bmks270 said:
John Francis Donaghy said:
I see Tesla as primarily an energy and technology company. Cars are simply an effective proving ground for their tech. I could see a future where Tesla winds down their car business, spins it off as a separate company, or sells the auto division to a traditional automaker to more fully focus on developing the tech aspects of the company for other applications.
I don't know if Tesla stock will continue to grow like crazy, level off, or drop off in the future. But anyone judging the future growth potential of the company in light competition with traditional automakers is, I think, misunderstanding Tesla's future.
What percentage of Tesla revenue is car sales?
Last I've seen it's at about 86% and generally falling year over year as other sectors of the company get off the ground and outpace the automotive sales sector in growth rate. But your question is shortsighted. There's nothing about making cars that makes Tesla unique. What makes Tesla unique is the underlying technology that powers their cars. There's no rule that says they have to be their own manufacturer forever.
Cummins makes great diesel engines, but they don't build trucks. Nothing says Tesla couldn't sell the manufacturing arm to GM or Ford, and partner with one or both to license their technology to the more traditional manufacturers. Maybe one day you'll be buying Ford and/or GM EV's that are "Powered by Tesla".
IMO Tesla could make bank licensing their tech on a much larger scale to traditional automakers than they could ever get while limited to manufacturing their own brand, and streamline the company by dumping massive manufacturing overhead costs, allowing the company to focus on improving the technology that sets them apart, and expanding into new markets and applications outside the auto sector, thereby further increasing growth potential.
Just my humble guess on where we might see the company go in the future.But first Tesla needed to prove the concept, and they needed to prove they can do it better than anyone else. They're well on their way to doing that. Now we wave to wait and see if Musk sees mass scale manufacturing of an in-house brand as Tesla's future, or if he wants the agility to push his tech into new economic sectors to push new envelopes. Knowing what I know about Musk, I know which I'd be putting my bet on over the long term given those two options.