BucketofBalls99 said:
This is what I hate. Everyone knew it was coming already. Should have already ben priced in, at least somewhat. Guess not
The day Russia invaded Ukraine the market rallied. The day the FED announced a 50bp cut, bond yields rallied. Whatever you think "should" happen or "should" be priced in, the market simply doesn't have any proof of operating that way, and is definitely not working on some sort of efficient hypothesis.
On February 20, 2020, Neil Young penned an open letter to Trump calling him a disgrace. That was the first day of the COVID drop that saw SPX go from 3380 to 2191. Certainly Neil Young's letter spooked the markets. Or maybe it was Seattle that tanked the market, as their first sunny day after 80 straight days of clouds, and the market hates sun.
No.. this is truly what led to the massive COVID decline
I've said it many times, but attempting to appy causality to news or to apply rational outcomes to the market based on efficient thinking of existing news is a fools errand. It has never and will never get you on the right side of trading.