Nevermind - you edited it. UNT tourney doesnt even start until next week so i was wondering what you were smoking haha.
******Official 2022 Bubble Watch******
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Last: 4 yr ago by Topher17
Decent enough returns so far.
7-2 on preferred results in the early going. Wish Syracuse could have held on for that win against Miami.
Take care of our own business and the path looks like it might just open up.
7-2 on preferred results in the early going. Wish Syracuse could have held on for that win against Miami.
Take care of our own business and the path looks like it might just open up.
Unlikely to pass Miami anyways. A very good day so far, hopefully we can take care of business and possibly be a first four out team going into next week.
65. North Carolina (38, 22-8, 14-5) If Wake Forest is meh I am not sure how to describe this profile. Only 1-7 in Q1 (winning @ Virginia Tech), and a Q4 loss at home to Pitt. They did beat Michigan out of conference and if they sneak in will look back at that W as the key to getting in. (3/5 @ Duke)
Sneak in, my sky blue butt.
Murray St tied at half in the OVC title game. We need them to come out and take control in the second half. Murray will get in regardless
Two big time results for us. Murray st wins and ags win
Leander - Ag
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Indiana just lost a close one to Purdue. They were #68 ahead of us.
Virginia Tech lost to Clemson. They were #73
Creighton lost to SH. They were #56
We got a solid win and #20 on the season.
Also I just saw that HBU is beating McNeese 147-143 in 4OT!!
What a game!
Virginia Tech lost to Clemson. They were #73
Creighton lost to SH. They were #56
We got a solid win and #20 on the season.
Also I just saw that HBU is beating McNeese 147-143 in 4OT!!
What a game!
Would be helpful for San Francisco to take down BYU here in the late night action.
Updated. San Diego State, San Francisco plus a trio of ACC teams punch their ticket (Miami, Notre Dame & UNC). Kansas State, St. John's and Mississippi State removed from contention.
Murray State grabs the auto bid (huge). And the Ags move up over a handful of teams that posted L's today.
Murray State grabs the auto bid (huge). And the Ags move up over a handful of teams that posted L's today.
So......I may have been a bit premature moving SDSU to lock status 
Was ready for bed and they were up 12 with like 3 minutes left.....Well now Nevada has the ball down 1 with 9 seconds left.....A made bucket here and SDSU lands right back on the bubble...
Was ready for bed and they were up 12 with like 3 minutes left.....Well now Nevada has the ball down 1 with 9 seconds left.....A made bucket here and SDSU lands right back on the bubble...
SDSU survives....
It probably won't matter, but the ACC is weak overall this year. The Automatic bid and Champion in the ACC is the ACC Tournament Winner. First place in the regular season meant only the first seed in the ACCT until Dean Smith started whining because UNC post MJ wasn't winning the ACCT as expected.
The SEC's bid is also the tournament winner, although that's unlikely to be other than the best 4-6 teams already dancing. I think the SEC recognizes the regular season winner as its champion, though.
The SEC's bid is also the tournament winner, although that's unlikely to be other than the best 4-6 teams already dancing. I think the SEC recognizes the regular season winner as its champion, though.
We need chalk including Rock Chalk Jayhawk.
69. Texas A&M (56, 19-11, 9-9)
Should be 20 wins if we are 9-9 in conference.
Should be 20 wins if we are 9-9 in conference.
One of our wins doesn't count.
ESPN has us with 20 wins. We are on the wrong side of the bubble right now - we need all the wins we can get.
The Dallas Christian win is not used for NCAA purposes.
It would feel so disrespectful if the ACC gets 5 teams in and the SEC only gets 6.
Notre Dame is a real interesting case to me. Their resume is not impressive, basically propped up by a home victory over Kentucky in December, but they have H2H losses to bubblers Indiana and A&M. A lot like us, their conference schedule was extremely unbalanced toward the bottom half teams in the league. 20 league games and they didn't play anyone worth a damn twice.
vs ACC Seeds 1-8: 3-4
vs ACC Seeds 9-15: 12-1
I don't think they are as safe as some bracket guys have indicated.
Notre Dame is a real interesting case to me. Their resume is not impressive, basically propped up by a home victory over Kentucky in December, but they have H2H losses to bubblers Indiana and A&M. A lot like us, their conference schedule was extremely unbalanced toward the bottom half teams in the league. 20 league games and they didn't play anyone worth a damn twice.
vs ACC Seeds 1-8: 3-4
vs ACC Seeds 9-15: 12-1
I don't think they are as safe as some bracket guys have indicated.
All rankings seem to have their flaws. UH is a prime example, you're right. 1-3 in Quad 1, yet they're #3 overall. 60% of their schedule is comprised of Quad 3 and 4 games. If margin of victory is skewing their ranking that much, they need to ratchet that consideration down a bit.bobinator said:
You have to remember that the NET is an efficiency metric similar to KenPom. It's not just straight wins and losses and opponents wins and losses like the old RPI. How you play matters a lot.
The best example of this is Houston. Their overall resume isn't all that good considering their strength of schedule (compared to the other really highly ranked teams) but they've absolutely annihilated people. It's why the NET has them at 3 but they're projecting by most folks as a 3-4-5 seed.
Yeah, I still don't think we're all that close.
Any team in the SEC that’s 9-9 should be in the NCAA Tournament.
— John Calipari (@UKCoachCalipari) March 6, 2022
The top four teams in our league went 35-1 at home. Crazy!
We are the best league and our teams deserve that respect!!
Prolly first 8-10 out right now. Beat Florida and we're First Four Out (slight chance to get in if *everything* falls right, but still likely NIT bound).
Beat Florida and Auburn and we're in.
Beat Florida and Auburn and we're in.
bobinator said:
Yeah, I still don't think we're all that close.
Agreed. Anyone thinking that we have a prayer without an Auburn win will be very disappointed.
And even with an Auburn win it's going to be extremely tight.
Love Calipari campaigning for the conference though.
Cal is right.
Today I'll be pulling for...
Houston over Memphis.
Ohio State over Michigan.
Tulane over SMU (unlikely, but SMU is very bubbly).
Maryland over Michigan State (Sparty is likely in regardless, but they've been pretty awful the last month.)
Any others to monitor?
Today I'll be pulling for...
Houston over Memphis.
Ohio State over Michigan.
Tulane over SMU (unlikely, but SMU is very bubbly).
Maryland over Michigan State (Sparty is likely in regardless, but they've been pretty awful the last month.)
Any others to monitor?
Because reducing meaningful wins to stats isn't an algorithm that exists…djktamu said:All rankings seem to have their flaws. UH is a prime example, you're right. 1-3 in Quad 1, yet they're #3 overall. 60% of their schedule is comprised of Quad 3 and 4 games. If margin of victory is skewing their ranking that much, they need to ratchet that consideration down a bit.bobinator said:
You have to remember that the NET is an efficiency metric similar to KenPom. It's not just straight wins and losses and opponents wins and losses like the old RPI. How you play matters a lot.
The best example of this is Houston. Their overall resume isn't all that good considering their strength of schedule (compared to the other really highly ranked teams) but they've absolutely annihilated people. It's why the NET has them at 3 but they're projecting by most folks as a 3-4-5 seed.
I just don't see it without the Auburn win. I agree with Mikey that it's gonna be real tight even if we do get that win.
Though we could make it sound really buzz-wordy and mysterious and call it "machine learning". Or artificial ignorance…
To be fair, his bracket only includes 5 teams that are "out" on the bubble and he has Drake in his field of 68, along with BYU. So.....not exactly the gospel here.
We officially have 19 wins that the selection committee will consider.
Agree beat UF and Auburn and likely in. I would challenge you to find 8 profiles that are out that are better than us. You can maybe get 4 or 5 but we are actually quite close.
Check the bottom of the OP for the what to watch for.
Got it. Been a few years. Thanks!
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