Bitcoin demand is not based on intrinsic human needs or instinctual desires

6,274 Views | 54 Replies | Last: 2 yr ago by exp
Definitely Not A Cop
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
A deflationary society is scary to think about, but I believe we are headed there already. All technology that isn't completely controlled by the government is already deflationary. As time progresses, technology becomes more and more affordable for the masses, letting you replace the need for extra hands. So you have people getting replaced out of the job force by technology, and then the government devalues your money on top of that by constantly printing more cash. A deflationary system at least maintains your wealth and encourages to the masses to save, not spend. Still a bunch of issues we would need to figure out though.

This is a pretty interesting discussion on the topic, if you have the time.

Deluxe
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Adverse Event said:


Bitcoin doesn't need saving, in fact left to it's own devices bitcoin creates more bitcoin maximalists everyday as more people get scammed by ****coinery.

As AdminErrors has stated over and over. Maturity is earned through blood and sweat not milk and honey.
I still think cleaning up the space is necessary for normal investor protection. If there's a management team, expectation of profit, lending/yield, and/or initial offering, disclosures should be required just like any other security. That will help Bitcoin mature.

Does Bitcoin NEED regulation to mature in the long run? Maybe not. But given the current environment, I think it's helpful.
OilManAg91
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Adverse Event said:

OilManAg91 said:

What's the fundamental difference between bitcoin and tulips in the 1630's…serious question.


What length of time did tulip mania actually occur? 3- 5 years…sound familiar
Is tulipmania far more story telling than reality? It's history…don't understand your question
What percentage of the global population participated in "tulipmania"? Doesn't matter…market mania is not dependent on market size
What percentage of global wealth was involved in tulipmania? See above answer
How were tulips used to avoid/usurp overbearing government economic policy? Interesting point, but not sure it is relevant
How much hashrate did the world'slargest super-tulip-computer create? Again, interesting point but not sure it is relevant .
Were tulips in 1630s using SHA-256? Definitely irrelevant
How did tulips change the energy policy of cities and countries? The effect on energy policy at this point is infinitesimally small so don't see this as a relevant point
Which governments converted to a Tulip standard for their currency? Only whacked out, bankrupt, corrupt governments have converted so this is not a plus for bitcoin.


Answering one or 3 of these questions might get your mind right, if it needs righting of course.

See my comments above. I am an agnostic on bitcoin, and trying to understand its durability as an investment. At the current status it appears to have more of the characteristics of a mania than an legitimate store of value, but again I am open to the argument in which case I would invest and hope to make a boat load of money. Or maybe this is still a good time to short…
Adverse Event
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Deluxe said:

Adverse Event said:


Bitcoin doesn't need saving, in fact left to it's own devices bitcoin creates more bitcoin maximalists everyday as more people get scammed by ****coinery.

As AdminErrors has stated over and over. Maturity is earned through blood and sweat not milk and honey.
I still think cleaning up the space is necessary for normal investor protection. If there's a management team, expectation of profit, lending/yield, and/or initial offering, disclosures should be required just like any other security. That will help Bitcoin mature.

Does Bitcoin NEED regulation to mature in the long run? Maybe not. But given the current environment, I think it's helpful.


Imo, bitcoin is mature.

People are immature, and when they finally recognize their immaturity they begin taking steps towards responsibility.

I'm not opposing these measures, just explaining that none of this "helps" bitcoin. The cleanup destroys the experience of gaining maturity to the folks who need the wakeup call the worst.

It's like WALL-E and the fat people in floating chairs chugging soda. WALL-E knocks a few people off their chairs, then they begin recognize their capabilities are more than bottomless consumers.
@NFLPlayerProps
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Definitely Not A Cop said:

OilManAg91 said:

What's the fundamental difference between bitcoin and tulips in the 1630's…serious question.


Tulips aren't fungible, aren't scarce, are easy to grow, aren't durable, aren't malleable, can't be traded instantaneously to anybody, anywhere in the world.

Bitcoin is fungible, is scarce, has barriers to entry to mine, don't decay, can be divided into smaller units, can be used by any industry, can be traded instantaneously to anybody, anywhere in the world.



Great answer. I would add that tulips formed a bubble, popped, and then never recovered. Bitcoin on the other hand has survived multiple drawdowns of 50% or more and then recovered to make higher highs at the next peak and higher lows on the next drawdown. The comparison is often made due to Bitcoin's volatility which gives casual observers the impression that it is also a bubble that will pop, but it has proven to be extremely resilient multiple times.



If you are looking for another asset to draw similarities to, look at AMZN's chart for the first decade of its existence when the market was still trying to figure out what it was. It had drops of 57%, 94%, 56% and 50%.
@NFLPlayerProps
How long do you want to ignore this user?
bmks270 said:

Seems pointing out that other blockchains can compete with Bitcoin and increase the total supply of blockchain money really struck a cord.

Also of note, when demand for blockchain money drops, Bitcoin drops. When ****coins tank, so does Bitcoin.

All of the blockchain monies are correlated. It's very obvious there is more than just Bitcoin supply and demand, it's demand for blockchain money in general that has been having booms and busts. Printing of new blockchains increases supply causing inflation. Bitcoin doesn't exist in a vacuum despite the insistence of some.


We understand your position and we are trying to help you because most of us have been down the exact same path with alts before figuring it out. I went through it in 2018. Please read the Fidelity white paper I linked and share your thoughts.
MRB10
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Sometimes you have to put your chips down and get burned to understand. I think the one thing we all agree on is that a person should have the personal Liberty to spend their dirty fiat on whatever coin they want to.
“There is no red.
There is no blue.
There is the state.
And there is you.”

“As government expands, Liberty contracts” - R. Reagan
Redstone
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
There is no inherent and sustainable baseline of value. One thing good bugs are ALWAYS correct about is some measure of inherent value.
Second
FedFov can step in and decimate Bitcoin et al. in less than a week - and legitimately. Crypto is the currency of the "black market" (and yes, I despise FedGov).

Sell. This is a confidence trick.
Redstone
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Blockchain is different.

This is a technology, and a method. Not a supposed store of value based on agreement and confidence.

Take your crypto desire and invest here.
Redstone
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Here's the difference regarding Amazon:
- loss leading with a purpose, driven by technology and market capture, followed by continuous price hikes
- gigantic bureaucratic capture, including buying the most influential newspaper in the world

Bitcoin doing this?
Redstone
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Final point:
Bitcoin tends to be derided on this board because posters here actually understand store of value: confidence is not enough.

A sustainable store of value requires 1 of 2 situations
- universal desirability
- reserve currency / military power / strong debt market
exp
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Redstone said:

Final point:
Bitcoin tends to be derided on this board because posters here actually understand store of value: confidence is not enough.

A sustainable store of value requires 1 of 2 situations
- universal desirability
- reserve currency / military power / strong debt market


It is my opinion that your opinion is biased heavily by recent history. Bitcoin is backed by proof of work. Dollar is backed by proof of war.
exp
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Redstone said:

Blockchain is different.

This is a technology, and a method. Not a supposed store of value based on agreement and confidence.

Take your crypto desire and invest here.


Blockchain as a technology is little more than a database. On this topic I recommend listening to Andreas Antonopolis in this talk:

exp
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Redstone said:

Here's the difference regarding Amazon:
- loss leading with a purpose, driven by technology and market capture, followed by continuous price hikes
- gigantic bureaucratic capture, including buying the most influential newspaper in the world

Bitcoin doing this?


Bitcoin is a form of money, not a security. The analogy is simply one of volatility but I agree they are vastly different assets. In the long run, one is likely to be priced in the other.
GE
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Adverse Event said:

There's only one bitcoin network. Regardless of any future affinity scammers.
If it is identical technology and they call it a bitcoin network, why is it not?
exp
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Then it would by definition be the same network.

Same code and same consensus rules equals same network. Change the rules and you get a new network. Been done many times.
Post removed:
by user
MRB10
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Same
“There is no red.
There is no blue.
There is the state.
And there is you.”

“As government expands, Liberty contracts” - R. Reagan
GE
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
exp said:

Then it would by definition be the same network.

Same code and same consensus rules equals same network. Change the rules and you get a new network. Been done many times.
The underlying question that I still struggle with is if the new network that functions in the exact same manner under the same rules is started today, what are the attributes of the existing bitcoin network that make it special? The only one I can think of is that it was the first and is already in place
exp
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Network effects, financial incentives to mine the new coin, risk of a less decentralized network…

You're asking good questions and believe it or not the scenario you describe already has happened. It's called Bitcoin Cash, a hard fork from 2017. The original Bitcoin network is the gravitational force sucking in all economic activity because Money longs to be one thing.

5% of the Bitcoin mining network could 51% attack the Bitcoin Cash network indefinitely.
Refresh
Page 2 of 2
 
×
subscribe Verify your student status
See Subscription Benefits
Trial only available to users who have never subscribed or participated in a previous trial.