claym711 said:
This is an awfully odd one to gloat on. 4 months later and this call is barely in profit while riding through another correction. No doubt more volatility is on the way.
This statement is the problem. Those calling for the crash, feel the same as they did 4 months ago... So there's no reason to FEEL any different. And unless the political news, Brexit, China, etc. suddenly work everything out (and nothing new comes in behind it) you won't feel better.
And to make matters really bad, that whole yield curve thing gave anyone that was already worried all the rational data they needed to pull their money back and claim it was the smart move.
Now you have in fact missed about 4.5% gains waiting on this crash, nothing Earth shattering, but this is sharing up to where the stats come from talking about missing the few best days reach years can cause severe under performance..
Timing the market is dangerous because once you make that leap, most people can't turn back. There's an awful lot of things that indicate this market is going to jump, good luck.
And, just for the record, this is not gloating any more than you are dismissing the whole idea by saying it's barely up. Just stating facts, and readily acknowledging the crash callers could be right at some point in the future. But this is about timing that crash, not waiting for it to happen at any point and say "see, I was right .. it crashed because the yield current inverted. "