***Russian - Ukraine War Tactical and Strategic Updates*** [Warning on OP]

7,636,555 Views | 47866 Replies | Last: 12 hrs ago by EastSideAg2002
TAMUallen
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Robert C. Christian said:

Explosion flashes behind reporter in kyiv.



Weird he thought it was almost like lightning and that's what I thought it sounded like. The crack of lightning.
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BlackGoldAg2011 said:

If this really was an hour ago in Kherson that hardly looks like a city that has fallen under Russian control to me. Maybe "fallen" just means their force is inside the city.



I hope I'm totally wrong here, but to me that looks like Russians have pinned the Ukrainians into a smaller portion of the city and now they're finishing them off with shells. I hope I'm totally off base though.
mwp02ag
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aggrad02 said:

SidsBurnerAccount said:



Good thread on Russian maintenance issues on all those vehicles that some think aren't being abandoned.



Maintenance issues? Looks like the front of that vehicle got it. It's on fire in the front.


There is no mud at all on the tire that is there. That's a fake.
BlackGoldAg2011
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Robert C. Christian said:

Explosion flashes behind reporter in kyiv.


Based on the 9 ish second delay from the flash to the sound that second blast should have been a hit around 2 miles from where that video was taken. Curious if anything of interest falls along that 2 mile radius line
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Thermobaric? Or how big of missle/bomb would light up that much?
ATX_AG_08
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Waffledynamics
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ATX_AG_08 said:

BlackGoldAg2011 said:

If this really was an hour ago in Kherson that hardly looks like a city that has fallen under Russian control to me. Maybe "fallen" just means their force is inside the city.



I hope I'm totally wrong here, but to me that looks like Russians have pinned the Ukrainians into a smaller portion of the city and now they're finishing them off with shells. I hope I'm totally off base though.
Butcherous and murderous, if true, and I want a bayonet through each Russian's heart that took part in such a thing.
TRM
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Kherson has "fallen" in the sense that the Russians have control of some key areas, but the fighting is far from over.
Waffledynamics
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TRM said:

Kherson has "fallen" in the sense that the Russians have control of some key areas, but the fighting is far from over.
Was this not correct, then?

ABATTBQ11
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aggrad02 said:

SidsBurnerAccount said:



Good thread on Russian maintenance issues on all those vehicles that some think aren't being abandoned.



Maintenance issues? Looks like the front of that vehicle got it. It's on fire in the front.


Think they couldn't move it and burned it
neAGle96
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CondensedFogAggie
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ABATTBQ11 said:

aggrad02 said:

SidsBurnerAccount said:



Good thread on Russian maintenance issues on all those vehicles that some think aren't being abandoned.



Maintenance issues? Looks like the front of that vehicle got it. It's on fire in the front.


Think they couldn't move it and burned it

Yeah wonder what you do with vehicles in that situation.

Remove some key parts and disable it? Or just shoot up the engines and other systems rendering it completely totaled?
neAGle96
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AgsMnn
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What live feeds are still available?
neAGle96
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wildmen09
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Captain Positivity said:

Petraus or some other general was mentioning this mud issue in the lead up to the invasion. Said if they did move on Ukraine they had to get there early enough to be driving on icy ground.

Seeing so many examples of this now. It was mentioned earlier today that Xi wanted Putin to wait until after the Olympics. Hilarious.

Xi may have cost Putin a war.


It's honestly astonishing. I'm a Weather Officer in the Air Force and I work with the Army now and have worked with them in Europe. This is densely covered and well known. I just can't fathom they executed this plan. We all knew it was warmer this year without much snow fall. The ground really never froze. Crazy
TRM
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Waffledynamics said:

TRM said:

Kherson has "fallen" in the sense that the Russians have control of some key areas, but the fighting is far from over.
Was this not correct, then?


You think the Russians would still be shelling the city if it were under full control?

YouBet
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bonfarr said:

Captain Positivity said:

Most aren't propping him up. I think that's been a bit of an overstated thing with the oligarchs. They have no real say in anything. Very few people have Putin's ear.




True. The list of people that have had regular access to him over the last two years is short. Like less than half a dozen.
According to head of MI6, three of his four inner circle no longer have his ear. He's almost operating in isolation at this point if the reports are to be believed.
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wildmen09
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YouBet said:

bonfarr said:

Captain Positivity said:

Most aren't propping him up. I think that's been a bit of an overstated thing with the oligarchs. They have no real say in anything. Very few people have Putin's ear.




True. The list of people that have had regular access to him over the last two years is short. Like less than half a dozen.
According to head of MI6, three of his four inner circle no longer have his ear. He's almost operating in isolation at this point if the reports are to be believed.


Where's you see that?
ATX_AG_08
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This guy posted a very insightful video yesterday. Here's his latest.

YouBet
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wildmen09 said:

YouBet said:

bonfarr said:

Captain Positivity said:

Most aren't propping him up. I think that's been a bit of an overstated thing with the oligarchs. They have no real say in anything. Very few people have Putin's ear.




True. The list of people that have had regular access to him over the last two years is short. Like less than half a dozen.
According to head of MI6, three of his four inner circle no longer have his ear. He's almost operating in isolation at this point if the reports are to be believed.


Where's you see that?
Last Friday on a video call where he spoke. To be clear, it was Alex Younger who was the most recent former head of MI6 and not the current head of MI6. Based on what I've seen from the latter, i might trust Younger's information moreso anyway.
TAMUallen
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AgsMnn said:

What live feeds are still available?


Please hold... I'll find a link but user is "wacmilk" on youtube



Has the best quality of multiple feeds that all seem to be legitimate and not replays
aggiepanic95
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TAMUallen said:

AgsMnn said:

What live feeds are still available?


Please hold... I'll find a link but user is "wacmilk" on youtube
Here's one:

Jackie Daytona
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Waffledynamics
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ATX_AG_08 said:


Letting them have Crimea was one of the worst decisions NATO could have made, and it is proving to be disastrous in this war.
Waffledynamics
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Here is another multistreamer.

jabberwalkie09
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Waffledynamics said:

ATX_AG_08 said:


Letting them have Crimea was one of the worst decisions NATO could have made, and it is proving to be disastrous in this war.
Weren't the Russians already leasing one of the ports in Crimea prior to their annexation in 2014?
Who?mikejones!
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Htownag11 said:

Captain Positivity said:

Petraus or some other general was mentioning this mud issue in the lead up to the invasion. Said if they did move on Ukraine they had to get there early enough to be driving on icy ground.

Seeing so many examples of this now. It was mentioned earlier today that Xi wanted Putin to wait until after the Olympics. Hilarious.

Xi may have cost Putin a war.
The question is - did Xi KNOW he was costing Putin the war?

Unlike our dunces, I wouldn't put this kind of 3D chess past the Chinese.


Hitler made the same mistake when he delayed the invasion of Russia by 4 weeks to take out Yugoslavia

Quote:

"The beginning of the Barbarossa operation" he told his generals, "will have to be postponed up to four weeks." This postponement of the attack on Russia in order that the Nazi warlord might vent his personal spite against a small Balkan country which had dared to defy him was probably the most catastrophic single decision in Hitler's career.


Quote:

General Halder, the gifted Chief of the General Staff, were to recall it with deep bitterness but also with more understanding of its consequences than they showed at the moment of its making, when later the deep snow and subzero temperatures of Russia hit them three or four weeks short of what they thought they needed for final victory. Forever afterward they and their fellow generals would blame that hasty, ill-advised decision of a vain and infuriated man for all the disasters that ensued.
CondensedFogAggie
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neAGle96
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Unfortunately, many sources are reporting this
TheCougarHunter
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Waffledynamics said:

ATX_AG_08 said:


Letting them have Crimea was one of the worst decisions NATO could have made, and it is proving to be disastrous in this war.


Which is why we absolutely cannot let them have Ukraine. It will just be a jump-off point for the invasion of Poland.

Crimea was Putins Sudetenland
SidsBurnerAccount
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Interesting read on the impact of sanctions on Russian aviation sector.
YouBet
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TheCougarHunter said:

Waffledynamics said:

ATX_AG_08 said:


Letting them have Crimea was one of the worst decisions NATO could have made, and it is proving to be disastrous in this war.


Which is why we absolutely cannot let them have Ukraine. It will just be a jump-off point for the invasion of Poland.
No way in hell.
SidsBurnerAccount
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More on sanctions hitting Russian aviation.
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