I find Charlie's development interesting to watch play out in real time because it's a case study in the contrast of 1) the golf eras that Tiger/Charlie grew up and 2) their access to resources during their upbringings.
Off the top, I totally agree that comparing Charlie to Tiger isn't fair. Tiger was the best player among his peers basically starting at age 5. No one will ever win 3 Junior Ams, 3 Ams and each major 3+ times again.
That doesn't mean Charlie can't develop into a very good player. That remains to be seen.
Charlie's game right now, to me, is reflective the current era of the game. His swing is very refined for his age. It's been tailored by JT's dad (among others) and optimized for Trackman. He hits it a long way. He also has very impressive versatility in his short game (from what I've seen anyway). Having a world class short game facility in the backyard and the ability to pick the brain of the man with the greatest short game of all time contributes to that. Long story short, he has the tools.
The bad news is so do 1000s of other kids around his age. My instinct is that Charlie is more honed in on mastering golf shot skills than the other skills needed to contend/win golf tournaments. Mental toughness. Risk management. Routine. How do you turn 76 into 72. How do you hit the uncomfortable fairway or make the critical 5 foot bogey putt to keep your round going.
Those are the skills that Tiger seemed to master at an early age. If there was a course in front of him and a field of players around him, he knew what he needed to do to get the ball in the hole in the fewest amount of strokes. Rain. Shine. Cold. Hot. Bermuda. Bent. Windy. Calm. Pristine course conditions. Hard pan army courses. Didn't matter.
That's not to say Tiger didn't have swing coaches growing up. But swing instruction was different back then. It would be interesting to see a parallel universe where Tiger was raised in the current era with unlimited access to all the best resources to improve his game. My hunch is he wouldn't have turned out as good. Could be wrong though.
The odds are against him, but I still think Charlie could put it all together and become a formidable college player. Wouldn't totally rule out seeing him on tour one day either. I started playing competitively a little later than many of my peers (around age 14) and my game didn't start to come together and mature until I was around 17. Hormones start to subside a little and the brain becomes more of an asset than a liability. I guess we'll see.