Not a whole lot of chatter here lately, but some new news at least for me.
My church, FUMC Cleburne, voted at the counsel meeting last night to begin discernment.
We are one of technically three Methodist churches in town.
1. FUMC Cleburne- The largest and one I became originally a member of in High School, then again a year and a half ago after moving my family to Cleburne. Probably have between 800-1000 active members. Historically been a center-right church.
2. St Mark UMC- The church I was baptized in and spent the first 15 years of my life at. Right around 2001 (when I was 15), the church had a preacher come in that tried to make the main service contemporary. A ton of the older (financially well off) threw a fit that their service was now infiltrated with guitars, drums, jeans, t-shirts, etc. A huge spat between those that wanted it and didn't want it split the church. The contemporary side created a new church called "Crossroads" which has now folded. The older members (which included my grandparents and parents) stayed. All the youth left to crossroads for the most part, other than me and one other who went to First Methodist. Prior to the split they had about 500 members, now they are down to about 50 (due to 100 or so leaving in the split, and deaths), and the average age is probably in their mid 80s. There are 4 LGBT couples among that 50 membership. Historically was a very conservative church that recently has probably become center left.
3. Wesley Memorial UMC- Dont know a ton about them. Have about 15-20 members. No clue about leanings
I have no clue how a vote would go at FUMC Cleburne on disaffiliation. I think, if given all the facts, it most likely will well over 50%, but not sure if it would get to the needed 67%. Really all will depend on who and how many show up to the vote. We are absolutely the definition of a big tent church with a few dyed in the wool left leaning people, a few more but not substantially far right people, and a vast majority that hover around center. If I had to guesstimate percentages based on the following labels I would say:
Far left- 5%
Center Left- 15%
Dead Center- 30%
Center Right- 40%
Far Right- 10%
I will update when the first meetings happen and try to go into as much detail as possible with you all. But I will be sure to not give away any personal details of who said what out of respect for my fellow members. I will identify Pastor, Associate Pastor, Youth Pastor, and Music Leader in quotes they make as they are paid by the church, but any quotes from members will be simply state "Member 1 said ______", "Member 2 rebuttled _______"
If a vote on leaving ever occurs, I see no path where at least 20% of the members don't leave, no matter the outcome of the vote.