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25,601,768 Views | 234757 Replies | Last: 34 min ago by Quacked
Heineken-Ashi
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Colt98 said:

Curious what you would do with this issue. I have 100 shares of tsla stock. Sold 250 put and got put the stock months ago. I actually had sold puts multiple weeks before I actually got put the stock…. Once I had stock I started selling CC well let's just say I had the , I believe 280 calls sold the week before the election. I've rolled up each week breaking even on my premium to get higher steikes, but now I have the 320 calls sold out a couple of week…

So my question…. Should I just let it play out and loose the stock and move one.. should I buy back the contract, 10kish, and sell a strike closer to recoup some of those funds….


I had a similar situation of expecting more of a correction and selling a $345 strike for January. Once it broke to a new high, I purchased TSLL. I bought enough to make up the gains I missed out on at my next target which was $414, with a stop below the breakout level. I had been discussing this strategy for the last week or so. You can go back and see where I laid out the thesis and tracked the play.

But the post below yours is the easiest. Just let it play out. You could also buy another 100 TSLA once you realize you are trapped. Those new shares can have a higher stop with the goal of participating in further upside.

You could sell a put above your trapped call but at a level that would be an understandable correction. Collect premium if it never comes down, and get shares back if it does with the premium of the call and put lowering your basis on the new shares.
Colt98
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AG
Actually I had thought of that…. Before I had posted this question I had rolled out to Jan 10 320's. I'm a little surprised they haven't taken the stock already with such a big difference. If I did keep it going I was going to keep bumping strikes 2.5-5(I've actually been able to make a little premium doing this)every couple of weeks until I get to 350. Figured if we get a good correction that would be a place it would have support
Heineken-Ashi
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Buying TSLZ if it comes back to $2.55 or lower. Stop $2.45. Target $2.75-$3.00.
BucketofBalls99
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So is MU still a viable play until sometime by the end of the month? Was thinking of buying in but saw it down almost $4 today
Heineken-Ashi
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SMHI - Buy here - Stop $5.99. Target $8-$9
Heineken-Ashi
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CMRE - Buy here, stop $11.99, target $20.
Heineken-Ashi
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Don't have a clear picture on MU. I'm personally avoiding it and waiting for a bullish setup to present.
Brian Earl Spilner
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AG
Bought more TNA at the close.
Heineken-Ashi
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Brian Earl Spilner said:

Bought more TNA at the close.
Might be a good play. I think a sharp reversal is brewing. I was early a couple days ago and the move down is still completing.
62strat
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AG
I've got a little battle here for my first 10 bagger.

Coincidentally, they were both purchased on the same day.

NFLX and AAPL.

Which one will hit it first!?! NFLX only needs 7% gain, aapl needs about 10%.



Would be crazy if they both did it on the same day. Would have to be a pretty rare set of circumstances!
El_duderino
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Took my AVGO options off the table at 20% profit before earnings. Wasn't willing to take the risk.
Brian Earl Spilner
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AG
SOXL with the nice green candle AH.
aggies4life
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AG
Heineken-Ashi
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Goldman Sachs
Quote:

11.73T is the current tally of passive assets under management. Inflows of +186B into U.S. stocks over the last nine weeks has been the largest since February 2021.

El_duderino
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I'd have to look again later, but I believe I was seeing highest net long position for large specs and lowest net short position for commercials in equities since about that same time frame.
South Platte
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aggies4life said:


Early sentiment is negative.
Heineken-Ashi
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El_duderino said:

I'd have to look again later, but I believe I was seeing highest net long position for large specs and lowest net short position for commercials in equities since about that same time frame.
Yes, posted about that a month ago. Need to find an update as lots can change in a month.
Heineken-Ashi
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CLSK getting that move into the $11's, and I still see it hitting $11 and plan to triple my position there.

Target range for upside will be $25 - $43 and should line up with BTC going to $120k-$140k.

Unfortunately, due to this being either a bullish long term diagonal, the only confirmation that this could be more bearish would be a break of $8.
tysker
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AG
Heineken-Ashi said:

Goldman Sachs
Quote:

11.73T is the current tally of passive assets under management. Inflows of +186B into U.S. stocks over the last nine weeks has been the largest since February 2021.


Is there any indication of how much of that is active profit-taking from BTC, NVDA, TSLA, etc., being rolled over into more beta-neutral strategies?
Brian Earl Spilner
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AG
Brian Earl Spilner said:

SOXL with the nice green candle AH.


Thank you kindly, Broadcom.
aggies4life
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AG
Avgo up 13% after earnings
Heineken-Ashi
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tysker said:

Heineken-Ashi said:

Goldman Sachs
Quote:

11.73T is the current tally of passive assets under management. Inflows of +186B into U.S. stocks over the last nine weeks has been the largest since February 2021.


Is there any indication of how much of that is active profit-taking from BTC, NVDA, TSLA, etc., being rolled over into more beta-neutral strategies?

No idea. But NVDA was at ATH's 4 weeks ago. When they say inflows, I take it to mean funds that haven't been in the market. We saw the Trump election spike. Se saw the rotation out of metals. We saw the rotation into BTC. I think this was mostly sidelined money. Literally everyone is long and nobody is expecting anything more than a manageable pullback.
Heineken-Ashi
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I think today might mark a top for AVGO. Look at the volume with this earnings boom compared to the last coupld of ones. I'd be careful up here. The pattern is perfect to be an ending diagonal which could reverse back to the $130 area by May.

Significantly above those trendlines with green volume is what you want to see.

Remember, sentiment usually shifts in a major way before fundamentals do. It goes for bottoms and tops. Consider SMCI recently as a prime example.

ProgN
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BucketofBalls99 said:

So is MU still a viable play until sometime by the end of the month? Was thinking of buying in but saw it down almost $4 today
I'm in it at $103 and holding for the reasons I posted last night. They also report earnings on 12/18 AH. I will be holding through that ER.
aggies4life
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AG
Would you sell right now after hours?

Also saw this regarding avgo
Brian Earl Spilner
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AG
Dunno about AVGO but I took a nice chunk of SOXL profit off the table.
El_duderino
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Inline guidance and missed revenue doesn't add up to a 15% pump to me
RightWingConspirator
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AG
I'm hanging on to my Broadcom shares. I've been holding a while and will continue to hold
Talon2DSO
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AG
Heineken-Ashi said:

I think today might mark a top for AVGO. Look at the volume with this earnings boom compared to the last coupld of ones. I'd be careful up here. The pattern is perfect to be an ending diagonal which could reverse back to the $130 area by May.

Significantly above those trendlines with green volume is what you want to see.

Remember, sentiment usually shifts in a major way before fundamentals do. It goes for bottoms and tops. Consider SMCI recently as a prime example.




So.....puts expiring 3 weeks out might be winners?
Heineken-Ashi
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Talon2DSO said:

Heineken-Ashi said:

I think today might mark a top for AVGO. Look at the volume with this earnings boom compared to the last coupld of ones. I'd be careful up here. The pattern is perfect to be an ending diagonal which could reverse back to the $130 area by May.

Significantly above those trendlines with green volume is what you want to see.

Remember, sentiment usually shifts in a major way before fundamentals do. It goes for bottoms and tops. Consider SMCI recently as a prime example.




So.....puts expiring 3 weeks out might be winners?
If you're going to grab puts you need to give yourself through May. While I would expect significant movement before then, that's the timeline of the reversal play.

I personally wouldn't. I'd wait for confirmation of a top. My post wasn't meant to provide a downside opportunity. More about cautioning that this spike doesn't seem to be like previous ones and could be a trap.
aggies4life
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AG
Tsla to $700??



Brewmaster
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AG
El_duderino said:

You catch the RDR on AMD or DELL today?
both confirmed reversal today holding onto my new shares!

guess what also reversed... SMCI. I'm long all 3, let's see what happens. SMCI had some serious buyers step in today, but they are holding it down around 38 for now.

Redler made a point recently that you aren't going to see much selling until the new year. No reason for bigs to close out longs here, they'll just keep riding this Santa Rally.

still, don't forget to trim big winners though!
Brewmaster
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AG
it'll take some time, but it will take out 700. Call me Cathie Brew Woods, but it'll take out 1000 in Trump's presidency.
EliteZags
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AG
that's what I'm holding for also as my #2 six figure position, long play on automation
Heineken-Ashi
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aggies4life said:

Tsla to $700??




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