neAGle96 said:

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Is that a real Russian or propaganda?

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I've seen it cited several times and has purportedly vetted by OSINT community. Establishing chain of custody and origin in a war zone is more difficult than you'd like but based on everything we've seen for the past 5 days I don't find it particularly unbelievable.

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Whirligigs said:

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My guess is the west is so dependent on Russian energy exports they really are just going so far to assist Ukraine.

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RONA Ag said:

If we are so far past that it's ridiculous. The only reason nobody is committing tools is for the risk of Russia going nuclear

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Whirligigs said:

Nope - energy.

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fullback44 said:

I disagree .. the US alone can ramp oil production almost instantly with shale plays like the Eagle Ford, I know I have family wells down there, I've seen what happens when they drill well after well after well, production sky rockets. These high prices and the new demand will cause drilling to go nuts again, sure there will be issues short term, but production around the world will pick up almost over night in order to get some of those big bucks on oil. Russia produces 11-12 % of the worlds oil, many countries will not stop buying it others will, it will balance out very fast. Now the natural gas lines going to the EU. Well those idiots better crank back up their nuclear plants and get those LNG plants moving and stop holding them up over stupid green bull****e… the EU may suffer some but they need to look in the mirror and ask themselves who put them in this position? They must not be too worried about it if they are imposing sanctions…

EU has nuclear weapons in one hand vs being short on fuel in the other …. They have shown they would rather stop Russia than worry about BTUs

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It's just a thought, it could be a mix of all the above. However, outside of good, Ukrainian resistance - Russia basically has a free hand to up the kill factor. Will the economic sanctions work? That is a very interesting move , albeit it will probably impact us as well, especially if the energy spigot is turned off.

WolfCall said:

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Any comments on vacuum bombs from our military weapons experts?

https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1573446/ukraine-invasion-ambassador-kyiv-russia-vladimir-putin-vacuum-bomb-geneva-convention-ont

Quote:

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Ambassador claims Russia used deadly vacuum bomb in Ukraine attack

A UKRAINIAN AMBASSADOR has claimed Russia used a deadly vacuum bomb during its invasion efforts on Monday.
By JACK WALTERS 00:00, Tue, Mar 1, 2022 | UPDATED: 00:10, Tue, Mar 1, 2022

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I was interested in that too.

I fear that this is how he will ratchet up things if necessary, and that will be really ugly.

Kiev is very dark tonight, last night it was lit up like Vegas

Rubio at it again

#Kherson is under withering assault

Expect #Russia to go to great lengths to prevent news & images to emerge because the world will be horrified by the crimes they are committing there

— Marco Rubio (@marcorubio) March 1, 2022

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JobSecurity said:

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Rubio at it again

#Kherson is under withering assault

Expect #Russia to go to great lengths to prevent news & images to emerge because the world will be horrified by the crimes they are committing there

— Marco Rubio (@marcorubio) March 1, 2022

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Unless the Russians take out the power, internet, and kick out all the journalists I don't see that happening. They've tried to hit some power plants before and Musk saw to them getting some Starlink for internet coverage.

for anyone watching the live stream, what are all of the tracers that are crossing the screen in the Victory Avenue frame?

Starlink still needs power right?

So what is the deal with the 40 mile long convoy? They gonna blast them or what? Surely they're not just knowingly trucking along, right?

aggiepanic95 said:

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for anyone watching the live stream, what are all of the tracers that are crossing the screen in the Victory Avenue frame?

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Those are bugs my man

SidetrackAg said:

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So what is the deal with the 40 mile long convoy? They gonna blast them or what? Surely they're not just knowingly trucking along, right?

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depends on the range and capabilities of the aircraft they are picking up in Poland, I guess.

I'm curious as to the position of EU/NATO with Belarus joining in. I understand not wanting to engage directly with Russia, but what about actively stopping g Belarus? Why haven't we seen much active resistance to them mobilizing?

Any livestreams and/or footage from Kherson?

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aggiepanic95 said:

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for anyone watching the live stream, what are all of the tracers that are crossing the screen in the Victory Avenue frame?

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RONA Ag said:

Those are bugs my man

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Fire flys …

One thing I keep wondering is what kind of military units Ukraine has in the west part of the country. Russia has mostly left that side alone and it appears to my untrained brain that they could be attacked by a force from the west.

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aggiepanic95 said:

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for anyone watching the live stream, what are all of the tracers that are crossing the screen in the Victory Avenue frame?

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RONA Ag said:

Those are bugs my man

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What kind of bugs are out at 34 degrees? Also, they seem to only go from right to left on the screen, not random bug movements you typically see.

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wbt5845 said:

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Guys - a lot - and I mean A LOT - of F-35As have been deployed to Eastern Europe over the weekend. Biggest mobilization I've seen since the Gulf War.

I know my family friend who's Commander over Marine Corps Command VMA-223 Cherry Point are headed over to Europe today.

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BurnetAggie99 said:

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wbt5845 said:

First I've heard of this and I am troubled by it.

Sending A models over as a show of force is one thing. B models have less range and less carrying capability, but have some very specific strike and forward deployment abilities that - well, I hope we do not need those capabilities. It'd be a World War III if we did.

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I suspect this is part of getting Poland and others to give planes to Ukraine. Promise to send in F35s to back them up if needed.

GAC06 said:

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Starlink still needs power right?

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That's a given, but my comment was more so that the Russians haven't hit the power infrastructure yet. And iirc most of Ukraine's power is from nuclear power.

2/ DoD and DHS are pressing hard for Congress to end the continuing resolution and get a budget passed. There is no way for our national security agencies to be nimble enough to support Ukraine if they are operating on the 2020/21 budget.

— Chris Murphy (@ChrisMurphyCT) March 1, 2022

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4/ The U.S. and allies are coordinating to not only freeze the assets of Putin and his oligarch allies, but to seize those assets as well. This is likely a further step than Putin’s inner circle anticipated.

— Chris Murphy (@ChrisMurphyCT) March 1, 2022

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SidetrackAg said:

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So what is the deal with the 40 mile long convoy? They gonna blast them or what? Surely they're not just knowingly trucking along, right?

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The convoy only made 3 kms in almost 24 hours today due to fuel supply issues and drone attacks so hopefully the Ukes have time to get those fighters from Poland overhead.

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JobSecurity said:

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Rubio at it again

Click to load Tweet

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jabberwalkie09 said:

Unless the Russians take out the power, internet, and kick out all the journalists I don't see that happening. They've tried to hit some power plants before and Musk saw to them getting some Starlink for internet coverage.

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Ugh. Awful. Sounds like the first ineffective wave were the rookies,
Inexperienced, incompetent young soldiers who didn't want to be there. Not supported if Russia didn't have to. Read they didn't even have GPS or maps and did not know where they were going. Russia hoping Ukraine would lay down quickly. When that didn't happen, now the professionals are moving in and they are ruthless. Commies.

rathAG05 said:

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I'm curious as to the position of EU/NATO with Belarus joining in. I understand not wanting to engage directly with Russia, but what about actively stopping g Belarus? Why haven't we seen much active resistance to them mobilizing?

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Belarus is part of the Collective Security Treaty Organization with Russia. The CSTO is headquartered in Moscow. Hit Belarus and you get The Bear as well.

Also - if you haven't read the last 10 pages please do so before commenting or asking questions.

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+ 1 more quotes (click to expand)

wbt5845 said:

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Guys - a lot - and I mean A LOT - of F-35As have been deployed to Eastern Europe over the weekend. Biggest mobilization I've seen since the Gulf War.

I know my family friend who's Commander over Marine Corps Command VMA-223 Cherry Point are headed over to Europe today.

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BurnetAggie99 said:

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wbt5845 said:

First I've heard of this and I am troubled by it.

Sending A models over as a show of force is one thing. B models have less range and less carrying capability, but have some very specific strike and forward deployment abilities that - well, I hope we do not need those capabilities. It'd be a World War III if we did.

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223 is still flying harriers and I'm very skeptical they're going to Europe.

223 is the training squadron now that VMAT-203 stood down. If they were going to send harriers it would be 542 or 231, not 223. And they're not sending harriers unless things get wild.

redline248 said:

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One thing I keep wondering is what kind of military units Ukraine has in the west part of the country. Russia has mostly left that side alone and it appears to my untrained brain that they could be attacked by a force from the west.

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I think most of the Ukrainian forces are in the east, where the 8 year war with the separatist regions has been going on. Probably not much in the west at all.

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rathAG05 said:

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I'm curious as to the position of EU/NATO with Belarus joining in. I understand not wanting to engage directly with Russia, but what about actively stopping g Belarus? Why haven't we seen much active resistance to them mobilizing?

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jabberwalkie09 said:

Belarus is part of the Collective Security Treaty Organization with Russia. The CSTO is headquartered in Moscow. Hit Belarus and you get The Bear as well.

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Yep. I imagine at this point the EU is not distinguishing Belarus from Russia.

Things got sporty at home for Lukashenko last year and, pure conjecture here, I think he made a devil's bargain with Putin where Lukashenko gets a a lifetime interest in the Belarussian presidency, but Russia owns the country thereafter.

From watching Putin interviews, he talks about the "Union" when referring to the Soviet Union, and I think what he may be after is not so much outright annexation in the brutally simple form, but a true federation with Moscow as the imperial capital governing over tributary petty kingdoms e.g. Lukashenko in Belarus, Kadyrov in Chechnya, whatshisnuts in Kazakhstan, etc. etc.

GAC06 said:

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Starlink still needs power right?

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Starlink satellites have a current life span of 5 years.

Obviously the clients (phones, tablets, laptops) need power to participate.

Russian intelligence agent detained in Kropyvnytsky.#RussiaInvadedUkraine https://t.co/DwDwnRFHG1

— Walter Lekh🇺🇦 (@walterlekh) March 1, 2022

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Looks like the Ukes have held on to some of their Soviet traditions…NKVD style..

Rossticus said:

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Russian intelligence agent detained in Kropyvnytsky.#RussiaInvadedUkraine https://t.co/DwDwnRFHG1

— Walter Lekh🇺🇦 (@walterlekh) March 1, 2022

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Well, that's likely going to be short and swift trial.

Again, anyone finding any cams from Kherson?

Russia says it will pay 11,000 Rubel (about USD 104.-) to the families of fallen Russian soldiers. pic.twitter.com/sZTDlqkRYZ

— Sergej Sumlenny (@sumlenny) March 1, 2022

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For people keeping track at home, that's 440x what Russia is offering, and they don't have to die.

— You wouldn't donk a car. (@donkyourenemies) March 1, 2022

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Waffledynamics said:

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Again, anyone finding any cams from Kherson?

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No. Actually found this

#Херсон І ще треба розуміти (а я на цьому не дуже розуміюся) — чи завжди штурм дорівнює гучні вибухи і обстріли?
Обстрілювали околиці міста з різних боків і в попередні дні,але штурму не було.Зараз тихо,а по різним каналам,в тому числі телевізійним,повідомили про штурм #kherson

— Південний Друль🦉 (@drulik213) March 1, 2022

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They write (according to eyewitnesses from that area of the city) that the information on storming of Kherson from the Nikolaev highway which was published one and a half hours ago by some big telegram channels, is untrue.
It's quiet here. No sirens were heard, no shelling.

And you still have to understand (and I don't really understand that) - is an assault always equal to loud explosions and shelling?
They fired at the outskirts of the city from different directions in the previous days, but there was no assault #kherson

The Ukrainian ambassador to the U.S. told Sen. Graham that Ukraine asked Israel for Stingers and Israel said no. Graham said he’s going to call up the Israelis and push them to reverse course.

— Andrew Desiderio (@AndrewDesiderio) March 1, 2022

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