China Coronavirus Outbreak Spreads; Hundreds Infected As Human-To-Human Transmission

3,233,758 Views | 21764 Replies | Last: 2 mo ago by Stat Monitor Repairman
PJYoung
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This is happening in Italy. Not media hype.



Unrolled:

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1237142891077697538.html
cone
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cone
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these numbers look like Wuhan

I think my number one takeaway looking at who is infected and who ends up dead is that if you're 60 plus you need to shelter in place and minimize exposure to the outside world for the foreseeable future, especially if I community spread case pops up near
FamousAgg
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Amazing how quickly this was politicized.

I have spoken with several people regarding the virus and their response was "that's just the left trying to get trump out of office". It's being completely dismissed now that it's become political as being completely fake news. And this guy is getting on a cruise ship this week.

I think most agree here that panic is not in order and will not help, but to completely ignore the signs is just as illogical in my opinion.
FamousAgg
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If this is true, this is probably the worst news I have heard so far.

Cant Think of a Name
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Its cool. What the world needs is less old people voting and a higher percentage of youngsters voting - because they are so smart, experienced, and unindoctrinated

Emotional Support Cobra
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I saw the phrase "calm proportion" and it is good way to say yes there is a risk to my elders and I will not scoff at precaution but also act rationally as a member of society.
cone
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I think children are a primary vector and that isn't being discussed enough

a lot of handwringing over cancelling school because of the economics and disruption but there's no way that under 20 make up 2% of infections

this outbreak got massive. word is it gets into families and that's how it's most spread. children get it don't show symptoms and infect their parents and grandparents
Infection_Ag11
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cone said:

that's bull****

their hospitals are overrun. the outbreak overwhelmed their capacity.

how is that panic?


Why are their hospitals over run?

Once you understand that, we'll have an understanding
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cone
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because the outbreak is huge

and a bunch of older people are dying all at the same time
cone
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I'll say this - it sucks that this is happening to Italy and it's heartbreaking but at least we have real outbreak data in a cohort closer to what we'll see here
HeardAboutPerio
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This is a nice reference with maps of the outbreak:

https://blog.datawrapper.de/coronaviruscharts/?utm_source=join1440&utm_medium=email&utm_placement=etcetera#map-US
IrishTxAggie
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cone said:

I'll say this - it sucks that this is happening to Italy and it's heartbreaking but at least we have real outbreak data in a cohort closer to what we'll see here
Are you saying that our outcome will be similar to Italy's?
Emotional Support Cobra
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cone said:

because the outbreak is huge

and a bunch of older people are dying all at the same time


Because Italy specifically scoffed at limits to human interactions, protocols, quarantine. border control, and literally blew it off until it was too late. I feel awful but hello.
dmart90
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techno-ag said:

Mr.Infectious said:

And why does this spread ? People like this....





I dunno. Looks staged. Why would the camera just happen to be focusing on him right then.
Either way, that dude is a d/ck!
“Ambition is when you expect yourself to close the gap between what you have and what you want.

Entitlement is when you expect others to close the gap between what you have and what you want.”— James Clear
Infection_Ag11
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cone said:

because the outbreak is huge

and a bunch of older people are dying all at the same time


Incorrect

Now since I'm an infectious disease physician who works in a major urban tertiary referral center every day and am fielding multiple calls per hour about this at times, allow me to learn ya somethin'.

The medical systems in these countries initially become saturated not because of the overwhelming numbers of critically ill patients, but by the innumerable patients who present with viral symptoms in a panic they have this. And because of disorganized or completely absent screening protocols, many of these otherwise reasonably healthy people are getting admitted for rule out. Which is fine, until it isn't. Now you've got a ton of beds eaten up by people not that sick, most of whom do not have the disease anyway, and suddenly they realize "****, now were intubating people in the hallway".

Most US hospitals in major urban centers are operating at or above capacity right now, despite almost nobody actually having the virus. That isn't because a bunch of extra dying 80 year olds are in house.

So yes, this is a big deal. Elderly people are going to die who otherwise didn't have to. But it's not because of the overwhelming virulence of this bug. It's because of media fueled public panic and incompetent state and federal public health leadership.
No material on this site is intended to be a substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. See full Medical Disclaimer.
BrokeAssAggie
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Yep! I'm just over it and ready for it to stop. It's becoming more comical everyday.

Infection_Ag11 said:

cone said:

because the outbreak is huge

and a bunch of older people are dying all at the same time


Incorrect

Now since I'm an infectious disease physician who works in a major urban tertiary referral center every day and am fielding multiple calls per hour about this at times, allow me to learn ya somethin'.

The medical systems in these countries initially become saturated not because of the overwhelming numbers of critically ill patients, but by the innumerable patients who present with viral symptoms in a panic they have this. And because of disorganized or completely absent screening protocols, many of these otherwise reasonably healthy people are getting admitted for rule out. Which is fine, until it isn't. Now you've got a ton of beds eaten up by people not that sick, most of whom do not have symptoms, and suddenly they realize "****, now were intubating people in the hallway".

Most US hospitals in major urban centers are operating at or above capacity right now, despite almost nobody actually having the virus. That isn't because a bunch of extra dying 80 year olds are in house.

So yes, this is a big deal. Elderly people are going to die who otherwise didn't have to. But it's not because of the overwhelming virulence of this bug. It's because of media fueled public panic and incompetent state and federal public health leadership.
Eric Forman
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I'm on day 2 of my vacation... I looked at my retirement accounts and got depressed... I reached for my Vodka and its running out. So my question is this... are liquor stores still open?
Zobel
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Doesn't this assume the number of actual critical cases is below capacity? What if that isn't a good assumption?
Houston Lee
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To you people freaking out, I have this message.

1-The people in the USA have had weeks to prepare for this. Most of all of us have stocked up on items and sanitary supplies.

2-Most of us all are practicing what we have been told. Wash hands constantly and stay home to self quarantine if you know you have been exposed or you are showing symptoms.

3-The public at large is very aware of what is going on. We are all thinking about this virus and how to keep ourselves healthy

4-We are in a better place than Italy because we have had time to get educated on preventive measures and have had time to change habits

5-Testing people is a great idea, but testing is not a cure and wont stop you from getting the virus. What will keep you from potentially getting the virus is doing exactly what we are doing. (Washing hands and using common sense and self-quarantine if needed)

6-There isn't really much more that we can do. It is up to each individual to practice what we have learned. The Govt and private sector are trying to make test kits as fast as possible. Local communities are within their power to take action and limit group meetings. Schools and business are on alert.

7- The bottom line is that we are doing the best we can right now and I am sure we will adapt as the situation develops. CALM THE F DOWN.

8-If you are still freaking out, then stay at home and don't go anywhere. That is your right.
lunchbox
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Saw this tweet embedded in an article I was reading about the UK's response to CV.

I don't exactly agree with the "everyone will be Italy..." statement but the lines clustering was interesting.

cone
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if we had an outbreak like Italy has (that is huge apparently), absolutely
cone
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yes totally agree
Zobel
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You know what's more annoying than coronavirus? People hyperventilating or flexing and telling other people to calm down.
IrishTxAggie
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Nice of him to ignore S. Korea to make it fit his narrative.
IrishTxAggie
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cone said:

if we had an outbreak like Italy has (that is huge apparently), absolutely
Why will we be an Italy? Why won't we be more consistent with S. Korea or Japan?
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Zobel
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I don't see any of that here on this thread. I see a lot of people politicizing this from the right, and others fussing about people politicizing it from the left. Most folks on here just want to look at the information that is available.
BrokeAssAggie
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lunchbox
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More and more universities are either starting spring break early or telling students not to come back from spring break...most are trying to get distance learning up and running for all their students.

Ohio St and Harvard are recent additions to the list.
cone
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so self quarantine isn't needed?

old people won't get it and die as long as we don't overreact and go along as normal?

yeah I don't think so
AggieChemist
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Bullpen Chias said:

Is a mall a public gathering. Malls do 20,000 people a day
Really?

I bet I haven't been in a mall in nearly a decade.
AgFan2015
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Aggiebrewer said:

k2aggie07 said:

You know what's more annoying than coronavirus? People hyperventilating or flexing and telling other people to calm down.


Even more annoying is people wishing sickness & death on fellow Americans in furtherance of their political party

Even more more annoying is people trying to out do the last post about annoying people doing annoying things to annoy others.
cone
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I'm hoping for Japan. I thought it would go bad for them and it hasn't.

SoKo is testing like crazy. they have enough information to work with. we aren't there yet and won't be for maybe two months.
AgsMyDude
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KorbinDallas said:

If this is true, this is probably the worst news I have heard so far.



I posted another Italian Dr's interview with similar experiences yesterday:

https://texags.com/forums/16/topics/3090341/replies/56134682
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