At least we'll have a chance to begin anew after we collapse and go through decades of dictatorship

FriscoKid said:

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We are 47-47 right now

Arizona:

• Mark Kelly (D): 52.6%
• Martha McSally (R): 47.4%

Michigan:

• Gary Peters (D): 49.2%
• John James (R): 48.9%

North Carolina:

• Thom Tillis (R): 48.7%
• Cal Cunningham (D): 46.9%

Georgia:

• David Perdue (R): 50.5%
• Jon Ossoff (D): 47.2%

Maine:

• Susan Collins (R): 50.3%
• Sara Gideon (D): 43%

Alaska:

• Dan Sullivan (R): 62.9%
• Al Gross (D): 31.8%

Other Georgia race already in runoff

We need 4 of these races to hold the Senate.

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Maine - Collins has won, her opponent conceded
Alaska - He's going to win by 10% at least.

That's 49.

I posted a long analysis about Tillis. He is likely safe. He is up 96k votes. The outstanding ballots are: 40,000 provisional, 116k mail-in with a huge caveat:

The mail-ins were NOT actually received on election day otherwise they would have already been counted. North Carolina is holding out certifying the race because 116k more asked for mail-ins than have been received. Election officials believe a chunk of these are from people who chose to vote in person instead.
Another chunk are from people who for whatever reason did not mail their ballot in. There will likely only be (my guess) half of that 116k or less actually counted, if that. AND people who chose to mail in or vote later in the process are swinging more toward Trump. Doesn't mean Cunningham doesn't still have the mail-in advantage but it is likely smaller in terms of percentage.

Historically about half of provisional ballots in NC end up being counted. So let's say that's 20k

You're only looking at *likely* 80k or so votes total left to count, with a 96k lead. At most 100-110k if for whatever reason 80k mail-in ballots magically show up. Cunningham would have to win way more of a percentage of those votes than he has been statewide.

Tillis wins, that's 50. 50 is great news. That's gridlock. That's no real path for Dems to pass major groundbreaking socialist legislation. The narrowing of the house also likely prevents this.

Trump's going to lose and there's very little we can do about it. The house always wins. I wish that we lived in a country where the right isn't fearful or organizing without being thrown in a cell to rot, but that's our country right now.

Roster4Ag said:

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Trump's going to lose and there's very little we can do about it. The house always wins. I wish that we lived in a country where the right isn't fearful or organizing without being thrown in a cell to rot, but that's our country right now.

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I've conceded that in my mind. Really focusing on state elections, house, and senate.

I know we focus a lot on presidency, but the reality is apart from Trump it was a decent election for GOP.

The Dems are HUGELY disappointed in this outcome. They thought they would have a huge wave. It didn't happen.

Roster4Ag said:

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Trump's going to lose and there's very little we can do about it. The house always wins. I wish that we lived in a country where the right isn't fearful or organizing without being thrown in a cell to rot, but that's our country right now.

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Aren't you one of the fearful with your "woe is us" posts?

Honest question...

I think Biden wins NC, GA..Trump wins AZ and PA.

Roster4Ag said:

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Trump's going to lose and there's very little we can do about it. The house always wins. I wish that we lived in a country where the right isn't fearful or organizing without being thrown in a cell to rot, but that's our country right now.

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Wait are you saying you wish you lived in a different country?

Don't we need 51 in the senate so Harris can't be the tie breaker?

Roster4Ag said:

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Trump's going to lose and there's very little we can do about it. The house always wins. I wish that we lived in a country where the right isn't fearful or organizing without being thrown in a cell to rot, but that's our country right now.

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Sack up, stop taking the black pill, keep the faith, and fight:

Quote:

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1 Corinthians 16:13 Be watchful, stand firm in the faith, act like men, be strong.

John 3:20 For everyone who does wicked things hates the light and does not come to the light, lest his works should be exposed.

Ephesians 5:11 Take no part in the unfruitful works of darkness, but instead expose them.

Eph 6:1011 Finally, be strong in the Lord and in the strength of his might. 11 Put on the whole armor of God, that you may be able to stand against the schemes of the devil

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Cactus Jack said:

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Tillis wins, that's 50. 50 is great news. That's gridlock. That's no real path for Dems to pass major groundbreaking socialist legislation. The narrowing of the house also likely prevents this.

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50 is not gridlock with Kamala holding the tie-breaking gavel. 50-50 is a lose situation. Need one from Georgia. No WAY that does not happen.

HoustonAggie37713 said:

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I think Biden wins NC, GA..Trump wins AZ and PA.

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The math is in Trump's favor in NC. See above.

Math in Biden's favor in GA and PA

Math in Trump's favor in AZ.

Roster4Ag said:

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Trump's going to lose and there's very little we can do about it. The house always wins. I wish that we lived in a country where the right isn't fearful or organizing without being thrown in a cell to rot, but that's our country right now.

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Stop blackpilling as a defeatist. The election was stolen and will be decided in the courts and recounts. Be patient, Trump will win.

Prognightmare said:

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Just heard that a 150,000 ballots were delivered yesterday in NV.

This is such bull***** I don't care if this destroys the country. I want every vote in every state verified. If we still lose, so be it. If fraud can be proven against an actual person, I want them executed.

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Agree. There are 2 million more votes to count. We won't have them until the 12th

aginresearch said:

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Biden's percentage take has been going down. He's starting to approach the 65/35 split danger line. He still has a bit of a cushion but if it continues to drop then things will get interesting.

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call me the opposite of FbTxAg but PA is Blue. Barring a legal miracle.

Its simple math based on where the mail in votes are left. 80K votes in Philly are still out there. those are going to go 70/10 to biden for +60. 35K votes in Allegheny will go 25/10 for +10. 34K votes in Lehigh will go 24/10 for +14.

Biden catches up with those counties alone.

And if your argument is 'But there are mail in votes left from red counties!!'. Sure there are, however go look at how mail in votes from even the strongest red districts are coming in.

Mercer county for example - went 68/30 to Trump in total. Mail in votes from Mercer county? 3.7K for Biden 1.7K for Trump.

Again - this is all assuming no change from lawsuits and I am just analyzing the provided numbers.

chase128 said:

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Don't we need 51 in the senate so Harris can't be the tie breaker?

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Yes

A lot of those women are going to regret it when they realize who Kamala actually is.

Hood said:

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FriscoKid said:

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We are 47-47 right now

Arizona:

• Mark Kelly (D): 52.6%
• Martha McSally (R): 47.4%

Michigan:

• Gary Peters (D): 49.2%
• John James (R): 48.9%

North Carolina:

• Thom Tillis (R): 48.7%
• Cal Cunningham (D): 46.9%

Georgia:

• David Perdue (R): 50.5%
• Jon Ossoff (D): 47.2%

Maine:

• Susan Collins (R): 50.3%
• Sara Gideon (D): 43%

Alaska:

• Dan Sullivan (R): 62.9%
• Al Gross (D): 31.8%

Other Georgia race already in runoff

We need 4 of these races to hold the Senate.

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1 - Gideon has conceded.

I'm not sure how many Alaska votes have been counted but let's call him 2.

3 is likely Perdue, since Georgia is only counting any votes to flip it from Trump to Biden (Perdue is outperforming Trump).

4 is likely Tillis unless NC "finds" a ****load of "missing" ballots... not likely.

5 would be if McSally runs with Trump and Trump overtakes Arizona. We've been told this would happen for two days now.

What am I missing?

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6 - John James said he is not going to concede, If fraud votes are found & thrown out he could still win

Trump lead in PA down to 78k after latest batch, 394k to go.

Starting to look like a done deal at the current pace.

Those women don't even have a thought process. They only care about Instagram and their next dopamine hit. They're useful idiots who take marching orders and (until they turn 30) will be completely insulated from any choices they make.

aggiemeg06 said:

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DisappointedAg said:

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Roster4Ag said:

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Feelsbad

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Logic vs. Feelings

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As a conservative woman, this makes me sick.

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Hear you, dear. Me too.

Brian Earl Spilner said:

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Trump lead in PA down to 78k after latest batch, 394k to go.

Starting to look like a done deal at the current pace.

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It was always a done deal. They were going to just keep finding them.

aginresearch said:

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Biden's percentage take has been going down. He's starting to approach the 65/35 split danger line. He still has a bit of a cushion but if it continues to drop then things will get interesting.

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Where are you getting this data? From what I saw it looked like Biden would pass the 2:1 ratio he needs easily. Democrats voted by mail at a ratio of 2.7-1. So for Biden to do poorly many of the ballots would have to be from red counties or maybe absentee military?

aggiemeg06 said:

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DisappointedAg said:

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Roster4Ag said:

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Feelsbad

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Logic vs. Feelings

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As a conservative woman, this makes me sick.

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Don't worry, soon you will be called an internalized-misogynist, and I will be called a race traitor by the dems.
"I reject your reality and substitute my own!"

Later Philly numbers are Trump +78k, remaining 326k.
Biden required margin 62-38.... I think Biden will get it.

bmks270 said:

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Later Philly numbers are Trump +78k, remaining 326k.
Biden required margin 62-38.... I think Biden will get it.

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I don't think there has been a question about it. Question is legitimacy of the vote. Always has been as we closed election night. Suddenly a massive shift

Looks like Perdue is in a runoff (ugh). Sorry, folks, but this one scares me, as this is not going to be your usual offseason runoff election.

Normally, I wouldn't worry, but with control of the government hanging in the balance, and the fact that we've seen the crazy money that these people threw at ousting McConnell and Tillis (that one's still out as well), the idea that they are going to just slink away and not contest this is just wishful thinking. They got a lot of money backing them, and they are motivated.

Making it worse, I'm afraid that there's going to be a massive psychological let down amongst GOP voters after having lost the Presidential race, greatly affecting enthusiasm and turnout. After all, getting record numbers of people to turnout for a Presidential race is one thing, a Senate race a whole other.

Also, a big middle finger to the Libertarian Party. These serve no purpose anymore other than to get Democrats elected.

Demoralization and destabilization

erudite said:

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aggiemeg06 said:

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DisappointedAg said:

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Roster4Ag said:

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Feelsbad

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Logic vs. Feelings

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As a conservative woman, this makes me sick.

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Don't worry, soon you will be called an internalized-misogynist, and I will be called a race traitor by the dems.
"I reject your reality and substitute my own!"

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I feel ya there. Conservative woman married to a conservative Mexican man. We're all sorts of trouble for race/identity/gender ideologists.

Goose61 said:

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Also, a big middle finger to the Libertarian Party. These serve no purpose anymore other than to get Democrats elected.

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Yep, agree. But take them out of the equation and you just make the D's cheat a little harder and you wind up with the same corrupted result.

Goose61 said:

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Looks like Perdue is in a runoff (ugh). Sorry, folks, but this one scares me, as this is not going to be your usual offseason runoff election.

Normally, I wouldn't worry, but with control of the government hanging in the balance, and the fact that we've seen the crazy money that these people threw at ousting McConnell and Tillis (that one's still out as well), the idea that they are going to just slink away and not contest this is just wishful thinking. They got a lot of money backing them, and they are motivated.

Making it worse, I'm afraid that there's going to be a massive psychological let down amongst GOP voters after having lost the Presidential race, greatly affecting enthusiasm and turnout. After all, getting record numbers of people to turnout for a Presidential race is one thing, a Senate race a whole other.

Also, a big middle finger to the Libertarian Party. These serve no purpose anymore other than to get Democrats elected.

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Part of me thinks Rs will be so mad they'll turn out in big numbers. Who knows