Complete Idiot said:
If I look at the Texas Covid 19 dashboard site I see:
For new cases reported, I see ~1800 new cases a day on June 5th/6th and ~5600 new cases a day in recent days, just over a three fold increase.
For hospitalizations, I see ~2000 total Covid 19 hospitalizations on June 8th/9th and ~5900 Covid 19 hospitalizations today. Nearly a three fold increase.
It seems to be tracking, for hospitalizations.
I do t have time to dig it up tonight but I will tomorrow. You're comparing one number try at is a rate (cases/day) vs a static number (total hospitalized). You need to compare the same type of stat. Ideally it would be new admits per day as a % of new cases today. I'll see if I can do this tomorrow but my intuition says we aren't hospitalizing the same % as before. To go further further you'd want to compare net hospitalization to account for discharges.