Guess we will see...
Putin has tasked Sergei Surovikin, “General Armageddon,” to lead Russia’s war with Ukraine. Surovikin is celebrated for his ruthlessness in Syria, for his willingness to make civilians the targets for Russian bombs, writes @rayanelamine15 https://t.co/8UTataDLyG
— Coda Story (@CodaStory) October 18, 2022
I'll just say this. Do I think this leads to WW3 or nuclear attacks? no.Rossticus said:GAC06 said:
AMRAAM and harpoon for what? Just taking advantage of the purse strings being open?
Probably
FireAg said:
That's the same Russian Army that has been raping, torturing, and executing innocent civilians, correct?
What a joke...
The weapons they are using don't have anywhere near the accuracy to be used for precision strikes like that.Ag In Ok said:
I actually wonder if the strikes to civilian areas are targeted for specific people. I would assume they still have spies on the ground. Members of parliament, officials, military officers families, etc. granted they could be random to stoke fear, but i do wonder. It wouldn't be beneath them to spray gunfire in an area to make sure the right one goes down.
Rossticus said:US Senate wants the Pentagon to buy:
— Thomas C. Theiner (@noclador) October 18, 2022
• 750,000 XM1128 / XM1123
• 1,000 M777
• 700 (!) M142 HIMARS
• 100,000 GMLRS
• 20,000 Stinger
• 25,000 Javelin
• 30,000 Hellfire
• 36,000 AGM-179
• 1,000 Harpoon
• 800 NSM
• 10,000 Patriot PAC-3
• 6,000 (!) ATACMS
• 20,000 AMRAAM
BREAKING: Moldova will announce mobilization in the event of radical changes in the course of hostilities in Ukraine or an increase in the flow of refugees, Defense Minister tells TVR-Moldova - TASS
— Faytuks News Δ (@Faytuks) October 18, 2022
Could also be used to strengthen Far East assets now that the Chinese brown water fleet is larger than the US Pacific fleet.Rossticus said:GAC06 said:
AMRAAM and harpoon for what? Just taking advantage of the purse strings being open?
Probably
Hence, why I said I think we are being proactive and gearing up for war. Those are strike weapons like the first days of the gulf war to take out enemy air force and navy.GAC06 said:
Backfilling ordnance makes sense but as far as AMRAAM and harpoon (even counting NASAMS against AMRAAM) we have provided hundreds not tens of thousands
Occupation authorities in Kherson region of Ukraine declare evacuation of population from the right bank of Dnipro river, citing threat of destruction of dam of Kakhovka reservoir https://t.co/g4L1bK2F0P
— Bart 🏳️⚧️🏳️🌈🇪🇺🇺🇦 (@_Bartotten_) October 18, 2022
#UPDATE The Kremlin said it had "no information" on its forces using Iranian drones in Ukraine after Kyiv and the West said Moscow used Tehran's weapons for deadly strikes pic.twitter.com/TlENdKeaVS
— AFP News Agency (@AFP) October 18, 2022
Solovyov keeps on going, but then pundit Yakov Kedmi steps in too and tells him to quit the "empty talk" 2/2 pic.twitter.com/8RsZkUfOzk
— Francis Scarr (@francis_scarr) October 18, 2022
Blow that dam, and they might as well write off Crimea. There is a canal that comes out of that lake that runs deep into Crimea almost all the way to the Kerch Straight. Crimea depends on this water, and the Ukrainians depriving them of it is one of the main reasons for Russia's invasion (when Ukraine pulled back in 2014, they made sure to dam the canal, which the Russians restored immediately after the current invasion).FriscoKid said:Occupation authorities in Kherson region of Ukraine declare evacuation of population from the right bank of Dnipro river, citing threat of destruction of dam of Kakhovka reservoir https://t.co/g4L1bK2F0P
— Bart 🏳️⚧️🏳️🌈🇪🇺🇺🇦 (@_Bartotten_) October 18, 2022
Would not be surprised if Russia really does blow the dam. That would be a ton of water and take out another electric plant.
Most plausible explanation, the Russian troops just planning to make a tactical regrouping under cover of human shield https://t.co/psKXNgkLa7
— Liveuamap (@Liveuamap) October 18, 2022
Crimea loses the canal regardless. If Ukraine captures the dam they'll close the canal's sluice gates.txags92 said:
The only reason Russia blows the dam is if they think they will eventually lose Crimea too. Without that dam, Crimea goes without water.
Yes, but if they had some hope of holding on to Crimea in a negotiated peace, they would want to make water from that canal a part of the deal. Without the dam, there is no water to feed that canal and no hope of getting water to Crimea until the dam is repaired/replaced. I know the Russians are amazingly short-sighted most of the time, but they won't destroy the ability to get water from that canal unless they think they are going to lose Crimea eventually.benchmark said:Crimea loses the canal regardless. If Ukraine captures the dam they'll close the canal's sluice gates.txags92 said:
The only reason Russia blows the dam is if they think they will eventually lose Crimea too. Without that dam, Crimea goes without water.
Rzeszow #Poland
— Manu Gómez (@GDarkconrad) October 18, 2022
-USTransCom Atlas Air 747 CMB467
-USTransCom Atlas Air 747 CMB301 pic.twitter.com/o19jCwO8Tf
Location: 48.6218, 38.3605 pic.twitter.com/C3TlYJoXbb
— Def Mon (@DefMon3) October 18, 2022
We will solve the issue with “mopeds” within two weeks, - Arestovych.
— ТРУХА⚡️English (@TpyxaNews) October 18, 2022
“Ukraine will soon receive several hundred anti-drone stations, and until that, we will just simply shoot them down with the usual means.”
#New: Donetzk-born Natan Sharansky, former Soviet refusenik, Jewish hero and right-wing politician, blasts Israel as "the last country in the free world which is still afraid to irritate Putin," calls on Israel to help arm Ukraine. https://t.co/sm7DzIaAB1
— Noga Tarnopolsky (@NTarnopolsky) October 18, 2022
Brig.Gen. Ryder does a great job of walking the reporter through the process & giving assurances the US & her allies will be ready for future conflicts w/o ever actually saying whether or not current drawdowns are impacting US readiness at this moment. https://t.co/AD0ngpU2b8
— Patrick Fox (@RealCynicalFox) October 18, 2022
And if you want to avoid a flood, you need to move everyone to the Right bank of Dnipro, not left https://t.co/VkcWIVNUXg pic.twitter.com/AsKfAQtlwk
— Liveuamap (@Liveuamap) October 18, 2022
1/ The Russian Telegram blogger Vladlen Tartarsky has written a useful description of the terrain in occupied southern Ukraine, which helps to highlight the difficulties that both sides are facing in fighting over it. Translation follows. ⬇️ pic.twitter.com/E0gPBxwt0z
— ChrisO (@ChrisO_wiki) October 18, 2022
Iran has been striking the match for many years and is extending and escalating this war, and not directly to help russia but to hurt the west. The best thing we can do to prevent further escalation in the UKR/Russia war is to strike some key Iranian facilities immediately: Nuke making, drone making/shipping, or anything else that is allowing them to support russia and any other terrorist faction. It does not have to be massive but it needs to destroy some of these immediate threats and send a big MSG that reads stand the **** down. Russia will be seeing this as well and their current strategy of shutting off power and water in all of Ukraine will be severely hampered without Iran. Lately the refugee crisis seems to have stabilized but if they are successful at killing off most of the utilities, the refugee issue will be a big problem for many neighboring countries who are supporting Ukraine.mickeyrig06sq3 said:Iran is a sticky addition to this. It brings Israel into the fray, which may make them feel like they have an opportunity to have free reign to strike inside Iran, but Iran has a pretty close relationship and multiple treaties with China. Definitely don't want to strike that match.P.U.T.U said:
Iran starting to provide arms is a massive escalation, they have copied several Russian weapon systems over the years and have been providing them to their proxies like Hezbollah over the past few decades. Iran pulls the strings, they can shift their supply from the middle east to Russia which gives them tens of thousands of artillery and missiles.
Iran also has a military program more similar to the US than Russia as the US CIA trained them in the 80s during the Iran/Iraq war (yes we trained and armed both sides). They do have NCOs and after seeing Russia's capabilities I think Iran may actually be more of a threat.
Russia and Iran also have zero respect for their enemies civilians. We have already seen the use of drones to go after civilian targets and I wouldn't be surprised if Iran started using proxies as suicide bombers/attackers. If I was Iran I would convince Russia to do what they did in Iraq in 2003-2006, IEDs, EFPs, suicide bombers, take out military recruiting stations, etc. which would make this nasty war even worse.
Every day it seems like we are a step closer to WW3
The theme of the Security Council meeting is migration issues: "regulation of migration processes in the interests of the country's socio-economic development and socio-political stability." (TASS confirmed this)
— Faytuks News Δ (@Faytuks) October 18, 2022
That sounds like it could be related to people leaving Russia
They're also among the few countries for which the West can't intercept the shipments. NK has a land border with Russia, and Iran can ship or fly shipments across the Caspian Sea.BQ_90 said:My guess is it's more of a chance to sell weapons for 2 countries that have sanctions on them. Also they get a testing ground for their weapons.Rossticus said:
Yep. You're seeing North Korea and Iran coalesce around Russia because they see it as a chance to instigate chaos and then possibly fill any resultant vacuum in their region. There's your axis if Putin decides to send things off the rails.