Lol. Wasn't even a thought. All good man.bmoochie said:
All good man, I like it. Just worry it gets lost sometimes. At least it does for me. We've hung out in person so I hope you know there is no ill will at all from me or anything like that.
Stock Markets
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Last: 2 hrs ago by Heineken-Ashi
I'm a better trader than medium term stock picker. Long run I'm pretty good. Here's some thoughts on some stonks I could see doing well. I have commonality with Heineken so I won't show put those up
- DINO
- CELH
- KO
- GOOGL
- LLY
- XLU
- DINO
- CELH
- KO
- GOOGL
- LLY
- XLU
Will check them out.$30,000 Millionaire said:
I'm a better trader than medium term stock picker. Long run I'm pretty good. Here's some thoughts on some stonks I could see doing well. I have commonality with Heineken so I won't show put those up
- DINO
- CELH
- KO
- GOOGL
- LLY
- XLU
For bullish, DINO would have to be a diagonal which can be overlapping on the long-term, but here's the path I charted, and I can't find a bearish path I consider more probable. The most convincing thing I see is the recent 5-wave down move to complete the longer correction dating back to late 2022. So at the very least, this should be reversing. Hit the 50% retrace on a perfect tick. Love it.
Entry - Now
Stop - $28.49
Min target - $50, that would be a 61.8% retrace back up
Max target - $80 range, and I would treat it as a net free area to go higher in 2026.
Texags 25 in 2025 list
1. NKE
2. OXY
3. SLV / AGQ
4. DINO
Entry - Now
Stop - $28.49
Min target - $50, that would be a 61.8% retrace back up
Max target - $80 range, and I would treat it as a net free area to go higher in 2026.
Texags 25 in 2025 list
1. NKE
2. OXY
3. SLV / AGQ
4. DINO
What do yall think of Tractor Supply? TSCO
5.25 PE ratio.
They've been growing steadily the last 4-5 years with plans to continue adding 70-100 stores a year. People are into the rural lifestyle stuff now.
Probably should have bought with Yellowstone going big back a few years ago. Any thoughts on going forward?
5.25 PE ratio.
They've been growing steadily the last 4-5 years with plans to continue adding 70-100 stores a year. People are into the rural lifestyle stuff now.
Probably should have bought with Yellowstone going big back a few years ago. Any thoughts on going forward?
I'll have to take a deeper dive tonight, but average fcf growth of ~22% over the past 11 years is a good sign.
Woods Ag said:
What do yall think of Tractor Supply? TSCO
5.25 PE ratio.
They've been growing steadily the last 4-5 years with plans to continue adding 70-100 stores a year. People are into the rural lifestyle stuff now.
Probably should have bought with Yellowstone going big back a few years ago. Any thoughts on going forward?
Buy at $46
Great info
Mini trading eCourse created by: @zakayonoel37
— Steve Burns (@SJosephBurns) December 22, 2024
pic.twitter.com/iK3tIk1On7
I mean if you guys want to give your money away, give it to me and I'll teach you how to trade.
I'd love to learn from you
Here you go
&ct=g
&ct=g
Not again…
Let Celsius holdings go right after the split, always wanted to buy it back but I lost track of it.
XLU - This one was tracking very impulsively, then got ugly but didn't break support, but now it has to hold.
Long term - I have this charted as a leading diagonal, and my confidence in this interpretation is about 30%. So while this seems the most probable path, it's so freaking ugly in just about every way imaginable from an EW perspective, that I can't say I'm confident in any long-term interpretation, but that this is the interpretation I have the least issues with. But ignore the wave labeling for a minute and look at the contracting trendlines on the long-term chart. Either this is going to hold the recent low and blowoff above $90 and possibly $100, or the top might actually be in. But I will say, everything off the COVID low screams that this has been a 4-5 year 3-wave move. And it has until nearly $100 before you can consider it complete. Now, that doesn't mean a move has to happen cleanly. It can always have a truncated top. But that 100% target happens far far more often than it doesn't.
Some interesting notes from the chart..
2000 dotcom bust: this one topped between October and December 2000, well after the majority of the market, and lost around 60% with a move lasting 2 years.
2008 GFC: topped in December 2007. Fell through 2009 and lost 50%. Didn't get back until October 2014 and didn't sustain above the 2007 high until late 2016.
COVID: topped in mid-February and bottomed in mid to late March losing 39% and falling back below the 2007 top. Didn't get back until March 2022 and has only recently gotten back again this year but is now just barely above the 2020 top.
Long story short, this is not something that you look to for sustained greatness. If you buy too high and lose it and end up bag holding, it's unlikely you will do anything but pull your hair out for years and maybe a decade. So for that reason, no matter what wave count I can fashion or how determined I might be that it's going higher, I can't add it to the 2025 list. I just don't see a high probability that it finishes the year above where it starts. Below $74, and I'd avoid until the next low forms and it can prove itself off of it.
Now, if you want to trade it, the parameters are pretty clear. Good luck to you.
Long term - I have this charted as a leading diagonal, and my confidence in this interpretation is about 30%. So while this seems the most probable path, it's so freaking ugly in just about every way imaginable from an EW perspective, that I can't say I'm confident in any long-term interpretation, but that this is the interpretation I have the least issues with. But ignore the wave labeling for a minute and look at the contracting trendlines on the long-term chart. Either this is going to hold the recent low and blowoff above $90 and possibly $100, or the top might actually be in. But I will say, everything off the COVID low screams that this has been a 4-5 year 3-wave move. And it has until nearly $100 before you can consider it complete. Now, that doesn't mean a move has to happen cleanly. It can always have a truncated top. But that 100% target happens far far more often than it doesn't.
Some interesting notes from the chart..
2000 dotcom bust: this one topped between October and December 2000, well after the majority of the market, and lost around 60% with a move lasting 2 years.
2008 GFC: topped in December 2007. Fell through 2009 and lost 50%. Didn't get back until October 2014 and didn't sustain above the 2007 high until late 2016.
COVID: topped in mid-February and bottomed in mid to late March losing 39% and falling back below the 2007 top. Didn't get back until March 2022 and has only recently gotten back again this year but is now just barely above the 2020 top.
Long story short, this is not something that you look to for sustained greatness. If you buy too high and lose it and end up bag holding, it's unlikely you will do anything but pull your hair out for years and maybe a decade. So for that reason, no matter what wave count I can fashion or how determined I might be that it's going higher, I can't add it to the 2025 list. I just don't see a high probability that it finishes the year above where it starts. Below $74, and I'd avoid until the next low forms and it can prove itself off of it.
Now, if you want to trade it, the parameters are pretty clear. Good luck to you.
Free. I was making fun of the course that got posted. I can teach you how to spot setups, levels, but I can't teach one really important thing: when not to play. The #1 mistake people make is playing when they shouldn't.
On a serious note, you all should consider OA's service. The caveat is that it's not alerts and you have to pay attention. I post trades on there. My win rate is pretty good.
On a serious note, you all should consider OA's service. The caveat is that it's not alerts and you have to pay attention. I post trades on there. My win rate is pretty good.
$30,000 Millionaire said:
Free. I was making fun of the course that got posted. I can teach you how to spot setups, levels, but I can't teach one really important thing: when not to play. The #1 mistake people make is playing when they shouldn't.
On a serious note, you all should consider OA's service. The caveat is that it's not alerts and you have to pay attention. I post trades on there. My win rate is pretty good.
My clov, wwr, are making me enough money
Nobody has a 100% hit rate. I see that you're leaving out NIO, MARA, IONQ, CX, PANW, DNN and others that OA straight crushed it on. MARA was $3 - $80.
I made money on WWR and CLOV because I had a plan and a clear profit point / stop loss for each. FOMO buying without a plan other than "go higher" just doesn't work in trading. If that's your strategy, stick to large caps.
I made money on WWR and CLOV because I had a plan and a clear profit point / stop loss for each. FOMO buying without a plan other than "go higher" just doesn't work in trading. If that's your strategy, stick to large caps.
Even ASAN, who is sucking wind right now, tripled from OA's buy points.
Expensive, but I'm going to add NOC to the 25 list. I think this sees a blowoff top landing between $683 and $775 next year. $460 really needs to hold though. If not, could leak down to $445 range before finding support. This blueprint playing out would be a completed ending diagonal into a long-term top. The top trendline you see is the top of the all-time chart channel. It intersecting the diagonal channel means I'm going to GTFO if this pans out and starts approaching it. No guarantees this move won't happen even quicker. So this is on the list, but it's a sell above $680, whether you want to cash out, raise stops, or just actively manage.
Texags 25 in 2025 list
1. NKE
2. OXY
3. SLV / AGQ
4. DINO
5. NOC
Texags 25 in 2025 list
1. NKE
2. OXY
3. SLV / AGQ
4. DINO
5. NOC
Ha just noticed about the ecourse - I meant to post the link directly from redler -who I know many follow here - including oldarmy1.
Btw - thanks for all the help you always provide here!
It used to take me 12 hours and three days to teach this 12 minute awesome break down of so many key tactical ways to make money.
— Scott Redler (@RedDogT3) December 22, 2024
(The key now is the right mindset to execute)
Need to develop your “go time” https://t.co/vcAt4y5P77
Btw - thanks for all the help you always provide here!
Hope everyone has had a banner 2024 and ahead of the game for 2025.
One of the reasons I started the disciplined trading service is so I can yell at people. It's true. Just ask some members how I take a tough love approach to percent of portfolio exposure for more speculative high growth stocks. I found that I have to beat bad habits out of some, while others can have a more natural understanding to markets and individual stocks.
WWR and 3 other speculative selections had initial big moves that people like 30k handled appropriately. As he said not every one will become continuation big winners but I went back through this entire thread and the older one in preparation for my service launch and tracked every speculative high growth posted. 36 out of 41 gave over 200% ROI and 14 have gone on to give over 500%.
The ability to focus on continued disciplines across multiple opportunities without becoming obsessed with the losers is one of the biggest differentiators I've learned about hugely successful traders and those who continually struggle. So do not listen to 30k about my service if you have thin skin. I'll beat the heck out of you to make you successful. I'm up most nights, as they well know, checking movements and tracking potential trades for the morning. No one outworks me. No one. But that means I've earned the right to demand accountability.
So now I can yell at them live, as I instruct, when I deem it necessary. The results shared by members who stuck it out have been rewarding. My 2024 high growth portfolio yielded 5 out of 7 big winners. 6 of the 7 doubled to get people's money back and 5 of those 6 gave life changing returns. CAVA ARM IOT PLTR were the top performers of the group with PYPL, a stock no one wanted when I began telling members I was building a large position became a great ROI as well. PLTR, which I did the same when Cramer, and every analyst, was saying it wasn't worth the paper it was written on has moved over 500%.
Since most of my 2025 high growth portfolio selections have already given net free long holdings I'll post them, without risking members getting upset. OKLO, AI, SERV, FRSH, UPST, ASAN, BABA CFLT, IONQ, PATH, MBLY, UPST, AI, SOUN.
SOFI was on the 2024 list and while it's doubled to go net free I see it going much higher. Banks hate them and had beaten it down but the results triumphed eventually. PATH is the only laggard of the 2025 portfolio, and one you should consider holding for 3-5 years. It's latest earnings gave it the initial break of long time resistance and pulled back to the top of that mark. We got an early start on these and over half have already doubled or tripled. I also continued to place another 2024 pick, IONQ on the list although it's up 280% from posting it for 2024. We had leaps in a lot of these that generated huge ROI's in tandem with share returns.
Want some mean advice, to help get you set for a great 2025? Sell any WWR or CLOV you have and get over it. Sometimes a great idea or product has poor leadership and execution.
Merry Christmas and to your success!
One of the reasons I started the disciplined trading service is so I can yell at people. It's true. Just ask some members how I take a tough love approach to percent of portfolio exposure for more speculative high growth stocks. I found that I have to beat bad habits out of some, while others can have a more natural understanding to markets and individual stocks.
WWR and 3 other speculative selections had initial big moves that people like 30k handled appropriately. As he said not every one will become continuation big winners but I went back through this entire thread and the older one in preparation for my service launch and tracked every speculative high growth posted. 36 out of 41 gave over 200% ROI and 14 have gone on to give over 500%.
The ability to focus on continued disciplines across multiple opportunities without becoming obsessed with the losers is one of the biggest differentiators I've learned about hugely successful traders and those who continually struggle. So do not listen to 30k about my service if you have thin skin. I'll beat the heck out of you to make you successful. I'm up most nights, as they well know, checking movements and tracking potential trades for the morning. No one outworks me. No one. But that means I've earned the right to demand accountability.
So now I can yell at them live, as I instruct, when I deem it necessary. The results shared by members who stuck it out have been rewarding. My 2024 high growth portfolio yielded 5 out of 7 big winners. 6 of the 7 doubled to get people's money back and 5 of those 6 gave life changing returns. CAVA ARM IOT PLTR were the top performers of the group with PYPL, a stock no one wanted when I began telling members I was building a large position became a great ROI as well. PLTR, which I did the same when Cramer, and every analyst, was saying it wasn't worth the paper it was written on has moved over 500%.
Since most of my 2025 high growth portfolio selections have already given net free long holdings I'll post them, without risking members getting upset. OKLO, AI, SERV, FRSH, UPST, ASAN, BABA CFLT, IONQ, PATH, MBLY, UPST, AI, SOUN.
SOFI was on the 2024 list and while it's doubled to go net free I see it going much higher. Banks hate them and had beaten it down but the results triumphed eventually. PATH is the only laggard of the 2025 portfolio, and one you should consider holding for 3-5 years. It's latest earnings gave it the initial break of long time resistance and pulled back to the top of that mark. We got an early start on these and over half have already doubled or tripled. I also continued to place another 2024 pick, IONQ on the list although it's up 280% from posting it for 2024. We had leaps in a lot of these that generated huge ROI's in tandem with share returns.
Want some mean advice, to help get you set for a great 2025? Sell any WWR or CLOV you have and get over it. Sometimes a great idea or product has poor leadership and execution.
Merry Christmas and to your success!
P.S. Now I got Mooch mad at me for a long post
oldarmy1 said:
P.S. Now I got Mooch mad at me for a long post
Potentially buying XLRE with stop at $38 region looking for $50 by May. Volume declining all year, but look at where the supports are for the spikes and how they coincide with the shelf. This is typical for an ending diagonal to have declining volume - remember, ED's = exhaustion of prior trend as it overlaps. that's exactly what we have here. One more push up and then GTFO out of RE for the foreseeable future.
Also might look at May $45 calls. And once we get an (a) and (b) within Wave [5]. I'll be looking to go heavy into calls. Might take a month or so to get to that point.
Also might look at May $45 calls. And once we get an (a) and (b) within Wave [5]. I'll be looking to go heavy into calls. Might take a month or so to get to that point.
Damn you!
Sell WWR?!? Burn this heretic at the stake.
SOXL
Low holiday volume. Likely elevated volatility all week. Probably best to sit on hands and let it play out.
Below 11 at around $10.5X
Back up the truck and Buying or waiting?
Back up the truck and Buying or waiting?
it was a joke$30,000 Millionaire said:
Nobody has a 100% hit rate. I see that you're leaving out NIO, MARA, IONQ, CX, PANW, DNN and others that OA straight crushed it on. MARA was $3 - $80.
I made money on WWR and CLOV because I had a plan and a clear profit point / stop loss for each. FOMO buying without a plan other than "go higher" just doesn't work in trading. If that's your strategy, stick to large caps.
Are you referring to CLSKaggies4life said:
Below 11 at around $10.5X
Back up the truck and Buying or waiting?
From a starting point of having none, I'd give it down to mid $9's range. Below that and I'd start to worry about the possibility of more selling. The two biggest daily volume shelves are at $5 range and $16 range. Inside of those two, it's $9 and $12. If risk management was strong, I'd make it prove over $13 and follow through above $16. With target in the $40's, while it would be great to catch it down here, there' plenty of upside to let it, and BTC too, prove themselves a bit.aggies4life said:
Below 11 at around $10.5X
Back up the truck and Buying or waiting?
As far as me, I have a cost basis under $10 and doubled my position last week while also selling Jan $10 puts for over $1. I have the position I want and will only go heavier once I see a tradeable upside setup.
Interesting chart here. Funds have had the most cash before a crash and the least near bottoms.
We are still close to ATH's in the market and funds have the least amount of cash in 25 years. When I say there is VERY little buy the dip, this is what I mean. Everyone is positioned on one side (bullish) at the same time that BTFP liquidity is almost gone, the reverse repo facility is nearly drained, and FED is still performing QT.
When liquidity will be needed, it's not going to be there, and the dips won't hold. In times like this, there's no limit to the downside, as the FED performing emergency measures like slashing rates and somehow doing a magic trick to offer up liquidity (which would undoubtedly come with borrowing from our bank deposits again to explode the money supply) would not signal a bottom, as it would be a sign to the masses that the economy we were sold was not real and that the economic backdrop is dire. This is why major selloffs like 2000 and 2008 took multiple years to complete. It's only after sentiment exhausts to the downside and the new liquidity starts running through the system that buyers finally step in. And those buyers aren't likely to be your common retail investor, but the direct beneficiaries of the new liquidity from an expanded money supply. And if the FED did choose that route, 70's style part 2 in inflation would be next. Been saying this for years, but the euphoria of the bull has everyone thinking it will never happen. Markets are always the most irrational near tops.
We are still close to ATH's in the market and funds have the least amount of cash in 25 years. When I say there is VERY little buy the dip, this is what I mean. Everyone is positioned on one side (bullish) at the same time that BTFP liquidity is almost gone, the reverse repo facility is nearly drained, and FED is still performing QT.
When liquidity will be needed, it's not going to be there, and the dips won't hold. In times like this, there's no limit to the downside, as the FED performing emergency measures like slashing rates and somehow doing a magic trick to offer up liquidity (which would undoubtedly come with borrowing from our bank deposits again to explode the money supply) would not signal a bottom, as it would be a sign to the masses that the economy we were sold was not real and that the economic backdrop is dire. This is why major selloffs like 2000 and 2008 took multiple years to complete. It's only after sentiment exhausts to the downside and the new liquidity starts running through the system that buyers finally step in. And those buyers aren't likely to be your common retail investor, but the direct beneficiaries of the new liquidity from an expanded money supply. And if the FED did choose that route, 70's style part 2 in inflation would be next. Been saying this for years, but the euphoria of the bull has everyone thinking it will never happen. Markets are always the most irrational near tops.
Definitely a lot of selling is likely “window dressing” into year end to show an appropriate level of cash when funds will take the last 2024 snapshot https://t.co/mBjUKIMrmn
— JustDario 🏊♂️ (@DarioCpx) December 23, 2024
Will sell remaining WULF Jan 3 puts if it gets to $5.50.
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