jamey said:

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You still like the bonds play?

I know you're using TLT but mine is just a broad market fund that tracks the Bloomberg US aggregate bond index, similar to AGG i think

I'm only abiut 16% in bonds. Thinking about taking some profit and moving little more over to bonds. I'm 55 and probably should start moving more that direction anyway long term and the yields are good

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Hunter_812 said:

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BucketofBalls99 said:

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POWL…….yikes

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First time?

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LMCane said:

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jamey said:

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You still like the bonds play?

I know you're using TLT but mine is just a broad market fund that tracks the Bloomberg US aggregate bond index, similar to AGG i think

I'm only abiut 16% in bonds. Thinking about taking some profit and moving little more over to bonds. I'm 55 and probably should start moving more that direction anyway long term and the yields are good

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how are the yields "good"

every one of my bond funds including TLT and AGG are negative

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Chef Elko said:

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Sold 2/21 $1 covered calls on 1/3 of my position at $0.15 a contract. A great chance to lower cost basis.

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Charismatic Megafauna said:

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Chef Elko said:

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Sold 2/21 $1 covered calls on 1/3 of my position at $0.15 a contract. A great chance to lower cost basis.

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Catching a couple fills on 5/16 $2c for .15

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Heineken-Ashi said:

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Ya, but what I worry about most is that let's say we hit my target of 5100 in June. So many stocks on sale. We go on buying spree. But that low ends up merely being the first low of a very long bear market. A bear market I feel is inevitable eventually. So all those things you bought on sale, the fake out before they fall again in a couple years to let's say 3500, that would be the devastating one.

I don't worry about a 30% crash like COVID. I worry about a long-term sustained bear market. Think 2022 but lasting 10 years, where every bounce whether months or years never makes a new high and before you can react has wiped out your gains. Literally anyone under 40 that hasn't done deep research and studying of history has never seen any other investing regime other than buy the dip - it always works. Many under 70 have no idea what it's like to for the market to never pay off outside of 1-2 year stretches at a time before dropping again. And nobody alive today has any idea what a depression is like. I pray these things never happen. But frankly, a systematic deleveraging, no matter how painful, is the only hope for the youth in this country to not have financial conditions that screw them from day 1. But in getting there, everyone in the work force would see 401k's, IRA's, house equity, etc wiped out. Nobody can even begin to understand how that might happen, or that it could happen. It's frightening. And there's really no way for the average person to prepare if they aren't committed to seriously reducing risk and going counter-trend to everything that's ever worked That's HARD, and frankly, painful until it eventually pays off.. which might be never.

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fourth deck said:

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Heineken-Ashi said:

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Ya, but what I worry about most is that let's say we hit my target of 5100 in June. So many stocks on sale. We go on buying spree. But that low ends up merely being the first low of a very long bear market. A bear market I feel is inevitable eventually. So all those things you bought on sale, the fake out before they fall again in a couple years to let's say 3500, that would be the devastating one.

I don't worry about a 30% crash like COVID. I worry about a long-term sustained bear market. Think 2022 but lasting 10 years, where every bounce whether months or years never makes a new high and before you can react has wiped out your gains. Literally anyone under 40 that hasn't done deep research and studying of history has never seen any other investing regime other than buy the dip - it always works. Many under 70 have no idea what it's like to for the market to never pay off outside of 1-2 year stretches at a time before dropping again. And nobody alive today has any idea what a depression is like. I pray these things never happen. But frankly, a systematic deleveraging, no matter how painful, is the only hope for the youth in this country to not have financial conditions that screw them from day 1. But in getting there, everyone in the work force would see 401k's, IRA's, house equity, etc wiped out. Nobody can even begin to understand how that might happen, or that it could happen. It's frightening. And there's really no way for the average person to prepare if they aren't committed to seriously reducing risk and going counter-trend to everything that's ever worked That's HARD, and frankly, painful until it eventually pays off.. which might be never.

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I know you've talked a lot about metals but is there any other area you could park money and get yields during that scenario such as high yield bonds or do you see those being down too?

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Red Pear Luke (BCS) said:

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Charismatic Megafauna said:

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Chef Elko said:

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Sold 2/21 $1 covered calls on 1/3 of my position at $0.15 a contract. A great chance to lower cost basis.

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Catching a couple fills on 5/16 $2c for .15

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I just bought a bunch of call options to increase my exposure without having to own the stock.

Probably not a smart move but they are August expiries so bought for time as well.

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Heineken-Ashi said:

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fourth deck said:

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Heineken-Ashi said:

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Ya, but what I worry about most is that let's say we hit my target of 5100 in June. So many stocks on sale. We go on buying spree. But that low ends up merely being the first low of a very long bear market. A bear market I feel is inevitable eventually. So all those things you bought on sale, the fake out before they fall again in a couple years to let's say 3500, that would be the devastating one.

I don't worry about a 30% crash like COVID. I worry about a long-term sustained bear market. Think 2022 but lasting 10 years, where every bounce whether months or years never makes a new high and before you can react has wiped out your gains. Literally anyone under 40 that hasn't done deep research and studying of history has never seen any other investing regime other than buy the dip - it always works. Many under 70 have no idea what it's like to for the market to never pay off outside of 1-2 year stretches at a time before dropping again. And nobody alive today has any idea what a depression is like. I pray these things never happen. But frankly, a systematic deleveraging, no matter how painful, is the only hope for the youth in this country to not have financial conditions that screw them from day 1. But in getting there, everyone in the work force would see 401k's, IRA's, house equity, etc wiped out. Nobody can even begin to understand how that might happen, or that it could happen. It's frightening. And there's really no way for the average person to prepare if they aren't committed to seriously reducing risk and going counter-trend to everything that's ever worked That's HARD, and frankly, painful until it eventually pays off.. which might be never.

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I know you've talked a lot about metals but is there any other area you could park money and get yields during that scenario such as high yield bonds or do you see those being down too?

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Haven't charted high yield bonds in a while. Adding to my list for tonight. Will get back soon. Any specific tickers?

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Red Pear Luke (BCS) said:

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Well that's the nail in the coffin for PLTR

Nothing can stop Palantir, nothing

— Jim Cramer (@jimcramer) January 23, 2025

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TheVarian said:

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Worth getting into now?

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El_duderino said:

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Looks like it dropped about 7%?

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