China Coronavirus Outbreak Spreads; Hundreds Infected As Human-To-Human Transmission
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Last: 1 day ago by Krombopulos Michael
Maybe because they have enough sense to not follow rigid absolutes.IrishTxAggie said:
Truly amazing how so many people in here that claim to be conservatives and libertarians are willing to give up their rights because the government has said its necessary and good for you.
I came across these projections the University of Washington. This one is for hospital resources. There are others as well, on a state by state basis, or nationwide.
If this is anywhere close to accurate, we're good to go in terms of hospital and ICU beds with a significant amount of headroom on top of that..
https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections
It's also been downwardly revised since the weekend provided incoming data, which was good to see.
yep, I have been following that site... if accurate. We went from being ok (down 618 ICU beds for a two week period) to being good. Colorado went from being good (no deficit on general hospital beds or ICU) to being F'ed. I sent the link to my wife's friend in Denver telling her it looks all good there. But now not so good.Fitch said:
It's also been downwardly revised since the weekend provided incoming data, which was good to see.
The troubling part for me is the predicted peak on May 2nd. I don't see anyone letting up on the reigns until we get well past that point. Maybe memorial day.Fitch said:
It's also been downwardly revised since the weekend provided incoming data, which was good to see.
isn't that peak resource utilization?
new cases would drop off two weeks prior?
new cases would drop off two weeks prior?
Yeah, thats peak resource utilization, though you really wouldn't know you're at the peak until afterwards. Plus, that is the peak with the current level of social distancing we're at right now. If that instantly changes where everyone packs in movie theaters, churches, sporting events, concerts, etc. that curve is bound to change.cone said:
isn't that peak resource utilization?
new cases would drop off two weeks prior?
people won't be going to church for months
that's not the first step out of lockdown
small business and retail months before any sort of mass gathering
that's not the first step out of lockdown
small business and retail months before any sort of mass gathering
Agreed. What's interesting to me is that's actually been revised from mid-April, which I remember seeing from Sunday afternoon.
That's the trade off with the social distancing strategy - it lengthens the whole process.
That's the trade off with the social distancing strategy - it lengthens the whole process.
How all this **** started...
Supposed to be in support of front line medical professionals but it comes across with the grace of a snot rocket
Lots of dumb ****s in this country.
https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-Europe-estimates-and-NPI-impact-30-03-2020.pdf
Interesting info here. Very similar to the approach by the UW folks, I'd imagine, though with a different focus
They are all chips in against the widespread asymtpomatic model.
That Rt value! Yikes.
Interesting info here. Very similar to the approach by the UW folks, I'd imagine, though with a different focus
They are all chips in against the widespread asymtpomatic model.
That Rt value! Yikes.
the time frame for implementation is so compressed and the testing is so half ass I don't see how you model discrete impacts to Rt for each of the distancing measures taken
pretty graphs but the noise is huge right now
pretty graphs but the noise is huge right now
Thanks! Still trying to figure out this new formatting
People in SF / Bay area are absolute morons
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