Rossticus said:

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Definitely Americans in Ukraine.

We were driving too fast to get a clear picture - but we just drove past a destroyed Russian tank with WOLVERINES spraypainted across it.

— Scott Detrow (@scottdetrow) April 7, 2022

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PJYoung said:

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Rossticus said:

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Definitely Americans in Ukraine.

We were driving too fast to get a clear picture - but we just drove past a destroyed Russian tank with WOLVERINES spraypainted across it.

— Scott Detrow (@scottdetrow) April 7, 2022

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Badass!

wangus12 said:

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Rossticus said:

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"There will be severe consequences of the like you've never witnessed if you join NATO!"

"On second thought… maybe we'll just 'rebalance' ".

Just. Like. We. Thought. Get bent you half-witted clown state.

Russia says it would have to 'rebalance' if Finland and Sweden join NATO - Reuters News

"We'll have to make our western flank more sophisticated in terms of ensuring our security," Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov told Britain's Sky News

— Phil Stewart (@phildstewart) April 7, 2022

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If only they'd get it thru their thick skulls that the only country that has any interest in invading that ****hole country are the Chinese

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Dear Russia,

You don't need to be afraid of Western aggression because you have nothing worth taking. We're more than happy to money whip you for buy your natural resources because it's infinitely cheaper since we're so rich and you're so poor after you decided to roll with communism for 75 years and we didn't. Please stop being insecure little *****es and thinking everyone wants your ****hole country.


Sincerely,

The West

ABATTBQ11 said:

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wangus12 said:

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Rossticus said:

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"There will be severe consequences of the like you've never witnessed if you join NATO!"

"On second thought… maybe we'll just 'rebalance' ".

Just. Like. We. Thought. Get bent you half-witted clown state.

Russia says it would have to 'rebalance' if Finland and Sweden join NATO - Reuters News

"We'll have to make our western flank more sophisticated in terms of ensuring our security," Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov told Britain's Sky News

— Phil Stewart (@phildstewart) April 7, 2022

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If only they'd get it thru their thick skulls that the only country that has any interest in invading that ****hole country are the Chinese

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Dear Russia,

You don't need to be afraid of Western aggression because you have nothing worth taking. We're more than happy to money whip you for buy your natural resources because it's infinitely cheaper since we're so rich and you're so poor after you decided to roll with communism for 75 years and we didn't. Please stop being insecure little *****es and thinking everyone wants your ****hole country.


Sincerely,

The West

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There really is a sense of the Russians sliding a stick into their own front spokes about all of this. They are so scared of their neighbors allying with the west that they feel compelled to invade their neighbors. Which then makes more of their neighbors want to side with the west, thereby increasing the perceived threat in Russia's eyes.

Paranoid psychosis is a dangerous mental illness. It's even more dangerous when it's endemic to the bulk of a nation and its leadership.

The Ukrainian Ministry of Defense has stated today that they will Shoot Down any Russian Aircraft trying to reach the Region of Transnistria by way of Ukrainian Airspace or the Black Sea, this comes after reports that Airbases in Transnistria were preparing to receive Aircraft. pic.twitter.com/cWEl5Gmt52

— OSINTdefender (@sentdefender) April 7, 2022

aggiehawg said:

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Any maritime lawyers around here? What are the available remedies against Russia essentially blockading the entire Black Sea and which court?

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A letter of marque and reprisal?

Rossticus said:

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I really wish Russia would get their justification straight and stick with it. As illogical as all the rest have been, this may be the most incoherent.

Dmitry Peskov says that Russia is invading Ukraine to prevent World War III, as it is preventing Ukraine from joining NATO and then invading Crimea.

— Samuel Ramani (@SamRamani2) April 7, 2022

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More mumbo jumbo from Peskov…seems like a veiled "don't try and take back Crimea" threat to the Ukes.

And the answer should be GTFO of our country you murderous liars.

Russian tank sent flying while birds chirp away in the background. pic.twitter.com/GBJ8mvE4Zt

— Visegrád 24 (@visegrad24) April 7, 2022

AgLA06 said:

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ABATTBQ11 said:

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txags92 said:

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EastSideAg2002 said:

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At what point will the West be unable to send armor to Ukraine that is old Soviet equipment? All the countries that are sending it are sending based on the principle that the US will be able to backfill that equipment. Does the US have that much old equipment in inventory?

Also, if the war in eastern Ukraine stalemates for months/years, is there any new platforms the West could train the Ukrainians in that time on?

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I read somewhere that we have 3,000 M1A1 tanks stored somewhere with no plans to use them again.

Regarding the 2nd question, I can't see this going on beyond another couple of months at the rate Russia is losing equipment. Russia can't build anymore tanks right now, and they will not be able to continue to maintain alot of their other equipment very soon due to the lack of available spare parts. With the Ukes getting a steady supply of guided munitions and gaining experience with the systems, they are going to become more, not less lethal as a fighting force. If the war stalemates and the Russians are forced to dig in and stay stationary, they will be sitting ducks for Uke artillery and drone strikes. My opinion is that this is over in 3 months or less one way or another.

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This. Russian capabilities are degrading as Ukrainians' are increasing. The longer this goes on, the faster the Russians will lose men and equipment as the disparity grows. Their planned offensive in the east may be their undoing. Everyone knows it's coming, and they're likely going to be at a huge disadvantage walking into a minefield of ambushes.

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If they have half a brain, it won't be from the east. The east will actually be the great feint they lied about Kiev. It will be a penser from the northeast and southeast to encircle the eastern portion of the county. Then hit Kiev again from the north and east.

Yes, every day this goes on Ukraine re-arms. The reality is they only have so many professional soldiers and every day that number drops. Russia is will to throw fodder to absorb munitions. Ukraine can't.

If Ukraine can't push them out in the next month, the war of attrition starts to make long term success much more difficult unless Poland, a coalition of ex-soviet countries, or NATO put boots on the ground.

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The problem for the Russians is that to form pincers you need mobility. To have mobility you need functioning log-trains. The Russians began this war with a truck fleet and CONLOG that was abandoned by western militaries during or shortly after WW II.

Alright folks, this is a logistical 🧵on pallets, cranes, ISO containers, and what we are _NOT_ seeing on Russian Trucks in Ukraine

Below is really good background tweet 🧵on the importance of pallets as a logistical productivity tool, since we are not seeing them in Ukraine
1/ https://t.co/wCp9XDAE5E

— Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) March 24, 2022

Their Russians have run out of functional tanks that are of later than 1980s vintage. Even their old museum pieces would have to be shipped by train for the edges of the empire and then, they have nobody to crew them. That won't stop them from putting the spring class of conscripts into tanks but it isn't going to make them an effective fighting force.

The Russian Army will move at a snail's pace until they get killed one by one. There is no more grand maneuver left in their bag of tricks. They can barely keep themselves fed and haven't shown an ability to keep themselves fueled.

They will try to demonstrate otherwise but the Russian Army is past the point of culmination. They will try to convince the world otherwise but shelling cities doesn't equate to offensive capability to seize and hold ground or to achieve surprise against the team with home field advantage.

I believe that the war of attrition favors the Ukrainian army over the Russian army but the Ukrainian civilians lose big regardless.

The Radicalization of Russia. Putin wants to turn this into a holy war. Sick.

Kirill offered a version of history that simply erases Ukraine from the map. He blame “various forces” for a false division between Russia and Ukraine. In fact, he doesn’t even acknowledge there are such people as Ukrainians, referring to all involved parties as “Holy Russians.”

— Anders Åslund (@anders_aslund) April 7, 2022

Sanction Patriarch Kirill as a bloodthirsty fascist and supporter of genocide!

— Anders Åslund (@anders_aslund) April 7, 2022

ATX_AG_08 said:

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MouthBQ98 said:

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I imagine not every round has a tracer on it but I could be wrong. The rear hull armor is only going to be an inch or two thick at most so HEAT or APFSDS could penetrate and kill the engine or start a fire, disabling the vehicle.

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30mm is what the A-10 shoots and we call them "tank busters". So I'm assuming multiple rounds would cause real damage. Of course also dependent on the type of rounds being used.

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And here's what one of those bad boys look like (non-sabot round).



Cant get that to orient correctly w/o being huge....my apologies.

ATX_AG_08 said:

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ATX_AG_08 said:

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MouthBQ98 said:

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I imagine not every round has a tracer on it but I could be wrong. The rear hull armor is only going to be an inch or two thick at most so HEAT or APFSDS could penetrate and kill the engine or start a fire, disabling the vehicle.

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30mm is what the A-10 shoots and we call them "tank busters". So I'm assuming multiple rounds would cause real damage. Of course also dependent on the type of rounds being used.

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And here's what one of those bad boys look like (non-sabot round).



Cant get that to orient correctly w/o being huge....my apologies.

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Interesting that you have one of those stuffed in a kitchen drawer and available for a comparison pic.

I don't see that happening because

1) a vote to invoke article 5 has to be (a.) unanimous and (b.) can't be trigged by the offensive actions of a member in aggression on the sovereign soil of another country against that country. The situation between, say, Poland and Russia in Ukraine is different and gray because it wouldn't be an aggressive attack against sovereign Russia territory.

2) Ukraine couldn't have joined NATO while Russia occupied Crimea because of the charter's prohibition on accepting countries with active territorial disputes (for this specific reason).

That's why this line of justification is bunk. Ukraine was prohibited from joining by the very fact that Russia was already in Crimea.

My kitchen identifies as an armory thank you very much. And no, I was actually kind enough to go dig it out of a box for y'all.

OdessaAg said:

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PJYoung said:

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Rossticus said:

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Definitely Americans in Ukraine.

We were driving too fast to get a clear picture - but we just drove past a destroyed Russian tank with WOLVERINES spraypainted across it.

— Scott Detrow (@scottdetrow) April 7, 2022

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Badass!

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Met with a guy the other day who is recent former Navy. Lets just say he "knows people".

And those people are silent right now.

He also got a phone invite recently from entities putting certain groups of former military together. He decided not to go, but many of his friends did.