BoydCrowder13 said:

---

168 US deaths today.

---

State breakdown?

aginlakeway said:

---

BoydCrowder13 said:

---

168 US deaths today.

---

State breakdown?

---

The site doesn't have it fully updated by state. At least 60 from NY. 10+ from California. 9 from Georgia. At least 20 other states had 1 or more deaths.

BoydCrowder13 said:

---

aginlakeway said:

---

BoydCrowder13 said:

---

168 US deaths today.

---

State breakdown?

---

The site doesn't have it fully updated by state. At least 60 from NY. 10+ from California. 9 from Georgia. At least 20 other states had 1 or more deaths.

---

What site? Please link.

Paper on short serial transmission time and likely ~10% of cases by not-yet symptomatic sources
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2020/03/200316143313.htm
https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/26/6/20-0357_article

Out of the tsips

Their model has lower R0=1.32, but faster turn time than previous I've seen.

aunuwyn08 said:

---

BoydCrowder13 said:

---

aginlakeway said:

---

BoydCrowder13 said:

---

168 US deaths today.

---

State breakdown?

---

The site doesn't have it fully updated by state. At least 60 from NY. 10+ from California. 9 from Georgia. At least 20 other states had 1 or more deaths.

---

What site? Please link.

---

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

As I said, the state breakdown hasn't been updated yet. Up to 470 in total. This site still shows 419.

If Corona virus hits the prisons, then the elderly there are probably sitting ducks

The ACLU asked for it...
https://www.aclu.org/letter/aclu-letter-doj-and-bop-coronavirus-and-criminal-justice-system


Some jails already doing so? https://www.wsj.com/articles/jails-release-prisoners-fearing-coronavirus-outbreak-11584885600

I can't read the full article.

that does not seem like enough asymptomatic vectors to be as uncontrollably contagious as this is

fever monitoring would be highly suggested

Well, we've sent the USS Mercy to california and working on docking the USS Comfort in NYC
The National Guard is heading to Washington to set up tent hospitals. Last I saw, NYC was projecting to run out of beds on Tuesday.

Nationwide we have a shortage of PPE, but factories are getting repurposed to produce these things. Problem is, looks like most of it could be a month away.

Abbott is willing to write you a check right exactly now if you have any of it and the Director of Procurement for Dell is literally taking unpaid leave and donating his time to solve this problem in Texas.

In Texas, Abbott said that the hospitals would like to prepare to set up tent hospitals if needed as first stage, second would be recently abandoned clinics/hospitals, and third would be setting up hotels as makeshift hospitals.

Stat Monitor Repairman said:

---

Well ... 10-days have passed since the predictions last week that the US was 10-days behind Italy and that hospitals would be overrun and we'd be stacking bodies on top of bodies.

Just checking in to see where we are at.

Where are we at?

---

Thats an easy one. The goalpost have wheels.

Stat Monitor Repairman said:

---

Well ... 10-days have passed since the predictions last week that the US was 10-days behind Italy and that hospitals would be overrun and we'd be stacking bodies on top of bodies.

Just checking in to see where we are at.

Where are we at?

---

It's bad here in Texas. People dying in the streets. Exponentially. Simple math.

Philip J Fry said:

---

flown-the-coop said:

---

Charpie said:

---

Really? Wow

---

My point was to show how destructive nothing but doomsday predictors can be.

Not ever making light of depression, but instead the opposite in showing that posting only ideas of the worst possible outcomes can exacerbate people who already are hurting and suffering,

---

It isn't a doomsday prediction. It is a realistic prediction based on what we know. If you want to use CFR to make yourself feel better, at least compare it to the right number. Those people died 7-8 days earlier. We just didn't know it at the time.

For what it's worth, I discovered that my father committed suicide by shooting himself in the heart when I went to go check on him when he didn't answer his phone.

One thing that experience taught me is how precious and fragile life is. It also taught me to face problems head on without rose colored glasses. Bad things happen everyday and what we are going through is about to be rough. Hopefully, the social distancing will help. Hell, the biggest miracle ever would be the drug concoction Trump is pimping actually working.

---

Fry you are doing fine.

Praying the predicted deaths are gonna be lower.

Stat Monitor Repairman said:

---

Well ... 10-days have passed since the predictions last week that the US was 10-days behind Italy and that hospitals would be overrun and we'd be stacking bodies on top of bodies.

Just checking in to see where we are at.

Where are we at?

---

On March 12th, Italy was at 15,113 cases and 1,016 dead

Today, USA is at 33,563 cases and 420 dead

In terms of cases, we are ahead of Italy (t-10). In terms of deaths, we are behind Italy (t-10).

I would expect this is a function to better hospital system and higher number of hospital beds per capita.

mazag08 said:

---

Stat Monitor Repairman said:

---

Well ... 10-days have passed since the predictions last week that the US was 10-days behind Italy and that hospitals would be overrun and we'd be stacking bodies on top of bodies.

Just checking in to see where we are at.

Where are we at?

---

It's bad here in Texas. People dying in the streets. Exponentially. Simple math.

---

Edit because I'm wrong

plus aren't our cases younger?

Italy is both old, dense, and young and old are more likely to be in proximity to one another

cone said:

---

plus aren't our cases younger?

Italy is both old, dense, and young and old are more likely to be in proximity to one another

---

Italy is triaging and refusing hospital care to people over a certain age (70?), so that's part of the reason why their death count is higher

We currently have 2544.0 in the hospital now. We will be catching up soon.

Philip J Fry said:

---

We currently have 2544.0 in the hospital now. We will be catching up soon.

---

Unless we don't.

https://www.scmp.com/news/china/society/article/3076323/third-coronavirus-cases-may-be-silent-carriers-classified

more fuel on the fire of the great % asymptomatic cases debate

so why would China be so evasive about this?

their median case age is 63

Sorry if already discussed here, but I recall someone mentioning that this could wreak havoc on the continent of Africa. So I looked up their median age, and it's 19 yrs old.

I would have to believe that will work very much in their favor when it comes to COVID19

tmaggie50 said:

---

Wait. Trump is considering releasing elderly non violent criminals from prison? What the hell is the context and reasoning behind that?

---

Only thing I have to add to this lyrics from Kanye West's Power which seem so apropos (and came up during my run this morning):

Quote:

---

No one man should have all that power
The clock's ticking', I just count the hours
Stop tripping', I'm tripping' off the power
(21st century schizoid man)

The system broken, the school's closed, the prisons open
We ain't got nothing' to lose, ma' ****a', we rolling
Huh? Ma'****a', we rollin'

---

Mikeyshooter said:

---

Philip J Fry said:

---

We currently have 2544.0 in the hospital now. We will be catching up soon.

---

Don't get too excited!

---

I desperately hope the hydroxychloroquine and azithromycin combinations prevent every single one of them from dying.

I think the korean 10-minute antibody test is going to be the real game changer. I don't know how they plan to distribute their initial 300k tests they say will be done this week

But it is much easier to mitigate cheating by doing short answer. Also easier to tip the grading scales towards what is an acceptable answer instead of simple right/wrong in multiple choice.

FbgTxAg said:

---

Philip J Fry said:

---

We currently have 2544.0 in the hospital now. We will be catching up soon.

---

Unless we don't.

---

No one is rooting for the disease to spread, but do we have reason to believe that the growth will not continue until manufacturing ramps drugs and medical supplies (which is at least a week a way)?

Philip J Fry said:

---

Mikeyshooter said:

---

Philip J Fry said:

---

We currently have 2544.0 in the hospital now. We will be catching up soon.

---

Don't get too excited!

---

I desperately hope the hydroxychloroquine and azithromycin combinations prevent every single one of them from dying.

---

It's a Hail Mary but if they didn't work occasionally then nobody would try 'em. Cross your fingers.

So dumb

That tweet will not age well...

flakrat said:

---

That tweet will not age well...

---

They've got till August.... That's almost 5 months, and I'm thinking they probably go on.

bearkatag15 said:

---

So dumb

---

What about delayed a year?

bearkatag15 said:

---

So dumb

---

Not suprised....Little Boy wasn't enough...took Fat Man to seal the deal.

Hopefully there will be no Fat Man.

BoydCrowder13 said:

---

168 US deaths today.

---

Numbers revised down to 117. Look at the number at 6PM (Midnight GMT/UTC) and that'll be the final tally. They'll roll the rest over to the next day.

As it stands now, we're looking at another day in the 100-120 range. If it doesn't spike past that, be encouraged.