*****ColleyvilleAg06 Bubble Watch*****

58,753 Views | 625 Replies | Last: 53 min ago by PatAg
LouisvilleAg
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Even though we are getting super conferences, most teams only play each other once or even twice. There is enough wiggle room in being able to place them at a different site to avoid those.
"If a law is unjust, a man is not only right to disobey it, he is obligated to do so." - Thomas Jefferson
ExtremeRush
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Charlie Moran said:

If your brackets are correct I would hate to be in the Midwest region

That would be tough. East would be brutal too.
miller0926
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I'm at this Tulane-Memphis game. Anyone watching can say if they're saying it should've been a foul?
Captain Clarence Oveur
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Definitely should have been a whistle.
rgag12
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Florida has been the best team in the nation for awhile now. They should be the clear favorite to win it all
johnnyblaze36
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LouisvilleAg said:

ColleyvilleAg06 said:

With that, my top 4 protected seed lines are now locked in and I am able to start the bracketing process.

Top 16 with their pod locations

1) Auburn - Lexington
2) Duke - Raleigh
3) Houston - Wichita
4) Florida/ Alabama Winner (Florida in Raleigh, Bama in Lexington regardless of result)
5) Florida / Alabama Loser
6) Tennessee - Cleveland
7) Michigan State - Cleveland
8) St. John's - Providence
9) Texas Tech - Wichita
10) Kentucky - Milwaukee
11) Wisconsin - Milwaukee
12) Texas A&M - Denver
13) Iowa State - Denver
14) Maryland - Providence
15) Arizona - Seattle
16) Oregon- Seattle


I will challenge this later tonight. Currently doing yard work at the vacation house to get it ready for a hot tub. I am sure as hell not doing it next weekend.
Nice humblebrag.
aginlakeway
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ColleyvilleAg06 said:

Top 4 seed lines by region

East - Duke, Florida/Bama loser, Wisconsin, Arizona
Midwest - Florida/Bama Winner, Michigan State, Kentucky, Iowa State
South - Auburn, St. John's, Texas Tech, Maryland
West - Houston, Tennessee, Texas A&M, Oregon


Texas fate is nearly sealed? NCAA door slammed if Colorado State wins?
Texags Meltdown
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aginlakeway said:

ColleyvilleAg06 said:

Top 4 seed lines by region

East - Duke, Florida/Bama loser, Wisconsin, Arizona
Midwest - Florida/Bama Winner, Michigan State, Kentucky, Iowa State
South - Auburn, St. John's, Texas Tech, Maryland
West - Houston, Tennessee, Texas A&M, Oregon


Texas fate is nearly sealed? NCAA door slammed if Colorado State wins?
The Boise State vs sip debate will be very interesting if CSU wins
bobinator
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rgag12 said:

Florida has been the best team in the nation for awhile now. They should be the clear favorite to win it all


I do think they're potentially susceptible to a team like Houston.
ColleyvilleAg06
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OP Updated to reflect Florida and Michigan wins.

Final 2 spots on the 3 line will be decided between Wisconsin, Texas A&M and Iowa State.

To me, nothing materially changes in the top 7 seed lines with any remaining game including the Big 10, SEC, Big 12 and ACC championship game and i believe those will be done, scrubbed and no longer touched. After the Big East game tonight we will be done through the first 10 seed lines with only possible conversations about VCU, UCSD still to go.

My top 16 seed list with locations for pods and regions is unchanged after this afternoons games and i will raise my confidence on the 3 seed based on Maryland losing.
aginlakeway
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Texags Meltdown said:

aginlakeway said:

ColleyvilleAg06 said:

Top 4 seed lines by region

East - Duke, Florida/Bama loser, Wisconsin, Arizona
Midwest - Florida/Bama Winner, Michigan State, Kentucky, Iowa State
South - Auburn, St. John's, Texas Tech, Maryland
West - Houston, Tennessee, Texas A&M, Oregon


Texas fate is nearly sealed? NCAA door slammed if Colorado State wins?
The Boise State vs sip debate will be very interesting if CSU wins

I don't see anyone that has Texas in. They're not even the first one out. Anywhere.
Texags Meltdown
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aginlakeway said:

Texags Meltdown said:

aginlakeway said:

ColleyvilleAg06 said:

Top 4 seed lines by region

East - Duke, Florida/Bama loser, Wisconsin, Arizona
Midwest - Florida/Bama Winner, Michigan State, Kentucky, Iowa State
South - Auburn, St. John's, Texas Tech, Maryland
West - Houston, Tennessee, Texas A&M, Oregon


Texas fate is nearly sealed? NCAA door slammed if Colorado State wins?
The Boise State vs sip debate will be very interesting if CSU wins

I don't see anyone that has Texas in. They're not even the first one out. Anywhere.

They are in 61/118 on bracket matrix. I don't think they should be in at all; I think they should be the 2nd or 3rd team out but I don't have faith in the committee to get it right
aginlakeway
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Texags Meltdown said:

aginlakeway said:

Texags Meltdown said:

aginlakeway said:

ColleyvilleAg06 said:

Top 4 seed lines by region

East - Duke, Florida/Bama loser, Wisconsin, Arizona
Midwest - Florida/Bama Winner, Michigan State, Kentucky, Iowa State
South - Auburn, St. John's, Texas Tech, Maryland
West - Houston, Tennessee, Texas A&M, Oregon


Texas fate is nearly sealed? NCAA door slammed if Colorado State wins?
The Boise State vs sip debate will be very interesting if CSU wins

I don't see anyone that has Texas in. They're not even the first one out. Anywhere.

They are in 61/118 on bracket matrix. I don't think they should be in at all; I think they should be the 2nd or 3rd team out but I don't have faith in the committee to get it right

How many brackets have been updated?
Texags Meltdown
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aginlakeway said:

Texags Meltdown said:

aginlakeway said:

Texags Meltdown said:

aginlakeway said:

ColleyvilleAg06 said:

Top 4 seed lines by region

East - Duke, Florida/Bama loser, Wisconsin, Arizona
Midwest - Florida/Bama Winner, Michigan State, Kentucky, Iowa State
South - Auburn, St. John's, Texas Tech, Maryland
West - Houston, Tennessee, Texas A&M, Oregon


Texas fate is nearly sealed? NCAA door slammed if Colorado State wins?
The Boise State vs sip debate will be very interesting if CSU wins

I don't see anyone that has Texas in. They're not even the first one out. Anywhere.

They are in 61/118 on bracket matrix. I don't think they should be in at all; I think they should be the 2nd or 3rd team out but I don't have faith in the committee to get it right

How many brackets have been updated?
Looks like about 80% of them are as of today
aginlakeway
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ColleyvilleAg06 said:

OP Updated to reflect Florida and Michigan wins.

Final 2 spots on the 3 line will be decided between Wisconsin, Texas A&M and Iowa State.

To me, nothing materially changes in the top 7 seed lines with any remaining game including the Big 10, SEC, Big 12 and ACC championship game and i believe those will be done, scrubbed and no longer touched. After the Big East game tonight we will be done through the first 10 seed lines with only possible conversations about VCU, UCSD still to go.

My top 16 seed list with locations for pods and regions is unchanged after this afternoons games and i will raise my confidence on the 3 seed based on Maryland losing.


Is Texas out?
t - cam
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aginlakeway said:

ColleyvilleAg06 said:

OP Updated to reflect Florida and Michigan wins.

Final 2 spots on the 3 line will be decided between Wisconsin, Texas A&M and Iowa State.

To me, nothing materially changes in the top 7 seed lines with any remaining game including the Big 10, SEC, Big 12 and ACC championship game and i believe those will be done, scrubbed and no longer touched. After the Big East game tonight we will be done through the first 10 seed lines with only possible conversations about VCU, UCSD still to go.

My top 16 seed list with locations for pods and regions is unchanged after this afternoons games and i will raise my confidence on the 3 seed based on Maryland losing.


Is Texas out?


He had them out yesterday. Things have only gotten worse for them since.
LouisvilleAg
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I know i am bragging and I didn't think it was humble but I tried to give the winky face to soften it. The work on the other hand was brutal. I am exhausted.
"If a law is unjust, a man is not only right to disobey it, he is obligated to do so." - Thomas Jefferson
ColleyvilleAg06
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Watching the Creighton/St. John's game and the color commentator (Jim Jackson) musing does St. John's winning the Big East, and Auburn losing today open the door for St. John's to jump to a 1.

SMH....some of these guys just need to admit they are out of their element. I know they are trying to pump their conference but come on....
t - cam
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Lunardi is really enamored with the results of the big 10 tournament. He's got both Maryland and Wisconsin above us.
ColleyvilleAg06
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Doing my final seeding scrubbing now and the decisions i most struggled with:

Arizona, Oregon, Clemson, Purdue for 2 4 seeds, 2 5 seeds. Ultimately went in this order.

Ole Miss or Louisville for the last 5 seed/1st 6, The 23 point beatdown of Ole Miss over Louisville is the deciding factor for me but i may revisit if Louisville beats Duke

St. Mary's or Illinois for the last 6 seed. Going with Illinois based on the non conf scheduling going to go play Duke, Alabama, Tennessee and beating Mizzou and Arkansas on a neutral court.

***My hardest decision*** Mississippi State, Creighton or UConn for 2 8s and a 9. In ultimately a decision that doesn't matter for the path that the teams face, i have gone back and forth on this one many times. Any of these profiles as a 9 seems ridiculous. I am putting Creighton as the 9 but don't feel great about it.

Baylor or Utah State for the last 9 - went with Baylor due to their win of St. John's

Deferring my final call on last 4 in until after the Big West tournament, right now i have my top 42 seeded.

ColleyvilleAg06
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t - cam said:

Lunardi is really enamored with the results of the big 10 tournament. He's got both Maryland and Wisconsin above us.
Maryland went 1-1 in the Big 10 tournament beating Illinois and losing to Michigan. Hard to move up a seed line based on those results imo
aginlakeway
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ColleyvilleAg06 said:

Doing my final seeding scrubbing now and the decisions i most struggled with:

Arizona, Oregon, Clemson, Purdue for 2 4 seeds, 2 5 seeds. Ultimately went in this order.

Ole Miss or Louisville for the last 5 seed/1st 6, The 23 point beatdown of Ole Miss over Louisville is the deciding factor for me but i may revisit if Louisville beats Duke

St. Mary's or Illinois for the last 6 seed. Going with Illinois based on the non conf scheduling going to go play Duke, Alabama, Tennessee and beating Mizzou and Arkansas on a neutral court.

***My hardest decision*** Mississippi State, Creighton or UConn for 2 8s and a 9. In ultimately a decision that doesn't matter for the path that the teams face, i have gone back and forth on this one many times. Any of these profiles as a 9 seems ridiculous. I am putting Creighton as the 9 but don't feel great about it.

Baylor or Utah State for the last 9 - went with Baylor due to their win of St. John's

Deferring my final call on last 4 in until after the Big West tournament, right now i have my top 42 seeded.



So you really are sure that we're a 3 seed?
PatriotAg02
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Judging from everything I've seen I'd say it's 60/40 for a 3 seed.
t - cam
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ColleyvilleAg06 said:

t - cam said:

Lunardi is really enamored with the results of the big 10 tournament. He's got both Maryland and Wisconsin above us.
Maryland went 1-1 in the Big 10 tournament beating Illinois and losing to Michigan. Hard to move up a seed line based on those results imo


I agree, it's crazy. He has us as the 3rd 4 seed.
t - cam
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I do love the fact that we are going to be disappointed in a 4 seed. Speaks to our great season.
aginlakeway
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t - cam said:

I do love the fact that we are going to be disappointed in a 4 seed. Speaks to our great season.
ColleyvilleAg06
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t - cam said:

ColleyvilleAg06 said:

t - cam said:

Lunardi is really enamored with the results of the big 10 tournament. He's got both Maryland and Wisconsin above us.
Maryland went 1-1 in the Big 10 tournament beating Illinois and losing to Michigan. Hard to move up a seed line based on those results imo


I agree, it's crazy. He has us as the 3rd 4 seed.


He also had us 2 spots in front of Iowa State on Thursday morning. Since then, Iowa State is 0-1 losing to BYU. We are now 3 spots behind Lunardi according to Lunardi.

In fairness he also had Indiana out on Thursday 2 spots back of the cutline but now has them in even after a bid has been stolen.

Just a reminder of how good he is at his job.
ColleyvilleAg06
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PatriotAg02 said:

Judging from everything I've seen I'd say it's 60/40 for a 3 seed.


That's fair, I would say I am 65-70% confident but that's fair.
ColleyvilleAg06
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aginlakeway said:

ColleyvilleAg06 said:

Doing my final seeding scrubbing now and the decisions i most struggled with:

Arizona, Oregon, Clemson, Purdue for 2 4 seeds, 2 5 seeds. Ultimately went in this order.

Ole Miss or Louisville for the last 5 seed/1st 6, The 23 point beatdown of Ole Miss over Louisville is the deciding factor for me but i may revisit if Louisville beats Duke

St. Mary's or Illinois for the last 6 seed. Going with Illinois based on the non conf scheduling going to go play Duke, Alabama, Tennessee and beating Mizzou and Arkansas on a neutral court.

***My hardest decision*** Mississippi State, Creighton or UConn for 2 8s and a 9. In ultimately a decision that doesn't matter for the path that the teams face, i have gone back and forth on this one many times. Any of these profiles as a 9 seems ridiculous. I am putting Creighton as the 9 but don't feel great about it.

Baylor or Utah State for the last 9 - went with Baylor due to their win of St. John's

Deferring my final call on last 4 in until after the Big West tournament, right now i have my top 42 seeded.



So you really are sure that we're a 3 seed?



There are no sure things this time of year!!! I am confident we win a blind resume test against Iowa State, Maryland and Arizona though.
dermdoc
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ColleyvilleAg06 said:

aginlakeway said:

ColleyvilleAg06 said:

Doing my final seeding scrubbing now and the decisions i most struggled with:

Arizona, Oregon, Clemson, Purdue for 2 4 seeds, 2 5 seeds. Ultimately went in this order.

Ole Miss or Louisville for the last 5 seed/1st 6, The 23 point beatdown of Ole Miss over Louisville is the deciding factor for me but i may revisit if Louisville beats Duke

St. Mary's or Illinois for the last 6 seed. Going with Illinois based on the non conf scheduling going to go play Duke, Alabama, Tennessee and beating Mizzou and Arkansas on a neutral court.

***My hardest decision*** Mississippi State, Creighton or UConn for 2 8s and a 9. In ultimately a decision that doesn't matter for the path that the teams face, i have gone back and forth on this one many times. Any of these profiles as a 9 seems ridiculous. I am putting Creighton as the 9 but don't feel great about it.

Baylor or Utah State for the last 9 - went with Baylor due to their win of St. John's

Deferring my final call on last 4 in until after the Big West tournament, right now i have my top 42 seeded.



So you really are sure that we're a 3 seed?



There are no sure things this time of year!!! I am confident we win a blind resume test against Iowa State, Maryland and Arizona though.
Agree. I am trying to figure out why all of a sudden Lunardi dropped us to apparently the third four seed. In Seattle.

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ColleyvilleAg06
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I knew it would be but man bracketing is an absolute nightmare this year.
Serious Lee
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Team A:

Net- 18
ELO - 27
RPI - 18
SOS - 8

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
7-6 4-4 7-0 4-0

Team B:
Net - 10
ELO - 26
RPI - 30
SOS - 56

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
4-6 7-1 6-2 7-0


which resume is better?
AggieNattie
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Team A
aginlakeway
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Serious Lee said:

Team A:

Net- 18
ELO - 27
RPI - 18
SOS - 8

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
7-6 4-4 7-0 4-0

Team B:
Net - 10
ELO - 26
RPI - 30
SOS - 56

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
4-6 7-1 6-2 7-0


which resume is better?


Team A.
bobinator
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Can't even imagine. Every pod is gonna be like an SEC team/Big 12 team/Big Ten team/other
 
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