***Russian - Ukraine War Tactical and Strategic Updates*** [Warning on OP]

8,038,854 Views | 48658 Replies | Last: 5 min ago by EastSideAg2002
Ag In Ok
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AG
I doubt it. Otherwise Wagner would have completely broken camp in all the third world holes they were thrown in. And those in his inner circle must have been arrested as well of true. Not saying it isn't, but i expect more corroborating evidence given their size and scope around the world. If it were me, you shoot my guys and everywhere else they are around the world has either turned hot in the other direction or we break camp.
LMCane
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LarryElder said:

So im really to believe Russia is bombing their best fighting force ?
they would be if what Prigozhin has stated NUMEROUS times is true

that he is in a battle with Gerasimov and Shoigu over who will become the military leader of Russia and replace Putin in the elections.

Prigozhin has been insubordinate and threatening the Russian high command for months. they put out a video last week of some Russian Colonel that Wagner captured who "admitted" he fired on Wagner.

now, is this all mostly a bluff by Prigozhin to make it seem the Russians are attacking HIM? could be

hopefully it really is that the Russian high command has tired of his antics and are trying to take him out now rather than wait for Ceasar to cross the Rubicon
ABATTBQ11
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AG
Ag In Ok said:

I doubt it. Otherwise Wagner would have completely broken camp in all the third world holes they were thrown in. And those in his inner circle must have been arrested as well of true. Not saying it isn't, but i expect more corroborating evidence given their size and scope around the world. If it were me, you shoot my guys and everywhere else they are around the world has either turned hot in the other direction or we break camp.


Kind of depends. That's a lot of guys and equipment to just move. I doubt Wagner has that kind of logistical capability, and if they did, where exactly are they going to rally? Anywhere they can just show up to is going to be under regular Russian control. Makes a little more sense to just drive to Moscow or start a coup with the forces in Ukraine that are probably pissed about being there. "Let's go home and kill the traitor Shoigu," probably sounds a lot better than, "Go attack the Ukrainians, or we'll kill you," to the average Russian conscript.
javajaws
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AG
Could also be a case of friendly fire nobody wants to admit to. Who really knows at this point though. What really matters is what happens next...
ABATTBQ11
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AG
javajaws said:

Could also be a case of friendly fire nobody wants to admit to. Who really knows at this point though. What really matters is what happens next...


It's going to be an interesting weekend
PJYoung
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AG






Quote:

"The leftovers of Wagners on the outskirts of Bakhmut opened fire on the regular roads of the Russian Federation.

Our assault brigades see everything, systematic strikes are now being carried out on the positions of the Russians.

You would hear the radio broadcast of these *** now.

The impression is that part of the Russian regular troops are killing their own, and it seems that part of the military is supporting Prigozhin. While it is not clear what is finally happening, it is a bloodbath"
wessimo
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AG
Probably a psyop but hope it is real.
ABATTBQ11
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AG
Holy ****!
JB!98
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AG
PJYoung said:







Quote:

"The leftovers of Wagners on the outskirts of Bakhmut opened fire on the regular roads of the Russian Federation.

Our assault brigades see everything, systematic strikes are now being carried out on the positions of the Russians.

You would hear the radio broadcast of these *** now.

The impression is that part of the Russian regular troops are killing their own, and it seems that part of the military is supporting Prigozhin. While it is not clear what is finally happening, it is a bloodbath"

If this is real, could this be a reason for the "operational pause?" The Ukes and NATO knew something was up and were interested to see what happened in that sector?
ABATTBQ11
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AG
Maybe. Let them kill each other and then pick up the pieces either way.
Ag97
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AG
They are a mercenary group. What are the chances Nato just ponied up more money than the Russians and said "you work for us now"? History shows that's always been a risk with mercenaries.
Htownag11
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AG
JB!98
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AG
ABATTBQ11 said:

Maybe. Let them kill each other and then pick up the pieces either way.
Going to speculate a little further. Wagner has better information on the morale of Russian troop and the strain that the offensive is putting them under. Possibly, that they are going to break at some point soon. The Wagner leader sees this as a golden opportunity to take this action and encourage mutiny among the Russian forces. He think gets them to fight on his side to change things in Russia to benefit the poor downtrodden troops in Ukraine.


ABATTBQ11
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AG
Yeah. Like I said earlier, "Let's go home and kill the traitor Shoigu," probably sounds a lot better than, "Go attack the Ukrainians, or we'll kill you," to the average Russian conscript.

This could also be a manufactured way out. Prigozhin overthrows the military leadership who "misled" Putin and they retreat out of certain areas to consolidate their forces as a part of the transition. That way they don't lose so much as they cleaned house and stopped enriching the elite.
TheVarian
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AG
Maybe this was the play, let them be demoralized and the enemy of my enemy is my friend so to speak. Make money from both sides, get the support of "NATO" and get a new way of life.
GarryowenAg
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AG
Take it with a grain…
JB!98
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AG
ABATTBQ11 said:

Yeah. Like I said earlier, "Let's go home and kill the traitor Shoigu," probably sounds a lot better than, "Go attack the Ukrainians, or we'll kill you," to the average Russian conscript.

This could also be a manufactured way out. Prigozhin overthrows the military leadership who "misled" Putin and they retreat out of certain areas to consolidate their forces as a part of the transition. That way they don't lose so much as they cleaned house and stopped enriching the elite.
If real, like my Grandpa always said, "Never look a gift horse in the mouth."
Gordo14
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lb3 said:

Gordo14 said:

Igor Girkin calling it a coup...


This screen grab is a poor photoshop.


It's translate embedded in telegram or their browser. It's not a photoshop
GarryowenAg
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AG
JB!98
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AG
Supposedly in someplace called Rostov military vehicles seen in the street.


TheVarian
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AG
This is wild. Only in Russia would they fight for the motherland then openly turn their backs against it.
GarryowenAg
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AG
ABATTBQ11
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AG
**** this looks real. Either Russia is **** to enter a civil war or they're going to put down a coup by Wagner and parts of their own military.
Gordo14
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I don't think this is a psyop. Still not really sure what is going on, but you have to realize that although all of this stuff is leaked to the West because it is spread over telegram... It's really intended for a Russian audience. Also key to realize the MOD was trying to force Wagner into the Russian military recently, so it's not unreasonable to think we are at a breaking point.
lb3
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AG
Gordo14 said:

lb3 said:

Gordo14 said:

Igor Girkin calling it a coup...


This screen grab is a poor photoshop.


It's translate embedded in telegram or their browser. It's not a photoshop
Zoom in or look at it on a PC and look at the jpg artifacts. Then count the pixels between the rows of text at the left and right. The rows aren't even parallel.

Edit for typos
Gordo14
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lb3 said:

Gordo14 said:

lb3 said:

Gordo14 said:

Igor Girkin calling it a coup...


This screen grab is a poor photoshop.


It's translate embedded in telegram or their browser. It's not a photoshop
Zoom in or look at it on a PC and look ago the jpg artifacts. Then count the pixels between the rows of text at the left and right. The rows aren't even parallel.


You can believe it or not. But I've seen it posted from multiple sources in Russian claiming that's what he Igor Girkin said. And he said in a later post that Putin needs to intervene immediately. But from what I'm seeing online via pictures and various different sources - something is happening. I'm usually skeptical about these things, but I've never seen this many sources get fooled in this conflict. It's coming out very similarly to the raids into Russian territory a month ago or so.
lb3
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AG
Gordo14 said:

lb3 said:

Gordo14 said:

lb3 said:

Gordo14 said:

Igor Girkin calling it a coup...


This screen grab is a poor photoshop.


It's translate embedded in telegram or their browser. It's not a photoshop
Zoom in or look at it on a PC and look ago the jpg artifacts. Then count the pixels between the rows of text at the left and right. The rows aren't even parallel.


You can believe it or not. But I've seen it posted from multiple sources in Russian claiming that's what he Igor Girkin said. And he said in a later post that Putin needs to intervene immediately. But from what I'm seeing online via pictures and various different sources - something is happening. I'm usually skeptical about these things, but I've never seen this many sources get fooled in this conflict. It's coming out very similarly to the raids into Russian territory a month ago or so.
There is something going on for sure but I don't believe that screen grab is real.

Back to tactics, I hope the Ukes are planning to send some HIMARs to help Wagner break out of their current location.
PJYoung
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AG
PJYoung
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AG




Gordo14
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PJYoung said:






In response to the Vindman post, I do think it's possible that he flipped enough Oligarchs and powerful military powers that his got more strength than "just Wagner". Definitely think it's possible he's gone crazy with a god complex too. It'll play out over the next few days and weeks.
Ag In Ok
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AG
Ok i posted a few seconds too soon!
Arresting his inner circle - check
Breaking camp in hell holes - tbd
Turning their guns inward - check


Looks like we have a palace coup. Pray that nothing stupid happens with WMDs. I don't want my son fighting in a war because something squirted out.
ABATTBQ11
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AG
Vindman is a moron. This isn't just Wagner against everyone else. Prigozhin is looking for followers, and he may well find them in the GRU and amongst pissed off conscripts.
PlaneCrashGuy
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AG
If a counteroffensive is due to start soon, Russia is absolutely about to get ****ed.
I'm not sure if people genuinely believe someone is going to say, "Wow, if some people say I'm a moron for not believing this, it clearly must be true."

It's not much a persuasive argument. It really just sounds like a bunch of miniature dachshunds barking because the first one one barked when it thought it heard something.
Gordo14
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General in Russian army asks Wagner to stop before it's too late
aggiehawg
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AG
Too late for whom?
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