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25,042,345 Views | 233819 Replies | Last: 8 min ago by Ags2013
techno-ag
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AG
Gaeilge said:

If you want to get in on it, I'd sell Naked Puts. Collect the premium and if you get called, you own it for a bit cheaper than the strike.
techno-ag
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AG
I just like buying dips myself. Always keeping an eye out.
Heineken-Ashi
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techno-ag said:

I just like buying dips myself. Always keeping an eye out.
Do it on good companies trending upward, not shady companies trending downward.
Charismatic Megafauna
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AG
Feels like we're setting up for an absolute ripper tomorrow. Msft and meta tonight could make that happen
dreyOO
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I just cut the cord with SMCI. Fortunately, I had trimmed quite a bit already out, so minimal pain here.

I just can't see why I'd risk any $$ here when there are sounder investments right now. JMO
dreyOO
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BTW, thank you for the contributions from all of you. I love this thread. I don't have the time to contribute much, but I'm always watching this.
Heineken-Ashi
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If SOFI is to remain bullish, the parameters are clear. You do not want to see it below $9.48 and below $9.00 the uptrend really starts to get shakey.

plowe32
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AG
ProgN said:

tlh3842 said:

Would like ProgN analysis of the SMCI news
Ok, let me start by saying I'm sorry I brought this to the board and it hurts me considerably. I did not see anything in my analysis that what's going on now was even a possibility, apparently WS firms didn't either. That said, I haven't sold a share, but I will not be adding any to my positions either. I've experienced enough pain thus far that I'm going to wait out until all the facts come to light. No lie, this morning's events are very disconcerting, but I'd drink myself to death if I compounded a wrong decision with another by selling now, should the facts not be as bad as it sounds.

My advice at the moment is to avoid it because it's going to get absolutely pounded by the shorts, lawsuits, PR, etc. My positions will essentially be dead money until they get their **** straight. Don't try to call a bottom, because it usually will go lower. Throw out all technicals like oversold, support, RSI, etc. because this stock will not trade off technicals, WS won't touch it until the facts come out and the clouds disappear.

Again, I am truly sorry for what's happening to a lot of people that put trust in me. I love this place and I will do better going forward.

Prog


Prog -

You could never have foreseen this, so I don't think you owe an apology. You do your best and bring your analysis all the time which has created lots of profits for many - me included. You do it for the club and not for monetary gain here. Thank you.

Plus, the story of SMCI isn't over. While it's probably not a buy as you stated right now, we don't know what is happening yet.
CC09LawAg
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Anybody have any predictions on FUBO going into earnings Friday morning?

I sold some Friday puts at $2.00 strike price last week, I don't mind them getting exercised but wondering if I should roll them out to $2.50 for a couple of weeks out if there is any chance it closes that gap from February.
Gaeilge
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Iran is still poking the bear. I'd look to soft targets being on Israel's list of attacks if Iran follows through since they took out all the defenses.

I bring this up because it could have very far reaching effects on O&G stocks and commodities.
ProgN
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Imo, Iran is just blusteringly talking **** to save face for their citizens, think 'Baghdad Bob'. This is the same regime that sent backchannel communication to Israel that they'd look the other way if Israel didn't hit them too hard. The IAF just took out their best air defense systems with impunity. Iran doesn't want any part of Israel unleashing on their more sensitive infrastructure and targeting the mullahs.

ProgN
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Add $WING to your primary watchlists. My attention will get high if it hits $240 for deeper evaluation.
Heineken-Ashi
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DIA - Posted on Friday. Short setup brewing. Not quite ready yet. Want to see one more move up into tomorrow or Thursday.

Gaeilge
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True, but with the increased chatter of regime change, I wouldn't put it passed the current regime to try some last ditch effort to retain relevance.
ProgN
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I'd bet money that Israel is thinking 'I wish a mfer would FA and FO'. Iran won't do *****
El Chupacabra
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I rolled some SMCI puts out to March...just for insurance. Made a bunch on the ones I sold, lowered overall cost basis of SMCI trade by $5/share.
ProgN
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Looks like META and MSFT beat
ProgN
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Maybe not META
EliteZags
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AG
aggressive moves down on HOOD, COIN, ROKU
up on ETSY, CVNA
aggies4life
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AG
Cvna!!! Just keeps on trucking. Thoughts on this one?
Talon2DSO
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AG
ProgN said:

Maybe not META


Glad I set a stop on that one.
El_duderino
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What the hell did they say in the MSFT earnings call?
GreasenUSA
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AG
El_duderino said:

What the hell did they say in the MSFT earnings call?
looks like Q2 guidance is going to be less than expected.
Diggity
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AG
specifically cloud...which is all anyone cares about anymore

Quote:

Microsoft projects a slowdown in Azure cloud-computing revenue for the current quarter, which is weighing on its stock in the extended session.

The company expects 31% to 32% constant-currency Azure growth in the fiscal second quarter, which compares with 34% growth in the fiscal first quarter.
El_duderino
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Just saw. Came in just under $1bn light of expectations
El_duderino
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I think I read that a couple days ago as the big concern and it's playing out now.
Talon2DSO
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AG
Why did META drop when their Q3 was strong??
El_duderino
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Guidance a little light
Heineken-Ashi
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Talon2DSO said:

Why did META drop when their Q3 was strong??
Sometimes sentiment doesn't make sense with fundamentals.

Heineken-Ashi
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Got a great R/R play. MATH



Support box is clear. Below the September low and I'd be out. Can accumulate under $2.25. Once broken out, minimum target is $4.25. A full bullish follow through could take it anywhere between $12 and $22.50.

If you buy here with stop at $0.79, you can go net free by selling 55% of shares at the previous high which should reject at first try. Once a higher low forms from there between $1.20 and $1.75, you can go in even harder moving stop to that higher low. By the time $4.25 is hit, you should be net free with plenty of shares left and maybe even take some good profits.

Remember, this is an outline NOT A PREDICTION. That's why we have a stop, a plan, and multiple targets. As it plays out, we gain more clarity and update our outline. Probably even find a trend channel.



tailgatetimer10
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AG
Guys, scmi is blacklisted by many of the cloud companies. That alone tells me to run far far away.
tlepoC
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AG

Charismatic Megafauna
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AG
Charismatic Megafauna said:

Feels like we're setting up for an absolute ripper tomorrow. Msft and meta tonight could make that happen

Ugh. Guess not. Isn't 148 our old buy target on amd though?
El_duderino
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I'd be cautious at $148. It's on the verge of breaking to the downside of the pattern it's been in. I'd likely be a buyer sub $130



South Platte
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EL getting destroyed again.
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