***Russian - Ukraine War Tactical and Strategic Updates*** [Warning on OP]

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aezmvp
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In reply to AlaskanAg99 • 1:48p, 11/25/22
AlaskanAg99 said:
WTF, NATO and outer countries with defense treaties with the US are arming Russia?

Threaten to tear those treaties up if there isn't verifiable action. Maximum pressure include ALL trade agreements with the US. Not to exclude the removal of all US equipment and personnel from said countries.
What they are talking about are multi use industrial fabrication equipment. A precision industrial CnC and fabrication machine capable of turning out products can be used in commercial goods as well as defense capabilities and in many cases you'll have a company order 2 and 1 goes to a defense plant and the other it's actual intended application. That's what they're talking about here.
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AgLA06
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In reply to P.U.T.U • 1:49p, 11/25/22
AG
P.U.T.U said:
Waffledynamics said:
....Interesting.

Quote:
NATO Secretary General: The alliance does not have instructors on the ground in Ukraine
https://liveuamap.com/en/2022/25-november-nato-secretary-general-the-alliance-does-not
At this point if NATO says something it is a lie, several USA retired military personnel that have volunteered to help in Ukraine have stated we have had boots on the ground since before the war training the Uke soldiers and medical industry. Flat out lie


There's a big difference in retired or civilian US advisors and NATO coalition forces.
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P.U.T.U
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In reply to AgLA06 • 2:26p, 11/25/22
AG
It's mostly the CIA
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AlaskanAg99
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In reply to aezmvp • 2:58p, 11/25/22
AG
aezmvp said:
AlaskanAg99 said:
WTF, NATO and outer countries with defense treaties with the US are arming Russia?

Threaten to tear those treaties up if there isn't verifiable action. Maximum pressure include ALL trade agreements with the US. Not to exclude the removal of all US equipment and personnel from said countries.
What they are talking about are multi use industrial fabrication equipment. A precision industrial CnC and fabrication machine capable of turning out products can be used in commercial goods as well as defense capabilities and in many cases you'll have a company order 2 and 1 goes to a defense plant and the other it's actual intended application. That's what they're talking about here.


They should be forced to shut them down.
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sclaff
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3:16p, 11/25/22
AG
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sclaff
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3:32p, 11/25/22
AG
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Waffledynamics
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In reply to sclaff • 3:36p, 11/25/22
AG
Very questionable report. It's gotten so bad that I don't really trust Chuck Pfarrer anymore for accuracy.

Where's any indication anywhere else that there's significant activity, including liberations, on the Kinburn Peninsula?
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mike0305
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In reply to Waffledynamics • 3:56p, 11/25/22
I've been ignoring his posts for weeks, agree. No faith in that guy.
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Rossticus
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3:57p, 11/25/22




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Rossticus
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4:06p, 11/25/22
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Rossticus
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4:13p, 11/25/22
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74OA
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In reply to Rossticus • 4:26p, 11/25/22
AG
Rossticus said:




It's not just up to Poland or NATO, the US has to agree for any of its systems to be transferred to a second party.
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Rossticus
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In reply to 74OA • 4:32p, 11/25/22
I'm pretty sure if Sec Gen is saying this out loud then we've given the green light.
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Rossticus
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4:33p, 11/25/22
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Rossticus
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4:35p, 11/25/22
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Rossticus
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4:38p, 11/25/22
Thread:

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1596017730733412352.html

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Rossticus
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4:41p, 11/25/22
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Ag In Ok
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In reply to Rossticus • 5:09p, 11/25/22
AG
Rossticus said:


Butcher
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docb
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5:21p, 11/25/22
AG
https://www.reddit.com/r/RussiaUkraineWar2022/comments/z4np3c/in_memory_of_all_those_who_gave_their_lives/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf
Great vid
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Rossticus
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10:28p, 11/25/22
FSB just offed a bunch of Russian LARPers… wow…

Thread:
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1596066963608178688.html

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Rossticus
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10:33p, 11/25/22

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Waffledynamics
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10:59p, 11/25/22
AG


A lot of Rob's content seems to be featuring Russian State TV and intercepted calls because there isn't much movement going on in the front due to conditions on the ground. Keep in mind that we're getting to the more brutal part of the year there.

At 1:01, Rob suggests that next week, we will start to see an evident shift in Russian morale as it keeps getting colder and more miserable. He plays an intercepted Russian phone call between a mobilized soldier on the Kreminna front and his mother. It doesn't sound great. The mobik says they were running away from a tank with thermal vision. He doesn't have the proper training nor equipment. The mobik is also told that you can't get leave unless you've been there for 8 months. All in all, it's a really heartbreaking phone call to listen to.

At 8:07, we get another intercepted phone call. He says that there are BARS (volunteer batallions) in Kreminna, and that many of them only have 7 people in each of them (???), mostly "pensioners". It's also noted that Wagner convict-soldiers were fighting alongside one of these two mobiks, but they haven't been seen in days. These guys also seem to believe the lies that Poland wants to take either Ukrainian territory of Russian territory (Kaliningrad), and that they're fighting NATO. One of the Russians openly admits they're firing phosphorous "to burn them out".

At 12:34, We get more Russian State TV with our favorite propaganda host, Vladimir Solovyov, in an unhinged rant. Somehow, he spins it around to say that Ukraine is the one killing Russians, conveniently ignoring that Russia is the aggressor. He repeats the lie that they're fighting against NATO. He exclaims that this is war and that there's no bigger valor and happiness for a man than to give his life for the Motherland. He just aimlessly yells at people running away from the war. Apparently, Solovyov lost his Italian villa and lies that he gave it up. Rob says he wishes he could have rented Solovyov's house in an AirBnB and left a dump on the floor (lol).

AT 17:40, we get another Russian State TV show. One of the speakers says he's asked when the war will end and also how long they need to put up with it. Also, another speaker says that there are Russian units that explicitly do not take prisoners. Another speaker points out that there are routine prisoner swaps, and that not taking prisoners is a war crime. Also, somehow one of them claims there are concentration camps for Russians? One of the speakers also suggests a direct attack on the British military. Another openly makes a good point that much of the projection of being open to peace talks is to put on a show to the outside world, and that that isn't serious given their goal of regime change in Kyiv.

Map updates at 26:12. Not much changing on the NE front, which isn't surprising. The weather is apparently terrible. Bakhmut is a miserable mess for the Russians as they throw cannon fodder and meat to the grinder.

At 29:18, Rob brings up the rumor that the Kinburn Peninsula is subject to a strong Ukrainian operation. I still don't believe this and would wait for confirmation. It seems he may be cautiously following Chuck Pfarrer's lead. He notes that it's an outlier in the information. Overall, it seems that Ukraine is using the current seasonal situation to soften Russia up.
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Rossticus
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11:14p, 11/25/22
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Rossticus
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11:23p, 11/25/22

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Rossticus
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4:05a, 11/26/22
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Rossticus
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4:08a, 11/26/22
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JFABNRGR
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In reply to Rossticus • 9:27a, 11/26/22
AG
Rossticus said:
Thread:

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1596017730733412352.html



They have already accepted death. In doing so can lead to either being a very dangerous warrior or simply awaiting their chosen fate. The latter appears to be the case here. There is another wounded by grenade drone in which the drone returns after rearming and the orc had already killed himself.

Going to get worse as it gets colder but colder also means drier.
“You can resolve to live your life with integrity. Let your credo be this: Let the lie come into the world, let it even triumph. But not through me.”
- Alexander Solzhenitsyn
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Waffledynamics
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In reply to Rossticus • 10:15a, 11/26/22
AG
Just to add to the ISW notes:

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-november-25

Key Takeaways
  • Reports of a group of understaffed and ill-supplied mobilized personnel are dividing the Russian information space.
  • President Vladimir Putin falsely presented a meeting with hand-picked women as an open discussion with mothers of mobilized personnel.
  • An investigation by Forbes' Ukrainian service revealed that the war in Ukraine has had a serious financial impact on the Russian Federation's annual budget.
  • The Russian MoD may have increased the frequency of POW exchanges to soothe discontent in the Russian information space.
  • A Ukrainian official confirmed that Ukrainian forces killed Iranian military advisors in Russian-occupied Crimea and threatened to target Iranian military presence on Ukrainian territory.
  • Russian military leadership may be circulating a document stating that Russia needs to mobilize five million personnel to win the war in Ukraine, which Russia cannot do.
  • Russian forces conducted limited counterattacks to regain lost positions northwest of Svatove and Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations toward Kreminna.
  • Russian forces continued to conduct offensive operations in the Bakhmut and Avdiivka areas, and influential Russian figures may be setting informational conditions to deflect blame for a lack of progress in the Bakhmut area.
  • Russian forces continued to establish defenses south of the Dnipro River in Kherson Oblast and around critical ground lines of communication (GLOCs) connecting Crimea to southern Kherson Oblast.
  • Russian sources and officials continue attempts to shape the narrative around a likely second partial mobilization while denying the potential for general mobilization.
  • Russian officials are continuing efforts to stimulate demographic change in occupied areas of Ukraine by deporting Ukrainian residents and replacing them with imported Russian citizens.
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Waffledynamics
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11:50a, 11/26/22
AG
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Waffledynamics
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11:53a, 11/26/22
AG
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74OA
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1:42p, 11/26/22
AG
Blah, blah, blah. If Russia's brutalization of Ukraine isn't enough to justify reparations, then I don't know what ever will be. Just do it.

FIND A WAY
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74OA
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1:47p, 11/26/22
AG
Freezing Ukraine gradually getting some electricity back.

KHERSON
OUTAGES
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Waffledynamics
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9:48p, 11/26/22
AG
This video is from a channel that a German acquaintance started. He's not as flashy as Speak the Truth or Denys Davydov, but I hope this may be of interest to others here for informational purposes.

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Rossticus
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In reply to Waffledynamics • 10:04p, 11/26/22
Awesome! Thanks for the fresh content!
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Waffledynamics
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10:41p, 11/26/22
AG
Yeesh. Also, the poster got the left-side pictures wrong. Those are apparently in Passchendaele and the Somme. Still, the point remains that the situation is similar.

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