FreeLunch said:
Rev - any thoughts on this article?
https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-the-hammer-and-the-dance-be9337092b56
One thing I keep seeing is treating the entire US the same. Yet we treat Europe as a bunch of different countries.
We should be looking at this more regionally in the US, since we have very different situations in different parts of the country.
It might be good for the CDC to outline an approach that each region can take gathering best practices, but we should probably leave the actions up to the more local authorities.
If we restrict travel between regions, we can deal with each region based on where it is currently and not where the worst part is. This would reduce the economic impact by allowing much of the country to get back to work.
NYC is on the verge of becoming Italy, but Washington/Seattle appears to have a lid on exponent growth.
Oddly, people are capable of looking at Wuhan separate from the whole of China.
The other part of this is the US population of 330mil is significantly higher than the population of Italy or Wuhan (both around 60 mil) yet we compare raw numbers of cases. Having the same number of cases as Italy doesn't mean we are in the same place. We have more critical care beds than Italy, mostly because we have 5.5 times more people. Notice hospital beds and critical care beds are compared in numbers per thousand or 100 thousand. But treating the country as one homogeneous situation doesn't help there either, because beds in Montana aren't going to help patients in NYC.