine War Tactical and Strategic Updates*** [Warning on OP]

7,973,240 Views | 48544 Replies | Last: 7 hrs ago by docb
Rossticus
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
1:18p, 4/12/22


Reply Quote
7
2 edits
aggiehawg
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Rossticus • 1:19p, 4/12/22
AG
The old 40 acres and a mule approach, eh?
Reply Quote
11
Rossticus
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to aggiehawg • 1:20p, 4/12/22
aggiehawg said:
The old 40 acres and a mule approach, eh?


Except when you get to your 40 acres, it's a gulag. And you're the mule.
Reply Quote
68
aggiehawg
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Rossticus • 1:24p, 4/12/22
AG
Rossticus said:


Reuters reported he had escaped his house arrest in Ukraine on February 27th.
Reply Quote
4
Rossticus
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to aggiehawg • 1:26p, 4/12/22
Guess he didn't escape "good enough". I'd assume his accommodations henceforth will be less cozy.
Reply Quote
9
FriscoKid
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
1:28p, 4/12/22
AG
Reply Quote
2
EastSideAg2002
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
1:29p, 4/12/22
Welcome to your hell comrade.
Reply Quote
EMY92
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to 74OA • 1:37p, 4/12/22
AG
74OA said:
MeatDr said:
Javelins, yes. Stingers, no. The US hasn't bought Stingers in decades and the production line services only one international customer which itself sources the obsolescent parts needed to build its orders.

STINGER
The Stinger is approaching obsolescence.

The Army is looking for a replacement.

https://www.navytimes.com/land/2022/04/07/us-army-initiates-plan-to-replace-stingers-with-next-gen-interceptor/
Reply Quote
8
DCPD158
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
2:02p, 4/12/22
AG
Missile to target cost ratio is excellent, especially the Stinger
Company I-1, Ord-Ords '85 -12thFan and Websider-
Reply Quote
7
PJYoung
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to wangus12 • 2:08p, 4/12/22
AG
wangus12 said:
Had an conversation with a patient of mine from Bulgaria speaking on Russia in Ukraine. He said the one big thing he's noticed in his country is that people seem to no longer fear Russia. He grew up under communist Bulgaria and they've always worried about Russia taking back Eastern Europe. Watching Russia struggle in as much as they have in Ukraine has given them the belief that with Western support, Russia no where near what all of eastern Europe feared they were.
This falls right in line with the excellent article aggiehawg posted yesterday.

https://nationalinterest.org/feature/breakup-will-russia-splinter-over-war-ukraine-201728

One small snippet:

Quote:
Precedents of Independence Movements in the Russian Empire

It is not unprecedented for Russia's constituent republics to demand independence when Moscow is weak.

The 1917 Russian Revolution was one such moment. Several constituent republics declared their independence at that time, and some stayed independent for years. Among them were Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia, Tatarstan, and the North Caucasus republics.

Following the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991, several USSR republics became independent countries: Moldova, Belarus, Ukraine, Georgia, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, Tajikistan, and the Baltic republics of Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia.

The breakup process might have gone even further since several other Russian regionsincluding Siberia, Ural, Karelia and Tatarstandeclared their "sovereignty" at the time. To prevent more territorial losses, President Boris Yeltsin suggested a federation, promised the republics as much "sovereignty as [they] could swallow," and negotiated deals with restive regions.

What Fuels Independence Claims in Today's Russia?

The Russian Federation consists of eighty-five "federal subjects," or constituent parts, of which twenty-two are republics named after non-Russian ethnicities. Russia has over190 ethnicities, and many of them live in remote locations like Siberia and the Caucasus region.

Why would they secede? For two main reasons: economic and cultural.


Reply Quote
2
txaggie02
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to FriscoKid • 2:18p, 4/12/22
AG
FriscoKid said:
That really sucks. Can't be much worse than having the will and determination to fight, but having nothing to fight with other than an empty rifle. That has to be an extremely hopeless and frustrating feeling. Hopefully they get some ammunition very quickly.
Reply Quote
3
DCPD158
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to txaggie02 • 2:24p, 4/12/22
AG
txaggie02 said:
FriscoKid said:
That really sucks. Can't be much worse than having the will and determination to fight, but having nothing to fight with other than an empty rifle. That has to be an extremely hopeless and frustrating feeling. Hopefully they get some ammunition very quickly.
Probably the only way now is off dead Russians. May be some supplies getting in, but not enough to sustain them in this fight as it is
Company I-1, Ord-Ords '85 -12thFan and Websider-
Reply Quote
1
spikingag
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
2:27p, 4/12/22
AG
Found this interesting. Sorry if already posted
Reply Quote
3
Rossticus
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
2:40p, 4/12/22
Reply Quote
2
Rossticus
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
2:44p, 4/12/22
Reply Quote
2
Rossticus
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
2:45p, 4/12/22




Assumed ID (correct if mistaken)

M577 (US)
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/M577_Command_Post_Carrier

M109 Self propelled 155mm (US)
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/M109_howitzer
Reply Quote
15
3 edits
AgBQ-00
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Rossticus • 2:46p, 4/12/22
AG
Rossticus said:


This really is going to happen isn't it?
You do not have a soul. You are a soul that has a body.

We sing Hallelujah! The Lamb has overcome!
Reply Quote
2
Rossticus
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
2:47p, 4/12/22


Reply Quote
13
2 edits
aggiehawg
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Rossticus • 2:49p, 4/12/22
AG
Didn't realize we still had Harriers in service.
Reply Quote
4
Rossticus
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to AgBQ-00 • 2:50p, 4/12/22
Whether it does or doesn't is 100% up to Putin. Ball still in his court. We're just preparing in case he colors outside the lines, IMO.

That said, the rhetoric emanating from Russia recently hasn't been encouraging. The fact that the Russians stopped answering the deescalation line isn't encouraging.
Reply Quote
2
1 edit
Rossticus
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to aggiehawg • 2:51p, 4/12/22
aggiehawg said:
Didn't realize we still had Harriers in service.


Marine Corps. Less than 100 IIRC.
Reply Quote
pocketrockets06
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to txaggie02 • 2:52p, 4/12/22
AG
Yep, this was the point I was making when some of the "surrender" videos started going around last week. There comes a point where you are out of ammo/food and the choices are surrender or suicide. There is zero shame in picking surrender at that point and we should be grateful they held as long as they have. All the will and fighting spirit in the world doesn't put bullets in empty magazines.
Reply Quote
3
Rossticus
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
3:03p, 4/12/22
Reply Quote
25
Rossticus
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
3:10p, 4/12/22
They're not all done yet! Whoop!

Reply Quote
10
74OA
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Rossticus • 3:19p, 4/12/22
AG
Rossticus said:
They're not all done yet! Whoop!

Gotta hold to keep Putin from owning the coast all the way from Russia to Crimea and from shifting his southern forces up to the fighting in the Donbas.
Reply Quote
3
2 edits
AGS-R-TUFF
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to 74OA • 3:25p, 4/12/22
AG
74OA said:
Rossticus said:
They're not all done yet! Whoop!

Gotta hold to keep Putin from owning the coast all the way from Russia to Crimea and from shifting his southern forces up to the fighting in the Donbas.
Would be huge if there was a way to reinforce these brave Mariupol fighters.
Reply Quote
13
CS78
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
3:34p, 4/12/22
Keep thinking the Ukes will try hard to get relief to Mariupol any day. If control falls, they'll never get it back.
Reply Quote
3
74OA
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to AGS-R-TUFF • 3:36p, 4/12/22
AG
AGS-R-TUFF said:
74OA said:
Rossticus said:
They're not all done yet! Whoop!

Gotta hold to keep Putin from owning the coast all the way from Russia to Crimea and from shifting his southern forces up to the fighting in the Donbas.
Would be huge if there was a way to reinforce these brave Mariupol fighters.
Ukraine is pressing hard to encircle or liberate Kherson further west.

If it can get that done, it can then go for the nearby LOCs coming out of Crimea, which are essential to maintain Russian forces in the south.

That threat might compel Russia to shift forces away from Mariupol to protect its supply lines.
Reply Quote
5
1 edit
MouthBQ98
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
3:38p, 4/12/22
AG
They need to drone in some supplies and food. I wonder if a drug runner type powerboat doing 90 mph could make a run in there.
Reply Quote
6
Rossticus
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to 74OA • 3:39p, 4/12/22
Ukrainian forces are finding success clearing Russian elements from west of the Dnipro near Kherson. Once that effort is complete then it's on to take back Kherson. Interested to see how much luck the Russians will have digging in there in an unfriendly city.
Reply Quote
3
Rossticus
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
3:40p, 4/12/22
Reply Quote
2
74OA
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Rossticus • 3:45p, 4/12/22
AG
Rossticus said:
Ukrainian forces are finding success clearing Russian elements from west of the Dnipro near Kherson. Once that effort is complete then it's on to take back Kherson. Interested to see how much luck the Russians will have digging in there in an unfriendly city.
Instead of tying forces up in an urban grinder, slide south to threaten the Crimea LOCs and the Russians will likely have to abandon Kherson. If the Ukrainians can separate Russian forces from those key roads to Crimea, it might break open the entire fight in the south.
Reply Quote
5
2 edits
aggiehawg
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
4:16p, 4/12/22
AG
Quote:
One in five Russian soldiers killed are OFFICERS as Putin's army is forced to send commanders into the field to oversee chaotic invasion
  • An investigation has identified 1,083 named Russian servicemen casualties
  • Of these, 31 were majors and 155 were ranked between captain and Second Lt.
  • Officers have been sent to the battlefield to carry out Kremlin tactical decisions
Quote:
A fifth of Russian soldiers killed in Ukraine are officers who were sent to the battlefield to oversee Putin's chaotic invasion, analysis has shown.

An investigation found that of 1,083 Russian servicemen killed whose identity has been verified, more than 20 per cent were officers.

BBC Russian Service counted 31 majors and 155 servicemen ranked between captain and second lieutenant among the dead.
Quote:
Their bodies were returned to their homeland up to a month after their death, suggesting their could be many more high profile casualties still in Ukraine.

The high death toll betrays baffling Kremlin tactics which have seen officers being sent to the battlefield to make their tactical decisions, putting them in danger.

In the West, these roles are delegated to non-commissioned officers.
Quote:
An extra 15 per cent of the identified fatalities were elite paratroopers and 25 per cent were special forces personnel.

They were likely killed in the battle for Hostomel airport near Kyiv, where Russian paratroopers (VDV) were deployed by helicopter on the first day of the brutal invasion.

They were sent with unarmoured light vehicles and when infantry was halted in the convoy towards Kyiv, more paratroopers were airlifted in.

Oleksiy Melnyk, a retired colonel and director at the Razumkov centre, told The Times: 'VDV are considered to be the most combat ready, effective, but at the same time they are not usually equipped with infantry fighting vehicles.
Link
Reply Quote
3
BlackGoldAg2011
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Rossticus • 4:23p, 4/12/22
AG
Rossticus said:




Assumed ID (correct if mistaken)

M577 (US)
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/M577_Command_Post_Carrier

M109 Self propelled 155mm (US)
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/M109_howitzer
That's what I see too, plus some M992 artillery support vehicles there at the end paired up with some of the last M109s
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/M992_Field_Artillery_Ammunition_Support_Vehicle
Reply Quote
5
1 edit
bonfarr
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to 74OA • 4:26p, 4/12/22
AG
74OA said:
MeatDr said:
Javelins, yes. Stingers, no. The US hasn't bought Stingers in decades and the production line services only one international customer which itself sources the obsolescent parts needed to build its orders.

STINGER


Sounds like we need to invite Elon Musk into a meeting to help accelerate manufacturing for these weapons. I'm not sure how he would respond to manufacturing weapons of war but he is clearly sympathetic to the Ukrainian cause so maybe he would get involved.

Reply Quote
8
First Page Last Page
Page 473 of 1388 ▼
 
×
subscribe Verify your student status
See Subscription Benefits
Trial only available to users who have never subscribed or participated in a previous trial.