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24,919,067 Views | 233707 Replies | Last: 53 min ago by Heineken-Ashi
nancydeedavis
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8:58a, 8/23/24
I'm holding and hoping for a punch through $4 at which there is not much resistance to $7ish range.

CLOV is on a path to profitability and is coming out of a long consolidation period. I bought some $4 LEAPs when it broke above $2 and those are up nicely.

I'm inclined to hold at least through the next couple of earnings to see if they maintain their positive upwards earnings track.

Insider just bought close to 1MM shares at $1.88 so that's a pretty good vote of confidence as well.
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txaggie_08
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9:02a, 8/23/24
AG
Powell gonna make this market rocket today
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Number Monkey
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In reply to txaggie_08 • 9:06a, 8/23/24
AG
Maybe it's the short sellers having to exit their positions and buy shares to cover their losses like Prog predicted would happen at $185....
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nortex97
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In reply to AgShaun00 • 9:17a, 8/23/24
AG
On CLOV probably just that they turned profitable in their recent quarter, vs. a net loss a year ago in the same quarter of something like $28 million. I see some insider buying as well.
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EnronAg
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9:28a, 8/23/24
AG
JPow's dovish little speech did its best to send us to ATH's...we are gonna be stuck with +3% inflation for a while, boys!!! just come to accept that fact now...and it'll be easier to handle...
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Number Monkey
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In reply to EnronAg • 9:31a, 8/23/24
AG
At least a roaring market helps with that inflation
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jagvocate
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9:34a, 8/23/24
AG
UROY UUUU etc all uranium stocks are flying on Kazakhstan guidance of lower supply in 2025

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Number Monkey
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In reply to jagvocate • 9:36a, 8/23/24
AG
Now only if someone will make the same policy about platinum, please!
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confucius_ag
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In reply to Number Monkey • 9:48a, 8/23/24
AG
Number Monkey said:
Now only if someone will make the same policy about platinum, please!
You misspelled Graphite
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GreasenUSA
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9:51a, 8/23/24
AG
Pretty consistent over the past year or so.

Move up during Powell. Move down after he's finished.
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Heineken-Ashi
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9:54a, 8/23/24
Careful out there. Might have trapped buyers and this thing could fall.
"H-A: In return for the flattery, can you reduce the size of your signature? It's the only part of your posts that don't add value. In its' place, just put "I'm an investing savant, and make no apologies for it", as oldarmy1 would do."
- I Bleed Maroon (distracted easily by signatures)
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Nagler
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In reply to confucius_ag • 9:54a, 8/23/24
AG
confucius_ag said:
Number Monkey said:
Now only if someone will make the same policy about platinum, please!
You misspelled Graphite

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Number Monkey
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In reply to GreasenUSA • 9:59a, 8/23/24
AG
Would be interesting to know if it's retail that's driving it up during his speech, only to be crushed by institutional once it hits a high...
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Brian Earl Spilner
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In reply to Brian Earl Spilner • 10:05a, 8/23/24
AG
Brian Earl Spilner said:
Currently got my orders below at 38.75 and 36.

Still got 250 shares riding up to 44 and 46.


44, bam.
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Bob Knights Paper Hands
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10:13a, 8/23/24
That's some h looking **** on the Qs. I'm longer than I feel comfortable right now. We need to reclaim and hold over 479.
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Bob Knights Paper Hands
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In reply to Bob Knights Paper Hands • 10:30a, 8/23/24
The market makers read Texags?
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Heineken-Ashi
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10:48a, 8/23/24
I'd trail up stops on KVUE and be prepared for another drop into consolidation around $20 at best, and new lows at worst. I got stopped after entry as I moved my stop up. But for those that followed this play and are still in, mid $23's are still the target
"H-A: In return for the flattery, can you reduce the size of your signature? It's the only part of your posts that don't add value. In its' place, just put "I'm an investing savant, and make no apologies for it", as oldarmy1 would do."
- I Bleed Maroon (distracted easily by signatures)
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SF2004
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In reply to nortex97 • 11:12a, 8/23/24
AG
nortex97 said:
They are doing their best to mask it, but it is absolutely inevitably coming:

Quote:
CNBC August 23, 2024: "A recession is coming in the U.S., and 'a few rate cuts' won't prevent it, says strategist" - "There's things that are breaking down quite rapidly now," Garry Evans, BCA Research's chief strategist of global asset allocation said on CNBC's "Squawk Box Asia." "Every single one of us now believes there's a recession, and that's exactly the opposite of what the market believes," Garry Evans, BCA Research's chief strategist of global asset allocation told CNBC's "Squawk Box Asia." Evans pointed to signs of the economy slowing down, including what he called the "deteriorating" U.S. labor market. The U.S. Labor Department reported that the unemployment rate inched to 4.3% in July to its highest since October 2021, and a gauge for U.S. manufacturing activity fell to an eight-month low in the same month. "A few rate cuts are not going to prevent a recession. Average recession is 10 months.....It takes something like a year before fed cuts actually start to give a boost to the economy," he said. "The market believes that the fed fund rate at the end of next year will be 3%. It's currently at 5.3%. That will not happen unless there is a recession," he added."
RUT has actually opened down, which I am surprised by.
I feel like a blow off top is coming.

Then want Beer Guy has been saying.

This will be a grindy market for some years to come.
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Heineken-Ashi
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11:57a, 8/23/24
P/E on Cava is 310x. That sounds right.
"H-A: In return for the flattery, can you reduce the size of your signature? It's the only part of your posts that don't add value. In its' place, just put "I'm an investing savant, and make no apologies for it", as oldarmy1 would do."
- I Bleed Maroon (distracted easily by signatures)
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confucius_ag
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In reply to Heineken-Ashi • 12:16p, 8/23/24
AG
Heineken-Ashi said:
P/E on Cava is 310x. That sounds right.
On CNBC this morning they mentioned the valuation per store is millions higher than Chipotle.
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Talon2DSO
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12:18p, 8/23/24
AG
Pennant flag on SMCI?
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Brewmaster
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In reply to Talon2DSO • 12:28p, 8/23/24
AG
Talon2DSO said:
Pennant flag on SMCI?
Yeah, definitely in a wedge.

TSLA big 58k share buyer minutes ago.

ALB paying off still have a lone call left and shares. DELL looks primed too - 115 next, then 129ish.
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ProgN
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12:28p, 8/23/24
If the market doesn't selloff after NVDA's ER, then I believe that POWL is maneuvering to make an assault on the ATH. Get your popcorn ready.
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Heineken-Ashi
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In reply to confucius_ag • 12:32p, 8/23/24
confucius_ag said:
Heineken-Ashi said:
P/E on Cava is 310x. That sounds right.
On CNBC this morning they mentioned the valuation per store is millions higher than Chipotle.
McDonalds has not had a price to FCF over the last 10 years above 60x. CAVA is at a FORWARD P/FCF of 150X. That's triple Chipotle as well.

And while Q2 was positive for same store sales, Q1 was not.

This is priced like a growth tech stock, and its a fast casual restaurant.
"H-A: In return for the flattery, can you reduce the size of your signature? It's the only part of your posts that don't add value. In its' place, just put "I'm an investing savant, and make no apologies for it", as oldarmy1 would do."
- I Bleed Maroon (distracted easily by signatures)
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I bleed maroon
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In reply to Brewmaster • 12:35p, 8/23/24
AG
Brewmaster said:
Talon2DSO said:
Pennant flag on SMCI?
Yeah, definitely in a wedge.

TSLA big 58k share buyer minutes ago.

ALB paying off still have a lone call left and shares. DELL looks primed too - 115 next, then 129ish.
Sold about 1/5 of my ALB calls for a 140% gain. Have a 9 to 5 calls to puts ratio remaining. 33% gain on the remainder if I liquidated today. I'm planning to continue to ride with the calls (maybe trimming some more if the gain reaches 200%), and hope the puts expire worthless.
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I bleed maroon
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In reply to Heineken-Ashi • 12:37p, 8/23/24
AG
Heineken-Ashi said:
confucius_ag said:
Heineken-Ashi said:
P/E on Cava is 310x. That sounds right.
On CNBC this morning they mentioned the valuation per store is millions higher than Chipotle.
McDonalds has not had a price to FCF over the last 10 years above 60x. CAVA is at a FORWARD P/FCF of 150X. That's triple Chipotle as well.

And while Q2 was positive for same store sales, Q1 was not.

This is priced like a growth tech stock, and its a fast casual restaurant.
Agree. I've been watching this one for months, with an eye toward buying puts or a initiating a credit spread.

I'm sold that it's overheated, and put in an order to buy puts today (hasn't executed yet).
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Brewmaster
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In reply to Heineken-Ashi • 1:16p, 8/23/24
AG
Heineken-Ashi said:
confucius_ag said:
Heineken-Ashi said:
P/E on Cava is 310x. That sounds right.
On CNBC this morning they mentioned the valuation per store is millions higher than Chipotle.
McDonalds has not had a price to FCF over the last 10 years above 60x. CAVA is at a FORWARD P/FCF of 150X. That's triple Chipotle as well.

And while Q2 was positive for same store sales, Q1 was not.

This is priced like a growth tech stock, and its a fast casual restaurant.
I was curious if Cava uses seed oils or olive oils that are watered down. They do! shame shame. Short away, lol. and of course McD's and Chipotle do, they're cheap.
short primer on processed oils: (vegetable, aka seed oils), all are basically motor oil. They get stored as fat quickly, give you increased inflammation and help destroy your metabolism.
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Heineken-Ashi
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1:17p, 8/23/24
If we get SLV $27.75 today I will be going net free or taking profit on half remaining expiring Sep 20 or earlier calls. I was already net free on most, but re-loaded significantly over the past 1-2 months. So this one will actually be building profit and leaving plenty on the table in the vent it goes higher toward $29-$30 range.

Remember, the thesis on these was multiple election years where silver spiked hugely in August/September, almost always after Jackson Hole, and in the case of 2007, after the first rate cut on Sep 18th.
"H-A: In return for the flattery, can you reduce the size of your signature? It's the only part of your posts that don't add value. In its' place, just put "I'm an investing savant, and make no apologies for it", as oldarmy1 would do."
- I Bleed Maroon (distracted easily by signatures)
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E
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In reply to Heineken-Ashi • 1:29p, 8/23/24
AG
Heineken-Ashi said:
If we get SLV $27.75 today I will be going net free or taking profit on half remaining expiring Sep 20 or earlier calls. I was already net free on most, but re-loaded significantly over the past 1-2 months. So this one will actually be building profit and leaving plenty on the table in the vent it goes higher toward $29-$30 range.

Remember, the thesis on these was multiple election years where silver spiked hugely in August/September, almost always after Jackson Hole, and in the case of 2007, after the first rate cut on Sep 18th.
Thanks for sharing your thoughts and strategy on these trades!
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Quacked
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In reply to Heineken-Ashi • 2:16p, 8/23/24
Still holding $NEWP? Apologies if already mentioned I'm behind a few days
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Heineken-Ashi
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In reply to Quacked • 2:33p, 8/23/24
Quacked said:
Still holding $NEWP? Apologies if already mentioned I'm behind a few days
10k shares. It got deeper than I wanted on the last downturn, moving targets down. I'll probably sell most around $4. Could gets as high as $6 and do a double top cup completion by end of next year, but the handle will likely be long and could erase half the gains, so I'd be net free by $4 and 75%-100% of profits by $6.
"H-A: In return for the flattery, can you reduce the size of your signature? It's the only part of your posts that don't add value. In its' place, just put "I'm an investing savant, and make no apologies for it", as oldarmy1 would do."
- I Bleed Maroon (distracted easily by signatures)
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AgCPA95
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In reply to txaggie_08 • 3:38p, 8/23/24
AG
txaggie_08 said:
Powell gonna make this market rocket today
and POWL.

up 8.29% on the day.
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jamey
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3:40p, 8/23/24
AG
I've got IWM and Biotechs loaded for the rate cuts

Already up 42% on biotech(XBI) since October or so
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Texaggie7nine
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In reply to AgCPA95 • 3:52p, 8/23/24
7nine
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TTUArmy
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2:35p, 8/24/24
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