Ag_07 said:
Not to detail too much but I'm kinda surprised we haven't seen any US equipment being used by the Russians by way of Afghanistan.
I figured the Russians would be all over finding a way to procure some that stuff we left behind.
Probably accurate, but it wouldnt surprise me if its propaganda from the Russiansbangobango said:damnCondensedFoggyAggie said:
There's an Instagram account of what seems to be commentary from various soldiers in the Ukraine, including western volunteers. Which is very raw
https://www.instagram.com/battles.and.beers/
Some entriesQuote:
"Day 3 of combat and still alive, man. This is intense stuff. An ambush earlier destroyed several vehicles, tanks, and other materials they have been using.
Progress is being made, as well as losses. To any volunteers coming, probably a one way ticket, dude. This isn't Iraq or Afghanistan. The next 5 minutes isn't even guaranteed. Don't come here thinking you'll stack bodies because you won't. These aren't dirt farmers with 50 year old AK's.
You'll get humbled to real, REAL combat and violence real quick. This isn't a game. I fired more rounds here in 2 days than 4 deployments to Iraq and Afghanistan. This is not a game, and this is not fun. Choose carefully before you decide to be a hero."
- Western Volunteer. Invasion of Ukraine. February 26th, 2022.
PJYoung said:I have been expecting this. We are past the Russian Army logistical tipping point👇👇👇 https://t.co/l73bDvJaFI
— Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) March 4, 2022Just spoke to @christogrozev, the man who unmasked Sergei Skripal's and @navalny's assassins. He says this is an accurate quote and assessment. Knowing Christo well, I can't imagine he is winging this. https://t.co/CwhmLa5zbR
— Michael Weiss 🌻 (@michaeldweiss) March 4, 2022
Quote:
. . .
A major internet service provider said it would end its relationships with Russian internet companies, a move that could disrupt some service in Russia and further the country's isolation from the rest of the online world.
Cogent Communications said it would begin shutting down Russian customers' access to its services on Friday at noon Eastern time, forcing Russian internet providers to transfer their data to other networks.
. . .
And in a move sure to irk Oligarchs' WAGsQuote:
. . .
Facebook on Friday became the first American tech giant to be blocked by the Russian government, as part of the Kremlin's broadening campaign to tighten control of the internet and limit spaces for dissent about the war in Ukraine.
The move could foreshadow further restrictions against other tech companies such as Google, which owns YouTube, and Twitter. Both have also been under pressure by the Russian government.
. . .
Quote:
. . .
The French luxury giants LVMH Mot Hennessy Louis Vuitton and Hermes each said Friday that they would temporarily close their stores in Russia as the crisis in Ukraine continued to escalate.
LVMH, which is estimated to have more than 120 stores in Russia, said that it would close them effective Sunday "given the current circumstances in the region," according to a spokesperson. The spokesperson added that the company would continue to pay salary and benefits to its 3,500 employees in the country. Hermes said in a LinkedIn post that it would temporarily close its stores and pause commercial activity in Russia as of Friday evening.
. . .
Quote:
"We were informed by a Russia-based refueling service provider this afternoon that we can no longer refuel our planes at the airport in Moscow," an official at Korean Air told Reuters, adding that refueling firms might be having difficulty sourcing jet fuel due to sanctions against Russia.
An Antonov Airlines Antonov An-124 (reg. 🇺🇦UR-82072 as #ADB3174) from 🇹🇷Tekirdag Corlu Airport (known for its Bayraktar TB2 delivery flights) is currently landing at 🇵🇱Rzeszów-Jasionka Airport in Poland, the likely military hub for 🇺🇦Ukraine, a Bayraktar TB2 operator. pic.twitter.com/1wk7yYfACU
— Gerjon | חריון (@Gerjon_) March 4, 2022
Uhm, the Taliban doesn't have that great of a history with Russians.Ag_07 said:
Not to detail too much but I'm kinda surprised we haven't seen any US equipment being used by the Russians by way of Afghanistan.
I figured the Russians would be all over finding a way to procure some that stuff we left behind.
NEW: Here is the latest #Russian control-of-terrain #map for #Ukraine from @TheStudyofWar and @criticalthreats. pic.twitter.com/urQi5VrxO2
— ISW (@TheStudyofWar) March 4, 2022
#BREAKING: #Turkish intel reports that #Russia is transferring the Wagner gang and Assad-controlled mercenaries from #Syria to #Ukraine.
— EMPR.MEDIA (@EuromaidanPR) March 4, 2022
First, they are delivered to the air base in Erebuni in #Armenia. Further to Mozdok, and to Ukraine.
Thus, in fact, Armenia enters the war!
The Debt said:bangobango said:damnCondensedFoggyAggie said:
There's an Instagram account of what seems to be commentary from various soldiers in the Ukraine, including western volunteers. Which is very raw
https://www.instagram.com/battles.and.beers/
Some entriesQuote:
"Day 3 of combat and still alive, man. This is intense stuff. An ambush earlier destroyed several vehicles, tanks, and other materials they have been using.
Progress is being made, as well as losses. To any volunteers coming, probably a one way ticket, dude. This isn't Iraq or Afghanistan. The next 5 minutes isn't even guaranteed. Don't come here thinking you'll stack bodies because you won't. These aren't dirt farmers with 50 year old AK's.
You'll get humbled to real, REAL combat and violence real quick. This isn't a game. I fired more rounds here in 2 days than 4 deployments to Iraq and Afghanistan. This is not a game, and this is not fun. Choose carefully before you decide to be a hero."
- Western Volunteer. Invasion of Ukraine. February 26th, 2022.
So an operator volunteers and he says he isnt stacking bodies.
Yet people on here think the Ukrainian army is competently defending against russians who cant tie their own boots.
Someone here is lying. And it probably isnt the veteran.
Брошенная техника русской армии pic.twitter.com/7j2DuFLt56
— IgorGirkin (@GirkinGirkin) March 4, 2022
Выстрел птур по русскому танку pic.twitter.com/B7RjZOYAxW
— IgorGirkin (@GirkinGirkin) March 4, 2022
TRM said:Just spoke to @christogrozev, the man who unmasked Sergei Skripal's and @navalny's assassins. He says this is an accurate quote and assessment. Knowing Christo well, I can't imagine he is winging this. https://t.co/CwhmLa5zbR
— Michael Weiss 🌻 (@michaeldweiss) March 4, 2022
DapperDanMan said:PJYoung said:I have been expecting this. We are past the Russian Army logistical tipping point👇👇👇 https://t.co/l73bDvJaFI
— Trent Telenko (@TrentTelenko) March 4, 2022Just spoke to @christogrozev, the man who unmasked Sergei Skripal's and @navalny's assassins. He says this is an accurate quote and assessment. Knowing Christo well, I can't imagine he is winging this. https://t.co/CwhmLa5zbR
— Michael Weiss 🌻 (@michaeldweiss) March 4, 2022
so if the Russian army is a paper tiger...PearlJammin said:
It's apparent that today's Russia /= Soviet Union.
3 decades of corruption and wild west society has created this paper tiger. Putin, with all of is yes-men, is getting his ass handed to him big time.
I'm not qualified to make an educated guess on the future, but I feel it's going to be without Putin.
— WarMonitor (@TheWarMonitor) March 4, 2022
Trying not to derail this thread. Can you join me on the propaganda thread to discuss this further, Please?ABATTBQ11 said:
WE didn't do anything. RUSSIA ****ed up in 2014 by interfering and trying to run Ukraine as a satellite state. RUSSIA are the ones who advised the Yanukovych government and influenced the crackdown on protesters that led to a fully fledged revolution and overthrow of the government. Russia are the ones that have been trying to influence their neighbors' politics and prop up leaders more loyal to Russia than their own people.
I can only speak to what I know - my 2 friends (missionaries) are in their apartment in Kiev just south of Independence Square, and they are running out of food now.deddog said:How are Ukranians getting food? Think it would be harder for them than for the Ruskiesaezmvp said:If true they're going to start getting rolled back locally. Then if they can't feed those troops it's going to fall completely apart. I'm also expecting that if this is accurate you'll see the Russian exchange not open all next week. At that point you're going to start seeing companies in Russia just laying off staff left, right and center. Once that starts and you see unemployment spike heavily Putin is going to have a really, really tight spot.TRM said:Just spoke to @christogrozev, the man who unmasked Sergei Skripal's and @navalny's assassins. He says this is an accurate quote and assessment. Knowing Christo well, I can't imagine he is winging this. https://t.co/CwhmLa5zbR
— Michael Weiss 🌻 (@michaeldweiss) March 4, 2022
Video suggests Russian advance forces at Hostomel were annihilated last night. Half of them don't appear to even have been able to dismount from their vehicles. When entire platoons get wiped out it's going to be hard for Russians to spin to families that the war is going well.
— Tom Rogan (@TomRtweets) March 4, 2022
If these reports of whole swaths of Russian units being wiped out are true.....Captain Positivity said:Video suggests Russian advance forces at Hostomel were annihilated last night. Half of them don't appear to even have been able to dismount from their vehicles. When entire platoons get wiped out it's going to be hard for Russians to spin to families that the war is going well.
— Tom Rogan (@TomRtweets) March 4, 2022
Didn't see this posted earlier.
The scale of lost revenue this time is far more potentially crippling because of the unprecedented sanctions which are much more effective in limiting Russia's ability to compensate, including denying Moscow access to its vaunted $630B "war chest". Russia is not nearly as prepared this time around. Not parallel examples.Kenneth_2003 said:74OA said:It's not just a matter of being profitable, it's how much profit is needed to balance a producer's national budget. Russia is so dependent on energy revenues it currently needs a minimum of ~$70bl and high export volume to avoid drastic cuts to national spending and hurting people's standard of living. I imagine recouping the billions lost on this war and the sanctions hit to volume will drive its break even point much closer to $100bl in coming years.hbtheduce said:aggiehawg said:Actually, this is a good thing. Forcing them to sell at steep discounts (losing the large profit they were expecting) leads to less production from Russia if the profit margin isn't there. Costs more to extract that they can get on the market.BusterAg said:The American people need to boycott Shell gasoline stations.Irish 2.0 said:Buyer Finally Emerges For Russian Oil Offered At A Record $28 Discount https://t.co/3nHMNTwnRF
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) March 4, 2022
Russia having to sell their oil at massive discount to get it out
When we were energy independent the prices went way down but ours was by oversupply. Their discounts are necessary to move any product at all. Big difference.
A $23 deduct at $110 does not dent their profits at all. Russia's break evens are probably well below $30/bbl, They are just fine at $80.
Now it is less money than would be expected for the possible war machine. But compared prices pre-conflict, the deduct isn't even that heavy.
https://www.spglobal.com/commodity-insights/en/market-insights/latest-news/oil/120221-russia-opec-seen-moving-closer-on-fiscal-breakeven-oil-prices
Russia losing billions in oil revenue is a tactical decision not unlike their decision to crash the global oil markets in Q2 2020.
Update on the situation of #Kyiv
— Santeri Eskola | 🇺🇦 Slava Ukraini! (@Eleskola) March 3, 2022
It appears that the Ukrainian forces have cut off the Russian column also from west side and created a strong foothold in the area. Encirclement is inevitable.
Also they have recaptured #Gostomel airport.https://t.co/lohm174ArV@pmakela1 https://t.co/5ZzCcYqIYb pic.twitter.com/Mo3iO68Tu1
